May 2018 Digital Issue
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW<br />
ISTOCK.COM/TZIDO<br />
Last year was<br />
a successful<br />
one for hotel<br />
investment<br />
and the<br />
momentum<br />
remains<br />
strong in <strong>2018</strong>. While<br />
2017 finished with many<br />
markets hitting all-time<br />
highs, in terms of operating-performance<br />
levels and<br />
valuations, the outlook<br />
indicates further performance<br />
and value growth<br />
in <strong>2018</strong>. However, after<br />
three years of accelerated<br />
growth, the pace is<br />
expected to decelerate. As<br />
interest rates continue to<br />
rise, the increase in rates is<br />
also indicative of positive<br />
economic conditions<br />
— which translate into<br />
earnings growth for assets<br />
such as hotels. Hotels are a<br />
defensive-asset class, based<br />
on their ability to adjust<br />
rates — an attractive<br />
feature as costs rise. Hotels<br />
will continue to provide<br />
higher returns compared<br />
to other asset classes.<br />
ANOTHER STRONG YEAR<br />
In 2017, total transaction<br />
volume approached $3.5<br />
billion (including traditional<br />
single transactions,<br />
portfolios and redevelopment<br />
sales), making 2017<br />
the third-highest-volume<br />
year over the last decade.<br />
Results were bolstered by<br />
GOING<br />
STRONG<br />
Robust 2017 investment activity is<br />
expected to continue through <strong>2018</strong><br />
BY CURTIS GALLAGHER & BRIAN FLOOD<br />
the inclusion of IMC’s sale<br />
of the SilverBirch hotel<br />
portfolio in Q1 2017 — the<br />
closing of the transaction<br />
had been delayed from Q4<br />
2016. Adjusting for this,<br />
overall investment volume<br />
was lower than 2016<br />
($4.1 billion), with 137<br />
trades at a total volume<br />
of approximately $2.4<br />
billion. This high activity<br />
level occurred despite<br />
continued weakness in<br />
energy-driven markets<br />
in Western Canada and<br />
Newfoundland, where<br />
trade activity has been<br />
limited. In contrast, investor<br />
interest in the major<br />
markets — particularly<br />
Metropolitan Vancouver,<br />
Toronto, and Montreal<br />
— was unprecedented.<br />
Gateway markets are at the<br />
top of everyone’s list, but<br />
there have been a limited<br />
number of assets brought<br />
to market. Investors in<br />
these markets have been<br />
rewarded with double-digit<br />
RevPAR growth over the<br />
hoteliermagazine.com<br />
MAY <strong>2018</strong> HOTELIER 21