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The backdrop to the UK flavoured milk market is one of relentless change. The removal of the EU milk quotas, the transition by emerging economies to a Western-style diet, the upcoming introduction of the ‘sugar tax’ and the booming sports nutrition industry are all aspects of change that create both challenges and opportunities for the UK flavoured milk market. HRA Food and Drink has developed this report as a map to guide industry stakeholders. Although volume growth in 2014 was slightly lower than in previous years, the flavoured milk market still has plenty of room for product innovation in the future.

The backdrop to the UK flavoured milk market is one of relentless change. The removal of the EU milk quotas, the transition by emerging economies to a Western-style diet, the upcoming introduction of the ‘sugar tax’ and the booming sports nutrition industry are all aspects of change that create both challenges and opportunities for the UK flavoured milk market.


HRA Food and Drink has developed this report as a map to guide industry stakeholders. Although volume growth in 2014 was slightly lower than in previous years, the flavoured milk market still has plenty of room for product innovation in the future.

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UK<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong><br />

<strong>Milk</strong><br />

Market<br />

2017<br />

&<br />

Beyond


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

FOOD AND DRINK<br />

UK FLAVOURED MILK 2017 & BEYOND<br />

COMMERCIAL AND CONSUMER RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

All rights reserved, ©Teepee Ltd, t/a HRA Food & Drink: 2016<br />

to 2017<br />

1


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Table of Contents<br />

Foreword 6<br />

Executive summary 8<br />

1. THE FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 11<br />

1.1 The global flavoured milk market 12<br />

1.2 UK dairy trade: exports and imports 13<br />

2. NUTRITIONAL BENEFITS OF MILK 15<br />

2.1 Cow’s milk nutrient content 15<br />

2.2 <strong>Milk</strong> treatment and nutrition 17<br />

2.3 Health benefits of dairy 18<br />

2.3.1 Dairy and infant nutrition 18<br />

2.3.2 <strong>Milk</strong> and health factors 19<br />

3. EVOLUTION OF THE FLAVOURED MILK<br />

20<br />

CATEGORY<br />

3.1 Key trends in flavoured milk innovation 22<br />

3.2 White milk market indicators 23<br />

3.3 <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk market indicators 23<br />

3.4 <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk market segmentation 25<br />

3.5 Own- brand labels in the flavoured milk market 26<br />

3.5.1 Limitations to own-brand development 27<br />

3.5.2 Own-label flavoured milk and sub-categories 27<br />

3.5.3 The future if own-label flavoured milk 28<br />

3.6 Summary 28<br />

4. NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT GUIDANCE 29<br />

4.1 Occasion and usage 29<br />

4.2 Consumer segments 31<br />

4.2.1 Consumer segments: 0-14 years 32<br />

4.2.2 Consumer segments: 15-29 years 34<br />

4.2.3 Consumer segments: 30-44 years 36<br />

4.2.4 Consumer segments: 45-59 years 37<br />

4.2.5 Consumer segments: 60+ years 38<br />

5. ADDING VALUE TO FLAVOURED MILK 40<br />

5.1 Macro food and drink trends 41<br />

5.1.1 Organic 41<br />

5.1.2 Minimal processing and transparent labelling 42<br />

5.1.3 Lactose-free milk 43<br />

5.1.4 Sugar reduction 44<br />

5.1.5 Nutritional benefits 45<br />

5.2 White milk trends 46<br />

5.2.1 Supporting dairy farmers 46<br />

5.2.2 Innovative milk sources 47<br />

5.2.3 White milk NPD 48<br />

5.3 <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk trends 49<br />

5.3.1 Functionality driven NPD 49<br />

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to 2017<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

5.3.2 Flavour driven NPD 51<br />

5.3.3 Formula innovation 53<br />

5.4 Packaging 54<br />

5.4.1 Attitudes towards packaging in the UK 54<br />

5.4.2 Packaging evolution 54<br />

5.4.3 Sports caps 55<br />

6. SEGMENTING FLAVOURED MILK: THE POWER 57<br />

CATEGORIES<br />

6.1 Traditional flavoured milk 58<br />

6.1.1 Traditional flavoured milk case study: Frijj 59<br />

6.1.2 Traditional flavoured milk case study: Yazoo 62<br />

6.2 Functional and sports nutrition milks 64<br />

6.2.1 Human protein requirements 65<br />

6.2.2 Protein over-consumption 65<br />

6.2.3 Sports nutrition drinks & VAT 67<br />

6.2.4 Sports nutrition drinks: key facts 68<br />

6.2.5 Functional milk case study: For Goodness Shakes 71<br />

6.2.6 Functional milk case study: Dunn’s River Nurishment 73<br />

6.3 Coffee milk 75<br />

6.3.1 Coffee flavoured milk case study: Starbucks 76<br />

6.3.2 Coffee flavoured milk case study: Emmi CAFFE LATTE 79<br />

6.4 Confectionery and dessert flavoured milk 80<br />

6.4.1 Confectionery milk case study: Mars 82<br />

6.4.2 Confectionery milk case study: Gu 84<br />

6.5 Breakfast ready-to-drink flavoured milk 85<br />

6.5.1 Breakfast milk case study: Weetabix On-the-go 86<br />

6.5.2 Breakfast milk case study: Fuel 10k 88<br />

6.6 Alternative flavoured milk 89<br />

6.6.1 Comparing dairy alternatives 91<br />

6.6.2 Alternative flavoured milk case study: Alpro 93<br />

6.63 Alternative flavoured milk case study: Blue Diamond 96<br />

6.7 Summary 98<br />

7 MERCHANDISING AND PRICING 99<br />

7.1 Tesco 100<br />

7.1.1 Tesco chilled dairy aisle 100<br />

7.1.2 Tesco chilled protein aisle 101<br />

7.1.3 Tesco ambient cereal aisle 102<br />

7.1.4 Tesco traditional flavoured milk pricing 2016 103<br />

7.1.5 Tesco coffee and breakfast milk pricing 2016 104<br />

7.1.6 Tesco functional and protein flavoured milk pricing 2016 105<br />

7.1.7 Tesco confectionery and alternative flavoured milk<br />

106<br />

pricing 2016<br />

7.2 Sainsbury’s 107<br />

7.2.1 Sainsbury’s chilled dairy aisle 107<br />

7.2.2 Sainsbury’s cereal aisle 108<br />

7.2.3 Sainsbury’s ambient functional food aisle 109<br />

7.2.4 Sainsbury’s ambient milk aisle 110<br />

7.2.5 Sainsbury’s traditional flavoured milk pricing 2016 111<br />

7.2.6 Sainsbury’s coffee and breakfast milk pricing 2016 112<br />

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to 2017<br />

3


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

7.2.7 Sainsbury’s functional and protein flavoured milk pricing 113<br />

2016<br />

7.2.8 Sainsbury’s confectionery and alternative flavoured milk 114<br />

pricing 2016<br />

7.3 ASDA 115<br />

7.3.1 ASDA chilled dairy aisle 115<br />

7.3.2 ASDA cereal aisle 116<br />

7.3.3 ASDA ambient dairy and alternative aisle 117<br />

7.3.4 ASDA traditional flavoured milk pricing 2016 118<br />

7.3.5 ASDA coffee and breakfast milk pricing 2016 119<br />

7.3.6 ASDA functional and protein flavoured milk pricing 2016 120<br />

7.3.7 ASDA confectionery and alternative flavoured milk pricing 121<br />

2016<br />

7.4 Morrisons 122<br />

7.4.1 Morrisons chilled dairy aisle 122<br />

7.4.2 Morrisons ambient milk aisle 123<br />

7.4.3 Morrisons traditional flavoured milk pricing 2016 124<br />

7.4.4 Morrisons coffee and breakfast milk pricing 2016 125<br />

7.4.5 Morrisons functional and protein flavoured milk pricing 126<br />

2016<br />

7.4.6 Morrisons confectionery and alternative flavoured milk 127<br />

pricing 2016<br />

7.5 Waitrose 128<br />

7.5.1 Waitrose chilled dairy aisle 128<br />

7.5.2 Waitrose cereal aisle 129<br />

7.5.3 Waitrose ambient milk aisle 130<br />

7.5.4 Waitrose traditional flavoured milk pricing 2016 131<br />

7.5.5 Waitrose coffee and breakfast milk pricing 2016 132<br />

7.5.6 Waitrose functional and protein flavoured milk pricing<br />

133<br />

2016<br />

7.5.7 Waitrose confectionery and alternative flavoured milk<br />

134<br />

pricing 2016<br />

7.6 The Co-operative 135<br />

7.6.1 Co-op chilled dairy aisle 135<br />

7.6.2 Co-op chilled on-the-go drinks aisle 136<br />

8. THE FUTURE OF THE FLAVOURED MILK<br />

137<br />

MARKET<br />

8.1 UK sugar tax 139<br />

8.2 History of sugar and flavoured milk (1933-2016) 140<br />

8.3 Sugar debate in the UK 141<br />

8.4 Current UK sugar consumption 142<br />

8.4.1 Historic consumption of NMES in the UK 142<br />

8.4.2 NMES by gender and age group 143<br />

8.4.3 Sources of NMES by age group 143<br />

8.5 Comparative sugar content of sweetened drinks 144<br />

8.5.1 <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk sugar content 146<br />

8.6 Public health policies 147<br />

8.7 Arguments for and against the sugar tax 148<br />

8.8 Evaluating the sugar tax 149<br />

8.9 Effect of sugar tax on flavoured milk 150<br />

8.9.1 Alternative sweeteners 150<br />

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to 2017<br />

4


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

8.9.2 Moves towards reduced-sugar products 151<br />

8.9.3 Case study: Frijj reduced sugar 152<br />

8.10 Removal of EU milk quotas 152<br />

8.11 Abolition of China’s one-child policy 154<br />

8.12 Environmental concerns and carbon tax 155<br />

8.13 UK exit from the European Union 156<br />

8.14 Supporting British farmers 158<br />

8.15 Ageing population 159<br />

8.16 Hectic lifestyles 161<br />

8.17 Adult flavours 162<br />

8.18 Development of innovative sweeteners 163<br />

8.19 Lack of UK co-packers 165<br />

8.20 Future considerations for flavoured milk brands 166<br />

9 CONCLUSIONS 162<br />

9.1 SWOT analysis 163<br />

9.2 Closing remarks 164<br />

All rights reserved, ©Teepee Ltd, t/a HRA Food & Drink: 2016<br />

to 2017<br />

5


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

FOREWORD<br />

The backdrop to the UK flavoured milk market is<br />

one of relentless change. The removal of the EU<br />

milk quotas, the transition by emerging economies<br />

to a Western-style diet, the upcoming introduction<br />

of the ‘sugar tax’ and the booming sports nutrition<br />

industry are all aspects of change that create both<br />

challenges and opportunities for the UK flavoured<br />

milk market.<br />

Hamish Renton<br />

HRA Food and Drink<br />

HRA Food and Drink has developed this report as a map to guide industry<br />

stakeholders. Although volume growth in 2014 was slightly lower than in<br />

previous years, the flavoured milk market still has plenty of room for product<br />

innovation in the future.<br />

Overall, we expect the UK flavoured milk market to continue to grow over the<br />

medium term, but not without improving its nutritional profile. The sugar<br />

debate reached new heights when, in March 2016, the chancellor George<br />

Osborne announced a sugar tax on sweetened drinks which will come into<br />

force in 2018. As a consequence, product reformulation has become a priority<br />

for all serious players in the market.<br />

It is also the time when many players are exploring new demographics and<br />

developing flavoured milk propositions for more mature audiences than the<br />

category has traditionally served. The UK National Office for Statistics predicts<br />

the 30-44 years demographic to grow rapidly over the next decade. With<br />

flavoured milk mostly currently consumed by those under 45 years of age, the<br />

study of this older segment is fundamental: functional drinks with clear benefit<br />

differentiation are key.<br />

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to 2017<br />

6


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

With age, health rises as a priority for consumers and so does purchasing<br />

power. Almost one in every five adults in the UK is 65 or over. High-protein<br />

flavoured milk, often priced at a premium, is set to continue its growth by<br />

developing propositions for this demographic.<br />

At HRA Food and Drink, we believe growth needs to be consumer-driven,<br />

rather than products being pushed by manufacturers and processors.<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong> milk is fundamentally an on-the-go drink; therefore, special attention<br />

should be paid to consumer lifestyles in order to understand how to integrate<br />

a different range of milk products into shoppers’ daily routines:<br />

Point of sale, flavouring, packaging, and nutritional profile are all important<br />

aspects of the category proposition that can be adapted and improved to fuel<br />

consumer-driven growth within UK flavoured milk.<br />

We believe that the flavoured milk market is an area of exciting opportunity<br />

and innovation, and hope this report illustrates how the industry may move<br />

forward into the future.<br />

All rights reserved, ©Teepee Ltd, t/a HRA Food & Drink: 2016<br />

to 2017<br />

7


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

The purpose of this report is to deliver up-to-date insights on the UK flavoured<br />

milk market from a consumer-centric growth perspective. The insights<br />

generated throughout the report are directed towards existing players, new<br />

entrants, analysts and investors in the flavoured milk industry.<br />

This document will serve as a tool for strategic planning to help increase<br />

market share, or to understand where market share is heading.<br />

• Chapter 1: <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk market.<br />

- Globally, the value of the flavoured milk market grew between 2010-<br />

15<br />

- Regions such as South East Asia and Latin America are leading<br />

demand.<br />

- Ambient flavoured milk is overtaking chilled in popularity<br />

- 90% of all the UK’s milk exports are destined for the EU, worth<br />

£263m in 2014.<br />

• Chapter 2: Nutritional benefits of milk<br />

- Consumers are becoming increasingly health conscious<br />

- <strong>Milk</strong> is high in protein, calcium, vitamins and minerals.<br />

- Globally, milk contributes around 14% of dietary protein intake<br />

- <strong>Milk</strong> is beneficial for a variety of health factors including bone,<br />

tooth, cardiovascular and metabolic health<br />

• Chapter 3: Evolution of the flavoured milk category<br />

- There are several NPD trends including the rise of functional and<br />

coffee drinks, a broadening consumer base and targeted<br />

packaging,<br />

All rights reserved, ©Teepee Ltd, t/a HRA Food & Drink: 2016<br />

to 2017<br />

8


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

- The flavoured milk market can be split into 6 categories: traditional,<br />

functional, coffee, confectionery, breakfast and alternative<br />

flavoured milks<br />

- Innovation is starting to be seen in own-label products<br />

• Chapter 4: NPD Guidance<br />

- The UK’s population is skewing towards an older demographic<br />

- Different consumer segments enjoy different flavoured milk<br />

products<br />

- NPD should address the needs of different consumer segments<br />

• Chapter 5: Adding value to flavoured milk<br />

- There are trends affecting all areas of the flavoured milk industry,<br />

including macro food and drink, white milk and flavoured milk<br />

trends.<br />

- This chapter considers how the industry is responding to these<br />

trends.<br />

- Packaging affects consumer reactions to flavoured milk.<br />

• Chapter 6: Segmenting flavoured milk- the power categories<br />

- This chapter explores different brands within the traditional,<br />

functional, coffee, confectionery, breakfast and alternative flavoured<br />

milks categories.<br />

- Market behaviour, key figures, packaging evolution and advertising<br />

history are also considered<br />

• Chapter 7: Merchandising and pricing<br />

- This chapter illustrates the positioning of different flavoured milk<br />

products within main retail outlets.<br />

- In-depth pricings of different products are also provided<br />

All rights reserved, ©Teepee Ltd, t/a HRA Food & Drink: 2016<br />

to 2017<br />

9


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• Chapter 8: The future of the flavoured milk market<br />

- There are a range of political, technological, social and<br />

environmental factors affecting the future of flavoured milk.<br />

- The sugar tax, set to be implemented in 2018, does not affect<br />

flavoured milk directly but sends signals to the industry to reduce<br />

sugar use.<br />

- It is uncertain how the UK’s exit from the European Union will affect<br />

the flavoured milk market.<br />

- An ageing population means the industry should be thinking about<br />

tapping into new consumer segments.<br />

• Chapter 9: Conclusions & HRA predictions<br />

- <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk should develop products for adults and older<br />

generations<br />

- NPD with reduced sugar and health boosting ingredients is key<br />

- Opportunity for brands to use packaging to target consumer<br />

segments<br />

- Own-brand products expected to enter the breakfast milk market.<br />

All rights reserved, ©Teepee Ltd, t/a HRA Food & Drink: 2016<br />

to 2017<br />

10


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

1. THE FLAVOURED MILK MARKET<br />

This chapter provides a global view of the flavoured milk market. <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk<br />

can be defined as:<br />

Products with liquid milk as the main ingredient, which have been processed by<br />

adding other ingredients such as sugar, colouring and flavours.<br />

By our definition, flavoured milk excludes dairy products that contain live<br />

bacterial cultures and yoghurts. Although most flavoured milk products<br />

included in this report are dairy based, there is a wide range of dairy free milks<br />

made from plant-based alternatives such as soya, oats and almond milk.<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong> milk is available in two main forms, which influences it’s placement<br />

within a retail setting:<br />

Chilled<br />

Product which is usually fresh<br />

and is confined to the chiller<br />

fixture. It is typically placed in<br />

store above white milk and sold<br />

as a value added tier.<br />

Ambient<br />

Usually ESL or UHT*. Depending<br />

on category products can be found<br />

in ambient grocery, cereals or<br />

lunch deal areas, or even in special<br />

sports nutrition sections.<br />

*ESL refers to ‘extended shelf life’ milk products. UHT refers to milk products which have<br />

been processed through ‘ultra-high temperatures’<br />

We have identified six groups of flavoured milk, which we have named the<br />

‘Power Categories’: traditional, functional, coffee, confectionery, breakfast<br />

and alternative. Chapter 6 provides a complete description of each Power<br />

Category, in addition to reporting on leading brands in the flavoured milk<br />

market, product innovations and new flavours available.<br />

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to 2017<br />

11


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

1.1 The global flavoured milk market<br />

Globally, between 2010 and 2015, the value of flavoured milk grew every year.<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong> milk is now consumed in every continent of the world, and is the most<br />

consumed liquid dairy product after white milk.<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong><br />

milk is least<br />

favoured in<br />

Eastern Europe<br />

Asia consumes<br />

more than half of<br />

the worlds’<br />

flavoured<br />

milk<br />

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Regions<br />

such as South<br />

America and South<br />

East Asia are driving<br />

demand<br />

Mature markets<br />

in N. America and<br />

Europe consume a<br />

fifth of global<br />

flavoured milk<br />

supply<br />

Source: Tetrapak.com<br />

Asian markets are core consumers and their preferred product format is ambient<br />

products. Ambient/UHT flavoured milk has become more popular than chilled.<br />

In 2015, this category grew to occupy half of flavoured milk consumption<br />

globally.<br />

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12


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

The preference for ambient flavoured milk is most dominant in China where<br />

flavoured milk is offered in on-the-go formats. There are various reasons for<br />

this but ambient products suit a longer supply chain and offer longer shelf life.<br />

This reflects the general white milk trend, where ambient is more popular than<br />

fresh in China.<br />

1.2 UK dairy trade: exports & imports<br />

The majority of UK dairy exports comprise of milk and cream (see fig 1.2 & 1.3).<br />

This is in part due to liquid milk and cream from Northern Ireland going to the<br />

Republic of Ireland for processing and re-export. Exports of milk and cream are<br />

particularly high within the EU. Of total UK milk and cream exports, over 90% is<br />

destined for within the EU.<br />

The UK imports negligible volumes of dairy products from outside of the EU.<br />

Non-EU imports only account for around 0.7% of total UK dairy imports, as<br />

shipping costs make this an expensive option. <strong>Milk</strong> and cream imports from<br />

within the EU are considerably higher, making up 76% of total dairy imported.<br />

In real terms, the value of UK<br />

UK milk and cream imports and exports<br />

milk and cream imports has 350<br />

increased significantly,<br />

increasing from £45m in 2005 to<br />

£135m in 2014. The value of UK<br />

milk and cream exports are<br />

much higher than that of<br />

imports, but have only<br />

experienced £50m growth since<br />

2005, to £263m in 2014.<br />

Real value (£ million)<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

To view please<br />

150<br />

purchase full report<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

2014<br />

2013<br />

2012<br />

2011<br />

2010<br />

2009<br />

2008<br />

2007<br />

2006<br />

2005<br />

Imports Exports<br />

Figure 1.1: UK milk and cream imports and exports<br />

over time (Defra 2016)<br />

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13


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Composition of exports outside EU<br />

Cheese & curd<br />

23%<br />

Butter<br />

5%<br />

Whey<br />

6%<br />

Yoghurt<br />

1%<br />

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<strong>Milk</strong> & Cream<br />

64%<br />

Buttermilk,<br />

curdled milk &<br />

cream<br />

1%<br />

Figure 1.2: Composition of UK dairy exports to countries outside of EU, 2016<br />

(UK Trade Info)<br />

Composition of exports within EU<br />

Cheese & curd<br />

12%<br />

Yoghurt<br />

2%<br />

Buttermilk,<br />

curdled milk &<br />

cream<br />

1%<br />

Butter<br />

4%<br />

Whey<br />

5%<br />

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<strong>Milk</strong> & Cream<br />

76%<br />

Figure 1.3: Composition of UK dairy exports to countries inside of EU, 2016<br />

(UK Trade Info)<br />

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14


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

2. NUTRITIONAL BENEFITS OF MILK<br />

Consumers are becoming increasingly health concious, and this is translating<br />

into eating habit and purchase choices. It is becoming increasingly important<br />

for manufacturers and retailers to understand the nutrient content and health<br />

benefits of their products in order to accuratly communicate these to<br />

consumers.<br />

2.1 Cows’ milk nutrient content<br />

Cows’ milk is high in<br />

protein, calcium &<br />

phosphorus. This protein<br />

contains many beneficial<br />

amino acids.<br />

<strong>Milk</strong>s’ main carbohydrate is<br />

lactose, which helps<br />

assimilation of calcium,<br />

magnesium, phosphorus<br />

and vitamin A.<br />

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Cows’ milk contains more<br />

saturated fat than human<br />

milk, with a high proportion<br />

of omega-9 fatty acids.<br />

<strong>Milk</strong> is a good source of<br />

calcium, zinc, copper,<br />

vitamin A & D, niacin and<br />

folate.<br />

Source: UN Food and Agriculture Association (2013)<br />

Dairy has long been thought to be a vital part of human nutrition, which is a<br />

view held and communicated by organisations such as the Agricultural<br />

Horticulture and Dairy Board (AHDB) and the National Farmers Union (NFU).<br />

The following tables shows how milk contributes to the recommended daily<br />

allowance (RDA) of different vitamins and minerals in adults.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Mineral (mg) Amount Daily requirement RDA*<br />

Calcium 120 2500 5%<br />

Iron 0.2 45 0%<br />

Magnesium 11 350 3%<br />

Phosphorus 95 4000 2%<br />

Sodium 45 2300 2%<br />

Zinc 0.4 40 1%<br />

Copper 0 10000 0%<br />

Selenium (µg) 3.7 400 1%<br />

Manganese (µg) 10 2300 0%<br />

Vitamins<br />

Vitamin A (µg) 46 3000 2%<br />

Niacin (mg) 0.2 35 1%<br />

Vitamin B6 (mg) 0.06 100 0%<br />

Folate (µg) 8 1000 1%<br />

Vitamin C (mg) 2 2000 0%<br />

Vitamin D (µg) 0.3 50 1%<br />

Figure 2.1: Vitamin and mineral content of cows’ milk per 100ml, in relation to the<br />

recommended daily allowance for adult ages 13-70. * RDA- Recommended Daily<br />

Allowance (FAO 2013)<br />

From figure 2.1 it is evident that milk is a source of a wide variety of vital<br />

vitamins and minerals. A standard glass of milk is around 250ml, meaning a<br />

single serving can give over 12% of the RDA of calcium, 6% of magnesium<br />

and 6% of vitamin A.<br />

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Semi<br />

skimmed<br />

milk<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong><br />

<strong>Milk</strong><br />

Thick<br />

milkshake<br />

Tropicana<br />

orange<br />

juice<br />

Cocacola<br />

Substance<br />

(mg)<br />

Energy (kcal) 47 66 88 48 43<br />

Protein 3.6 3.7 3.7 0.8 0.8<br />

Carbohydrate 4.8 9.9 15.3 10 10.6<br />

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4.8 9.2 11.1 10 10.6<br />

sugars<br />

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Fat 1.8 1.5 1.8 0 0<br />

Fibre 0 0 Trace 0.7 0<br />

Vitamin C 2 Trace 1 59 0<br />

Folate (µg) 9 2 4 36 0<br />

Figure 2.2: Nutritional composition of different liquids per 100ml (Dairy Council<br />

2002)<br />

While flavoured milk may be a high calorie option compared to some<br />

alternative soft drinks, in comparison to sugary carbonated drinks and orange<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

juice, it is often the lower sugar option. It is also the option containing the<br />

highest level of protein and fat, meaning it is also the most satiating option.<br />

2.2 <strong>Milk</strong> treatment and nutrition<br />

Cows’ milk frequently undergoes three kinds of heat treatment to extend it’s<br />

shelf life:<br />

Sterilisation<br />

<strong>Milk</strong> heated at temperatures above 100ºC to<br />

eliminate micro-organisms.<br />

Ultra High<br />

Temperature (UHT)<br />

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<strong>Milk</strong> heated to 138ºC for 2-3 second in a closed<br />

system.<br />

Pasteurisation<br />

<strong>Milk</strong> heated to 74ºC for 15-20 minutes before<br />

cooling and packing.<br />

Figure 2.3: Different heat treatments in cows’ milk processing (FAO 2013)<br />

Heat treatments are used to eliminate micro-organisms from liquid milk,<br />

meaning it has a longer shelf life. However, heat treatments have a negative<br />

effect on nutrients (see figure 2.4):<br />

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Figure 2.4: Different heat treatments and associated vitamin loss in cows’ milk (FAO<br />

2013 pp. 72)<br />

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• Sterilisation causes the biggest nutrient loss, eliminating most vitamins, in<br />

particular vitamin B12.<br />

• UHT produces the biggest loss of vitamin C<br />

• Pasteurisation retains the most vitamins, losing only up to 20% of vitamins.<br />

There has been growing interest in intermediate temperature regimes which<br />

offer more shelf life than fresh milk, but less vitamin loss than heat treatments.<br />

This technology is called Extended Shelf Life (ESL) and can deliver shelf life<br />

of typically between 21 and 56 days from the date of production.<br />

2.3 Health benefits of dairy<br />

As a global average, milk contributed 35g of carbohydrates (14% RDA) 6g<br />

protein (10% RDA) and 7.3% fat (15% RDA) to a person’s daily diet (FAO<br />

2013)<br />

• <strong>Milk</strong> contributes 8-10% of protein in Europe, Oceania and the<br />

America’s<br />

• Dairy contributes 8-15% of fat in Europe, Oceania, the Americas and<br />

Africa (FAO 2013)<br />

2.3.1 Dairy and infant development<br />

• Nutrition in the first years of life is fundamental to later health, with<br />

malnutrition linked to impaired cognitive development.<br />

• Evidence suggests that a diet containing at least one glass of milk (250ml)<br />

can provide 25-33% of protein requirements in children from 1 to 5 years<br />

of age and have a positive impact on weight gain and growth.<br />

• In developed countries, milk is used in programs intended to address<br />

malnutrition.<br />

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2.3.2 <strong>Milk</strong> and health factors<br />

Bone Health<br />

Oral health<br />

The IGF-1 protein in milk<br />

aids assimilation of amino<br />

acids into the body,<br />

contributing to bone<br />

formation. Diets low in dairy<br />

are linked to increased risk<br />

of osteoporosis, and bone<br />

fractures in children.<br />

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Evidence suggests that milk<br />

consumption may prevent<br />

tooth cavities. High levels of<br />

calcium and phosphate in<br />

milk contribute to stronger<br />

enamel, offering more<br />

protection against tooth<br />

damage.<br />

Weight control<br />

Metabolic Syndrome<br />

There is evidence that high<br />

protein diets could<br />

contribute towards weight<br />

loss and decreased body<br />

fat. This could be due to a<br />

possible increase in body<br />

temperature, and an<br />

increased feeling of satiety.<br />

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Metabolic syndrome refers<br />

to metabolic irregularities<br />

including obesity,<br />

hypertension and high<br />

triglycerides (HDL). High<br />

dairy diets have been<br />

associated with lower levels<br />

of some elements of<br />

metabolic syndrome.<br />

Cardiovascular disease<br />

Although there is no clear<br />

scientific consensus, there<br />

are certain studies that<br />

point to a relationship<br />

between fermented milk<br />

and decreased risk of<br />

cardiovascular disease.<br />

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Cancer prevention<br />

Calcium, provided by milk,<br />

is thought to reduce the risk<br />

of colorectal cancer. In<br />

addition, milk and dairy<br />

consumption has been<br />

linked to a reduction of risk<br />

of bladder cancer.<br />

Source: FAO 2013<br />

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3. EVOLUTION OF THE FLAVOURED MILK<br />

CATEGORY<br />

It is important to understand the historic behaviour of the UK flavoured milk<br />

market in order to put the current situation into context. <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk sales<br />

have shown an overall positive compound annual growth rate since 2009,<br />

one of relatively few categories in the grocery industry to exhibit sustained<br />

value growth. This growth has come at a price, with a pattern of heavilydiscounted<br />

promotions weakening brand loyalty. The high growth has also<br />

attracted a variety of new entrants into the category, which has in turn, driven<br />

innovation and widened consumer choice.<br />

In contrast, the market value of white milk has declined. This is due to a variety<br />

of factors, including a Russian import ban on EU dairy products and the<br />

abolition of EU milk quotas. Both have served to increase supply higher than<br />

demand, leading to a depression of milk prices. Another significant factor is<br />

price competition between supermarkets and large milk-buying cooperatives.<br />

This chapter summarises recent flavoured milk product launches. In the past<br />

five years, every year has seen an increase in the variety of flavoured milk<br />

products launched into the market. This growth in ‘new product development’<br />

(NPD) reflects increased consumer demand but also represents movements<br />

within the dairy industry, including:<br />

• the need for dairies to develop value-added milk products to make use<br />

of increased white milk production;<br />

• an increase in brands needing to differentiate themselves from<br />

competitor products;<br />

• technological advances.<br />

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Figure 3.1: NPD in the flavoured milk sector, 2010-2016<br />

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3.1 Key trends in flavoured milk innovation<br />

Coffee<br />

flavours<br />

Broader<br />

consumer<br />

Broader<br />

consumer<br />

base<br />

base<br />

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Functional<br />

drinks<br />

Targeted<br />

packaging<br />

Rapid<br />

growth<br />

Limited<br />

own label<br />

innovation<br />

Figure 3.2: NPD trends in the flavoured milk market<br />

• Brands broadening their target consumer base: Figure 3.1 illustrates the<br />

increasing number of flavoured milk brands, suggesting many companies<br />

are trying to deliver products to multiple customer segments. For example,<br />

Arla has a product in almost every sub-category of flavoured milk,<br />

including: traditional and functional flavoured milks, coffee, lactose-free<br />

and sugar-reduced variants.<br />

• Coffee flavours are on the rise: Coffee is an increasingly popular flavour.<br />

Starbucks by Arla, Caffé Latte by Emmi and even dairy-alternative milk<br />

producers like Blue Diamond, Alpro and VitaCoco, have developed coffee<br />

flavoured propositions.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• Functional drinks are becoming mainstream: Another notable trend is<br />

functional drinks - a category that once belonged to a relatively niche group<br />

of consumers made up primarily of athletes and weight lifters, is now<br />

becoming increasingly mainstream. <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk products high in protein<br />

are becoming increasingly merchandised alongside traditional flavoured<br />

milks.<br />

• Targeted packaging: Figure 3.1 demonstrates that the development of<br />

flavoured milk products is not only about producing new recipes, but is<br />

also about creating attractive and convenient packaging that adapts to the<br />

consumer's needs and appeals to their aspirations.<br />

• Rapid growth: As flavoured milk is a fast growing sector, brands are able<br />

to launch into several distribution channels at once, thus bringing scale to<br />

what is initially a niche proposition. This dynamic explains how quickly<br />

propositions like coconut and protein milk have grown so rapidly.<br />

3.2 White milk market indicators<br />

• Since 2009, historic value sales of white milk have been showing an<br />

overall negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR), meaning that<br />

white milk value sales are trending downwards.<br />

• In terms of volume sales, white milk has presented almost no CAGR, with<br />

sales remaining almost constant.<br />

• In contrast, over the past five years, flavoured milk has shown a positive<br />

value and volume CAGR.<br />

3.3 <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk market indicators<br />

As previously mentioned, flavoured milk has shown a positive value and<br />

volume CAGR.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Volume sales have been strong in the UK, having grown by around a quarter<br />

over the last five years. Over the past five years, flavoured milk value sales<br />

have been growing at a faster rate than volume sales, implying growth in added<br />

value products.<br />

Despite growth in volume sales, consumers are seeming to opt for lower<br />

quantities of products priced at a premium. UK consumers seem to prefer a<br />

single serve product that is tailored to their needs instead of several units or a<br />

larger volume of a less-specific or lower-quality product.<br />

Not all products in the flavoured milk category should be considered the same<br />

way. In the standard flavoured milk segment for example, discounting has<br />

typically been more intensive than in other areas such as protein drinks.<br />

• Value sales on the rise<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong><br />

milk market<br />

White<br />

milk<br />

market<br />

• Volume sales rising<br />

• Opportunity for market growth<br />

• Regular promotional discounts<br />

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• Value sales trending downwards<br />

• Volume sales seeing slight rise<br />

• Difficult to increase sales due to high<br />

market penetration<br />

• Heavy long-term discounting<br />

Figure 3.3: Comparing indicators in the flavoured milk and white milk markets<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

3.4 <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk market segmentation<br />

The flavoured milk sector can be split into six different sub-categories,<br />

depending on their composition and intending use:<br />

Traditional<br />

Occupies almost half of the entire flavoured milk<br />

offering, and centres around traditional flavours such<br />

as vanilla, chocolate and strawberry.<br />

Functional<br />

Occupies an estimated quarter of the market.<br />

These target the health conscious consumer with<br />

specific claims around nutrition and wellbeing.<br />

Coffee<br />

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Third most popular category. Almost all other<br />

categories are including coffee in their range<br />

since the segment is seeing strong performance.<br />

Confectionery<br />

Often offered as an indulgent treat due to the<br />

sweet and rich flavours. These products make.<br />

up an estimated tenth of the sector.<br />

Breakfast<br />

Breakfast and dairy-alternative flavoured milks only<br />

occupy a small sector of the market, but both are a<br />

fast growth area.<br />

Figure 3.4: <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk sub-categories<br />

Although the sub-categories are presented in figure 3.4 as mutually exclusive,<br />

they are not necessarily so. Increasingly, more products are converging and<br />

breaking out of their sub-category and more boundaries are blurring.<br />

We estimated the proportion that each of the six different flavoured milk<br />

categories represent of the entire flavoured milk market. The percentages next<br />

to each category show our model of how much each sub-segment accounts<br />

for of the whole flavoured milk category<br />

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Figure 3.5: Schematics diagram of commonly known brands as a visual guide within<br />

each category<br />

3.5 Own-brand labels in the flavoured milk market<br />

The UK's main retailers (Tesco, Sainsbury's, ASDA, Morrisons & Co-op) all<br />

offer their own flavoured milks at a more competitive price than branded<br />

offerings.<br />

Own-label flavoured milk shares broadly track the share that retailers have in<br />

the total grocery sector. For example, Tesco’s own-brand flavoured milk<br />

offering is worth more than that of other retailers. As the category matures,<br />

there is a tendency for this effect to become more pronounced.<br />

Sainsbury's flavoured milk offering has remained constant in the past three<br />

years and the same can be said for ASDA and Morrisons.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

3.5.1 Limitations to own-brand development<br />

Whilst retailers have well-developed liquid milk supplies for flavoured milk<br />

production, a lack of bottling facilities has acted to restrain own-label growth.<br />

This is a particular constraint on the ability to develop UHT products, which<br />

are usually manufactured on the continent due to the lack of capability on the<br />

UK mainland.<br />

As parts of the sub category mature the development of own-brand flavoured<br />

milk is more likely. At the present evolution in the market, brands have a clear<br />

‘breathing space’ before significant amounts of own-label propositions<br />

emerge. Image and appeal is important to consumers in the category and<br />

brands appeal to this aesthetic more. Some sub-categories, such as<br />

specialised functional milks, seem more suited to brands. However, categories<br />

such as traditional flavoured milk are more open to own-label propositions.<br />

3.5.2. Own-label flavoured milk and sub-categories<br />

Traditional<br />

Most own-label flavoured milk is focuses on<br />

traditional flavours.<br />

Functional<br />

Absence of own-label products within this<br />

category, where branding is seen as important.<br />

Coffee<br />

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All main retailers have developed their own<br />

coffee drink products.<br />

Confectionery<br />

Growing own-label presence in this category<br />

with luxury flavours entering the market.<br />

Breakfast<br />

Fairly new category, supermarkets have yet to<br />

enter with their own products.<br />

Figure 3.6: Own-label presence in flavoured milk sub-categories<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

3.5.3 The future of own label flavoured milk<br />

Once sub categories have matured, own label is more likely. For now, in<br />

categories such as breakfast drinks and sports nutrition, brands have a clear<br />

‘breathing space’ before the own label volumes grow.<br />

Own-label is currently best suited at targeting a broad consumer base, such<br />

as traditional flavoured milk consumers. Brands who have the capacity to<br />

innovate for a specialist audience are able to develop value added categories,<br />

although this is likely to change as the flavoured milk sector evolves.<br />

3.6 Summary<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong> milk continues to grow in value and volume<br />

• <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk growth surpassed white milk growth in value and volume.<br />

• The sectors value growth is stronger than volume growth.<br />

• Discounting by brands is reducing loyalty and value in the category.<br />

Product launches have been on the rise for the past 5 years<br />

• Low-sugar is important to watch (i.e. Emmi, Frijj and Arla).<br />

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• Most core categories are developing high-protein variants (i.e. Mars,<br />

Weetabix, Dunn’s River Nurishment, Arla).<br />

• Coffee is an obvious area of focus.<br />

Traditional flavoured milk continues to dominate<br />

• Own-label compete with brands primarily in traditional flavoured milk.<br />

• Brands have room to innovate in the other categories: confectionery,<br />

coffee, breakfast and functional drinks.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

4. NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT GUIDANCE<br />

This chapter will look at the major global and local events that have an impact<br />

on UK dairy production and the flavoured milk market.<br />

We will consider factors such as occasion and usage, core consumer<br />

segments, UK consumer perception, product innovation, packaging and the<br />

other important factors that influence and frame new product development<br />

(NPD) strategy and eventual product launches.<br />

4.1 Occasion and usage<br />

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Figure 4.1: Position of chilled flavoured milk in Tesco<br />

Looking at how retailers position the<br />

various brands in the category, we have<br />

developed a model which allows us to<br />

isolate the primary positioning element of<br />

the various brands. See figure 4.2 for<br />

more details.<br />

Figure 4.1 illustrates one<br />

take on how retailers<br />

position the different<br />

flavoured milk products -<br />

occasion usage and<br />

nutritional value being the<br />

dominant thinking of this<br />

very clear merchandising<br />

approach.<br />

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Figure 4.2: <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk matrix by occasion and usage.<br />

Everyday Healthy: In the upper left quadrant of Figure 4.2 are affordable<br />

flavoured milks positioning themselves as ‘healthy’ and intended for regular<br />

consumption. These include some breakfast drinks, meal replacement<br />

shakes, drinks aimed at children and 1l plant-based dairy alternatives.<br />

Premium Healthy: In the upper right quadrant are flavoured milk products<br />

which are positioned as healthy but with some added benefit which makes<br />

them more of a premium product. These include branded protein drinks and<br />

premium traditional flavoured milk with added benefits such as organic milk.<br />

Affordable Treat: In the bottom left section, we show drinks intended for<br />

regular use, which have an indulgent aspect. This category mainly consists of<br />

traditional flavoured milks with relatively high levels of sugar.<br />

Premium Indulgence: In the bottom right corner, we highlight indulgent drinks<br />

that are positioned as premium products. This mainly consists of coffee drinks,<br />

confectionery flavours such as those produced by Mars and indulgence<br />

products from Frijj and Gü.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

4.2 Consumer segments<br />

One of the best ways of understanding the future growth of the market is<br />

through awareness of the growth of the various demographic segments.<br />

Understanding this enables flavoured milk brands to gauge the size of sales to<br />

particular consumer segments over time. This should drive strategic thinking in<br />

targeting specific population groups by understanding and addressing their<br />

unique needs.<br />

Population (millions)<br />

64.6<br />

66.9<br />

72.7<br />

71<br />

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74.3<br />

2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039<br />

Figure 4.3: Projected population of the UK by 2039 (Office for National Statistics 2015)<br />

In June 2014, the UK population was estimated at 64,596,800. Based on the National<br />

Population Projections by 2039 a number of predictions have been made:<br />

• The number of people over 80 is expected to more than double.<br />

• The number of people over 90 is projected to more than triple.<br />

• The number of people reaching the age of 100 or more is expected<br />

to increase more than eightfold.<br />

We’ll graphically analyse population data, and identify core consumer group for<br />

each demographic segment, which are then matched with the six subcategories<br />

of flavoured milks.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

The core consumer segments have been identified as:<br />

• School children – primary/secondary<br />

• Active children – participating in clubs/sports<br />

• Endurance and strength athletes – gym goers and solo trainers<br />

• Weight conscious consumers<br />

• On-the-go professionals<br />

• Vegans<br />

• Casual Gym Goers<br />

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Each consumer segment is matched against the six sub-categories of<br />

flavoured milk. We show which category appeals to which demographic<br />

segment, which can be used to directly inform NPD strategy.<br />

The combinations with the darkest shades on the following charts indicate<br />

the highest consumer interest.<br />

Of course, the relative growth specific consumer segments also need to be<br />

considered. For instance, if a high growth consumer segment has a high<br />

interest in functional milk, then this is a significant piece of information to drive<br />

brands medium term NPD plans and strategy.<br />

4.2.1 Consumer segment: 0-14 years<br />

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Figure 4.4: Projected UK population of 0-14 year olds, thousands (ONS 2013)<br />

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The population of those between ages 0 and 14 is expected to rise by 8%<br />

between 2014-2023 in the UK.<br />

Traditional<br />

Functional<br />

Coffee<br />

Confectionery<br />

Breakfast<br />

Alternative<br />

School<br />

children<br />

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Active<br />

children<br />

Low<br />

interest<br />

Moderate<br />

interest<br />

High<br />

interest<br />

Figure 4.5: Core consumer categories for the 0-14 years demographic<br />

This expected growth has implications for flavoured milk since there are two<br />

main core consumer categories that stem from this demographic<br />

.<br />

• School children (aged 4-14) who may consume flavoured milk in their<br />

lunchbox at school or at home as a treat.<br />

• Active children (aged 4 – 14) with high energy requirements through<br />

regular sport of exercise/clubs.<br />

.<br />

Traditional and confectionery flavoured milks are most relevant to this<br />

consumer segment. However, with parental concerns over high-sugar<br />

content it will be crucial for brands to alter their formulations to best appeal<br />

to these consumers.<br />

• Active children are likely to have requirements<br />

for on-the-go drinks which are filling and<br />

nutritious. These children are typically<br />

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involved in extracurricular activities and may<br />

have higher nutritional requirements than the<br />

average child, meaning they might benefit<br />

from functional and breakfast drinks


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

4.2.2 Consumer segments: 15 – 29 years<br />

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Figure 4.6: Projected UK population of 15-29 year olds, thousands (ONS 2013)<br />

The 15-29 years segment in the UK is projected to decrease by 2% between<br />

2016 and 2023.<br />

Traditional<br />

Functional<br />

Coffee<br />

Confectionery<br />

Breakfast<br />

Alternative<br />

Endurance<br />

Athletes<br />

Weight<br />

conscious<br />

consumers<br />

On-the-go<br />

professional<br />

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Strength<br />

Athletes<br />

Vegans<br />

Casual<br />

Gym<br />

Goers<br />

Figure 4.7: Core consumer categories for the 15-29 years demographic<br />

Low<br />

interest<br />

Moderate<br />

interest<br />

High<br />

interest<br />

Within this group, we have identified several<br />

core consumer groups for all the flavoured milk<br />

categories. These groups are not mutually<br />

exclusive but we regard them as separate<br />

groups:<br />

§ Endurance athletes with a need for functional drinks, primarily as fuel for<br />

sport and recovery. In 2010 the Department for Culture, Media and Sport<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

reported that endurance activities such as running, swimming and cycling<br />

make up 34% of sports undertaken by adults.<br />

• High-sugar content may not be a significant deterrent for these consumers<br />

so traditional and confectionery milks could be of appeal.<br />

• Weight conscious consumers with a desire for high-protein drinks which<br />

keep them satiated to help them avoid snacking. These consumers<br />

typically look to their diet to manage their weight rather than relying solely<br />

on exercise. These consumers are also interested in dairy alternatives<br />

which are often perceived as healthier than cow’s milk.<br />

.<br />

• On-the-go professionals with little time for exercise but who are<br />

conscious about what they eat. These consumers often look for high<br />

energy products and are clear targets for coffee and breakfast drinks. They<br />

are willing to treat themselves after work and are also open to on-the-go<br />

breakfast propositions. These consumers often have high disposable<br />

incomes and frequently reside in cosmopolitan areas.<br />

.<br />

• Strength athletes who demand high-quality protein sources as an<br />

alternative to powdered protein. Whilst this group makes up a relatively<br />

small proportion of this demographic, they account for a large proportion<br />

of protein drink sales. These consumers have high awareness of their diets<br />

and will avoid products they perceive as unhealthy.<br />

• Vegans who demand good tasting plant-based alternatives to dairy<br />

products which can provide them with vital nutrients. According to the<br />

Vegan Society there are over 500,000 vegans in the UK. This has increased<br />

from 150,000 in 2006, representing significant growth.<br />

-<br />

• Casual gym goers who enjoy some form of regular exercise. According to<br />

Sport England in 2015, 36% of UK consumers play sport for at least 30<br />

minutes a week. This rises to 55% for those aged 16-25. These consumers<br />

may use intermediate or high-protein versions of flavoured milk as recovery<br />

after exercise sessions.<br />

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4.2.3 Consumer segments: 30-44 years<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Figure 4.8: Projected UK population of 30-44 year olds, thousands (ONS 2013)<br />

This consumer segment is fast expanding, with particularly significant growth<br />

from 2018. The number of people within this demographic segment are<br />

projected to increase to 34% by 2023.<br />

Traditional<br />

Functional<br />

Coffee<br />

Confectionery<br />

Breakfast<br />

Alternative<br />

Endurance<br />

Athletes<br />

Weight<br />

conscious<br />

consumers<br />

On-the-go<br />

professional<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Strength<br />

Athletes<br />

Vegans<br />

Casual<br />

Gym<br />

Goers<br />

Figure 4.9: Core consumer categories for the 30-44 years demographic<br />

Low<br />

interest<br />

Moderate<br />

interest<br />

High<br />

interest<br />

• Population growth within this segment means there are potential<br />

opportunities to target this adult consumer group.<br />

• Consumers in this segment are likely to be busy, will often have families and<br />

higher purchasing power.<br />

• This category is also known for being the upper age limit at which flavoured<br />

milk consumption currently occurs in a significant way.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• In this group demand for traditional and confectionery flavoured milk<br />

decreases, as tastes become more sophisticated. Consumers with young<br />

families may be more price conscious, decreasing spending on on-the-go<br />

treats.<br />

• This consumer group will contain a high proportion of ‘gatekeepers’ and<br />

so will be an important target for flavoured milk brands aimed at children.<br />

4.2.4 Consumer segments: 45-59 years<br />

Figure 4.10: Projected UK population of 45-59 year olds, thousands (ONS 2013)<br />

This segment is expected to grow in the short-term, peaking around 2018 and<br />

then declining in the subsequent years.<br />

Traditional<br />

Functional<br />

Coffee<br />

Confectionery<br />

Breakfast<br />

Alternative<br />

Endurance<br />

Athletes<br />

Weight<br />

conscious<br />

consumers<br />

On-the-go<br />

professionals<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Vegans<br />

Casual<br />

Gym<br />

Goers<br />

Figure 4.11: Core consumer categories for the 45-59 years demographic<br />

Low<br />

interest<br />

Moderate<br />

interest<br />

High<br />

interest<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• For this age-group we have used the same adult consumer segments, but<br />

have removed strength athletes as these consumers are not strongly<br />

represented within this group.<br />

• The interest level of 45-59 year olds in flavoured milk is broadly limited.<br />

None of the consumer segments are likely to have a high level of interest in<br />

any of the product categories.<br />

• Traditional and confectionery drinks are unlikely to appeal to this age group<br />

as consumers in this segment may associate such drinks with younger<br />

consumers.<br />

• Coffee drinks, functional drinks and alternative milks are likely to be the<br />

most appealing products to the majority of these consumers, though<br />

interest is likely to be lower than to younger consumer groups.<br />

• As a segment it is significant in its size and purchasing power. Despite this<br />

there is a distinct lack of products targeting this consumer group at<br />

present. There is clearly a significant opportunity here for brands able to<br />

target this consumer segment successfully.<br />

4.2.5 Consumer segments: 60+ years<br />

(a)<br />

(b)<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Figure 4.12: Projected UK population of 60+ years, thousands. (a) data for 60-74<br />

years; (b) data for 75+ years (ONS 2013)<br />

We have aggregated core consumers in this demographic segment as both<br />

segments (60-74 years and 75 years & over) share sufficient characteristics to<br />

be considered similarly.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• People in this demographic are not typical flavoured milk consumers.<br />

However, their purchasing power is typically high, making them a group of<br />

interest for premium priced high-protein and functional flavoured milk<br />

brands.<br />

• Health becomes a priority for people within these population segments.<br />

Bone density, sarcopenia and malabsorption of macronutrients are<br />

particular health concerns for this group. Specific nutritional needs of<br />

consumers in this segment could be met through the development of<br />

specific flavoured milk products.<br />

• This consumer segment is not currently effectively targeted by flavoured<br />

milk brands. Although protein is clearly important to these consumers,<br />

brands should recognise they need to target this group in a different way.<br />

• Some older consumers, especially those with mobility issues, want<br />

convenience, which is a potential issue for flavoured milk brands. Buying<br />

heavy flavoured milk packs or frequently buying smaller ready-to-drink<br />

packs could be a barrier to consumers with less mobility. Powders are<br />

therefore a way of targeting these particular consumers, or providing longer<br />

life propositions in smaller bottles or cartons.<br />

• Consumers in this segment can be reluctant to change their dietary habits.<br />

Therefore, any products aiming to target this segment will need to easily fit<br />

into their current routines and food choices. This is a significant challenge,<br />

and is one of the reasons for the lack of brands currently targeting this<br />

segment.<br />

• When current flavoured milk consumers begin to grow into this life stage,<br />

it is likely that this segment will become more adventurous in its tastes<br />

and become a more attractive and larger market.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

5. ADDING VALUE TO FLAVOURED MILK<br />

Understanding the perception of consumers towards flavoured milk is<br />

essential, and should shape product packaging, material sourcing, branding<br />

and merchandising.<br />

Through awareness of consumers, it is possible to determine what shoppers<br />

will pay more for. There are a number of areas where customers’ needs are<br />

not fully being addressed and understanding these can help chart the direction<br />

for flavoured milk NPD.<br />

In part, these stem from three meta-trends that sit across the entire category<br />

– health, premium and convenience - see figure 5.1. However, there are also<br />

category specific drivers for flavoured milk.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Figure 5.1: Macro and micro-trends in food & drink, white milk & flavoured milk<br />

industries<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

5.1 Macro foods and drink trends<br />

The macro trends described in figure 5.1 are relevant across the whole food<br />

and drinks industry. We will go in to look at these trends in more detail, their<br />

implications on the flavoured milk industry and how brands have responded<br />

to these developments.<br />

5.1.1 Organic<br />

• Organic milk currently accounts for around 5% of milk sales. Although<br />

this seems a relatively small proportion, dairy makes up 26% of total organic<br />

sales within the UK.<br />

• With total organic food and drink sales increasing 4.9% in 2015,<br />

consumers’ perception of organic as a proposition and their willingness to pay<br />

more for it, is improving. (Soil Association 2016).<br />

• The beneficial effects of organic dairy are ever emerging. A 2016 report<br />

by Newcastle University found that organic milk contains around 50% more<br />

omega-3 fatty acids and 40% more conjugated linoleic acid (CLA) than<br />

conventional dairy products. This has been linked to a reduced risk of<br />

cardiovascular disease, cancers and obesity. In addition, it found organic dairy<br />

to contain higher concentrations of iron, vitamin E and carotenoids.<br />

• Other factors such as concerns over pesticides, the environment and<br />

animal welfare are also increasing the appeal of organic. The rise in disposable<br />

income is also contributing to the rise in popularity of organic as consumers<br />

become more willing to pay for quality products.<br />

• Despite the rise in popularity of organic, only a select few brands, such<br />

as Daioni, use organic ingredients in flavoured milk.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Implications: Organic dairy is a growth category though currently there is<br />

a real absence of organic flavoured milk products. This represents a niche<br />

opportunity for organic flavoured milk products in the UK.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Country: Wales<br />

Brand: Daioni<br />

Flavours: Banana, Strawberry and<br />

Chocolate<br />

Launch date: 2015<br />

What’s special?: It is made using<br />

organic milk with a clear provenance<br />

positioning<br />

5.1.2 Minimal processing and transparent labelling<br />

• Consumer desire for minimally processed products reflects the wider trend<br />

for organic food and drink, which is partly driven by concerns over<br />

chemicals and their effects on health and the environment.<br />

• Many consumers judge the healthiness of a product by the ingredients it<br />

lists. A short list of recognisable ingredients is often looked upon positively,<br />

particularly by parents seeking to keep their children safe and healthy.<br />

• This is also the case for adults and this desire has been capitalised on by<br />

products such as Arla’s Cocio which simply contains milk, sugar and 1.5%<br />

fat-reduced cocoa.<br />

Implications: Short ingredients<br />

To view<br />

lists<br />

please<br />

with claims such as ‘natural’ and<br />

‘fresh’ are of appeal for products aimed at children and adults alike.<br />

purchase full report<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Country: USA<br />

Brand: Shamrock Farms<br />

Flavours: Vanilla, Chocolate and<br />

Strawberry<br />

Launch date: 2007<br />

What’s special? The brand<br />

emphasises the words “real, fresh &<br />

ideas” highlighting the provenance<br />

trend but also the wholesomeness of<br />

the product.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

5.1.3 Lactose-free milk<br />

• Lactose is a carbohydrate found only in dairy. Although not very sweet<br />

when processed lactose becomes a main element of the sugar-rich liquid<br />

in flavoured milk.<br />

• Lactose intolerance occurs when the enzyme lactase, which breaks down<br />

lactose into glucose and galactose, is absent from the digestive system.<br />

Symptoms include digestive pains, flatulence and diarrhoea.<br />

• Lactose intolerance is more common in certain ethnic groups than<br />

others, with a substantial proportion of the world suffering from the condition:<br />

- ~90% of people from Asian descent<br />

- ~60% of people from African descent<br />

- ~50% of people from Latin American descent<br />

• More than half of the world’s flavoured milk demand comes from Asia.<br />

Therefore, lactose-free propositions are vital to tapping into this market.<br />

• The desire for products free of lactose is also reflected in the rising<br />

popularity of dairy alternatives which are naturally free of lactose, such as<br />

soya, oat and nut milks.<br />

• Arla’s Lactofree range has been the main lactose-free flavoured milk<br />

proposition in the UK market, with a chocolate flavour available.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• In 2015, Mars launched a lactose-free Mars <strong>Milk</strong> product which is currently<br />

listed in Tesco. Uptake by major brands demonstrates how popular lactose<br />

avoidance is becoming.<br />

Implications: Short ingredients lists with claims such as ‘natural’ and<br />

‘fresh’ are of appeal for products aimed at children and adults alike.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Country: UK<br />

Brand: Mars<br />

Flavours: Chocolate<br />

Launch date: 2015<br />

What’s special? This is the first foray for Mars<br />

into more specialised products in the flavoured<br />

milk category and highlights the rising demand<br />

for lactose-free products.<br />

5.1.4 Sugar reduction<br />

• Whilst milk drinks are exempt from the sugar tax announced in march 2010,<br />

reducing sugar content in products still remains a key issue.<br />

• A report by Public Health England, published in October 2015, claimed that<br />

all population groups in the UK are consuming too much sugar and that the<br />

recommended daily intake should be halved.<br />

• Consumers are becoming less focused on avoiding fats, and are<br />

increasingly looking to products with reduced sugar claims.<br />

• Sugar sweetened drinks have been particularly highlighted as a leading<br />

cause of excess sugar consumption and as a result, flavoured milk brands<br />

need to act to prevent being associated alongside high-sugar carbonated<br />

drinks.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Implications: Sugar reduction is one of the most important trends for<br />

2016 and it will be crucial for flavoured milk manufacturers to find sugar<br />

alternatives in their products.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Country: UK<br />

Brand: Frijj<br />

Flavours: Choc-a-Chocolate and Seriously<br />

Strawberry<br />

Launch date: 2015<br />

What’s special? As the category leader,<br />

Frijj launching a reduced sugar variant is a<br />

response to significant public demand for<br />

flavoured milk without high levels of sugar.<br />

5.1.5 Nutritional benefits<br />

• <strong>Milk</strong> is a good source of protein and a high intake of protein is becoming<br />

increasingly desirable for many consumers, especially amongst gym-goers<br />

& dieters. Therefore, product reformulations with added amino-acids are<br />

likely be successful on the market in the medium term.<br />

• Consumers have an increasingly hectic and on-the-go lifestyle. UK adults<br />

have acknowledged that they have little time to prepare a nutritious<br />

breakfast or snack. However, people recognise the importance of a wellbalanced<br />

breakfast to fuel their day and are open to more flavoured milk<br />

breakfast propositions.<br />

• Older consumer segments are relatively untapped in the flavoured milk<br />

market. Focusing on particular nutritional and lifestyle needs of this<br />

generation could unlock new market opportunities.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Implications: Demand for a healthy, on-the-go snack has led to the<br />

creation of a flavoured milk sub-category focused on delivering<br />

necessary micro and macronutrients, in convenient packaging.<br />

Country: USA<br />

Brand: Fair Life<br />

Flavour: Chocolate<br />

Launch date: 2015<br />

What’s special? This milk is<br />

protein-enriched, and targeted at<br />

consumers away from traditional<br />

body-building markets. It is a recent<br />

example of the functional category<br />

blending with other sub-categories.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

5.2 White milk trends<br />

We have described some of the trends within the wider food and drink<br />

landscape, and their effects on the flavoured milk industry. However, there are<br />

trends specifically relating to the UK dairy industry, which need to be taken<br />

into account when thinking about flavoured milk NPD.<br />

5.2.1 Supporting dairy farmers<br />

• Many consumers are concerned about the responsible sourcing of<br />

flavoured milk’s main ingredient: white liquid milk. With farm-gate milk<br />

prices at rock-bottom throughout 2015/2016 many UK farmers are<br />

struggling. With growing media attention, more consumers are demanding<br />

a fair deal for dairy farmers.<br />

• Morrisons are paying attention to consumer demand for fair prices for<br />

farmers with their ‘<strong>Milk</strong> for Farmers’ proposition. Although this does<br />

not yet apply to Morrisons own-brand flavoured milk, it is a trend<br />

which should be monitored.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Implications: In time consumers may prefer flavoured milks that specify<br />

fairness in pricing and beneficial social impact - this is an opportunity for<br />

small dairies to innovate or enter the flavoured milk market.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Country: UK<br />

Brand: Morrisons <strong>Milk</strong> for Farmers<br />

Flavour: White milk, cheese,<br />

yoghurt<br />

Launch date: 2015<br />

What’s special? These dairy<br />

products are sold at a slight<br />

premium, with extra money going<br />

back to farmers within the Arla milk<br />

buying cooperative.<br />

5.2.2 Innovative milk sources<br />

• As has been the case with alternative flavoured milk, we expect UK<br />

consumers to be open to trying flavoured milk from origins other than cows.<br />

One example is camels’ milk, recently launched in the UK under the Camel<br />

<strong>Milk</strong> brand.<br />

• Camels’ milk is close in composition to human milk, has a subtler flavour<br />

than goat and sheep milk and there is some research to say it can help<br />

prevent a variety of diseases including diabetes, IBS and hepatitis. It<br />

contains just 2% fat and contains no beta-lactoglobulin and a different<br />

beta-casein to cows’ milk. As these are two components of cows’ milk<br />

which commonly cause allergic reactions, camels’ milk offers a viable<br />

alternative for some allergy sufferers.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Implications: The plant-based alternative milk industry has shown that<br />

consumers are open to trying new ingredients, if they have a perceived<br />

health benefit such as allergy reduction. Innovative ingredients may<br />

represent new market areas.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Country: United Arab Emirates<br />

Brand: Camelicious<br />

Flavours: Plain, Strawberry, Dates, Saffron<br />

and Chocolate<br />

Launch date: 2010<br />

What’s special? It is a nutritious and<br />

innovative type of milk that has been<br />

enjoyed for centuries. Could have beneficial<br />

health implications<br />

5.2.3 White milk NPD<br />

• The white liquid milk category has traditionally seen little innovation.<br />

However, a key value adding development has been that of filtered milk.<br />

Filtered milk uses filtration technology to extend shelf life without reducing<br />

nutritional content.<br />

• Filtered milk accounts for around 5% of the total milk market, with Arla’<br />

Cravendale being the biggest brand. However, there are virtually no<br />

flavoured filtered products available. This is likely down to the limited<br />

number of processors with the appropriate processing technology.<br />

• In 2015 Arla launched their ‘Big <strong>Milk</strong>’ product, aimed at the specific<br />

nutritional needs of young children, with added vitamins and minerals. It is<br />

marketed as being a follow-on from formula milk whilst allowing children to<br />

enjoy fresh cow’s milk. Following this, in January 2016 Arla also launched<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

their ‘Best of Both’ milk which tastes like semi-skimmed milk while being<br />

fat free.<br />

• These recent launches illustrate how the regular white milk category is<br />

seeing considerable innovation since value has been stripped from the<br />

category through the milk price war.<br />

Implications: <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk brands should take note of these recent<br />

product developments in the wider milk category, and consider how they<br />

can add value to product by considering the specific nutritional<br />

requirements of particular age groups<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Country: UK<br />

Brand: Best of Both <strong>Milk</strong><br />

Flavours: White <strong>Milk</strong><br />

Launch date: 2016<br />

What’s special? Arla’s Best of Both<br />

<strong>Milk</strong> has the fat levels of skimmed<br />

milk with the taste of semi-skimmed.<br />

It is an example of recent added<br />

value innovation in the white milk<br />

category.<br />

5.3 <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk trends<br />

In addition to wider trends in the UK food and drink industry and white milk<br />

market, there are also several key developments within the flavoured milk<br />

market that should be taken into account.<br />

5.3.1 Functionality driven NPD<br />

• New products in the flavoured milk market use the addition of innovative<br />

nutrients, vitamins and minerals to suite the health aspirations of different<br />

consumer segments.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• The Protein Drinks Co. have developed a new collagen based milk drink<br />

aimed at female consumers wishing to enhance their health and beauty.<br />

Collagen+ beauty milk is sold in outlets such as Superdrug, Holland &<br />

Barrett and Ocado.<br />

Country: UK<br />

Brand: The Protein Drinks Co<br />

Flavours: Plain and Sweetened<br />

Launch date: 2014<br />

What’s special? This flavoured milk is<br />

enriched with collagen and vitamins,<br />

promoting well-being and beauty for<br />

women. It is a good example of a<br />

targeted adult flavoured milk proposition.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Collagen + Beauty <strong>Milk</strong>: health claims<br />

• “Collagen+ Beauty <strong>Milk</strong> is a truly unique collagen beauty drink rich<br />

in essential vitamins, potent antioxidants and hunger-fighting<br />

protein! Occasional usage is recommended at breakfast or in<br />

between meals as a convenient healthy snack.”<br />

• Some clinical studies support the idea that ingesting collagen<br />

peptides can help reduce the appearance of skin wrinkles and<br />

improve joint health. However, more research needs to be done<br />

substantiate these claims..<br />

• Collagen has also been shown to have a higher satiating effect than<br />

other proteins such as casein, making it a potential ingredient in<br />

weight control drinks.<br />

There are also various opportunities for functional drinks to enter the health<br />

market, including milk-based energy and relaxation drinks. With recent<br />

findings of milk coming from cows during the night containing elevated levels<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

of tryptophan and melatonin, two substances found to reduce anxiety and aid<br />

sleep, it seems only a matter of time before a brand looks to market<br />

5.3.2 Flavour driven NPD<br />

As we have seen in previous chapters, pitching flavoured milk to the adult<br />

population is an under-developed route and holds out commercial promise for<br />

brands who can manage this successfully. This is why we are seeing more<br />

interest in translating flavours that are already popular amongst adults into the<br />

flavoured milk market.<br />

Popular flavours include:<br />

• Sticky Toffee Pudding<br />

• Carrot Cake<br />

• Millionaire’s Shortbread<br />

• Cherry bagel<br />

• Cheesecake<br />

• Lemon meringue pie<br />

• Flapjacks<br />

• Rocky Road<br />

Country: Australia<br />

Brand: Nippy’s<br />

Flavour: Iced To Honeycomb view please<br />

Launch purchase date: 2012 full report<br />

What’s special? This brand is a unique flavour,<br />

with both adult and child appeal.<br />

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Country: United States of America<br />

Brand: Hershey’s<br />

Flavour: White Chocolate<br />

Launch date: 2013<br />

What’s special? Although, within the UK,<br />

confectionery flavours are not new, white<br />

chocolate flavour is still not as established<br />

as milk chocolate and has been the focus of<br />

NPD in the dessert category.<br />

Country: Taiwan<br />

Brand: Greenmax<br />

Flavour: Boba <strong>Milk</strong> Tea Powder<br />

Launch To date: view 2011 please<br />

What’s special? Although this product is<br />

powdered, the flavour is worth mentioning as it<br />

aligns with the tea-keen palates of UK adults<br />

and the growth of green tea as a healthy<br />

proposition.<br />

purchase full report<br />

Country: United States of America<br />

Brand: Peeps<br />

Flavours: Chocolate Marshmallow,<br />

Marshmallow, Easter Egg Nog.<br />

Launch date: 2011<br />

What’s special? These seasonal flavours are<br />

examples of how to take advantage of the<br />

different retail opportunities across the trading<br />

year.


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Country: United States of America<br />

Brand: Arriba<br />

Flavour: Horchata (cinnamon) with rice milk<br />

To view please<br />

Launch date: 2015<br />

What’s special? This flavour is taken from a<br />

traditional Central American drink. This is a<br />

good example of taking tried and true adult<br />

flavours into the category.<br />

purchase full report<br />

Whether these new flavours will compete in the confectionery category or in<br />

the traditional flavoured category remains to be seen.<br />

• The on-the-go lifestyles of consumers have implications for flavoured milk<br />

packaging and branding, as the convenience trend continues to gather<br />

pace.<br />

• Innovation will most likely come from the functional drink offer and<br />

flavoured milk being used as a convenient snack that surpasses energy<br />

drinks in terms of both the perceived health benefits and its natural<br />

attributes.<br />

5.3.3 Formula innovation<br />

Some products have gone beyond experimenting with new flavours, to<br />

innovating recipes and formulas.<br />

Country: India<br />

Brand: Vio<br />

Flavours: Very Berry, Fresh Citrus,<br />

Tropical Colada, Exotic<br />

Launch date: 2015<br />

What’s special? This flavoured milk has<br />

a twist as it is carbonated. It remains to be<br />

seen whether carbonation and dairy are a<br />

sustainable commercial match.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

5.4 Packaging<br />

Premium flavoured milk depends on a unique value proposition and packaging<br />

that serves its consumers’ needs. The coffee sub-category has done this<br />

successfully by offering packaging that is convenient and stylish. Brands such<br />

as Frijj and Starbucks have used packaging, shape and branding cues to<br />

deliver a sophisticated feel to packaging.<br />

Packaging plays an important role in shaping consumer experience,<br />

particularly for flavoured milk. Packaging has a strong influence on how<br />

flavoured milk brands are perceived. This is true for form (size, sleeve, shape<br />

& branding) as well as function (technology, cap & size). The availability of<br />

capacity to process and pack flavoured milk has a bearing on packaging. Many<br />

brands have very similar bottle shapes and size as there are relatively few copackers<br />

in the UK<br />

5.4.1 Attitudes towards packaging in the UK<br />

Many UK adults dislike excessive packaging and desire ease in the handling<br />

of packaged goods. Most flavoured milk is presented in portioned sized onthe-go<br />

formats. Usage and occasion is a driver of packaging but there is a<br />

long way to go in terms of flavoured milk innovation in packaging format.<br />

5.4.2 Packaging evaluation<br />

We’ve profiled flavoured milk packaging under the following criteria:<br />

environmental impact, cost-effectiveness from the perspective of the<br />

producer, safety, aesthetics and convenience.<br />

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The scorecard (figure 5.3) shows HDPE and PET plastics are similarly suitable<br />

for flavoured milk packaging. PET is more aesthetically pleasing but HDPE<br />

has a smaller environmental impact as less energy is used in the production<br />

and recycling of HDPE bottles.<br />

Cartons, such as Tetrapak, score consistently in all categories but are not as<br />

simple to recycle as plastic alternatives since they are formed by several<br />

layers.<br />

Glass was seen as least suitable as a packing material. It is not appropriate for<br />

children, is heavy for the consumer and also has a high eco-impact.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Figure 5.3: Suitability of different packaging materials for flavoured milk under<br />

different categories. ‘+’ denotes poor performance, ‘++’ denotes a medium<br />

performance and ‘+++’ denotes good performance.<br />

5.4.3 Sports caps<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong> milk producers must design and innovate in order to successfully<br />

address consumers’ lifestyles and needs. With the exception of recent 500ml,<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

750ml and 1-litre formats, flavoured milk is mainly available for on-the-go<br />

consumption in plastic bottles or Tetra Pak cartons.<br />

Mars Refuel have seen considerable commercial success with their sports cap<br />

format. This can be attributed to a range of consumer lifestyle factors:<br />

• Convenience e.g. value added feature for consumers with active lifestyles<br />

who see Mars drinks as a quick recovery after exercise.<br />

• The perceived status enjoyed by consumers carrying a bottle with a<br />

sports cap.<br />

• Consumers’ willingness to pay a premium for enhanced packaging.<br />

• The perceived potential to avoid spillage - important to parents.<br />

Advantages<br />

Convenient for consumption<br />

Disadvantages<br />

Disadvantages<br />

Expensive for manufacturer<br />

Association with a “sporty”,<br />

active lifestyle<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Requires manufacturing to be<br />

altered from foil seal - cost<br />

Avoids spillage<br />

Potential child choke risk<br />

Supports a higher price point<br />

Seal integrity<br />

Figure 5.4: Advantages and disadvantages of the use of sports cap in flavoured milk<br />

packaging in the UK.<br />

Mars uses a sports cap for some of its confectionery propositions including<br />

Bounty, Galaxy, Snickers and Mars flavoured milk drinks. For Goodness<br />

Shakes also use sports caps for their ‘Kids on the go’ range, aimed at active<br />

and sporty children.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

6. SEGMENTING FLAVOURED MILK:<br />

THE POWER CATEGORIES<br />

Segmentation sees the flavoured milk market divided into six ‘power<br />

categories’. This chapter looks at each of these power categories in turn:<br />

traditional flavoured milk, functional drinks, coffee, confectionery, breakfast<br />

and alternative flavoured milk.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Figure 6.1: The HRA flavoured milk ‘power categories’<br />

For each category, we explore the two flagship brands featured in the pyramid<br />

above and examine products, advertising, marketing and financials. The<br />

percentages beside the categories give an approximate indication of the<br />

relative weighting of the categories sales to the UK flavoured milk market as a<br />

whole.<br />

6.1 Traditional flavoured milk<br />

Traditional flavoured milk dominates the market. It is the biggest sub-category<br />

in terms of volume sales with our estimate being that it makes up just under<br />

half the flavoured milk category. ‘Traditional’ offerings usually comprise of<br />

cow’s milk with added sugar and natural or artificial flavours. These products<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

have been available in UK supermarket aisles for over two decades in their<br />

present form and are usually found alongside white liquid milk with typical<br />

flavours including chocolate, strawberry, vanilla and banana.<br />

Chocolate is the best-selling<br />

flavoured within the traditional<br />

power category.<br />

To Traditional view please<br />

purchase category full report<br />

trends<br />

Strawberry is the second most<br />

popular traditional milk<br />

flavour.<br />

Yazoo & Frijj are the main volume<br />

brands within this category.<br />

Supermarkets are most likely to<br />

develop own brand propositions in<br />

this category.<br />

Figure 6.2: Trends within the traditional flavoured milk power categories.<br />

6.1.1 Traditional flavoured milk case study: Frijj<br />

Brand Growth: 7% in 2014/15<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Product Variants: Confectionery and<br />

traditional flavoured milk<br />

New product developments: Frijj 40%<br />

sugar-reduced and Frijj Supreme<br />

Target consumers: Children and teens<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• Frijj is a flavoured milk brand created in 1993 and is now the UK market<br />

leader. Frijj was sold by Dairy Crest to Muller in December 2015 as part of<br />

the wider sale of the Dairy Crest operation.<br />

• Frijj is currently available in 5 flavours in the traditional category: Full of<br />

Fudge Brownie, Choc-a-Chocolate, Seriously Strawberry, Burst of Banana<br />

and Mucho Cookie Dough.<br />

• Frijj released a ‘Supreme’ range in 2013, to appeal to older more<br />

sophisticated palates. Flavours include: Honeycomb Choc Swirl, Sticky<br />

Toffee Pudding, Banoffee Pie and White Choc Raspberry Swirl.<br />

• According to Dairy Crest, Frijj has consistently increased its market share<br />

each year, rising 1.9% in 2014 and 2% in 2015.<br />

• Frijj UHT was launched in 2012 with the intention of taking a share of the<br />

convenience sector where a longer shelf life and ambient storage is often<br />

key for retailers in terms of shelf life. However, the UHT proposition has<br />

struggled to gain traction due to price point and sizing.<br />

• Since its launch in 1993 the distinctive shape and design style of Frijj<br />

packaging has been kept largely the same (see figure 6.3). The brand has<br />

used marketing campaigns featuring characters from The Simpsons to<br />

appeal to their core consumer audience. More recently they have been<br />

making an effort to appeal to older consumers with their coffee and<br />

premium style products.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

1993<br />

Frijj<br />

launch<br />

April 2009<br />

Simpsons<br />

limited<br />

edition<br />

flavours<br />

Aug 2011<br />

‘Incredibles’<br />

range<br />

launched<br />

Oct 2013<br />

‘Incredibles’<br />

rebranded as<br />

‘Supreme’ range<br />

March 2014<br />

Coffee<br />

range<br />

launched<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Dec 2014<br />

Core<br />

range<br />

redesigned<br />

Feb 2015<br />

40% reduced<br />

sugar range<br />

launched<br />

Figure 6.3: History of Frijj flavoured milk products and packaging<br />

• Since its launch in 1993 Frijj’s packaging remained fairly constant for 20<br />

years - with the trademark Holstein cow pattern - until 2013 when the<br />

Supreme range was launched.<br />

The Supreme range, launched in 2013, uses premium branding cues to<br />

confer a more indulgent product. The core range followed suite in late 2014,<br />

with a complete redesign of packaging.<br />

• In 2015 Frijj launched a 40% reduced sugar product, the first of its kind on<br />

the UK market. The packaging is largely the same as the standard product,<br />

though uses blue labelling to make it distinct. The use of the light blue<br />

colouring to confer reduced sugar is becoming standard in the wider food<br />

and drink market with products such as Heinz Baked Beans & Nestle Oat<br />

Cheerios Low Sugar.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Oct 2008<br />

Digital campaign<br />

launched based on<br />

spoofs of US horror<br />

films. Backed up by<br />

online and print<br />

advertisement<br />

Aug 2009<br />

£2m deal to sponsor<br />

Sky TV’s football show.<br />

Included 15 second<br />

show indents and 5-<br />

second break bumpers<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Aug 2011<br />

Advertisement was launched for<br />

the Incredibles range including<br />

the online ‘You LOL You Lose’<br />

face recognition game, profiles on<br />

characters in the range, iPhone<br />

apps and outdoor advertisement<br />

Figure 6.4: Frijj advertisement campaigns 2008-2011<br />

Frijj advertising has traditionally been fun and well-suited to their core<br />

demographic of older children and teenagers. Their sponsorship of Sky TV’s<br />

Soccer FM show is an attempt to widen the appeal to active consumers and<br />

older adult males.<br />

6.1.2 Traditional <strong>Flavoured</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Case Study: Yazoo (Friesland Campina)<br />

Friesland Campina Profit: €192 million (up<br />

84.6%) in 2015<br />

Product variants: Traditional flavoured milk<br />

NPD: Yazoo Smoothie<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Target consumers: Children and teens<br />

• Friesland Campina, the manufacturer of Yazoo, is in the top 6 global dairy<br />

companies. The cooperative is the result of the 2007 merger between<br />

Friesland Foods and Campina, and uses milk from farmers in the<br />

Netherlands, Germany and Belgium.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• Yazoo, the second best-selling flavoured milk brand in the UK, has slowly<br />

increased its market share over the course of the past 5 years to almost<br />

match Frijj. Market share growth was 1.6% in 2015 after stagnating in<br />

2013.<br />

• The traditional flavours are banana, chocolate and strawberry. The vanilla<br />

flavour was a limited edition product which became a permanent fixture in<br />

September 2014. The size formats sold include 200ml, 250ml, 300ml,<br />

475ml and 1-litre in both plastic bottle and Tetra Pak carton.<br />

• In comparison to its rival, Frijj, Yazoo has remained largely the same since<br />

its launch, with the same flavours available and no real limited edition<br />

flavours or variants introduced, except for vanilla (see figure 6.5). The<br />

products are classic, traditional flavoured milk aimed at primarily at<br />

children, teenagers and young adults.<br />

1990’s<br />

Yazoo<br />

Launched,<br />

featuring<br />

dinosaur<br />

Oct 2011<br />

Revamped packaging to<br />

highlight health<br />

credentials- ‘more milk,<br />

low in fat’<br />

April 2014<br />

Vanilla product<br />

re-launched<br />

Apr 2015<br />

Fully recyclable<br />

bottles<br />

launched<br />

May 2006<br />

Launched 200ml<br />

single serving<br />

packaging<br />

May 2013<br />

On-the-go 250ml<br />

bottle<br />

launched<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

June 2014<br />

1 litre family<br />

packs launched<br />

Figure 6.5: History of Yazoo flavoured milk products and packaging<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Feb 2001<br />

Dino cartoon<br />

character fronting<br />

advertising on<br />

Cartoon Network<br />

& Fox Kids<br />

Jan 2003<br />

Joint promotion<br />

with Schools<br />

Football Initiativeon-pack,<br />

TV,<br />

Radio & press<br />

June 2006<br />

Promotion with<br />

new Garfield film,<br />

offering family<br />

safari. Supported<br />

by £3m campaign<br />

May 2008<br />

£1.7m campaign<br />

of outdoor<br />

advertisements,<br />

with the strapline<br />

‘<strong>Milk</strong>. Shaken Up”<br />

Feb 2010<br />

New ad launched<br />

featuring cow<br />

being shot from a<br />

canon- ‘<strong>Milk</strong>.<br />

Shaken Up’<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

July 2010<br />

Team up with<br />

download site<br />

‘Napster’- free<br />

music downloads<br />

on pack<br />

Mar 2012<br />

1970’s style ad<br />

the ‘Shake Squad’<br />

features in £2m<br />

TV and social<br />

media campaign<br />

May 2014<br />

£1m outdoor<br />

advertisement<br />

campaign<br />

Figure 6.6: Yazoo advertisement campaigns 2001-2014<br />

Yazoo’s advertisements have been humorous and aimed at younger<br />

consumers with promotions such as music downloads and cinema tickets. The<br />

May 2014 campaign had a simple focus on the goodness of milk, appealing to<br />

gatekeeper parents as well as the direct consumers.<br />

6.2 Functional milk: sports nutrition milks<br />

Sports nutrition is a rapidly growing market in the UK. <strong>Milk</strong> is a rich source of<br />

nutrients that can be fractioned into a wide range of components (i.e. whey<br />

protein, casein etc.) and used to boost the protein value of flavoured milk<br />

drinks.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

In recent years, the public has become increasingly aware of the impact of<br />

protein in their diets, in particular that protein:<br />

• Helps develop muscle mass and lean tissue, and aids strength<br />

training. It does so by stimulating muscle synthesis and suppressing<br />

protein breakdown.<br />

• Supports weight control because it has a satiating effect and<br />

increases the metabolism for a longer period of time than other<br />

macronutrients.<br />

• Contributes to lower blood pressure and is therefore useful for<br />

individuals with hypertension.<br />

• Increases bone density leading to decreased risk of osteoporosis<br />

• Aids cardiac health – evidence suggests that by eating less<br />

carbohydrates and more protein leads to a decreased risk of<br />

cardiovascular disease.<br />

However, although the consumption of protein is essential for the correct<br />

functioning of the human body, most people in the UK are not at risk of underconsuming<br />

protein.<br />

6.2.1 Human protein requirements<br />

Protein requirements are determined by the body’s nitrogen balance. That is<br />

the difference between the intake and output of nitrogen. A healthy adult with<br />

enough protein will roughly consume and excrete the same amount of nitrogen<br />

each day.<br />

In growing children, pregnant women or a person recovering from protein loss,<br />

there is typically a positive balance where the intake of nitrogen is greater than<br />

the output as the body is increasing total body protein. This means that<br />

growing children, pregnant women and a person recovering from an injury all<br />

require higher levels of protein intake.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

6.2.2 Protein over-consumption<br />

Protein drink manufacturers must be aware that that exceedingly high levels<br />

of protein intake could be linked to the development of chronic diseases.<br />

However, this is a controversial debate, with arguments for and against the<br />

health benefits of high protein flavoured milks.<br />

Arguments against excessive<br />

protein consumption<br />

Foods rich in protein i.e. meat and<br />

dairy, are often high in saturated fat.<br />

Kidneys can be harmed by too much<br />

protein.<br />

The defence for<br />

protein drinks<br />

There is evidence that saturated fat is not<br />

as unhealthy as once thought.<br />

Research suggests excessive protein<br />

consumption only exacerbates existing<br />

kidney conditions.<br />

Filling up on protein means eating less<br />

vegetables, fruits and wholegrains.<br />

This could result in nutrient<br />

deficiencies.<br />

Protein drinks are not intended as longterm<br />

meal replacements and are only<br />

recommended as part of a healthy diet.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Consuming high levels of protein<br />

means more calcium is excreted from<br />

the body, leading to calcium<br />

deficiencies.<br />

Excess protein is converted to fat in<br />

the body so can result in weight gain<br />

Excessive protein consumption can<br />

raise the risk of hyperaminoacidemaia,<br />

and hyperinsulinemia nausea.<br />

Protein from dairy sources contains<br />

calcium.<br />

Products are aimed at active consumers<br />

so weight gain should not be an issue.<br />

Protein drinks only offer a fraction of the<br />

daily limit and, as long as they are used<br />

responsibly are safe.<br />

Figure 6.7: Arguments for and against consuming high protein products<br />

Demographic Age (years) Reference intake (g)<br />

Infant 0-1 9-11g<br />

Child 1-8 13-19g<br />

Male 9-13 34g<br />

Male 14+ To view please 56g<br />

Female purchase 9-13 full report 34g<br />

Female 14+ 46g<br />

Pregnancy/ lactation - 71g<br />

Strength athletes - 1.2-1.7g/kg bodyweight<br />

Endurance athletes - 1.2-1.4kg/kg bodyweight<br />

Figure 6.8: Differing recommended daily protein intakes by demographic (US Food<br />

and Nutrition Board, 2002).<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

In the Western hemisphere, there is little chance of adult protein deficiency as<br />

the staple carbohydrates in diets also provide some levels of protein. Although<br />

some children require more protein, in the West most children consume more<br />

protein than is needed.<br />

• Adults are advised to consume between 46g and 70g of protein per day<br />

(see figure 6.8), or a maximum amount of 1g protein per kg of body weight.<br />

The exceptions are woman who are pregnant or lactating, and strength/<br />

endurance athletes, who have higher protein requirements.<br />

• In developed countries, the daily intake of protein far exceeds the<br />

nutritional requirements in the range of 80-100g of protein per day.<br />

• Older people may have higher protein requirements than that of the middleaged<br />

population. One study claimed that women aged 80-87 would benefit<br />

from consuming 29% more protein than current guidelines recommend<br />

(Tang, 2014). There are opportunities for flavoured milk producers with this<br />

segment, as the previous NPD chapter highlighted.<br />

• Protein should be consumed in small quantities throughout the day as<br />

opposed to large quantities once a day. This is the optimal way of<br />

absorbing protein as, if too much is consumed at any one time, it will<br />

become a waste product of the body.<br />

6.2.3 Sports nutrition drinks & VAT<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Figure 6.9: <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk brands that are liable for VAT<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

In 2012, value added tax (VAT) was introduced to sports nutrition drinks,<br />

defined by HMRC as drinks that are:<br />

“Marketed as supplying energy to enhance performance,<br />

accelerating recovery after exercise, providing energy, or building<br />

bulk and often contain creatine.”<br />

There is a particular provision, however, made for “milk and preparations and<br />

extracts thereof” and “meal replacement drinks for slimmers or invalids”,<br />

both of which remain exempt.<br />

“<strong>Milk</strong> will remain zero-rated even if promoted as benefiting<br />

consumers taking part in sports activity. Although products such as<br />

meal replacements for dieters may be a similar product to a protein<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

supplement used by athletes, they are aimed at different markets.”<br />

HMRC, 28 June 2012.<br />

Therefore, VAT does not apply to flavoured milk, and a market opportunity<br />

persists for products that are marketed as a slimming aid or as a meal<br />

replacement.<br />

6.2.4 Sports nutrition drinks: key facts<br />

Sports nutrition has seen many developments in the last few years. Several<br />

factors have contributed to this growth, which are described in figure 6.10.<br />

Despite these positive growth factors there is evidence that consumers are<br />

confused by the array of sports nutrition products on offer and the health<br />

claims they make. Consumers are often unclear what the products do for them<br />

and what the differences are between them.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Packaging<br />

The development of smaller, convenient<br />

bottles has been driving growth in ‘sports<br />

nutrition’ flavoured milks.<br />

NPD<br />

Consumer<br />

Knowledge<br />

Clever promotions, smaller formats and<br />

product reformulation have pushed growth<br />

forward.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Increased consumer education is a key<br />

lever in increasing demand for protein<br />

products.<br />

Brand<br />

Sports nutrition consumers identify with<br />

brands that express their personality,<br />

values and lifestyle<br />

Figure 6.10: Factors contributing towards the consumer interest in sports nutrition<br />

drinks<br />

Other flavoured milk categories have taken note and are launching variants to<br />

satiate the growing demand. Starbucks (coffee) and Weetabix (breakfast) have<br />

developed protein-rich formulas to defend and extend their market share.<br />

Most flavoured milk beverages with added protein are also sources of what<br />

some experts define as excessive levels of sugar. This combination may<br />

ultimately deter consumers from buying protein drinks. This should be<br />

something manufacturers should be aware of, especially as health advice is<br />

meaning consumers are becoming more health conscious.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Aimed at consumers wanting to<br />

build muscle mass, such as strength<br />

athletes & body builders.<br />

Targets mainstream<br />

health conscious consumers.<br />

To view please<br />

Key consumers are endurance<br />

athletes<br />

purchase<br />

who wish<br />

full<br />

to recover<br />

report<br />

from<br />

training.<br />

Consumed by slimmers, who want<br />

to get that full feeling that high protein<br />

provides without the fat and sugar.<br />

Aimed at image conscious woman,<br />

who believe in the beneficial effects of<br />

protein and collagen.<br />

Figure 6.11: Examples of different protein based flavoured milks and their key<br />

consumer targets<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

6.2.5 Functional milk case study: For Goodness Shakes (Aurivo)<br />

Aurivo Turnover: €447m (2014)<br />

Growth CAGR Growth: 13.5% (2014/13)<br />

Product variants: Functional drinks<br />

NPD: Sports Recovery & Protein On-The-Go<br />

Target consumers: Active children, teens,<br />

slimmers, strength and endurance athletes &<br />

casual gym goers<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

For Goodness Shakes is a flavoured milk brand that targets a variety of<br />

athletes with its range of protein products. It was originally developed by the<br />

company My Goodness Ltd, founded in 2003. Aurivo, the Ireland-based<br />

agribusiness purchased My Goodness Ltd in 2015.<br />

For Goodness Shakes comes in several varieties:<br />

.<br />

• For Goodness Shakes® Ultimate Protein (Chocolate and<br />

Strawberry) is their highest-protein product with 40g of protein per<br />

serving. This is targeted at consumers who are interested in muscle<br />

development and are knowledgeable about their nutritional<br />

requirements.<br />

• For Goodness Shakes® Protein Nutrition (Chocolate,<br />

Strawberry and Café Latte) contains 20g of lean milk protein with<br />

added nutrients. This product is their most mainstream product,<br />

aimed at consumers interested in slimming and general health.<br />

• For Goodness Shakes® Recovery, is their main product and<br />

comes in Chocolate, SuperBerry, Vanilla and Banana. Its ratio of<br />

carbohydrates to protein is 3:1, containing 17g of protein. This<br />

product is aimed at those for whom hydration and endurance are<br />

important, i.e. endurance and cardio sports.<br />

• For Goodness Shakes has also developed a line aimed<br />

at active children and teens called Kids on the Go (formerly<br />

<strong>Milk</strong> Shoot). It is a convergence between protein and<br />

traditional flavoured milk.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• Since launching in 2005, For Goodness Shakes packaging has evolved to<br />

in order to appeal to its core audience of athletes and active consumers.<br />

• The original packaging brand name made the products approachable for<br />

mainstream consumers, who might be deterred by the ‘hard-core’ sports<br />

nutrition products. This has helped increase growth and made the brand<br />

appealing to retailers such as Tesco and Sainsbury’s.<br />

• Over time, the brand has diversified with new sub-ranges aimed at specific<br />

consumer groups, using distinct packaging to match. With the launch of<br />

the Kids on the Go product in 2014, a more child appropriate design was<br />

developed<br />

Apr 2005<br />

For Goodness Shakes<br />

launched. Aimed at<br />

men.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Apr 2013<br />

Launched For<br />

Goodness Shakes<br />

High Protein<br />

Sept 2014<br />

Launched ‘<strong>Milk</strong>shoot’<br />

for<br />

children.<br />

Apr 2014<br />

Launch of low-fat<br />

and super-high<br />

protein varieties.<br />

Figure 6.12: For Goodness Shakes packaging evolution<br />

For Goodness Shakes’ advertising has been targeted at an active, male<br />

audience, appealing across a spectrum from light ‘January exercisers’ to<br />

cyclists, runners and weightlifters. Their online video campaign in 2013 was<br />

banned by the ASA, though was intended as a tongue in cheek appeal to<br />

young, male adults<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Jan 2008<br />

£800k Muscles of<br />

Steel campaign.<br />

Aimed at gym<br />

goers and<br />

January<br />

exercisers.<br />

Dec 2010<br />

£1m campaign<br />

targeting sports<br />

players and<br />

athletes in Men’s<br />

Health Magazine.<br />

& online<br />

Jan 2011<br />

On pack<br />

promotions<br />

offering free<br />

personal<br />

training<br />

sessions.<br />

Aug 2010<br />

On-pack<br />

promotion with<br />

a 1000 Veranti<br />

Milook bikes.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Aug 2011<br />

Sponsors of<br />

Tour of Britain<br />

and Survival of<br />

the fittest.<br />

Nov 2013<br />

Controversial TV<br />

advertisement aimed<br />

at younger men.<br />

Banned by the ASA.<br />

Figure 6.13: For Goodness Shakes advertising campaigns<br />

6.2.6 Functional milk case study: Dunn’s River Nurishment (Grace Foods)<br />

Grace Foods profit: $37.2bn (2014)<br />

Growth (2014/13): 20.56%<br />

Product variants: Functional drinks<br />

NPD: Nurishment Active (2013)<br />

Target consumers: Active children, teens,<br />

slimmers, strength and endurance athletes,<br />

casual gym goers and the health-conscious<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

• Nurishment Original was one of the first functional milk drinks in the UK<br />

market and has been present for more than 20 years.<br />

• This “nutritionally enriched milk drink” is available in seven flavours in its<br />

400g ring-pull can format: Vanilla, Banana, Strawberry, Chocolate, Peanut,<br />

Raspberry and Mango. This ring-pull can format is unique in the flavoured<br />

milk category, but have gained a loyal consumer following, especially from<br />

the Afro Caribbean market.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• In 2013, Nurishment launched an on-the-go variant to compete against the<br />

other sports ready-to-drink products in the market. Nurishment Active has<br />

35g of protein per bottle, doubling the protein content of Nurishment Extra,<br />

but is also available in the same three flavours: Strawberry, Chocolate and<br />

Vanilla.<br />

1980’S<br />

Nurishment<br />

Original developed<br />

in iconic ring pull<br />

can.<br />

2009<br />

Launch of<br />

Nurishment Extra<br />

ready-to-drink in<br />

plastic bottle.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

2013<br />

Launch of<br />

Nurishment Active<br />

high protein drink<br />

in bottles.<br />

Figure 6.14: Evolution of Nurishment packaging and product development.<br />

• The Nurishment Extra product is more of a mainstream flavoured milk<br />

concept with the bright colours and unintimidating branding typical of<br />

traditional flavoured milk. This product has allowed Nurishment to target<br />

more mainstream consumers who may be deterred by the can format.<br />

• The Nurishment Active product was the brand’s attempt at targeting the<br />

sports nutrition category with a specific product, moving away from the can<br />

format and towards the on-the-go, bottle format that is common in the<br />

category.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Aug 2013<br />

To accompany launch into<br />

sports nutrition, Nurishment<br />

created a new website to<br />

appeal to sports people to<br />

push their limits, with the<br />

strapline ‘I Say When’.<br />

Nov 2013<br />

National advertising<br />

campaign launched:<br />

- On-pack promotions<br />

- London Underground<br />

- Outdoor<br />

- Press<br />

Figure 6.15: Nurishment advertising campaigns<br />

Nurishment advertising in recent years has focused on appealing to its target<br />

audience of active consumers, with a focus on extreme sports players. The<br />

advertising push has centred around outdoor, print, on-pack and online<br />

activation.<br />

6.3 Coffee flavoured milk<br />

• Coffee continues to go from strength to strength as British consumers<br />

move away from tea, the traditional UK drink, to a greater taste for coffee.<br />

• <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk is a good carrier for coffee as a flavour – it mixes well and<br />

brings out the qualities in the coffee and there has consequently been a<br />

high level of innovation in this segment.<br />

• It is an area where own label struggles to cut through and where innovation<br />

in flavour and packaging format e.g. glass, cup shaped bottles, is key.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Cappuccino<br />

Skinny Coffee<br />

To view please<br />

purchase Chocolate full Coffee report<br />

Caramel Coffee<br />

Strong Coffee<br />

Figure 6.16: Different varieties within the coffee flavoured milk sector<br />

6.3.1 Coffee flavoured milk case study: Starbucks (Arla)<br />

Profit: €5.13 billion<br />

Growth Volume: H1 2015 2.4%<br />

Product variants: Alternative, coffee,<br />

functional and traditional flavoured milk<br />

NPD: Lactofree, Sugar-Reduced flavoured<br />

milk, high-protein flavoured milk<br />

Target consumers: On-the-go professionals<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• Starbucks, the High Street coffee shop, entered the UK market in 1998.<br />

• Their ready-to-drink coffee drink was launched in late 2010 through a<br />

partnership with Arla Foods, who provided licenses for the brand to<br />

manufacture, distribute and market the drink.<br />

• The first drinks launched were Starbucks VIA® instant coffee, Starbucks<br />

Discoveries® chilled latte and Starbucks Doubleshot®.<br />

launched Starbucks Bottled Frappuccino®.<br />

In 2011, it<br />

• The Starbucks license has grown to become one of the market leading<br />

chilled coffee drinks in the UK.<br />

Apr 2010<br />

Launch of<br />

‘Discoveries’ readyto-drink<br />

range.<br />

Nov 2012<br />

Festive red cup<br />

launched for limited<br />

edition Caramel<br />

Macchiato.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Apr 2015<br />

Launch of Starbuck<br />

Discoveries<br />

Cappucino.<br />

Apr 2010<br />

Launch of ‘Doubleshot’<br />

ready-to-drink<br />

flavoured milk.<br />

2013<br />

Rebranding of<br />

Discoveries and<br />

Doubleshot drinks.<br />

Figure 6.17: Evolution of packaging and flavours in Starbucks coffee flavoured milk<br />

range<br />

The Starbucks packaging is designed to target those cosmopolitan, on-thego<br />

professionals who enjoy Starbucks but who are not necessarily able to get<br />

to an outlet. With this in mind, the packs are designed in a cup, to mirror the<br />

store format. Re-closable packs are not particularly important to the target<br />

consumers as image outweighs convenience and the product is single serve.<br />

The small sized packs of around 220ml make this feasible as a reasonable<br />

amount to consume in one serving for their core audience of busy commuters.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

2010<br />

Launch of Starbucks Discoveries<br />

supported by a heavyweight<br />

marketing campaign including:<br />

- Outdoor posters<br />

- In-store adverts<br />

- Social media campaign<br />

- Magazines<br />

- Radio<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

2015<br />

Doubleshot TV commercial<br />

launched, featuring an office<br />

worker and a horse.<br />

Strapline- “the office<br />

workhorse is no match for<br />

the guy who drinks Starbucks<br />

Doubleshots”<br />

2011<br />

Bottled Frappucino launched<br />

with an advertising and<br />

sampling campaign including:<br />

- Summer events<br />

- Capital Radio Ball<br />

- Cinema<br />

- Outdoor<br />

- Online and print<br />

Figure 6.18: Starbucks advertisement for Discoveries, Frappucino and Doubleshot<br />

As Starbucks is such a well-known brand in the UK, advertising campaigns<br />

focus on introducing new products rather than building brand awareness.<br />

Launches of new drinks and flavours typically focus on print advertising, radio<br />

advertising and events sponsorship. Until 2015 Starbucks had never done any<br />

TV advertising for their range of bottled drinks. The Doubleshot 2015<br />

commercial targeted their core audience of busy professionals who would<br />

consume Doubleshot as a pick-me-up throughout the day.<br />

6.3.2 Coffee flavoured milk case study: CAFFE LATTE (Emmi)<br />

Turnover H1 2014: CHF 1,626 million<br />

Growth Sales: H1 2014: 3.7%<br />

Product variants: Coffee<br />

NPD: Expresso Zero, Flat White<br />

Target consumers: On-the-go<br />

Professionals<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Emmi is a Swiss dairy company that launched its coffee products in the UK in<br />

2004 and has done much to pioneer the flavoured milk coffee market. Its line<br />

of ready-to-drink chilled coffees come in five flavours: Cappuccino, Skinny,<br />

Espresso Zero, Vanilla and Caramel.<br />

This range of flavours aims to satisfy a variation of strengths (intense, medium<br />

and mild) and different tastes in coffee (less sugar, low calorie, flavoured and<br />

decaf). Its Espresso Zero version, which positions itself as a ‘no sugar added’<br />

and ‘no lactose’ alternative to its already well established drinks, was launched<br />

in 2015.<br />

Jul 2004<br />

Launch of Caffe<br />

Latte ready-todrink<br />

chilled<br />

coffee drink.<br />

Jan 2012<br />

Launch of<br />

limited edition<br />

vanilla ready-todrink<br />

offering<br />

Dec 2012<br />

Rebranding of<br />

low-calorie option<br />

to ‘skinny’, to<br />

bring in line with<br />

coffee shops.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Jul 2014<br />

Launch of ‘Mr Big’ 370ml<br />

product aimed at men,<br />

and on the road<br />

convenience bottles.<br />

Dec 2014<br />

Launch of Choco<br />

Lait drinks aimed<br />

at women, in<br />

caramel and<br />

original.<br />

Oct 2015<br />

Seasonal ‘Winter<br />

Collection’ cup<br />

launched for festive<br />

season.<br />

Figure 6.19: Evolution of Caffe Latte packaging and products<br />

Emmi Caffe Latte has been available in the market since 2004. Like Starbucks,<br />

they utilise a cup format for their small portion sizes of around 230ml – plastic<br />

has proved an attractive packaging material for their distinctive cup format.<br />

The packaging design hasn’t changed much from the original launch, but they<br />

did re-brand slightly once they had launched more flavours to give more<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

standout to the brand name and colour differentiation. They recently launched<br />

a more convenient UHT bottle format, differentiating them from their rivals.<br />

Jun 2012<br />

Campaign to encourage woman<br />

to take a ‘fantasy’ and blissful<br />

break from daily tasks.<br />

Strapline- ‘Another fresh<br />

fantasy brought to you by<br />

Emmi Caffe Latte’.<br />

Placed on public transport & in<br />

retail outlets.<br />

Apr 2013<br />

Short films celebrating New<br />

York coinciding with the<br />

launch of Caramel New York.<br />

Features celebrities on their<br />

favourite places in the city.<br />

Films released on social<br />

media, with chance to win<br />

trip to NYC.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

May 2015<br />

Campaign to engage brands<br />

key audience, built around ‘100<br />

# Fresh Kicks’ photo<br />

competition, giving away 100<br />

iPhone 6. Participation on<br />

social media and pack QR<br />

codes, supported by<br />

advertising campaign.<br />

6.20: Emmi Caffe Latte advertisement 2012-2015<br />

Advertising for Emmi Caffe Latte is primarily aimed at young, cosmopolitan<br />

women and plays on the escapist ritual of indulging in coffee. Originally<br />

advertising focused primarily on print advertising, but now utilises social media<br />

and filmography to increase brand awareness and encourage consumer<br />

engagement.<br />

6.4 Confectionery and dessert flavoured milk<br />

Confectionery flavoured milk is similar to traditional flavoured milk, but uses<br />

innovative flavours and indulgent textures. One of the key differences of this<br />

category is the occasion usage, with confectionery-flavoured milk being an<br />

occasional treat as opposed to an everyday purchase. However, this definition<br />

is limited and, as occurs with other categories, indulgence can be an everyday<br />

purchase. For example:<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• Mars has launched their most popular confectionwry products as<br />

flavoured milk: Starburst, Galaxy, Skittles, Mars Bar.<br />

• Mars has also developed products that could easily be placed in the<br />

alternative or functional drink category: Mars Refuel with added protein<br />

and packaged with the sports for the functional category, or Mars flavoured<br />

milk without lactose in the alternative milk category.<br />

This segment holds many possibilities for innovation. This is the most<br />

straightforward category in which to innovate because opportunity lies in<br />

translating popular confectionery and dessert flavours into flavoured milk:<br />

• Sticky toffee pudding, white chocolate, rocky road, millionaire’s shortbread<br />

and carrot cake are just a few examples.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

6.4.1 Confectionery milk case study: Mars<br />

Product variants: Confectionery and<br />

functional drinks<br />

To NPD: view Mars please <strong>Milk</strong> High-Protein and Mars<br />

Lactose-<strong>Free</strong><br />

Target consumers: Endurance athletes,<br />

sports participants and active children<br />

purchase full report<br />

Mars Chocolate Drinks and Treats Europe has launched a range of milk drinks<br />

that represent the leading confectionery brands they own:<br />

• Mars & Mars Caramel<br />

• Galaxy, Galaxy Caramel, Galaxy Mocha Latte<br />

• Bounty<br />

• <strong>Milk</strong>y Way<br />

• Snickers<br />

• Skittles<br />

• Maltesers<br />

• M&M’s Peanuts<br />

In 2015 Mars launched a higher protein version of their Mars milk drink and, in<br />

June, they launched their lactose-free variant.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Apr 2010<br />

Mars<br />

launches<br />

flavoured<br />

milk range.<br />

May 2007<br />

Rebranded<br />

as ‘Refuel’.<br />

Oct 2007<br />

Enters sports drink<br />

market by<br />

packaging ‘Refuel’<br />

in a 475ml sports<br />

cap bottle.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Apr 2011<br />

Revamp packaging of 1-<br />

litre cartons, 330ml &<br />

475ml bottles. Features<br />

milk splash to highlight<br />

goodness of milk.<br />

Oct 2012<br />

Mars Refuel adds<br />

caramel variant to<br />

accompany launch<br />

of caramel Mars<br />

bar.<br />

June 2015<br />

Launch of<br />

Mars <strong>Milk</strong><br />

lactose free.<br />

Figure 6.21: Evolution of Mars flavoured milk, products and packaging<br />

• Mars milkshakes have been available for over 13 years. While the branding<br />

has remained largely the same since its launch, the range of formats has<br />

diversified to cater to a wide range of consumers.<br />

• The rebranding to ‘Refuel’ and the launch of the sports cap format in 2007<br />

was a step towards appealing as an on-the-go product for active children<br />

and teenagers, rather than an indulgent treat for home. The addition of the<br />

milk splash in 2011 was another step towards appearing as more<br />

wholesome and natural.<br />

• The launch of the lactose-free variant in 2015 was a move to capitalise on<br />

the growing market for free-from products in the UK and a way of boosting<br />

the health perception of the brand.<br />

• Mars unveiled their first TV advertisement for the Mars <strong>Milk</strong> brand in 2009<br />

with the focus on promoting the creamy quality of the drinks, since then<br />

they have gathered a loyal following on social media and now utilise these<br />

platforms as a way to engage and interact with consumers. They run<br />

competitions and giveaways, and use the pages as a way of promoting<br />

new products such as Mars Caramel or Mars High Protein.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Jul 2009<br />

Mars unveiled first ever<br />

TV advertising campaign<br />

for their chilled drinks<br />

range. £1m activity<br />

highlighting creamy<br />

quality of milk based<br />

drinks.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

2012-2016<br />

Mars <strong>Milk</strong>s have a large<br />

social media presence &<br />

use this to promote the<br />

brand, offer giveaways<br />

for costumers and<br />

promote new products.<br />

Figure 6.22: Mars milk drinks advertising campaigns 2009-2016<br />

Mars unveiled their first TV advertisement for the Mars <strong>Milk</strong> brand in 2009 with<br />

the focus on promoting the creamy quality of the drinks, and since then they<br />

have gathered a loyal following on social media and now utilise these platforms<br />

as a way to engage and interact with consumers. They run competitions and<br />

giveaways, and use the pages as a way of promoting new products such as<br />

Mars Caramel or Mars High Protein. In the same year, Mars announced a<br />

sponsorship deal with the Football Association. Renewed in 2013, it was a way<br />

to target active young men wanting a treat after their exercise routines.<br />

6.4.2 Confectionery milk case study: Gü (Crediton Dairy)<br />

Turnover: £63.03 million<br />

Growth Sales: 124.32% (2014)<br />

Product variants: Confectionery and<br />

traditional flavoured milk<br />

NPD: Salted Caramel Flavour Hot<br />

Chocolate<br />

Target consumers: More affluent,<br />

indulgence orientated consumer.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Gü is a dessert brand which has expanded into flavoured milk. Since 2014,<br />

the product has been made under licence by Crediton Dairy. Unusually, it is<br />

meant to be served warm, rather than being the on-the-go proposition that<br />

many other brands focus on.<br />

With the UK hot chocolate category dominated by powders, there has been<br />

successful innovation with chocolate ‘spoons’, which allow chocolate to be<br />

melted in hot water. This demonstrates the willingness of consumers to try<br />

new products in this category. The Gü product is clearly aimed at adults as an<br />

indulgent treat with premium black packaging and the relatively high chocolate<br />

content in the formulation.<br />

6.5 Breakfast ready-to-drink milk<br />

With the increasingly hectic lifestyles of UK consumers, on-the-go breakfast<br />

propositions have been growing in popularity. This desire for convenience was<br />

exemplified by the breakfast biscuit category which saw rapid growth from<br />

2010 when Belvita Breakfast was launched.<br />

As consumers began to realise that breakfast biscuit products are not as<br />

healthy as they appear, sales started to decline and only a considerable<br />

amount of innovation has kept the market going. Protein drinks have since<br />

entered the UK market as an on-the-go breakfast alternative, which is both<br />

more satiating and nutritious than many other available options.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

This category is still in its infancy with Weetabix and Fuel the main brands<br />

available until the Australian brand, Up & Go, entered the market in 2015 with<br />

a large advertising and media spend. Oatly, the alternative milk brand, also<br />

launched an oat based dairy-free breakfast milk in 2014 in Scandinavia, but<br />

this is not available in the UK as yet.<br />

6.5.1 Breakfast milk case study: Weetabix on-the-go<br />

Weetabix Turnover 2014: £352bn<br />

Sales growth: -3.91%<br />

Product Variants: Breakfast<br />

NPD: Weetabix On-The-Go Protein<br />

Target consumers: Slimmers, children,<br />

professionals and commuters<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

• The Weetabix Food Company became a subsidiary of Bright Food Group<br />

Co Ltd in 2003, and in 2015 became partially owned by Baring Private<br />

Equity Asia.<br />

• The company launched Weetabix on-the-go breakfast drink in 2014, a<br />

ready-to-drink product that intends to replace traditional breakfasts with a<br />

combination of protein, carbohydrates and fibre.<br />

• The company emphasises the drink’s convenience: “chill it, drink it, bin it<br />

and get on with your day”.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• The product is available in four flavours: Chocolate, Strawberry, Vanilla<br />

and Banana. In response to the high-protein trend, Weetabix launched a<br />

high protein variant in July 2015. This comes in three flavours: Strawberry<br />

& Raspberry, Blueberry & Blackberry and Vanilla.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Jan 2014<br />

Launch of Weetabix Onthe-go<br />

breakfast drinks<br />

June 2015<br />

Launch of Weetabix Onthe-go<br />

Protein<br />

Figure 6.23: Evolution in Weetabix On-the-go breakfast milk, products and packaging<br />

Since its launch in 2014, packaging has remained the same. With generic<br />

branding that capitalises on the well-known Weetabix logo and style, it aims<br />

to appeal to all ages. With a 250ml bottle size it is suitable for most consumers.<br />

The protein product uses the silver packaging as a functional drink category<br />

cue to stand out on shelf as being more premium, with added benefits.<br />

2014<br />

£5m marketing campaign<br />

focusing on the drinks<br />

convenience.<br />

Included online, digital and<br />

outdoor adverts<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

2015<br />

TV advert focusing on<br />

convenience of on-the-go drink<br />

if you have little time for<br />

breakfast. Strapline- ‘A proper<br />

breakfast- bottled’<br />

Figure 6.24: Weetabix on-the-go advertising campaigns<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

The launch of Weetabix On-the-go was accompanied by a £5m marketing<br />

campaign, focusing on outdoor, online and digital activation. The television<br />

advertising focuses on targeting the busy on-the-go professionals who are too<br />

busy for a conventional breakfast. The strapline reads “A proper breakfast.<br />

Bottled” which helps to push the drinks convenience credentials.<br />

6.5.2 Breakfast milk case study: Fuel 10K<br />

Turnover 2014: £352,064,000<br />

Growth Sales: -3.91%<br />

To Product view Variants: please Breakfast<br />

NPD: Strawberry, Chocolate and Banana<br />

Target consumers: Males, on-the-go<br />

professionals, active consumers.<br />

purchase full report<br />

Fuel 10K Liquid Breakfast was launched in 2012, and is designed for active<br />

people who want to find extra time in their day to achieve their goals. The ‘fuel<br />

your 10k hours’ strapline comes from a quote by writer Malcolm Gladwell, who<br />

wrote ‘if you want to become brilliant at anything, you need to practice for<br />

10,000 hours’. Fuel 10k is available in 5 flavours: Banana, Caffé Latte,<br />

Chocolate, Strawberry and Vanilla. Each Tetra Pak 330ml unit has<br />

approximately 241 calories with 5.3g of fibre and 20g of protein.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Feb 2012<br />

Launch of Fuel 10k breakfast<br />

drinks<br />

Dec 2013<br />

Trial of Fuel 10k<br />

‘Full English’<br />

Figure 6.25: Evolution of Fuel 10k breakfast milk, product and packaging<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

• The Fuel 10k branding is bold and masculine, and has not changed<br />

since its launch. The use of black helps the bottles to stand out amongst<br />

competitors who typically use less bold colours. The brand name is<br />

clear and the unusual image of the eye is designed to capture<br />

consumer’s curiosity<br />

• Fuel 10k uses clear colour differentiation across the range. It has<br />

retained the single serve Tetra Prisma pack format which allows it to<br />

stand out from competition yet fit in with the cereal aisle where it is<br />

placed.<br />

• 2013 saw the launch of Fuel 10k Full English, a liquid version of the<br />

much loved fried breakfast. Although this product was met with good<br />

reviews on the internet it is no longer on sale, suggesting consumers<br />

are not ready for such radical innovation.<br />

6.6 Alternative flavoured milk<br />

• The dairy-free market has seen significant growth as more consumers look<br />

to plant alternatives to cow’s milk for a variety of health and ethical reasons.<br />

• Dairy alternatives come from many sources including nuts, legumes and<br />

grains.<br />

• According to Alpro, over 4.7m households buy plant-based food and<br />

drink regularly. This growth is in part down to expansion away from the core<br />

audience of vegans to encompass mainstream consumers looking for healthy<br />

products. This has been helped by extensive innovation within the category as<br />

products moved on from soy milk to various nut-based drinks, desserts and<br />

yogurts.<br />

The lactose-free market has also expanded, with key players such as the Arla<br />

Lactofree range experiencing innovation and growth.<br />

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• Consumer awareness of lactose intolerance, and increasing wealth<br />

among ethnic populations with high prevalence of lactose intolerance could<br />

be driving this trend.<br />

• <strong>Flavoured</strong> drinks have naturally followed on from the rapid growth of the<br />

dairy alternative market.<br />

• While chocolate flavours still reign supreme in the mainstream market<br />

there are a small number of products with innovative flavours such as coconut<br />

& pineapple (Provamel), chai (Rebel Kitchen) and orange mango (Oatly).<br />

• There is clearly room for more flavour development, though the difficulty<br />

lies in blending the distinctive flavour of the base milks with other flavours.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

6.6.1 Comparing dairy alternatives<br />

Soy<br />

Produced by • Same protein<br />

soaking dried content as<br />

soybeans. cow’s milk.<br />

•<br />

• Little saturated<br />

fat.<br />

Many<br />

products are<br />

fortified to<br />

increase<br />

•<br />

minerals esp.<br />

calcium<br />

Lactose-free<br />

Contains<br />

isoflavones<br />

which may help<br />

prevent heart<br />

disease.<br />

• High in<br />

phytoestrogens<br />

which can<br />

influence<br />

oestrogen<br />

levels. (Nagata et<br />

al., 2001).<br />

•<br />

• Curdles in<br />

Coffee.<br />

•<br />

• According to<br />

USDA, 94% of<br />

US soy crops<br />

are GM.<br />

Alpro<br />

Vitasoy<br />

Provamel<br />

Alpro<br />

Chocolate<br />

Vanilla<br />

Strawberry<br />

Almond<br />

Sweet, nutty<br />

taste.<br />

In 2015,<br />

Waitrose<br />

announced<br />

almond milk<br />

was its’<br />

customers<br />

preferred<br />

dairy<br />

alternative.<br />

Comparable<br />

protein levels to<br />

cow’s milk.<br />

Little saturated<br />

fat.<br />

Almonds are<br />

high in vitamins,<br />

minerals,<br />

healthy fats and<br />

fibre.<br />

Production<br />

needs vast<br />

volumes of<br />

water.<br />

Many almond<br />

milks contain<br />

around 2%<br />

almond with<br />

high sugar<br />

levels.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Almond<br />

Breeze<br />

Rude<br />

Health<br />

Eco Mill<br />

Alpro<br />

Provamel<br />

Eco Mill<br />

Agave<br />

sweetened<br />

Cacoa<br />

Vanilla,<br />

Alpro<br />

Dark<br />

Chocolate<br />

Hazelnut<br />

Smooth &<br />

creamy with<br />

rich hazelnut<br />

taste.<br />

Low in<br />

saturated fat.<br />

Contains<br />

vitamin E.<br />

Around 2.5%<br />

hazelnut with<br />

water and<br />

sugar the two<br />

main<br />

ingredients.<br />

Alpro<br />

Rice<br />

Watery<br />

consistency<br />

with sweet<br />

taste.<br />

Little natural fat<br />

No cholesterol<br />

Rice milk<br />

claimed to<br />

contain high<br />

arsenic levels.<br />

(Environmental<br />

Working Group)<br />

Rice<br />

Dream<br />

Rude<br />

Health<br />

Provamel<br />

Organic<br />

Rice,<br />

Coconut &<br />

Pineapple<br />

Low in calcium<br />

& protein, more<br />

carbohydrate<br />

than cow’s<br />

milk.<br />

Chocolate<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Higher in<br />

saturated fat<br />

and lower in<br />

protein than<br />

other<br />

alternatives.<br />

Alpro<br />

Koko<br />

Diary <strong>Free</strong><br />

Coconut<br />

Dream<br />

Rebel<br />

Kitchen<br />

Rebel<br />

Kitchen<br />

Chocolat<br />

Chai Mylk<br />

Alpro<br />

Almond<br />

Coconut<br />

Hemp<br />

Mild, slightly<br />

sweet taste.<br />

Often fortified<br />

with calcium<br />

and Vitamin<br />

D.<br />

Good<br />

alternative if<br />

allergic to dairy,<br />

nuts or soya.<br />

Rich in protein,<br />

magnesium and<br />

omega-3 and 6.<br />

Separates in<br />

coffee.<br />

Negative<br />

connotation of<br />

hemp distracts<br />

from the health<br />

benefits.<br />

Chi<br />

Good<br />

Hemp<br />

<strong>Milk</strong><br />

Oat<br />

Creamy, thin<br />

consistency<br />

and naturally<br />

sweet.<br />

Low in<br />

saturated fat,<br />

enriched with<br />

vitamins and<br />

calcium, high in<br />

fibre and iron.<br />

Good<br />

alternatives if<br />

allergic to dairy,<br />

soya or nuts.<br />

Contains more<br />

sugar and is<br />

higher in<br />

calories than<br />

some of the<br />

other milks.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Curdles in tea.<br />

Oatly<br />

Alpro<br />

Oat<br />

Dream<br />

Provitamil<br />

Oatly<br />

Chocolate<br />

Orange<br />

Mango<br />

Figure 6.26: Comparing pro’s, con’s and flavours of different plant-based dairy<br />

alternatives.<br />

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6.6.2 Alternative milk case study: Alpro<br />

Alpro Turnover 2014: €385m<br />

Growth in Alpro Soya drinks: 6% (2015)<br />

EU Dairy Market Share 2014: 3.5%<br />

Plant-based<br />

To view please<br />

Market Share 2015: 43.3%<br />

Target consumers: Vegans, weight conscious,<br />

health aware, people with dairy allergy/ intolerance<br />

Product Variants: Soy, Almond, Hazelnut,<br />

Coconut, Rice<br />

purchase full report<br />

Originally, Alpro aimed to create a more environmentally friendly type of ‘milk’<br />

directly based on soy. There are currently 3 soya flavours- chocolate,<br />

strawberry and vanilla, as well as an almond dark chocolate drink launched in<br />

2013. In March 2016 Alpro launched two on-the-go offerings- Fusion Soya<br />

Apple-Kiwi and Fusion Coconut pineapple lemongrass.<br />

Alpro have succeeded commercially with sales growth of 70% since 2012.<br />

Much of this growth is down to innovations such as nut milks, and NPD within<br />

their line of dairy free yoghurts and desserts. In 2014 they were listed in The<br />

Grocer’s list of Britain’s 100 Biggest Grocery Brands at number 100.<br />

Alpro is a company also known for its sustainability. They were able to reduce<br />

their carbon footprint by 50% between 2008 and 2013 thanks to increased<br />

energy efficiency in their factories.<br />

In recent years, alternative drinks have become increasingly popular with a<br />

variety of flavour variants. Alpro has kept up with these new trends and<br />

launched their competing flavour variants i.e. hazelnut, coconut and cashew,<br />

moving away from soya and becoming more about the goodness of ‘plant<br />

power’. Alpro rebranded their logo and packaging to remove references to<br />

soya, replacing it with the strapline “enjoy plant power” to reposition the brand<br />

as a plant based dairy-free brand with an abundance of flavours.<br />

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1980<br />

Launch of<br />

dairyalternative.<br />

brand, Alpro<br />

Jan 2012<br />

Overhaul of<br />

Alpro logo.<br />

‘Soya’ replaced<br />

with ‘enjoy<br />

plant power’<br />

Jan 2012<br />

Launch of<br />

almond and<br />

hazelnut milks.<br />

to achieve new<br />

Sept 2012<br />

Launch of UHT<br />

rice drink to<br />

help brand<br />

transition to a<br />

‘plant-based’<br />

brand.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Apr 2014<br />

Launch of<br />

coconut milk.<br />

Nov 2015<br />

Coconut<br />

almond milk to<br />

increase<br />

variety, and<br />

keep up with<br />

coconut milk<br />

trends.<br />

Mar 2016<br />

‘Fusion’ range<br />

launched in onthe-go<br />

format.<br />

Exotic flavours<br />

Figure 6.27: Evolution of Alpro alternative milks, product and packaging<br />

• Key consumer groups for Alpro are those looking to manage their weight<br />

with lower calorie alternatives to cow’s milk, those looking to avoid lactose<br />

for digestive issues, and individuals concerned about the environmental or<br />

animal welfare implications of dairy farming as well as general health aware<br />

consumers wanting to try something new.<br />

• Alpro’s repositioning from a soya milk brand to a general dairy alternative<br />

brand has helped them appeal to a wider range of consumers with their<br />

other products in their range. They were able to capitalise on growing<br />

consumer awareness of almonds and coconuts as superfoods and this has<br />

certainly helped them grow.<br />

• With their clean, neutral packaging they are conferring a naturally healthy<br />

product and are appealing to a broad range of consumers.<br />

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Jan 2010<br />

Alpro launched TV<br />

& press<br />

advertising<br />

campaign<br />

targeting older<br />

woman. Strapline-<br />

‘recommended by<br />

kids for active<br />

adults’.<br />

Apr 2011<br />

Alpro launches<br />

its presence<br />

across the foodservice<br />

sector,<br />

becoming the<br />

sponsor of the<br />

UK’s first ever<br />

Coffee Week.<br />

Jun 2012<br />

Alpro collaborates<br />

with Uma Healy<br />

from the band ‘the<br />

Saturdays’, to<br />

promote the ‘power<br />

of plant-based<br />

eating’ through PR,<br />

print, online & radio<br />

campaign.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Jan 2013<br />

Blogger campaign<br />

focussing on<br />

people who eat<br />

lunch at their desk<br />

to consume<br />

healthy Alpro<br />

products.<br />

‘Deskfests’.<br />

2015<br />

TV ad highlights<br />

healthy qualities of<br />

Alpro, aimed at<br />

young woman.<br />

Almond drink brand<br />

collaborated with<br />

London Fashion<br />

Week.<br />

Figure 6.28: Alpro advertising campaigns 2010-15<br />

• Alpro’s advertising is skewed towards females with a broad age spread as<br />

this is their primary audience. The recent collaboration with London<br />

Fashion Week and Women’s Health in particular has focused on appealing<br />

to younger women conscious of their health and appearance. Through this<br />

they have aligned the brand with healthiness and beauty, in line with their<br />

core health and wellbeing message.<br />

• Alpro focus on TV advertising campaigns, blogger campaigns, social media<br />

and print advertising to promote the goodness of their products.<br />

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6.6.3 Alternative milk case study: Blue Diamond<br />

Turnover 2014: £75 million<br />

Number of people in the cooperative:<br />

3,000 To view + please<br />

Company age: 105<br />

Target consumers: Vegans, weight<br />

conscious, health aware<br />

Most popular product: Almond milk<br />

Profit growth: 37%<br />

purchase full report<br />

This almond-based company grows its raw material in California, where it is<br />

based. In the UK, the Blue Diamond stockists are Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Asda,<br />

Morrisons, Waitrose and Ocado.<br />

• Blue Diamond offered the UK’s first reduced sugar almond milk drink,<br />

further improving their health credentials and appealing to health aware<br />

consumers. In the UK they launched a vanilla flavoured product, though<br />

this is their only flavoured product in the main retailers.<br />

• The Almond Breeze range launched in 2012 with three flavour variants. The<br />

packaging is clear and clean and stands out on-shelf. The vibrant<br />

American-style colours differentiate the range well and the focus of the<br />

‘pouring’ image appeals to UK consumers. The brand and the packaging<br />

has remained unchanged since its launch in the UK.<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

2012<br />

Launch of US giant Blue<br />

Diamond Almond Breeze,<br />

offering in original,<br />

unsweetened and chocolate<br />

flavours.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Launch of<br />

Vanilla Blue<br />

Diamond<br />

Almond <strong>Milk</strong>.<br />

Figure 6.29: Blue Diamond evolution of products and packaging.<br />

2014<br />

Launch of Almond Breeze<br />

reduced sugar products.<br />

• Blue Diamond focused their original marketing push on a TV advertising<br />

campaign that aired during a Coronation Street break. The campaign<br />

highlights the health credentials of Blue Diamond Almond Breeze with the<br />

strapline “Goodness is now gorgeous”.<br />

• The TV advertising in 2014 also focused solely on the low calorie content<br />

of their products, attempting to appeal to a mainstream consumer<br />

audience of weight conscious consumers.<br />

2012<br />

UK launch of Blue<br />

Diamond Almond <strong>Milk</strong>.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Feb 2013<br />

TV advert on ITV1 as part of<br />

£3m advertising campaign.<br />

Highlighted health benefits of<br />

almond milk.<br />

Dec 2014<br />

Ad focusing on calorie content<br />

& fat content in Blue Diamond<br />

and skimmed milk. Strapline-<br />

‘Goodness is now gorgeous’.<br />

Figure 6.30: Blue Diamond Almond Breeze advertising campaigns 2012-14<br />

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6.7 Summary<br />

• Categories are transitioning towards the low-sugar or high-protein trend.<br />

• Coffee, confectionery and traditional flavoured milk are blurring the<br />

‘functional drink’ category line with added-protein.<br />

• Products are becoming more tailored to the customers’ needs.<br />

• Private-label competition is strong for traditional flavoured milk and coffee<br />

categories.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

• Brands have more non own label market space in the alternative,<br />

confectionery, functional and breakfast categories.<br />

• Retailers have created competitive variations in the traditional and coffee<br />

flavour categories.<br />

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7. MERCHANDISING AND PRICING<br />

Currently, flavoured milk can be found in several locations in UK supermarkets:<br />

• The Chilled Dairy Aisle: Traditional flavoured milk drinks, functional<br />

dairy drinks, confectionery drinks, coffee drinks and some dairy alternatives<br />

are often placed above white milk.<br />

• The Cereal Aisle: Breakfast drinks are placed in the the on-the-go<br />

breakfast cereals section in the cereals aisle, near the on-the-go alternatives<br />

(i.e. pots of porridge). These are UHT shelf-stable products.<br />

• Lunch Meal Deals: <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk is placed next to the lunch deals<br />

section at the front of the store. Coffee flavoured milk is the most popular<br />

alternative in this aisle.<br />

• Promotional Areas: <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk, particularly coffee and traditional<br />

flavoured milk is placed in the promotions sections of supermarkets on aisle<br />

or gondola end. These can be themed around convenience (e.g. lunch deals)<br />

and occasion usage (breakfast options).<br />

• Specialised Dairy Fixture: <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk can, in some circumstances,<br />

also be placed in the dairy aisle near yoghurt, another dairy derivative preferred<br />

for high-protein content. In Tesco this is the ‘Active Health Fixture’.<br />

• Health & Beauty: In some instances, sports nutrition and slimming<br />

drinks can be placed next to energy drinks in the ambient health & beauty<br />

section of the store.<br />

• Ambient Drinks: It is also possible for some drinks, particularly sports<br />

nutrition drinks, to be placed alongside energy drinks in the ambient section.<br />

• Ambient UHT Aisle: UHT dairy alternatives are often placed in their<br />

own section in the ambient aisles, typically in the tea & coffee aisle. Some<br />

ambient flavoured dairy milk can also be found in this aisle.<br />

• Ethnic Foods: Nurishment Original cans can often be found in the<br />

ambient aisles alongside ethnic foods.<br />

The following schematics show where the various retailers place their product:<br />

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7.1 Tesco<br />

7.1.1 Tesco chilled dairy aisle<br />

Own-brand<br />

Traditional<br />

To view please Coffee milk<br />

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Traditional<br />

Coffee <strong>Milk</strong><br />

White milk


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

7.1.2 Tesco chilled protein aisle<br />

Functional protein drinks<br />

Functional protein drinks<br />

To view please<br />

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Yoghurt drinks<br />

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7.1.3 Tesco ambient cereal aisle<br />

Breakfast drinks<br />

To view please<br />

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Oat based cereal products<br />

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7.1.4 Tesco: traditional flavoured milk pricing 2016<br />

To view please<br />

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7.1.5 Tesco coffee and breakfast milk pricing 2016<br />

To view please<br />

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7.1.6 Tesco functional and protein flavoured milk pricing 2016<br />

To view please<br />

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7.1.7 Tesco confectionery and alternative flavoured milk pricing 2016<br />

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7.2 Sainsbury’s<br />

7.2.1 chilled dairy aisle<br />

Alternative<br />

Traditional<br />

Own-brand<br />

Protein Coffee milk Traditional<br />

White To view milk please<br />

purchase full report<br />

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7.2.2 Sainsbury’s cereal aisle<br />

Oat based breakfast products<br />

Breakfast milks<br />

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Breakfast milks<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

7.2.3: Sainsbury’s ambient functional drink<br />

aisle<br />

Functional protein drinks<br />

To view please<br />

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Other energy drinks<br />

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7.2.4 Sainsbury’s ambient milk aisle<br />

Traditional<br />

Alternative<br />

Alternative<br />

Alternative<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Alternative<br />

Long life milk<br />

Alternative<br />

Alternative<br />

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7.2.5 Sainsbury’s traditional flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.2.6 Sainsbury’s coffee and breakfast flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.2.7 Sainsbury’s functional/protein flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.2.8 Sainsbury’s confectionery and alternative flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.3 ASDA<br />

7.3.1 ASDA chilled dairy aisle<br />

Lactosefree<br />

Coffee milk<br />

Alternative<br />

Own-brand<br />

Traditional<br />

White milk<br />

To view please<br />

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7.3.2 ASDA cereal aisle<br />

Breakfast milks<br />

Breakfast milks<br />

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Oat based breakfast products<br />

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7.3.3 ASDA ambient dairy & alternative<br />

aisle<br />

Traditional<br />

Long-life milk<br />

To view please<br />

purchase Alternative full report<br />

Alternative<br />

Long-life milk<br />

Lactosefree<br />

Long-life milk<br />

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7.3.4 ASDA traditional flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.3.5 ASDA coffee and breakfast flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.3.6 ASDA functional /protein flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.3.7 ASDA confectionery and alternative flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.4 Morrisons<br />

7.4.1 Morrisons chilled dairy aisle<br />

Coffee milk<br />

Yoghurts<br />

Goat’s milk<br />

White milk<br />

Lactose-free<br />

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Alternative<br />

Alternative<br />

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7.4.2 Morrisons ambient milk aisle<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong> milk powder<br />

<strong>Milk</strong> flavouring<br />

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Traditional<br />

Long life milk<br />

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7.4.3 Morrisons traditional flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.4.4 Morrisons coffee and breakfast flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.4.5 Morrisons functional/ protein flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.4.6 Morrisons confectionery and alternative flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.5 Waitrose<br />

7.5.1 Waitrose chilled dairy aisle<br />

Traditional<br />

Coffee milk<br />

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Lactosefree<br />

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White milk<br />

White milk<br />

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7.5.2 Waitrose cereal aisle<br />

Oat based<br />

products<br />

Breakfast milks<br />

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Oat based breakfast products<br />

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7.5.3 Waitrose ambient milk aisle<br />

Alternative<br />

Own brand<br />

alternative<br />

Alternative (rice & oat)<br />

Own brand<br />

Alternative<br />

alternative<br />

Own brand<br />

alternative<br />

Alternative (Almond)<br />

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Long-life milk<br />

Long-life milk<br />

Lactosefree<br />

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7.5.4 Waitrose traditional flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.5.5 Waitrose coffee and breakfast flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.5.6 Waitrose functional/ protein flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.5.6 Waitrose confectionery and alternative flavoured milk prices 2016<br />

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7.6 The Co-operative<br />

7.6.1 The Co-operative chilled dairy aisle<br />

Traditional/ confectionery<br />

Own brand<br />

Alternative<br />

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White milk<br />

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7.6.2 The Co-operative chilled on-the-go drinks<br />

Functional flavoured milk<br />

On-the-go drinks<br />

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8. THE FUTURE OF THE FLAVOURED MILK MARKET<br />

There are various political, technological, social and environmental factors set to impact<br />

the future flavoured milk market, on both a global, European and UK level. These are all<br />

issues which the flavoured milk industry must be aware of and respond to, in order to<br />

achieve market growth. Each of these factors are explained in greater detail in the coming<br />

pages.<br />

POLITICAL<br />

Global<br />

End of China’s one<br />

child policy<br />

Europe<br />

Removal of EU<br />

milk quotas<br />

UK<br />

Brexit<br />

Sugar Tax<br />

ENVIRONMENTAL<br />

Europe<br />

Potential tax on carbon<br />

emissions from animal<br />

derived products<br />

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TECHNOLOGICAL<br />

Europe<br />

Innovative natural sweeteners<br />

UK<br />

Lack of UK co-packers and<br />

bottling plants<br />

SOCIAL<br />

UK<br />

Consumer support<br />

for UK farmers<br />

Ageing population<br />

Hectic lifestyles<br />

Desire for plantbased<br />

milk<br />

alternatives.<br />

Figure 8.1: Political, environmental, social and technological factors influencing the flavoured milk<br />

market.


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Political factors<br />

• Removal of EU milk quotas is in part responsible for low dairy prices, which have<br />

fell 30% between 2013 and 2015 (BBC July 2016), as global milk production overtook<br />

demand. This has a significant impact on the flavoured milk market as flavoured<br />

milk becomes an attractive opportunity to add value back onto dairy products.<br />

• The abolition of the Chinese one child policy is likely to have an impact on the<br />

global flavoured milk market. An impending rise in infant population in China could<br />

represent a significant opportunity for the flavoured milk market.<br />

• Other domestic political factors that could affect the flavoured milk market are the<br />

UK’s exit from the European Union, and the implementation of a ‘sugar tax’ on<br />

high-sugar drinks (excluding milk-based drinks) in 2018.<br />

Technological factors<br />

• Alternative sweeteners, such as stevia and coconut palm sugar, signify an<br />

important development for the flavoured milk market.<br />

• Bottling facilities available in the UK has a substantial impact on the market.<br />

Currently there is a lack of contract manufacturers able to produce flavoured milk<br />

in UHT plastic bottles, with the majority of UHT products being produced in<br />

continental Europe.<br />

Social factors<br />

• Growing support for British farmers has already impacted consumer purchase<br />

patterns within the white milk market, with Morrisons ‘<strong>Milk</strong> for Farmers’ brand<br />

performing well.<br />

• An ageing population in the UK is an important factor to be considered by food and<br />

drink brands, as consumer needs and preferences change.<br />

• Increasingly hectic lifestyles and a growing interest in plant-based diets are<br />

both factors which have already impacted the food and drink market, with on-thego<br />

propositions and dairy alternatives both seeing good growth.<br />

Environmental considerations<br />

• A tax on carbon emissions associated with animal derived products is another<br />

factor likely to have an impact on the flavoured milk market.<br />

• Growing awareness of environmental impacts of cattle production, through films<br />

like ‘Cowspiracy’, may increase sales of plant-based milk alternative<br />

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8.1 Political: UK ‘Sugar Tax’<br />

Of all the future challenges, sugar is a very significant issue that the flavoured milk industry<br />

will have to deal with over the next decade.<br />

Sugar is an integral part of the flavoured milk product, which is ordinarily comprised of<br />

milk, sugar and flavourings. However, high-profile celebrity endorsed campaigns and<br />

government led initiatives are beginning to turn the tide on sugar. A 2015 report published<br />

by Public Health UK entitled ‘Sugar reduction: from evidence into action’ calling for a tax<br />

on high sugar foods sparked opposition within the food and drink industry, who cited a lack<br />

of evidence that the tax would be effective.<br />

Cost of<br />

obesity<br />

Obesity-related health issues are costing the NHS<br />

approximately £5.1 billion each year. (NICE 2013)<br />

Prevalence of<br />

obesity<br />

International<br />

evidence<br />

In 2015, 25% of adults, 10% of 4 to 5 year olds and<br />

19% of 10 to 11 year olds were obese. (HSCIC 2015)<br />

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A sugary drink tax in Mexico led to a 12% increase in<br />

sales of sugar-free drinks after one year. (Colchero<br />

2016)<br />

Opinion of<br />

NHS<br />

Figure 8.2: The case for the UK sugar tax<br />

Head of NHS England says that a sugar tax of 10% to<br />

20% could be effective in saving lives.<br />

-free drinks after one year (BMJ 2016)<br />

In March 2016, the then Chancellor George Osbourne announced a tax on soft drinks,<br />

which will come into force in 2018. Figure 8.3 details how this drinks tax will work. <strong>Milk</strong>based<br />

drinks are exempt from the tax, meaning at present there is no direct impact upon<br />

the flavoured milk industry. However, the tax illustrates a general trend towards low-sugar<br />

drinks, which may affect consumer sales, and flavoured milk manufacturers may want to<br />

voluntarily respond to these signals.<br />

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How will the sugar tax work?<br />

• Companies will be taxed on the sugary drinks they manufacture<br />

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• There are two tax brackets, depending on the drinks sugar level.<br />

• Drinks containing sugar above 5g/ 100ml will be levied at 18p/l<br />

• Drinks containing sugar above 8g/ 100ml will be levied at 24p/l<br />

Fruit juice and milk-based drinks are exempt from the tax<br />

Figure 8.3: How the 2018 sugar tax will be implemented (BBC 2016)<br />

8.2 A short history of sugar and flavoured milk (1933-2016)<br />

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Figure 8.4: History of flavoured milk & sugar<br />

The questioning of the role of sugar can be traced back to John Yudkin’s seminal 1972<br />

book, “Pure, Whole and Deadly.” This led to the introduction of artificial sweeteners such<br />

aspartame in 1982 and saccharine in 1995, billed as the healthier alternative to sugar. More<br />

recently this has been questioned, with unsubstantiated reports that these substances<br />

cause multiple health problems including cancer.<br />

The food industry is increasingly looking into the use of natural sweeteners including stevia<br />

syrup, derived from a shrub indigenous to America, which was approved for use in Europe<br />

in 2011.<br />

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Despite the availability of artificial and natural sweeteners, the flavoured milk industry has<br />

been slow to embrace the lower sugar theme. There is evidence that the tide is now turning,<br />

with certain brands, notably Frijj, developing reduced sugar versions of their most popular<br />

offerings.<br />

8.3 The sugar debate in the UK<br />

Why is the sugar debate so lively now?<br />

• In October 2015, Public Health UK published the report Sugar Reduction:<br />

The evidence for action.<br />

• 25% of adults, 10% of 4 to 5 years olds and 19% of 10 to 11 year olds in<br />

England are obese.<br />

• March 2016, the Chancellor announces “Sugar Tax” to be implemented in<br />

2018.<br />

How is the<br />

debate<br />

happening?<br />

• Through social<br />

media<br />

• At food and<br />

drink industry<br />

events<br />

• In parliament<br />

• Academic<br />

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What is it about?<br />

• The UK<br />

population is<br />

eating too much<br />

sugar.<br />

• It is a public<br />

health issue<br />

costing the<br />

NHS £5.1bn<br />

annually.<br />

through related<br />

Where is it<br />

happening?<br />

Globally, specifically:<br />

• United States<br />

• European Union<br />

• United Kingdom<br />

Figure 8.4: Understanding the 2016 sugar debate in the UK<br />

Who does it<br />

affect?<br />

• The UK<br />

population<br />

• The UK<br />

Government<br />

• The Food and<br />

Drink Industry<br />

• Charities<br />

When did it begin?<br />

Over the past 30-40 years, food, including sugar:<br />

• Has become more readily available, more convenient and more<br />

processed<br />

• Is subject to more marketing and advertising.<br />

• In real terms, it is much cheaper. Sugar is no longer a luxury.<br />

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8.4 Current UK Sugar Consumption<br />

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Figure 8.5: Understanding the difference between intrinsic and extrinsic sugars<br />

Most of the debate focuses on the effects of ‘non-milk extrinsic sugars’ (NMES), with some<br />

analysts making a distinction between ‘good’ sugars and ‘bad’ sugars in the same way that<br />

‘good’ and ‘bad’ fats are described.<br />

8.4.1 Historic per capita consumption of NMES in the UK (1704-2012)<br />

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Figure 8.6: Historic annual per capita consumption of NMES sugars in the UK (kg) –<br />

1704 to 2012<br />

Since the Victorian era, annual per capita consumption of NMES sugars in the UK has been<br />

rising, reaching a peak in the 1970s. Since 1996, efforts in product reformulation have led<br />

to a decrease of annual per capita consumption of NMES.<br />

However, annual per capita consumption of NMES continues to be higher than the<br />

recommended daily average for most UK adults and children.<br />

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8.4.2 Non-milk extrinsic sugars (NMES) by gender and age group<br />

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Figure 8.7: Non-milk extrinsic sugar annual per capita consumption (kgs), National Diet and<br />

Nutrition Survey (2014)<br />

8.4.3 Sources of NMES by age group<br />

Figure 8.8: Children aged 1.5- 3 Figure 8.9: Children aged 1.5- 3<br />

years<br />

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Figure 8.10: Teenagers aged 11-18<br />

years<br />

Figure 8.11: Adults aged 19-64 years<br />

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Figure 8.12: Adults aged 65+<br />

• Teenagers (11 to 18 years of age) where found to consume most sugar. Adults over 65<br />

were found to consume the least sugar. Males consumed more sugar per capita across<br />

all age groups.<br />

• Infants, children and teenagers consume most of their sugar in soft drinks, followed by<br />

sugar, sweets and jam. Adults in both age categories consumed most of their sugar in<br />

sugar, sweets & jams, followed by soft drinks.<br />

• Children between the ages of 1 to 3 consume the most dairy derived sugar, with 19%<br />

of their sugar consumption coming from milk<br />

• Children between the ages of 4 to 10 derive 14% of their sugar intake from dairy<br />

sources.<br />

• Adults derive least amount of sugar from dairy sources, with only 8% of NMES coming<br />

from milk products.<br />

8.5 Comparative sugar content of sweetened drinks<br />

There is a wide variation of sugar levels within flavoured milk. Whilst carbonated drinks<br />

contain the highest levels of sugar, flavoured milks are not far behind, making them targets<br />

for sugar campaigners.<br />

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Figure 8.13: comparative sugar content of sweetened drinks<br />

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8.5.1 <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk sugar content<br />

Below we have profiled the sugar content for flavoured milk bestsellers per bottle, which is<br />

usually consumed in one sitting. Items are organized into Power Categories, with items on<br />

the left containing the highest amounts of sugar.<br />

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Figure 8.14: The sugar content of flavoured milk<br />

Maxi <strong>Milk</strong> Extreme has the least sugar per bottle, perhaps reflecting the health conscious<br />

nature of functional drink consumers. It also contains the least sugar per 100ml, at 1.2 tsp/<br />

100ml, closely followed by Frijj Reduced Sugar at 1.4tsp/100ml. Fuel 10k contained the<br />

most sugar per 100ml with 3.3 tsp. closely followed by Dunn’s River Nurishment at 3.1tsp/<br />

100ml.<br />

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8.6 Public health policies<br />

Government and health bodies in the UK are looking at a variety of statutory and voluntary<br />

interventions, all of which could impact on the flavoured milk market.<br />

8.6.1 Suggested actions on sugar<br />

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Figure 8.15: Suggested actions on sugar, Public Health UK<br />

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8.7 Arguments for and against the ‘sugar tax’<br />

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curb<br />

Figure 8.16: Arguments for and against the sugar tax<br />

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8.8 Evaluating the sugar tax<br />

The introduction of a food tax can change the consumer’s behaviour. As the rise in product<br />

price predicts a fall in demand. Even if the change in behaviour is small, it is significant in<br />

terms of health. There have been, however, multiple responses to the introduction of sugar<br />

levies in different parts of the world.<br />

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Figure 8.17: Sugar tax experiences from other countries<br />

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8.9 Will the sugar-tax affect flavoured milk?<br />

In a nutshell, no. The upcoming sugar tax is designed to increase prices on soft drinks, but<br />

excludes fruit juices and milk-based products.<br />

Tam Fry of the National Health Obesity forum provides a helpful clarification. Speaking in<br />

January 2016 he said:<br />

“We are talking about a tax on sugary drinks which are without nutrition<br />

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and injurious. It would be wrong to tax sugar in foodstuffs as that would<br />

hit the poor hardest”.<br />

However, this is not to say that the tax will affect the flavoured milk market. On the one<br />

hand, it may be favourable for the industry, as consumers substitute sugar laden soft drinks<br />

with cheaper, milk-based alternative.<br />

The 2018 sugar tax could represent a larger market signal, with a general consumer trend<br />

towards healthy eating and weight consciousness. There could be opportunities for the<br />

flavoured milk industry to tap into this trend by developing lower sugar products.<br />

8.9.1 Alternative sweeteners<br />

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Figure 8.18: Comparison of non-sugar based sweeteners that could be utilised by the<br />

flavoured milk industry.<br />

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8.9.2 How can flavoured milk brands move towards reduced-sugar?<br />

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Figure 8.19: Strategies for flavoured milk brands to reduce sugar usage<br />

The sugar tax has been met with controversy within the food and drink industry, with claims<br />

it creates unfair competition as other unhealthy foods are not taxed. However, there are<br />

untapped opportunities within the flavoured milk sector to create products for health<br />

conscious consumers who like the flavours and dairy goodness but without the adverse<br />

effects of sugar. By using non-sugar sweeteners discussed in figure 8.18, and by tailoring<br />

products to health conscious consumers such as gym-goers and parents, manufacturers<br />

could open up entirely new markets.<br />

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8.9.3 Case study: Frijj Reduced Sugar<br />

In February 2015, a sugar-reduced version of the UK’s most popular<br />

milkshake was launched.<br />

The product contains 40% less sugar and is offered in the brand’s bestselling<br />

flavours: Choc-o-chocolate and Seriously Strawberry.<br />

Reformulation achieved a lower sugar version that doesn’t compromise on<br />

taste by incorporating the sweeteners Acesulfame K and Sucralose.<br />

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Figure 8.20: Frijj Reduced Sugar<br />

8.10 The removal of EU milk quotas<br />

On 1 st April 2015, the long-standing EU milk quota system was lifted. In the long-term,<br />

predictions were made about redistribution of milk products in the UK, though no major<br />

changes were predicted for EU milk production.<br />

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Figure 8.21: EU 28 milk production in million litres, 2012-2015 (Dairy Co)<br />

Total increase in production was forecasted at 1% for 2015/16. Since the quotas were<br />

removed, production levels have been higher than forecasted (see figure 8.21).<br />

Subsequently, milk prices have declined, reaching levels not observed since 2009 due to<br />

oversupply.<br />

EU production has generally been increasing year-on-year. This, combined with several<br />

factors that include the 2014 Russian embargo on agricultural imports and subdued<br />

demand from China, has led to a decline in global demand and thus, on incomes for EU<br />

farmers.<br />

As the global population and incomes continues to grow, and demand for dairy rises, the<br />

long-term prospects for dairy production remains positive. As seen in figure 8.22, EU<br />

exports of dairy products are generally increasing. This is despite the Russian embargo in<br />

2014 which restricted exports and in doing so helped the EU establish and grow trade<br />

relationships with other countries.<br />

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Figure 8.22: EU total dairy exports in tonnes (AHDB 2015)<br />

8.10.1 Implications for flavoured milk market<br />

According to the EU Commission, low milk prices are expected to improve in 2016, with<br />

the strengthening of the EU economy and a rise in internal demand.<br />

<strong>Flavoured</strong> milk is the ideal outlet for surplus milk as it is a high value product and global<br />

demand is increasing, particularly in developing countries where milk imports are expected<br />

to grow. <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk producers should therefore focus on developing products targeted<br />

at these fast-growing economies where EU trade relationships are strong.<br />

8.11 Abolition of China’s one-child policy<br />

In October 2015, the Chinese government announced to abolition of their longstanding<br />

one-child policy, now allowing families to have 2 children if they wish. Initially China’s birth<br />

rate is expected to rise but not dramatically peak, as Chinese women have become more<br />

career-oriented.<br />

However, China will still remain the world’s largest flavoured milk consumer and therefore<br />

will continue to be crucial to the development of the global category.<br />

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For the UK flavoured milk market, this represents a key opportunity for export. This is<br />

especially true lactose-free milk products that fit with China’s high prevalence of lactose<br />

intolerance.<br />

8.12 Environmental concerns: tax on carbon emissions<br />

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Figure 8.23: UK emissions from agriculture, forestry and fishing (ONS)<br />

According to the National Office of Statistics, total UK greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions<br />

have been decreasing year-on-year. However, emissions for the agricultural sector present<br />

a slightly more static pattern accounting for approximately 10% of the UK’s total GHG<br />

emissions (see figure 8.23). Cows are responsible for a large proportion of agriculture’s<br />

methane emissions through rumination, digestion and slurry management. It has been<br />

estimated that a typical dairy cow emits 117kg of methane annually, equivalent to driving<br />

12,000km in a petrol car (Houses of Parliament Postnote 2014).<br />

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Agricultural GHG emissions do not account for transport or other associated emissions.<br />

That is, the agricultural sector emissions figure does not reflect its true GHG emissions and<br />

is estimated to be higher than shown.<br />

With the Climate Change Act 2008 committing to at<br />

least an 80% cut in UK GHG emissions by 2050<br />

compared to a 1990 baseline, it is important for the<br />

agricultural industry to address GHG emissions.<br />

While there is a voluntary initiative for the industry,<br />

the ‘greenhouse gas action plan’, there has been talk<br />

of a carbon tax for agriculture. Similar carbon taxes<br />

exist countries including Canada and Australia, but<br />

have not included the agricultural sector due to<br />

logistical and financial constraints.<br />

Although an emissions tax is not an imminent topic<br />

in agriculture it is something both farmers and dairyproduce<br />

manufacturers should be aware of.<br />

8.13 UK exit from the European Union<br />

Following a closely fought referendum in June 2016, the UK opted to leave the European<br />

Union. At the time of writing, the conditions of exit have not been set out, and could take<br />

several years to negotiate new trade agreements. At present it is difficult to fairly weigh up<br />

how these political developments will affect the UK’s flavoured milk industry, however there<br />

are some predictions that can be drawn out.<br />

According to the Food and Drink Federation, 73% of the UK’s agri-food exports are to other<br />

EU states. For dairy products in particular, trade with the EU is of upmost importance. In<br />

2015, 90% of UK dairy exports went to other EU states, with 99.4% of dairy imports coming<br />

from the EU.<br />

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Brexit: negative effects<br />

Membership to the EU meant free<br />

movement of goods between member<br />

states, and the elimination of tariffs and<br />

border controls. The UK will now need to<br />

renegotiate trading deals, and it is<br />

uncertainty as to how this will work.<br />

UK farmers will no longer be supported<br />

by the Common Agricultural Policy. Defra<br />

figures show 55% of UK farming income<br />

came from CAP payments, helping<br />

through periods of market volatility.<br />

Relaxing high EU food standards to lower<br />

production costs will be difficult as<br />

exports to the EU will still need to meet<br />

these standards.<br />

Brexit: positive effects<br />

British companies will no longer be<br />

subject to EU environmental or<br />

labour regulations, making the UK<br />

more competitive on the global level.<br />

The UK will be able to decide upon<br />

its own regulations.<br />

Switzerland and Norway’s versions<br />

of the CAP provide more support for<br />

farmers than the EU CAP does. The<br />

UK could now perhaps offer even<br />

better support to farmers.<br />

The UK paid in more money than it<br />

directly received from the EU. In<br />

2014 it contributed a net of £9.8bn,<br />

around 1.5% of total UK public<br />

expenditure.<br />

States in the EEA must comply with EU<br />

safety legislation to have the right to<br />

trade with the EU. Despite not being a<br />

member, Norway still contributes £106<br />

per person to the EU, compared to £153<br />

by the UK.<br />

To view please<br />

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If the UK were to contribute to the<br />

EU budget in a similar way to<br />

Norway, HM Treasury estimates UK<br />

contribution would fall by 30%.<br />

EU trade agreements with the rest of the<br />

world increase the UK’s market access.<br />

This has certainly been influential in<br />

increasing the UK’s agri-food exports to<br />

international countries.<br />

Leaving the EU could result in a<br />

devaluation of Sterling for a<br />

sustained period. This would be<br />

overall good for UK food and drink<br />

exports (though not imports).<br />

Leaving the EU and being in the EEA may<br />

mean having to abide by many of the<br />

same rules and having to pay<br />

contributions without the power to shape<br />

them.<br />

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At present, uncertainty is the key word used by many dairy producers and manufacturers,<br />

however many companies are promising business as usual.<br />

• Arla, the largest farmer owned dairy cooperative in Europe, announced it is committed<br />

to business in the UK, but that free movement of milk across European states is key to<br />

its success.<br />

• Danone announced similar commitment, stating it will continue to monitor the situation.<br />

• Others such as the NFU are treating Brexit with caution, calling on the UK government<br />

to make new trade arrangements as a matter of urgency.<br />

Key issues specifically affecting the flavoured milk industry<br />

• Trade negotiation with the EU;<br />

• Removal of CAP could cause crisis in farming, potentially increasing milk prices as<br />

more farmers go out of business;<br />

• Changes in food safety legislation;<br />

• Reliance on EU bottling and co-packing facilities;<br />

• Loss of EU research funds.<br />

8.14 Social: supporting British farmers<br />

In recent years, the practice of using milk as a loss leading product<br />

has had a significant impact on farmers’ profitability. One in 10 dairy<br />

farmers have gone out of business between 2013 and 2016 (AHDB<br />

2016). This has led to consumer concern for farmers’ welfare and<br />

major retailers are beginning to respond to this. This has been<br />

mostly clearly exemplified by Morrisons’ ‘<strong>Milk</strong> for Farmers’ brand,<br />

which allows customers to voluntarily pay a premium to pass back<br />

to dairy farmers. This sparked controversy among British<br />

consumers, as it emerged that this premium is actually shared<br />

among Arla’s continental farmers rather than solely UK farmers as<br />

the packaging implies.<br />

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This desire to support UK dairy farmers is closely linked to the growing trend for buying<br />

locally produced products. The driving factors behind local sourcing are often<br />

environmental and ethical considerations. These include a desire for sustainable sourcing,<br />

reduced carbon emissions, supporting local communities, shorter supply chains with<br />

greater integrity and higher animal welfare standards.<br />

There is an opportunity for flavoured milk brands to capitalise on their<br />

British milk provenance. Daioni, with its Welsh organic milk, is a brand<br />

which does this effectively and is able to charge a premium for their<br />

provenance positioning. However, this opportunity is limited mainly to<br />

fresh products due to the lack of UK contract manufacturing capability<br />

for UHT milk bottled drinks.<br />

In November 2015, Ash Amirahmadi, vice president of milk and member services at Arla<br />

UK, claimed that the brand is set to return £5m back to farmers within its first year of sales.<br />

By February 2016, Morrisons claimed that the brand was surpassing its target sales. This<br />

demonstrates a clear willingness from consumers to voluntarily pay more for ethical<br />

reasons. There is little reason this could not also apply to flavoured milk. However, if milk<br />

prices start to rise again this model may prove redundant. Furthermore, it has faced<br />

criticism from some saying it is the retailers and processors responsibility to ensure their<br />

farmers are paid fairly.<br />

8.15 Social: ageing population<br />

With healthcare advances and consequent improvements in mortality rates, the UK<br />

population is ageing and is expected to continue to do so. Currently, one in every six adults<br />

in the UK is 65 or over, which is expected to rise one in four by 2050.<br />

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Maintains<br />

muscle<br />

mass<br />

Rich in<br />

vitamins Broader D<br />

consumer & K, and<br />

calcium base<br />

High<br />

Targeted<br />

protein<br />

packaging<br />

content<br />

Benefits of<br />

To view milk please to<br />

purchase older full report<br />

people<br />

Prevents<br />

heart<br />

disease<br />

Prevents<br />

Functional<br />

cognitive<br />

decline<br />

drinks<br />

Bone and<br />

Rapid<br />

joint<br />

growth<br />

health<br />

Figure 8.25: Health claims made around the benefit of milk to people aged 65 & over.<br />

• There is a perception that milk is a beneficial for the elderly population. This provides<br />

clear opportunities within the flavoured milk industry to target specific requirement of<br />

people aged 65+.<br />

• It is claimed that milk can maintain muscle mass, prevent cardiovascular disease<br />

and cognitive decline, and maintain bone and joint health in elderly people.<br />

• Elderly consumers have specific needs for vitamin D, vitamin K and calcium. Omega-<br />

3 is of particular importance to older consumers as it can be protective against heart<br />

disease and can help prevent cognitive decline. Fortification of products with these<br />

nutrients could therefore help flavoured milk brands appeal to older consumers.<br />

Ingredients such as chia and flax seeds could be used in formulations to satisfy these<br />

requirements in a natural way.<br />

• It is important for elderly consumers, especially those suffering an illness, to consume<br />

adequate levels of protein. Whey is a high quality protein containing the amino acids<br />

essential for humans. One particular study by Dangin et al. (2003) found whey protein<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

to be especially effective in preserving muscle mass in older adults. <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk<br />

products with whey protein would also be well suited for elderly consumers.<br />

• The real challenge lies in marketing to this group. Elderly consumers are often set in<br />

dietary habits, so it may prove difficult to persuade this demographic group to, for<br />

example, consume milkshakes instead of snacking. The key is to fit the product around<br />

existing habits and offer a feasible alternative to something they already use.<br />

• For elderly consumers with limited mobility, buying large volumes of flavoured milk is<br />

unlikely to be practical. Furthermore, on-the-go propositions are also unlikely to be<br />

appealing to these consumers. Finding a format suited to these consumers is therefore<br />

also a major challenge for product developers.<br />

• In order to appeal to these consumers, it is important to make specific health claims.<br />

For example, rather than just claiming ‘added Vitamin D’, claims could be made about<br />

helping to reduce bone fractures. However, health claims must be supported by<br />

substantiated scientific evidence in line with EU legislation.<br />

8.16 Social: hectic lifestyles<br />

In 2015 UK employment rose to 73%, with unemployment<br />

rate among 18-24 year olds at its lowest since the 1970s.<br />

The 2015 AGCAS What Do Graduates Do? report revealed<br />

68% of recent graduates were in professional level jobs, a<br />

2% increase on the year before. This growing group of<br />

busy professionals represents a significant target market<br />

for flavoured milk producers.<br />

• Breakfast drinks, coffee drinks and functional drinks are particularly appealing to these<br />

consumers who are looking for satiating, nutritious and energising products.<br />

• In terms of increasing appeal to this group, sugar reduction is particularly important.<br />

The growing trend towards health eating and the growing media attention on the<br />

adverse health effects of sugar are likely to deter consumers from purchasing highsugar<br />

flavoured milks.<br />

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• Nutrition is important to these consumers, who do not always have time to cook<br />

wholesome meals and look for healthy, convenient substitutes. To maximise appeal to<br />

these consumers therefore it is important to make explicit health and nutrient claims on<br />

packaging where possible. There is also an opportunity here for innovation with<br />

flavoured milk products with ‘superfood’ ingredients such as coconut and flaxseeds.<br />

8.17 Social: desire for adult flavours<br />

As the flavoured milk category has matured, there has been significant development in<br />

terms of flavours. Using new, innovative flavours are an effective means of drawing new<br />

consumers into the category. This includes flavours that allude to indulgent desserts such<br />

as chocolate fudge cake, strawberry cheesecake and millionaire shortbread. These flavours<br />

reflect the innovation seen in the wider dairy category, particularly in the yogurt sector.<br />

Gu Hot Chocolate range<br />

- Flavours include salted caramel and moccha<br />

- Packaging sophisticated to appeal to adult audience<br />

Frijj Supreme range<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

• Flavours include sticky toffee pudding and honeycomb<br />

• Premium black packaging indicates indulgence<br />

Supermarket own brand offerings<br />

• Flavours include Asda's blueberry muffin, Tesco's sticky<br />

toffee pudding and Sainsbury's buttersoft caramel.<br />

Figure 8.26: Example of adult flavour development in flavoured milk<br />

The purpose of this flavour innovation is to draw in older consumers to the flavoured milk<br />

category. Products in this range are presented in premium sophisticated packaging to<br />

appeal to adults as an indulgent treat.<br />

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There is clearly an opportunity for products to capitalise on the growing taste for<br />

‘superfood’ ingredients such as ancient grains, blueberry, pomegranate, chia seeds, and<br />

perhaps even vegetables such as kale and spinach.<br />

While major reformulation will likely require investment in terms of processing equipment,<br />

the returns to be made from being the first brand offering premium, healthy flavoured milks<br />

aimed at adults are likely to make significant returns on investment.<br />

8.18 Technological: development of innovative sweeteners<br />

One factor restraining growth of flavoured milk products is their high sugar content. High<br />

sugar-content is becoming an issue which is likely to deter consumers from making<br />

purchases.<br />

Generally there are two main options when it comes to reducing sugar content in flavoured<br />

milk: reducing lactose or using sweeteners to replace sugar. Of course, there is also a third<br />

option of simply reducing sugar to a point of still maintaining an acceptable taste. While<br />

this has worked for almond milk, it is more difficult for flavoured milk which is consumed<br />

on its own so needs a strong individual taste.<br />

To view please<br />

purchase full report<br />

Figure 8.26: Examples of sugar reduction strategies in milk drinks<br />

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8.18.1 Modifying/ reducing lactose<br />

Reducing or eliminating lactose is a relatively common way of reducing the inherent sugar<br />

content of milk drinks. Coca Cola’s US Fairlife product and both of Arla’s UK reducedsugar<br />

flavoured milk products utilise lactase enzymes to help reduce the sugar content in<br />

their milk. This technique is often paired with some sort of sweetening agent.<br />

8.18.2 Reformulating flavoured milk with sugar substitutes<br />

There are various artificial sweeteners including aspartame and sucralose which are widely<br />

used in the beverage industry. However, due to common negative associations with<br />

artificial sweeteners, the use of natural sweeteners is often preferred by flavoured milk<br />

manufacturers.<br />

8.18.3 Natural sweeteners<br />

Inulin/ chicory root fibre: Chicory root fibre is an ingredient which can help with both fat<br />

and sugar reduction. It is a naturally occurring ingredient that masks the bad flavours<br />

associated with some high-intensity sweeteners. Arla’s <strong>Flavoured</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> products use inulin<br />

from chicory to reduce the sugar content in their formulation by 50%.<br />

Stevia is a commonly used natural sweetener which is used as a replacement for sugar.<br />

While often associated with a liquorice-like aftertaste, recent developments have resulted<br />

in stevia compounds with less of the aftertaste. Stevia has been used successfully in Coca<br />

Cola Life as well as in Skinnygirl Protein.<br />

Allulose has about 70% of the sweetness of regular sugar with 10% of the calories.<br />

Although it has been granted GRAS (Generally Regarded as Safe) status to Tate & Lyle’s<br />

‘Dolcia Prima’ brand of allulose, it has not yet been approved under European Legislation.<br />

Monk Fruit Extract is a no-calorie sweetener which is 150-200 times sweeter than sugar.<br />

It is a relatively expensive ingredient and although it has been granted approval in the US,<br />

it has not yet by the EU.<br />

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8.18.4 Solely reducing sugar content.<br />

A study by Oliveira at el. (2015) tested the effects of sugar reduction on consumers’<br />

enjoyment of probiotic chocolate flavoured milk. They found that although consumers<br />

could taste when drinks were 40% lower in sugar, their enjoyment of the drink was not<br />

affected significantly by sugar reduction. This suggests in some cases, a minor decrease<br />

in sugar content could be feasible without any need for replacement sweeteners.<br />

8.19 Technological: lack of UK co-packers<br />

Interesting and convenient formats for flavoured milk present new opportunities within the<br />

sector. For example, the addition of the sports cap for the Mars flavoured milk product<br />

made it more appealing for target consumers making a big difference to product sales.<br />

With many flavoured milk products positioned as convenient on-the-go drinks, storage at<br />

ambient temperatures is often desired, meaning UHT drinks dominate. This is particularly<br />

relevant for sports nutrition drinks, meal replacement shakes and breakfast drinks. The<br />

traditional flavoured milk category however does have a leaning towards fresh/ ESL product<br />

with the market leader, Frijj, predominantly ESL lines.<br />

UHT drinks are frequently in HDPE bottles as this resilient, re-sealable format is suited to<br />

on-the-go products. The longer shelf life of these products also makes exports feasible,<br />

allowing UK brands to take advantage of growing global demand for flavoured milk.<br />

However, for brands without processing capabilities in the UK, manufacturing UHT HDPE<br />

products is not possible due to a lack of manufacturers. While fresh milk in bottles and UHT<br />

milk in tetrapak are both feasible options considering the accessible facilities in the UK, this<br />

constraint is important to bear in mind for those considering entering the market. For brands<br />

wanting to produce UHT HDPE products, facilities most often used are located in Austria,<br />

Belgium and Germany.<br />

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8. 20 Considerations for flavoured milk brands looking forward<br />

To view please<br />

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9. CONCLUSIONS & HRA PREDICTIONS<br />

Globally, we expect the flavoured milk market to continue to flourish as the demand for<br />

dairy in developing countries increases. With the abolishment of the one-child policy, China<br />

is a particularly attractive market for flavoured milk brands and is one which more<br />

international brands are likely to focus on. While the issue of the lack of UK co-packers<br />

persists, this is likely to hinder the potential for UK flavoured milk exports.<br />

Assuming that flavoured milk producers will do all they can to improve their product offering<br />

and marketing approach, we would expect the UK market to see strong, sustained growth<br />

over the next five years. In particular, we would expect stronger value growth than volume<br />

growth as more added value products are introduced to the category.<br />

Consumer Segments…<br />

• There is a significant opportunity globally for products which are targeted to<br />

specific consumer groups. <strong>Flavoured</strong> milk brands should focus on developing and<br />

marketing their products for adults in particular.<br />

• Adults consumers aged 65+ and 30-44 are both growing consumer groups which<br />

is currently not being targeted successfully by any flavoured milk brands in the<br />

UK. Although a difficult audience to target with flavoured milk, the brands which<br />

can do this well are likely to see success.<br />

• In targeting adults, it will be vital for brands to reduce sugar content and make<br />

clear any health benefits in order to maximise appeal to health conscious<br />

consumers which make up such a large proportion of the population.<br />

Product Formulation…<br />

• Innovation with vitamin/ mineral supplementation, superfood ingredients and<br />

sugar reduction is a growing trend expected to continue. This reformulation will<br />

help add appeal to adults.<br />

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• There are various options for sugar reduction including simply reducing sugar by<br />

a small enough quantity to maintain taste, using enzymes to remove lactose and<br />

substitute sugar with sweeteners.<br />

• A broad range of natural sweeteners is becoming available including stevia and<br />

inulin and these are becoming increasingly used in flavoured milk products.<br />

Merchandising…<br />

• Due to the breadth of the flavoured milk category and the various temperature<br />

requirements (fresh, ESL, UHT), product positioning in the grocery retailers can<br />

be confusing for consumers. There is often no clear destination where products<br />

can be found and this can lead to consumers missing products. This is particularly<br />

the case for sports nutrition products which can be virtually anywhere in store<br />

(lunch deals, chillers, health & beauty aisle, alongside energy drinks etc.).<br />

• Retailers are likely to continue to alter their merchandising approach until they can<br />

optimise the positioning of flavoured milk.<br />

Packaging & Positioning…<br />

• In terms of advertising and positioning of flavoured milk brands it is important to<br />

highlight the health credentials of dairy over dairy alternatives.<br />

• There is considerable opportunity in the sector to use packaging formats to target<br />

specific consumer segments. This has been done well by coffee brands and sports<br />

nutrition brands in particular.<br />

• In targeting the growing group of 65+ consumers, packaging and positioning will be<br />

crucial in determining success.<br />

• The positioning of the brand is particularly important to sports nutrition customers<br />

who value the credentials and status associated with some brands.<br />

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Own Label…<br />

• The relative infancy of the category and the brand loyalty in the sports nutrition<br />

segment has deterred own label from entering this category. While own label could<br />

be expected to eventually the enter the sports nutrition market, it will be to target the<br />

more mainstream consumers.<br />

• The infancy of the breakfast drink category has prevented own label from entering<br />

the category, though if growth continues this could be expected to happen within<br />

1-2 years.<br />

9.1 SWOT Analysis<br />

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purchase full report<br />

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UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

9.3 Closing remarks<br />

The backdrop to UK flavoured milk is one of relentless change. The removal of the EU milk<br />

quotas, the transition to a Western-type diet by emerging economies, the UK sugar debate<br />

and Brexit are all aspects that create both challenges and opportunities for the UK<br />

flavoured milk market.<br />

It is also the time when many players are exploring new demographics and developing<br />

flavoured milk propositions for mature audiences. The UK National Office for Statistics<br />

shows that the 30-44 years demographic is predicted to quickly grow over the next decade.<br />

With flavoured milk mostly consumed by those under 45 years of age, the study of this<br />

segment is fundamental: functional drinks with clear benefit differentiation are key.<br />

With one in five adults now over 65 and the segment living longer, brands that are able to<br />

successfully unlock the aspirations of this segment will prosper commercially.<br />

Overall, we expect the UK flavoured milk market to continue to grow over the medium term,<br />

but not without improving its nutritional profile. The sugar debate reached new heights<br />

when, in October 2015, Public Health England released a document suggesting<br />

Government intervention in the form of a sugar tax (levy). Product reformulation has to be<br />

a priority, however, the UK’s flavoured milk market looks positive going into the future.<br />

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REFERENCES<br />

AHDB (2015) UK dairy exports [online], available at http://dairy.ahdb.org.uk/marketinformation/processing-trade/imports-exports/uk-dairy-exports/#.V6Hs5FeRk20,<br />

accessed<br />

15 th May 2016<br />

BBC (2016), How will the sugar tax work? [online], http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-<br />

35824071, accessed 14/06/2016<br />

Colchero, M et al (2016), Beverage purchases from stores in Mexico under the excise tax<br />

on sugar sweetened beverages: observational study, British Medical Journal, 352: 6704<br />

The Dairy Council (2002), The nutritional composition of dairy products [online],<br />

available at www.milk.co.uk/resources/resource.aspx?intResourceID=55, accessed 29 th<br />

May 2015<br />

DEFRA (2014), Agriculture in the United Kingdom 2014, Department for Environment,<br />

Farming and Rural Affairs, 1-99<br />

Dangin, M et al (2003), The rate of protein digestion affects protein gain differently during<br />

aging in humans, Journal of Physiology, 549: 635–644<br />

FAO (2013), <strong>Milk</strong> and Dairy Products in Human Nutrition, UN Food and Agriculture<br />

Organisation, 1-99<br />

Houses of Parliament Postnote (2014), Emissions from Livestock [online], available at<br />

www.parliament.uk/briefing-papers/post-pn-453.pdf, accessed 16 th May 2016<br />

HSCIC (2015), Statistics on Obesity, Physical Activity and Diet [online], available at<br />

http://www.hscic.gov.uk/catalogue/PUB16988/obes-phys-acti-diet-eng-2015.pdf,<br />

accessed 14/07/2016<br />

National diet and nutrition survey (2014) [online],<br />

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-national-diet-and-nutrition-survey-shows-ukpopulation-is-eating-too-much-sugar-saturated-fat-and-salt,<br />

accessed 14/06/2016<br />

NICE (2013), Preventing obesity and helping people to manage their weight [online],<br />

available at https://www.nice.org.uk/advice/lgb9/chapter/economic-impact, accessed<br />

14/06/2016<br />

Office for National Statistics (2013), Population Projections [online], available at<br />

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populatio<br />

nprojections accessed 11th June 2016<br />

Public Health UK (2015), Sugar reduction: from evidence into action [online], available at<br />

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/sugar-reduction-from-evidence-into-action,<br />

accessed 14/06/2016<br />

All rights reserved, ©Teepee Ltd, t/a HRA Food & Drink: 2016 - 2017 170


UK FLAVOURED MILK MARKET 2017 & BEYOND<br />

Soil Association (2016), Organic Market Report [online], available at<br />

https://www.soilassociation.org/media/5644/sa-organic-market-report-2016.pdf accessed<br />

27th May 2016<br />

Sustain (2013), Sugary Drinks Duty [online], available at<br />

http://www.sustainweb.org/childrenshealthfund/, accessed 27 th May 2016<br />

Tetra Pak (2013), Tetra Pak research shows flavoured milk to spur dairy industry growth<br />

[online], available at http://www.tetrapak.com/sa/about/newsarchive/sixth-tetrapak-dairyindex,<br />

accessed 20/06/16<br />

UK Trade Info (2015), Statistics [online], available at https://www.uktradeinfo.com,<br />

accessed 11 th June 2016<br />

US Food and Nutrition Board (2012), Dietary Reference Intakes [online], available at<br />

https://fnic.nal.usda.gov/sites/fnic.nal.usda.gov/files/uploads/recommended_intakes_indivi<br />

duals.pdf, accessed 3 rd June 2016<br />

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