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KEY ISSUES FOR DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION IN THE G20

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sufficiently compelling for operators reluctant to face the significant investments involved, in turn encouraging<br />

them to instead leverage the assets of the existing copper infrastructure, potentially diverging from<br />

government policy preferences for higher-speed networks.<br />

A response to this can be seen in the European Union, where a 2014 directive on measures to reduce the cost<br />

of deploying high-speed electronic communications networks contained measures to create conditions for<br />

more cost-efficient network deployment. These include the sharing and reuse of existing physical<br />

infrastructure, including those belonging to utility companies; enhanced co-ordination between civil<br />

engineering projects to reduce the number of occasions roads need to be dug up; and requiring all new<br />

buildings to be equipped with accessible high-speed-ready physical infrastructure.<br />

The long-term nature of infrastructure investment increases the exposure of investors to a major change in<br />

regulation or policy that can influence the rate of return. This is also true for the telecommunications sector.<br />

Given the importance of digital infrastructures, specific policy objectives, such as ambitious targets for<br />

increased access to high-speed networks, are often put in place. If the pace of deployment is insufficient to<br />

meet such policy objectives, regulation can be adjusted to provide more incentives for market participation,<br />

such as by increasing competition under some market structures or changing a market structure. This is why<br />

regulatory frameworks need to be periodically revisited to ensure that they encourage the investment needed<br />

to meet policy goals, though in a manner that is transparent and evidence-driven.<br />

In addition, government policies with respect to spectrum can have a significant influence on financing<br />

decisions. As discussed in the Chapter 2 on infrastructure, spectrum is a scarce natural resource, which is<br />

essential for providing wireless services among other uses. It is therefore vitally important that it is managed<br />

efficiently by using mechanisms such as auctions to ensure that it is assigned an accurate market value.<br />

Therefore, spectrum prices should not be set with the aim of maximising income for governments, but rather<br />

through market mechanisms that provide an appropriate rate of return based on market valuations.<br />

The lower number of potential subscribers in rural and remote areas, coupled with the sometimes higher costs<br />

of deploying infrastructure over greater distances, frequently lower the rates of return and deter private<br />

investment. In some countries, public investment has stepped in to finance or co-invest in PPPs. Some<br />

municipal authorities have played a role by attracting new entrants, such as through fibre or wireless projects<br />

in a growing number of cities in the United States, which has in turn driven incumbents to increase their own<br />

investment and improve the quality of their services in these areas.<br />

An impediment to investment in fixed, wireless and backhaul networks can be the difficulties in accurately<br />

predicting traffic growth and required capacity, and the consequent challenges in assessing rates of return.<br />

The period around the turn of the century, for example, was typified by excessive investment in backbone<br />

networks in some countries in anticipation of high demand that did not materialise. Meanwhile, it took some<br />

time before smartphones developed to the extent that they stimulated demand for 3G mobile networks. By<br />

way of contrast, 4G investments were driven by such demand. There is a lack of government-collected<br />

statistics on the data traffic flows within and between countries, with the Australian Bureau of Statistics being<br />

an outlier in providing annual data on all traffic downloaded within the country. It is widely acknowledged that<br />

markets need information to work properly, and better information about the use of digital infrastructure<br />

would enable more informed investment decisions for all stakeholders.

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