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26 HHL RESEARCH REPORT 2012 ECOnOMiCS And REguLATiOn 27<br />

cHair oF MicroeconoMicS<br />

the next economic Boom<br />

will take place in africa<br />

Microeconomics appears to be a collection of models – r<strong>an</strong>ging from simple<br />

optimization <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> market models to subtle attempts to model information <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong><br />

thinking processes, which then infer particip<strong>an</strong>ts‘ behavior according to<br />

game theory solution concepts. The problems that c<strong>an</strong> be <strong>an</strong>alyzed with<br />

micro economic modeling are very diverse: they vary from efficient allocation<br />

of resources <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> the decision making process of execu<strong>tive</strong>s to conflicts <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong><br />

coopera tion in international politics. Prof. Dr. Arnis Vilks‘ research interest<br />

is directed towards questions of b<strong>as</strong>ic philosophical principles of economic<br />

sciences on the one h<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> development economics on the other h<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong>.<br />

“Sierra Leone‘s integration in the global<br />

economy is, in no small part, obstructed<br />

by the ignor<strong>an</strong>ce <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> stereotypes often<br />

found in the ‚developed‘ countries,” says<br />

Prof . Dr . Arnis Vilks . During a research<br />

term Vilks traveled the country for five<br />

weeks . His conclusion: “The next <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong><br />

probably l<strong>as</strong>t economic boom of our<br />

time will take place in Africa .” And still<br />

it is unknown to the broad section of<br />

the public in Germ<strong>an</strong>y that this country,<br />

which until ten years ago w<strong>as</strong> suffering<br />

through a cruel civil war, h<strong>as</strong> developed<br />

into a peaceful, politically stable <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong>, to<br />

a large extent, democratic country with<br />

a low crime rate <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> loads of different<br />

investment opportunities .<br />

Vilks‘ seminar about ethical leadership<br />

w<strong>as</strong> met with wide popularity . For the<br />

four-day long course 23 particip<strong>an</strong>ts had<br />

to be selected from 100 applications to<br />

keep the group at a workable size <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong><br />

not to exceed the limited budget of the<br />

Wittenberg Center for Global Ethics<br />

which fin<strong>an</strong>ced the seminar . “We talked<br />

about globalization, business ethics,<br />

corruption, constitutional legality,<br />

democracy <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> economic development,<br />

<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> the particip<strong>an</strong>ts often discussed<br />

with such <strong>an</strong>imation that it w<strong>as</strong> hard to<br />

follow what w<strong>as</strong> being said,” says Vilks .<br />

The particip<strong>an</strong>ts were junior employees<br />

from economics, politics, science <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong><br />

non-govern mental org<strong>an</strong>izations .<br />

Decent Salaries<br />

There are very m<strong>an</strong>y of the latter in<br />

Sierra Leone‘s capital <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> they are<br />

considered good employers <strong>as</strong> they are<br />

usually fin<strong>an</strong>ced by foreign investors<br />

<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> pay their staff decent salaries .<br />

“Decent” in this context me<strong>an</strong>s that a<br />

coordinator or project leader of such<br />

<strong>an</strong> org<strong>an</strong>ization c<strong>an</strong> earn USD 1000 or<br />

more per month while a police officer,<br />

for example, earns no more th<strong>an</strong> USD<br />

50 per month . The average per capita<br />

income in Sierra Leone converts to USD<br />

300 or USD 760 if the higher purch<strong>as</strong>ing<br />

power of a Dollar is taken into account<br />

in the conversion . So, Sierra Leone‘s<br />

inhabit<strong>an</strong>ts have to m<strong>an</strong>age with <strong>as</strong><br />

much money <strong>an</strong>nually <strong>as</strong> a Hartz-<br />

IV (Germ<strong>an</strong> unemployment benefit)<br />

recipient receives per month .<br />

“It is hardly surprising that we kept<br />

returning to the issue of income in our<br />

seminar,” says Vilks . Particip<strong>an</strong>ts <strong>as</strong>ked<br />

whether the “small” corruption of a police<br />

officer whose salary c<strong>an</strong>not provide<br />

for his family is surprising . Another<br />

discussion topic w<strong>as</strong> the temptation<br />

for corruption of politici<strong>an</strong>s who have<br />

dealings with western colleagues, who<br />

e<strong>as</strong>ily earn ten times <strong>as</strong> much, <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> with<br />

entrepreneurs <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> m<strong>an</strong>agers, who at<br />

times earn a thous<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> times <strong>as</strong> much .<br />

M<strong>an</strong>y young Sierra Leone<strong>an</strong>s are very<br />

committed to the economic <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> social<br />

development of their home country .<br />

A prime example is Ibrahim B<strong>an</strong>gura,<br />

a Ph .D . student of Prof . Dr . Vilks . The<br />

young m<strong>an</strong>, who grew up in Freetown,<br />

graduated from Fourah Bay College –<br />

the oldest University in Western Africa,<br />

founded in 1827 – with a Bachelor in<br />

History <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> Political Science, <strong>as</strong> well <strong>as</strong><br />

a M<strong>as</strong>ters degree in “Gender Studies” .<br />

In 2006, Horst Köhler‘s initia<strong>tive</strong><br />

“Partnership with Africa” brought him<br />

to a big international Africa Conference<br />

in Wittenberg . After returning to<br />

Freetown, he <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> some like-minded<br />

people founded the “International<br />

Hum<strong>an</strong> Rights <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> Rule of Law Training<br />

<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> Research Institute” which since h<strong>as</strong><br />

been training “Peace-Keeping Forces”<br />

for several international org<strong>an</strong>izations,<br />

<strong>as</strong> well <strong>as</strong> police <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> military staff .<br />

“His matter-of-fact but often also<br />

humorous view on Afric<strong>an</strong> mentalities<br />

<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> problems gives re<strong>as</strong>on to hope that<br />

through the commitment of young<br />

execu<strong>tive</strong>s, Sierra Leone c<strong>an</strong> realize<br />

the vision of their president to become<br />

one of the donor countries rather th<strong>an</strong><br />

belong ing to the recipients of international<br />

<strong>as</strong>sist<strong>an</strong>ce within 50 years,” says<br />

Vilks . “There are hardly <strong>an</strong>y re<strong>as</strong>ons why<br />

a long-l<strong>as</strong>ting economic boom like those<br />

in China or the small Asi<strong>an</strong> ‚Tiger‘ countries<br />

should not be possible in Western<br />

Africa . In those countries, the Chinese<br />

<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> Indi<strong>an</strong>s especially – <strong>as</strong> well <strong>as</strong> the<br />

Leb<strong>an</strong>ese – contribute to their countries‘<br />

development by me<strong>an</strong>s of entrepreneurial<br />

activities rather th<strong>an</strong> foreign<br />

aid .” Chinese construction machinery is<br />

everywhere, hardly <strong>an</strong>y from Germ<strong>an</strong>y<br />

is present . It seems <strong>as</strong> if Germ<strong>an</strong> entrepreneurs<br />

would rather accept a lower<br />

return th<strong>an</strong> a higher risk . “The risks here<br />

in Sierra Leone, however, are rather low,”<br />

says Vilks .<br />

Business opportunities<br />

Looking at the endless white beaches,<br />

the Professor for Economics sees opportunities<br />

for investment in tourism,<br />

for example . Mosquitoes which could<br />

spread Malaria hardly exist at those<br />

beaches due to a const<strong>an</strong>t breeze . The<br />

fact that tourism – given the appro priate<br />

conditions – is able to make a large contribution<br />

to economic development c<strong>an</strong><br />

be observed 1000 kilometers northwest<br />

of Sierra Leone: up until 2007, the isl<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong>state<br />

Cabo Verde w<strong>as</strong> one of the “le<strong>as</strong>t<br />

developed countries” but now h<strong>as</strong> a percapita<br />

income (adjusted for purch<strong>as</strong>ing<br />

power) of about USD 3,800 <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> its<br />

infr<strong>as</strong>tructure already looks very similar<br />

to that of the C<strong>an</strong>ary Isl<strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong>s .<br />

Besides tourism, Sierra Leone‘s natural<br />

resources promise lucra<strong>tive</strong> business<br />

fields for investors – diamonds, gold,<br />

bauxite, tit<strong>an</strong>ium <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> iron ore – <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> l<strong>as</strong>t<br />

but not le<strong>as</strong>t, crude oil . Just off Sierra<br />

Leone‘s co<strong>as</strong>t huge fields of crude oil<br />

have been found; drilling rights are<br />

currently being negotiated with international<br />

oil comp<strong>an</strong>ies . According to Prof .<br />

Dr . Vilks, it is more th<strong>an</strong> likely that the<br />

upcoming big investments <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> the public<br />

revenue, which will, in all probability,<br />

incre<strong>as</strong>e considerably from drilling<br />

rights <strong><strong>an</strong>d</strong> taxes, will lead to long-l<strong>as</strong>ting<br />

economic <strong>growth</strong> .<br />

cHair oF<br />

MicroeconoMicS<br />

cHairHolder<br />

Prof. dr. Arnis vilks<br />

core coMpetencieS/<br />

reSearcH intereSt<br />

• philosophical foundations of<br />

economic sciences<br />

• development economics<br />

contact<br />

www.hhl.de/microeconomics

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