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Northland Civil Defence Emergency Management Plan, 2010

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Table 13: Infrastructure Failure ScenariosFailure Extent Telecomms Electricity Fuel Gas Transport Water/WastewaterAll or nearlytotal loss ofsupply toregionWould need physicaldamage to 3 Auckland toWhangarei fibres which areon different routes (thoughall go through Warkworth) –would probably need to be alarge volcano or earthquake.Small traffic could be carriedthrough Microwave links.Damage to 220kV linefrom Auckland (orsubstations en route)would cause substantialregional loss of supply.Could occur through anumber of scenarios –flooding/slips, volcanicash, earthquake, etc.Refinery shut-down couldcause major supply losswithin days and would taketime to bring in importedfuel. Could be caused bypower outage, fire, tsunamior prolonged road accessdisruption (nitrogen andstaff get brought in by road).Power outage would alsostop delivery – tankerloading.Damage to pipelinefrom Taranaki ormajor productionsources.Could occur througha number ofscenarios –flooding/slips,volcanic ash,earthquake, etc.Major failure of Te HanaOverbridge caused byearthquake or accident.Slips on Brynderwyn Hill(though there arealternate routes via SH12 and Mangawhai).Tsunami at port.Region-wide power outagegreater than a day could causedisruptions to supply across thewhole region. Most watersupplies have treated reservoirstorage with around 1-2 dayssupply and gravity supply tomost of the town. Mostwastewater pump stationshave a few hours storagebefore overflow.Loss of supplyto large areaLoss of major exchanges inKerikeri, Kensington orWhangarei.Restoration time woulddepend on event – flooddamage could be repaired indays, fire damage could takemonths.Sub-station failure –technological, flooding,earthquake, ash, etc.Power outage causing fuelstations in large area to shutdown.Loss of delivery pointat Whangarei.Puhi Puhi Road(Hikurangi North)flooding.Any bridge north ofWaitaki landing failure –caused by storms,earthquake or accident.Flooding at KawaKawaand SH11 stops accessfurther north withlimited alternate access.With the exception ofWhangarei, most town suppliesrely on a single source, somajor damage to the trunkmain, reservoir, TP, etc couldknock out the whole supply. Anumber of scenarios couldcause this – land slips,contaminated spill into sourcewater, fire, dam collapse, etc.Widespreadlocalisedfailures.High winds / rain / slipscausing multiple damage tocell sites, cables, etc.High winds / rain / slipscausing multiple damageto overhead cables (treesfalling, etc).Unlikely.Length of outage couldaffect other areas due tostorage shortage.Unlikely.Storm causing multipleslips/trees across road.Localised floodingCould be caused by widespreadbut localised power outages(eg: storm events)Region-widerestrictions.Overloading, probably inresponse to some form ofemergency. Companies canrestrict various types of use,eg: txt.Generation shortages (eg:due to drought) or majortransmission failures inNorth Island could lead toneed for planned rollingoutages.Fuel restrictions imposedbecause of a major supplychain failure such asdisruption to crude supply,contamination of product.Damage to pipelinefrom Taranaki ormajor productionsources.Extreme highwinds/driving rain thatmake driving conditionshazardous. Restrictionsplaced on motorcycles/high trucks, etc.Region-wide drought couldrestrict multiple supplies,though some are lessvulnerable than others.<strong>Northland</strong> <strong>Civil</strong> <strong>Defence</strong> <strong>Emergency</strong> <strong>Management</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>, <strong>2010</strong>-2015 Page 82

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