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POLITICS-FIRST-SEPT-OCT-2016-FINAL
POLITICS-FIRST-SEPT-OCT-2016-FINAL
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politics first | Spotlight<br />
September / October 2016 | www.politicsfirst.org.uk<br />
Tom Brake<br />
Liberal Democrat Foreign Affairs Spokesman and Liberal Democrat MP for Carshalton and Wallington<br />
Crispin Blunt<br />
Chair of the Foreign Affairs Select Committee and Conservative MP for Reigate<br />
The Foreign and Commonwealth Office has a long standing tradition<br />
within the international community of being one of the premier<br />
diplomatic services. In the past, the FCO has been the mouthpiece<br />
through which Britain has shown leadership in times of turmoil, helping<br />
contribute to the standing of Britain in the global arena. However, the<br />
highly-regarded institution faces major challenges and changes in the<br />
upcoming years.<br />
Brexit has cast a shadow over the department. The creation of the<br />
Department for Exiting the European Union and the Department for<br />
International Trade further chips away at what one former top diplomat<br />
described as the FCO’s fading global reach. Coupled with the cuts in<br />
the last Parliament, and at a time when the Foreign Office is being asked<br />
to take on a greater role in invigorating new trade deals, this means the<br />
department is being stretched to its absolute limits.<br />
In the wake of the recent Brexit vote, there is a widespread view<br />
that top civil servants from various departments within Whitehall will<br />
leave to join the DEEU (or DX, as recently appointed Chief Brexiteer<br />
David Davis likes to call it). That will only contribute to the perception<br />
of the Foreign Office being downgraded, raising questions over how an<br />
institution whose funding is flat-lining and may be about to suffer the<br />
brain-drain of its top civil servants, can be expected to modernise and<br />
evolve to combat complex global issues, such as the refugee crisis,<br />
the rise of Daesh and an expansionist Russia. Indeed, the FCO has set<br />
itself the task of keeping the UK a major player on the world stage,<br />
tackling threats to security and prosperity, protecting British interests,<br />
and upholding British values. Any of those tasks, alone, would be a<br />
challenge, and one has to question which will be given less priority as<br />
we slowly trudge towards eventual Brexit.<br />
This crisis of identity is not ring-fenced within the department, as<br />
undoubtedly the three Brexiteers, namely Boris Johnson, David Davis<br />
and Liam Fox, are likely to clash over not only over who gets the top<br />
talent, but also over their own roles in future negotiations. Questions are<br />
already being raised over who will be in charge, with Davis suggesting<br />
that he will be able to pull rank over the other two Brexiteers, yet in an<br />
official list his role was ranked below the Foreign Secretary in terms<br />
of Cabinet seniority. Those internal feuds will detract from the FCO’s<br />
ability to maintain its position within the global community, as the other<br />
two departments seek to cement their value and status.<br />
An area which will, undoubtedly, take more of a backseat going<br />
forward is the promotion of human rights. This government has happily<br />
dealt with human rights and economic development as separate issues.<br />
They are not. In fact, the two are actually inextricably intertwined. There<br />
are fundamental links between rights’ denial, impoverishment and<br />
conflict, evidenced by the troubled Middle East. Prioritising human<br />
rights, along with economic development, will be key to resolving the<br />
issues within this region. Indeed, Tunisia is lighting the way for others<br />
to follow.<br />
However, if this Government’s track record is anything to go by, it<br />
economic ties will continue to take precedent. That was most clearly<br />
demonstrated in the ex-Chancellor’s recent visit to China, during which<br />
he was described as “the first Western official in recent years who has<br />
stressed more the region’s business potential instead of finding fault<br />
over the human-rights issue.” With Boris Johnson as Foreign Secretary,<br />
it is reasonable to assume that human rights will not move any higher<br />
up the Foreign Secretary’s agenda.<br />
If competition between Brexiteers was not deleterious enough for the<br />
FCO, the cracks within the department have been widening for years.<br />
The UK spends less per head on diplomacy than countries such as the<br />
US, Germany, France, Australia and Canada, all countries that the UK<br />
will want to do trade deals with. Although value for money is important,<br />
services are under constant threat and vital skills are in worryingly short<br />
supply. A report last year noted that only about a quarter, and falling,<br />
of staff in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and Central Asia had the<br />
requisite language skills. That shrinking skill set, coupled with the<br />
possibility of top civil servants being poached by rival departments and<br />
more budget cuts, could truly diminish the role of the FCO.<br />
Brexit does mean Brexit, but the Government must not allow UK<br />
foreign policy to become completely consumed by it. The world has<br />
not stopped spinning because we are planning on leaving the EU, the<br />
war in Syria will not pause for the UK to trigger Article 50, nor will<br />
refugees fleeing war-torn countries miraculously find a home. Chatham<br />
House has suggested that spending 0.2 per cent of GDP on diplomacy<br />
would help cement Britain and the FCO’s position in the world. If the<br />
Government is serious about maintaining Britain’s global standing and<br />
helping solve the issues which plague the world today, more must be<br />
done to protect our most invaluable institution which makes it possible<br />
for the UK to do so. Guaranteeing 0.2 per cent for diplomacy, and fully<br />
committing to the human right agenda, would be a good start.<br />
It is almost a tradition for former senior diplomats to appear before the<br />
Foreign Affairs Committee and inform it, in sorrowful tones, that the<br />
staff are doing their very best but that the Foreign and Commonwealth<br />
Office is not what it once was and is not valued within Government,<br />
that it has been cut to the bone, that diplomatic staff no longer have<br />
the time to find out what is really going on in a country, and that core<br />
skills and knowledge have been allowed to wither. No one could say<br />
that was a picture of an office fit for service; and it is about time we<br />
started listening.<br />
What does “fit for service” actually entail? Our predecessor<br />
Committee set out what the FCO depends upon in order to fulfil its<br />
role. Firstly, it needs a corps of highly competent and motivated staff,<br />
able to gather and analyse information from a wide range of sources<br />
on attitudes to the UK and on threats and opportunities to the UK;<br />
secondly, it needs to be able to command respect amongst opinionformers<br />
in a foreign country and within international institutions, so<br />
that it can carry influence; and thirdly, it needs an effective platform<br />
from which to operate. The machine has to be able to operate fluently<br />
and efficiently.<br />
All of those elements depend, to some extent, on money. If you are<br />
going to recruit the necessary calibre of staff, you should be able to<br />
offer good prospects and good financial incentives. If you are going<br />
to be respected by a host country, you will struggle if your mission<br />
appears understaffed and underpowered by comparison to those of<br />
other first-division countries. And an efficient machine needs regular<br />
investment and maintenance.<br />
Having been a Special Adviser over 20 years ago, my observation<br />
is that the quality of staff is declining. It may be that I was more easily<br />
impressed as a younger man, but undeniably the pressure under which<br />
the staff work has massively increased. The Committee visits overseas<br />
posts regularly as part of its work, and whilst we frequently enjoy the<br />
benefit of the depth of knowledge amongst both UK-based staff and<br />
locally engaged staff, they often seem very stretched. Diplomatic<br />
and negotiating skills are being given greater prominence through<br />
the Diplomatic Academy. Language skills, which were allowed to dip<br />
to unacceptably low levels in recent years, are now showing signs<br />
of recovering; and the network of overseas posts is still numerically<br />
strong. But the posts are weaker: The Diplomatic Service headcount<br />
has much reduced, particularly overseas.<br />
The signs are overt of a department which is struggling to handle<br />
multiple international crises and which is not taking a visible lead in<br />
some of the key trouble spots. Germany marshalled the European<br />
response to events in Ukraine; France is taking the initiative in<br />
Palestine; and there is limited evidence of a distinct UK impact in the<br />
political effort to resolve the situation in Syria. We would also like<br />
to see the UK play more of a part in denying ISIL the funding which<br />
sustains it.<br />
When I became the Committee’s Chair in June 2015, the Spending<br />
Review was looming. In our first report of the Parliament, we set out<br />
how calamitous further cuts would be for the FCO, which had already<br />
been stripped down, and we called for the FCO budget to be protected.<br />
Thankfully, that recommendation was heard, and the settlement was<br />
for funding to be maintained at existing levels in real terms. But the<br />
FCO is going to be more constrained due to the need to make further<br />
efficiency savings of £53 million. More significantly, the proportion of<br />
FCO funding which is assigned to countries which qualify for Official<br />
Development Assistance is set to climb: one witness told us that<br />
“about 73 per cent” of FCO spending would qualify as ODA by 2020.<br />
That suggests a serious imbalance for a Department which is likely,<br />
for instance, to have to reinvest heavily in its bilateral representation in<br />
Europe as a result of the vote to leave the EU.<br />
The FCO is now facing extraordinary demands following the<br />
referendum result. There is, as yet, no clarity about the boundaries<br />
between the FCO and the two new Government departments, for<br />
Exiting the EU and for International Trade. Much of the expertise<br />
which will be needed in managing the withdrawal from the EU and<br />
negotiating new international agreements, will have to be drawn from<br />
the FCO; but what risks being overlooked is the huge diplomatic<br />
effort required to signal the country’s continuing commitment<br />
to an outward-looking, globally engaged foreign policy, and to<br />
mitigate the reputational risk associated with withdrawal. That will<br />
take dedication and professionalism, and the Committee believes<br />
strongly that the Government should increase the funding available<br />
to the FCO commensurate with the enormity of the task. Only then<br />
can we be more confident that the FCO is truly fit for service.<br />
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