CONTENTS
POLITICS-FIRST-SEPT-OCT-2016-FINAL
POLITICS-FIRST-SEPT-OCT-2016-FINAL
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politics first | Diary<br />
118<br />
Brexit: Dave should<br />
have declined<br />
Hague and the<br />
Chicago pizza<br />
A ComRes poll for the Sunday Mirror<br />
showed that 38 per cent of voters thought<br />
Theresa May should face an early General<br />
Election to give her a mandate to govern,<br />
while 46 per cent didn’t. That was<br />
surprising. Ask people if they’d like a say<br />
on anything from corporation tax to capital<br />
punishment and they tend to say they want<br />
their say. But then the same poll gave May<br />
stratospheric approval ratings last seen<br />
when people actually liked Tony Blair. So<br />
she’s clearly enjoying a particularly happy<br />
honeymoon with voters.<br />
The last time this Diary appeared David<br />
Cameron was PM, George Osborne was<br />
Chancellor, Jeremy Corbyn’s shadow<br />
Cabinet hadn’t walked out on him and<br />
Owen Smith was a familiar face only to his<br />
Pontypridd constituents. What a difference<br />
a referendum makes. And how Cameron<br />
must wish he hadn’t been talked into one<br />
by William Hague at a pizza parlour in<br />
Chicago’s O’Hare airport in 2012 on their<br />
way back from Washington. If Labour’s<br />
Clem Attlee or Tory Margaret Thatcher had<br />
been around, they would have told him it<br />
was crackers. They had a low opinion of<br />
referendums, believing them of use only to<br />
fascists. Hitler held four.<br />
To the startled Brexiteers, the result was<br />
a victory for democracy; to Nicola Sturgeon,<br />
democracy was the loser as Scotland<br />
overwhelmingly voted to remain. Now she<br />
has to get around the awkward question of<br />
whether Scots have a democratic right to<br />
stay in the European Union by leaving the<br />
UK when a democratic vote accepted by the<br />
UK applies to Scotland as much as it does<br />
to England, Wales and Northern Ireland.<br />
Good luck with that one, Nic. Or should<br />
the whole UK have a democratic right to<br />
change its mind about Brexit in a second<br />
referendum as Owen Smith proposes? And<br />
if the second result differs from the first,<br />
should it be best of three?<br />
Nigel Nelson<br />
Nelson’s Column<br />
Keeping an eye on The People<br />
In a sense, that is how General<br />
Elections work. Every five years, voters<br />
have the opportunity to say whether<br />
they have changed their minds since<br />
the previous one. Yet as the Liberal<br />
Democrats never tire of pointing<br />
out, our political system is not very<br />
democratic, with the result decided in<br />
100 marginal constituencies. Nick Clegg<br />
put proportional representation to a<br />
referendum in 2011. But when the voters<br />
were offered more democracy, nearly 70<br />
per cent exercised their democratic right<br />
to reject it. I suggested to Clegg during<br />
last year’s General Election campaign<br />
he would have been wiser to wait until<br />
people were more comfortable with<br />
coalition government and he thought I<br />
might have been right. Clearly I wasn’t,<br />
given the Liberal Democrat wipeout only<br />
a few days later.<br />
Strange beast, democracy. It may yet<br />
deliver the White House to Donald Trump<br />
and is already securing power for populist<br />
parties across Europe. Winston Churchill<br />
said: “Democracy is the worst form of<br />
government – except for all the others.”<br />
I tend to agree with that, with the caveat<br />
that even democracy can sometimes get<br />
it wrong. It did with Hitler, and took a<br />
world war to put right. The Democratic<br />
People’s Republic of Korea would appear<br />
to live up to its name. In last year’s ballot,<br />
there was a 99.97 per cent turnout and<br />
they all voted for Kim Jong-un. A test of<br />
democratic legitimacy would be to find<br />
out where the remaining 0.03 per cent<br />
are now.<br />
Theresa May’s mandate to be PM is<br />
0.00045 per cent as she got the job on<br />
the say so of just 199 voters out of an<br />
electorate of 44 million, so Britain is on<br />
sticky ground to talk of leaders being<br />
elected democratically. But that didn’t<br />
stop May turning her Cabinet reshuffle<br />
into a bloodbath and surprising everyone<br />
by making Boris Johnson foreign<br />
secretary. Jeremy Corbyn told me he<br />
gulped in disbelief at the news. Yet the<br />
more I think about it, the more politically<br />
astute it seems. Had Boris stood against<br />
her, he would almost certainly have<br />
forced the Tory leadership contest to a<br />
ballot of members, and quite possibly<br />
won. This way, May keeps her enemy<br />
close, and if Boris does mess up, that<br />
will end him as a threat.<br />
I do hope her promoting Chris Heaton-<br />
Harris to government whip will not stop<br />
his irreverent tweets. A recent offering<br />
was: “The All-Party Parliamentary<br />
Group for Time Travel next meets three<br />
weeks ago.” And May made the Lords<br />
say goodbye to its leader Tina Stowell.<br />
Peers paid tribute to Baroness Stowell by<br />
remembering how she entertained them<br />
with an explanation of same sex marriage<br />
law, which does not recognise adultery<br />
as grounds for divorce if the cheating<br />
occurs with someone of the same gender.<br />
Had she been married to George<br />
Clooney who had sex with a male<br />
peer, she could only divorce him for<br />
unreasonable behaviour. However, if<br />
Mr Clooney then married that peer but<br />
subsequently had sex with ex-wife Tina,<br />
then the cuckold could cite adultery.<br />
Baroness Stowell’s fascination with the<br />
Hollywood heartthrob extends to a lifesized<br />
cutout of him in her office.