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A Path to Prosperity New Directions for African Livestock

GALVmed Impetus Strategy Paper

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2 Overview<br />

2.1 Agriculture and Food Security<br />

in Africa<br />

Agriculture is vital <strong>for</strong> promoting growth and<br />

reducing poverty in Africa and essential <strong>to</strong> the<br />

achievement of Millennium Development Goals<br />

(MDG). Agriculture currently supports the livelihoods<br />

of 80% of the <strong>African</strong> population, provides<br />

employment <strong>for</strong> about 60% of the economicallyactive<br />

population, and employment <strong>for</strong> about 70<br />

% of the poorest people on the continent 2 .<br />

Development is vital. The human population of<br />

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is approaching 800 million<br />

people 3 and is growing at around 2.2% per annum,<br />

compared <strong>to</strong> the global average of 1%. This fastgrowing<br />

population is becoming increasingly urban,<br />

with the overall share of the population living in<br />

urban areas growing by 1.5% per year; which means<br />

another 1.2 million people in cities next year. This<br />

percentage of urban growth is similar <strong>to</strong> other<br />

developing regions. However, the predicted GDP per<br />

capital growth rate <strong>for</strong> the next 20 years is far lower<br />

<strong>for</strong> SSA, at around 1.6%, compared <strong>to</strong> 4.7% <strong>for</strong> South<br />

Asia and 5.3% <strong>for</strong> East Asia and the Pacific 1 .<br />

Agricultural growth is a proven driver of poverty<br />

reduction. When agriculture stimulates growth in<br />

Africa, the growth is twice as effective in reducing<br />

poverty as growth based in other sec<strong>to</strong>rs. In China,<br />

agriculture-based growth is 3.5 times more effective<br />

in reducing poverty than growth based on other<br />

sec<strong>to</strong>rs. In Latin America, the effectiveness is 2.7<br />

times 4 . Agricultural growth also means greater food<br />

security. Sub-Saharan Africa currently has the<br />

highest proportion of undernourished people in the<br />

world, at 30 % of the population.<br />

At current rates, it is estimated that Africa will be<br />

unable <strong>to</strong> adequately feed half its population by<br />

2015 2 . Agricultural GDP per farmer has over the last<br />

two decades risen by 2% per annum in Asia, nearly<br />

3% in Latin America but less than 1% in Africa. In<br />

Africa farmers have been working harder and more<br />

people have taken up farming, but productivity has<br />

not increased. Most of the growth stems from<br />

increases in the land area under exploitation rather<br />

than from increases in productivity.<br />

Africa is endowed with a wide diversity of<br />

agro-ecological zones. These zones range from the<br />

heavy rain-<strong>for</strong>est vegetation with bi-annual rainfall<br />

<strong>to</strong> relatively sparse, dry and arid vegetation with low<br />

uni-modal rainfall. This diversity is a tremendous<br />

asset, but it also poses a substantial challenge <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>African</strong> agricultural development.<br />

On the one hand, it creates a vast potential with<br />

respect <strong>to</strong> the mix of agricultural commodities<br />

and products which can be produced and marketed<br />

in domestic and external markets. On the other<br />

hand, the diversity implies that there are no universal<br />

solutions <strong>to</strong> agricultural development problems<br />

across the continent. Consequently, any interventions<br />

must be tailored <strong>to</strong> the particular conditions of the<br />

different agro-ecological zones and <strong>to</strong> prevailing<br />

socio-economic conditions of rural households<br />

within individual countries.<br />

Over the last three decades, increases in agricultural<br />

output in Africa have come largely through extending<br />

rain-fed crop cultivation, particularly food crops, on<br />

<strong>to</strong> more and more marginal soils and/or by reducing<br />

traditional fallow periods in cropping cycles.<br />

Under conditions of rapid human population<br />

growth, rural households have been <strong>for</strong>ced <strong>to</strong> adopt<br />

agricultural practices that guarantee their survival.<br />

Un<strong>for</strong>tunately, raising the productivity of crop<br />

enterprises through intensification per unit of land<br />

cultivated – i.e., through increasing crop yields per<br />

hectare – has not been adequately promoted as an<br />

important household food security strategy.<br />

Apart from commercial agriculture which covers a<br />

relatively small share of lives<strong>to</strong>ck crop production,<br />

the use of agricultural inputs – that is, improved<br />

seeds and breeds, animal health, inorganic fertilizers<br />

and pesticides – has been much lower in Africa than<br />

in other parts of the developing world. Inorganic<br />

fertilizer use is often less than 10kg per hectare.<br />

Use of agro-chemicals and/or integrated pest<br />

management techniques <strong>to</strong> deal with plant diseases<br />

and pests is still largely confined <strong>to</strong> export crops 2 .<br />

1 World Bank, World Development Indica<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />

The Impetus Strategy Paper I Page 9

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