PSIFebruary2017
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CES 2017 event showcases a host of home<br />
security/smart home trends<br />
Every January all eyes in the electronics world turn to Las<br />
Vegas for the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) to see what<br />
might be the next trending product or platform. There’s more<br />
about Alexa elsewhere in this edition, so what else did the<br />
50th CES event showcase? Here, Blake Kozak, principal<br />
analyst, smart home and security technology, IHS Markit<br />
gives us an overview:<br />
• Smart home announcements weren’t just about cameras or<br />
light bulbs. The announcements focused on the consumer<br />
and enriching the consumer experience through seamless<br />
integrations and feature-rich offerings.<br />
• Globally in 2016, there were more than 80 million<br />
shipments of smart home devices with an installed base<br />
that exceeded 190 million devices.<br />
• For cameras, the smart home focus at CES was around<br />
facial recognition, 360 degree viewing, security motion<br />
detection and HomeKit.<br />
• Outdoor cameras were featured as well, with<br />
announcements from Bosch and Ring, each of which had<br />
outdoor cameras connected to outdoor power sources and<br />
integrated with lighting. Baby monitors were also a<br />
trending item, with Netgear Arlo and OneLink by First Alert,<br />
each of which have features such as air quality monitoring<br />
but the OneLink camera offers video respiration detection,<br />
a feature that uses non-invasive methods to monitor a<br />
baby’s breathing.<br />
• Overall, the smart home camera market continues to<br />
expand as suppliers enhance their portfolio with cameras<br />
designed for various purpose such as outdoors, indoors,<br />
wired, wireless and cameras with lower price-points. A few<br />
new cameras that were announced combine several<br />
connectivity standards and automation features into one<br />
device (including voice control).<br />
• Light bulbs such as Lifx provide two types of illumination,<br />
one of which is infrared to assist with outdoor cameras<br />
using night vision. The infrared helps the cameras see<br />
clearer in complete darkness, which for battery powered<br />
cameras, will dramatically increase battery life. Other light<br />
bulb announcements featured integrated motion detection<br />
and speakers.<br />
• In addition to device refinement, business models are also<br />
changing at CES. Many of the top service providers offering<br />
smart home have focused on manufacturing their own<br />
devices in order to create a seamless look and feel across<br />
devices.<br />
• Simplifying smart home also was also a trend. IHS believes<br />
making smart home easier to install for the consumer (as<br />
well as professional installers will remove one of the<br />
biggest barriers to mass smart home adoption.<br />
• And (as mentioned elsewhere) voice assistants could be<br />
found at nearly every smart home booth at CES this year.<br />
www.psimagazine.co.uk<br />
THE BOTTOM LINE<br />
IN ASSOCIATION WITH CSL<br />
The interview that gets<br />
the facts from the top<br />
This month Simon Banks<br />
talks to Philip Carse,<br />
Principal Analyst at<br />
Megabuyte – a leading<br />
market research company for the IT<br />
Service, software and telecoms<br />
industries.<br />
How important is recurring revenue and recurring margin when valuing a<br />
business.<br />
Cash flow is the fundamental driver of a business’s valuation, with the most<br />
attractive companies converting a high proportion of profits to operating cash flow<br />
and having modest capital investment requirements. However, other things being<br />
equal, a business will attract a higher valuation multiple if it enjoys one or more of<br />
the following; high growth, high recurring revenues and high margins. In particular,<br />
high recurring revenues and margins give investors confidence as to the future<br />
performance of the business and its ability to withstand economic challenges. To<br />
mix metaphors, revenue is vanity, profit is sanity, but cash is king.<br />
How easy is it to diversify into tech verticals?<br />
There are examples of very successful business diversifications into tech; for<br />
example online book seller Amazon has become the world’s biggest provider of<br />
Cloud computing infrastructure. At a more mundane level, every business these<br />
days – whether traditional, people based or tech-heavy – needs to constantly<br />
evaluate the use of technology for business advantage. This is especially true given<br />
the pervasiveness of the internet, the proliferation of mobile devices, the growth in<br />
broadband, the rapid growth in Cloud computing and advances in areas such as<br />
data analytics. Established traditional businesses with customers have a good<br />
starting base, though should not underestimate the challenges of embracing tech.<br />
In the case of the security sector, the broader Internet of Things (IoT) is an<br />
obvious opportunity, leveraging devices/monitors, connectivity and data analysis<br />
for business intelligence and consumer benefit. However, it is also an opportunity<br />
for closely related sectors such as home automation, which could change the<br />
competitive dynamics of the security sector.<br />
Megabuyte reports on 400 companies across a number of sectors. What do<br />
the best companies have in common?<br />
Whilst we Megabuyte analysts like to opine on the companies that we cover, we<br />
also back up our analysis with a rigorous, quantitative financial assessment – the<br />
Megabuyte Scorecard. The Scorecard ranks UK companies – public and private –<br />
based on seven revenue, profit and cash flow measures; therefore taking into<br />
account a far fuller range of factors than other ‘fast track’ type league tables.<br />
The Scorecard tells us that the top 25% of companies are growing revenues and<br />
profits at about 20-25% a year, enjoy profit margins of about 25%, and convert<br />
about 90% of their profits to cash after investment spending. CSL consistently<br />
ranks in the top 50 UK private companies according to the Scorecard.<br />
What is the projected growth in the tech sector?<br />
Whilst the better performing (top quartile) companies are growing at above 19% in<br />
organic terms, the average is of course much lower, at 12%, whilst a quarter of<br />
companies that we track fail to grow organically due either to market or<br />
competitive pressures or because of business transformations; for example<br />
moving to software as a service (SaaS) models. The fastest growth areas tend to<br />
be in Cloud computing/web hosting (for example Amazon Web Services) and SaaS<br />
(for example Salesforce), whilst other hotspots include cyber security and mobile<br />
Machine to Machine (M2M). The Internet of Things (IoT) is expected to be a future<br />
major market and one which, as previously noted, could be a target for security<br />
companies given the overlap with areas such as home cinema, automation,<br />
biometrics, cameras and big data analytics.<br />
YOU SAID IT!<br />
A 50 year old getting excited about a DigiAir Connected with Pyronix! Full<br />
remote access and push notifications on all events.<br />
Facebook post from Select Security System - Nov 17<br />
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