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May 2018 Digital Issue

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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW<br />

ISTOCK.COM/TZIDO<br />

Last year was<br />

a successful<br />

one for hotel<br />

investment<br />

and the<br />

momentum<br />

remains<br />

strong in <strong>2018</strong>. While<br />

2017 finished with many<br />

markets hitting all-time<br />

highs, in terms of operating-performance<br />

levels and<br />

valuations, the outlook<br />

indicates further performance<br />

and value growth<br />

in <strong>2018</strong>. However, after<br />

three years of accelerated<br />

growth, the pace is<br />

expected to decelerate. As<br />

interest rates continue to<br />

rise, the increase in rates is<br />

also indicative of positive<br />

economic conditions<br />

— which translate into<br />

earnings growth for assets<br />

such as hotels. Hotels are a<br />

defensive-asset class, based<br />

on their ability to adjust<br />

rates — an attractive<br />

feature as costs rise. Hotels<br />

will continue to provide<br />

higher returns compared<br />

to other asset classes.<br />

ANOTHER STRONG YEAR<br />

In 2017, total transaction<br />

volume approached $3.5<br />

billion (including traditional<br />

single transactions,<br />

portfolios and redevelopment<br />

sales), making 2017<br />

the third-highest-volume<br />

year over the last decade.<br />

Results were bolstered by<br />

GOING<br />

STRONG<br />

Robust 2017 investment activity is<br />

expected to continue through <strong>2018</strong><br />

BY CURTIS GALLAGHER & BRIAN FLOOD<br />

the inclusion of IMC’s sale<br />

of the SilverBirch hotel<br />

portfolio in Q1 2017 — the<br />

closing of the transaction<br />

had been delayed from Q4<br />

2016. Adjusting for this,<br />

overall investment volume<br />

was lower than 2016<br />

($4.1 billion), with 137<br />

trades at a total volume<br />

of approximately $2.4<br />

billion. This high activity<br />

level occurred despite<br />

continued weakness in<br />

energy-driven markets<br />

in Western Canada and<br />

Newfoundland, where<br />

trade activity has been<br />

limited. In contrast, investor<br />

interest in the major<br />

markets — particularly<br />

Metropolitan Vancouver,<br />

Toronto, and Montreal<br />

— was unprecedented.<br />

Gateway markets are at the<br />

top of everyone’s list, but<br />

there have been a limited<br />

number of assets brought<br />

to market. Investors in<br />

these markets have been<br />

rewarded with double-digit<br />

RevPAR growth over the<br />

hoteliermagazine.com<br />

MAY <strong>2018</strong> HOTELIER 21

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