Table 13: Infrastructure Failure ScenariosFailure Extent Telecomms Electricity Fuel Gas Transport Water/WastewaterAll or nearlytotal loss ofsupply toregionWould need physicaldamage to 3 Auckland toWhangarei fibres which areon different routes (thoughall go through Warkworth) –would probably need to be alarge volcano or earthquake.Small traffic could be carriedthrough Microwave links.Damage to 220kV linefrom Auckland (orsubstations en route)would cause substantialregional loss of supply.Could occur through anumber of scenarios –flooding/slips, volcanicash, earthquake, etc.Refinery shut-down couldcause major supply losswithin days and would taketime to bring in importedfuel. Could be caused bypower outage, fire, tsunamior prolonged road accessdisruption (nitrogen andstaff get brought in by road).Power outage would alsostop delivery – tankerloading.Damage to pipelinefrom Taranaki ormajor productionsources.Could occur througha number ofscenarios –flooding/slips,volcanic ash,earthquake, etc.Major failure of Te HanaOverbridge caused byearthquake or accident.Slips on Brynderwyn Hill(though there arealternate routes via SH12 and Mangawhai).Tsunami at port.Region-wide power outagegreater than a day could causedisruptions to supply across thewhole region. Most watersupplies have treated reservoirstorage with around 1-2 dayssupply and gravity supply tomost of the town. Mostwastewater pump stationshave a few hours storagebefore overflow.Loss of supplyto large areaLoss of major exchanges inKerikeri, Kensington orWhangarei.Restoration time woulddepend on event – flooddamage could be repaired indays, fire damage could takemonths.Sub-station failure –technological, flooding,earthquake, ash, etc.Power outage causing fuelstations in large area to shutdown.Loss of delivery pointat Whangarei.Puhi Puhi Road(Hikurangi North)flooding.Any bridge north ofWaitaki landing failure –caused by storms,earthquake or accident.Flooding at KawaKawaand SH11 stops accessfurther north withlimited alternate access.With the exception ofWhangarei, most town suppliesrely on a single source, somajor damage to the trunkmain, reservoir, TP, etc couldknock out the whole supply. Anumber of scenarios couldcause this – land slips,contaminated spill into sourcewater, fire, dam collapse, etc.Widespreadlocalisedfailures.High winds / rain / slipscausing multiple damage tocell sites, cables, etc.High winds / rain / slipscausing multiple damageto overhead cables (treesfalling, etc).Unlikely.Length of outage couldaffect other areas due tostorage shortage.Unlikely.Storm causing multipleslips/trees across road.Localised floodingCould be caused by widespreadbut localised power outages(eg: storm events)Region-widerestrictions.Overloading, probably inresponse to some form ofemergency. Companies canrestrict various types of use,eg: txt.Generation shortages (eg:due to drought) or majortransmission failures inNorth Island could lead toneed for planned rollingoutages.Fuel restrictions imposedbecause of a major supplychain failure such asdisruption to crude supply,contamination of product.Damage to pipelinefrom Taranaki ormajor productionsources.Extreme highwinds/driving rain thatmake driving conditionshazardous. Restrictionsplaced on motorcycles/high trucks, etc.Region-wide drought couldrestrict multiple supplies,though some are lessvulnerable than others.<strong>Northland</strong> <strong>Civil</strong> <strong>Defence</strong> <strong>Emergency</strong> <strong>Management</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>, <strong>2010</strong>-2015 Page 82
HAZARDOUS SUBSTANCE SPILLOverviewHazardLikelihood (D)HazardConsequence(2)Many hazardous substances are stored, transported and to a lesser extentmanufactured in <strong>Northland</strong>. This creates the potential for an unplanned oruncontrolled release of a hazardous substance resulting in large explosions or toxicgas plumes.In <strong>Northland</strong> there are three to four minor hazardous substance incidents a monthusually related to fuel spills from vehicles and vessels. In recent years there havebeen more incidents related to the manufacture of methamphetamine in homesacross <strong>Northland</strong>.Most incidents are dealt with by the Fire Service and Regional Council staff. Ofpotential relevance to CDEM would be a major hazardous substance release. TheMarsden Refinery stores, refines and transports New Zealand’s largest volumes ofhazardous chemicals. A major marine oil spill is another potential incident.Very little data to make an assessment.Social:Depends on the individual substance and incident but could involve loss of lifeand injuries as a result of explosions, inhalation of toxic fumes, consumption of,or contact with poisons. Rapid evacuation of potentially affected areas may benecessary, potentially causing panic and distress.Built-Economic:Short-term interruption to social, economic, emergency service activities due tocompromised access to, and use of areas and facilities.Natural Environment:How do wemanage thisrisk?What moreshould we bedoing?What is thefuture risk?Contamination of structures, soils, water (surface and ground), air (local or morewidespread).<strong>Management</strong> of hazardous substances includes environmental and hazard audits.Department of labour is responsible for the enforcement of the HSNO Act.A Hazardous Substances Coordinating Committee exists.There is information about the location of hazardous substance in <strong>Northland</strong> butthe lists are incomplete and not consolidated for the region or mapped.The Environmental Risk <strong>Management</strong> Authority has plans to develop an onlinedatabase of hazardous substance locations across New Zealand.With the increase in the transportation of bulk fuel, the likelihood of a largeincident will increase. The increased use of roads to transport substances willlikely increase the exposure of communities along those roads to risks of anemergency event.<strong>Northland</strong> <strong>Civil</strong> <strong>Defence</strong> <strong>Emergency</strong> <strong>Management</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>, <strong>2010</strong>-2015 Page 83