Observed climate changes in Croatia Climate change scenario

19-May
9-May
29-Apr
19-Apr
9-Apr
DARUVAR (1961-2008)
COMMON LILAC - beginning of flowering
30-Mar
y = -0.2184x + 117.43
20-Mar
1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
year
5-Dec
25-Nov
15-Nov
5-Nov
26-Oct
16-Oct
y = 0.1748x + 310.3
6-Oct
1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004
year
28-Jun
18-Jun
8-Jun
29-May
19-May
9-May
29-Apr
DARUVAR (1969-2008)
APPLE - leaf fall
RAB (1961-2008)
OLIVE - beginning of flowering
y = -0.2603x + 155.21
1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
year
19-May
9-May
29-Apr
19-Apr
9-Apr
ZAGREB (1961-2008)
COMMON LILAC - beginnig of flowering
30-Mar
y = 0.016x + 110.92
20-Mar
1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
year
25-Nov
15-Nov
5-Nov
26-Oct
16-Oct
6-Oct
26-Sep
15-Nov
5-Nov
26-Oct
16-Oct
6-Oct
26-Sep
16-Sep
6-Sep
GOSPIĆ (1968-2008)
APPLE - leaf fall
y = -0.2988x + 309.32
1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008
year
HVAR (1962-2008)
OLIVE - first ripe fruits
y = -0.2624x + 296.67
1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007
year
Figure 3-2. Time series of phenological phases of common lilac, apple and olive trees, 5-year
flexible mean values and linear trends for Daruvar, Zagreb, Gospić, Rab and Hvar mostly within
the period 1961–2008. x is a number of years (1,2…n).
References:
Mitchell J. M. Jr., Dzerdzeevskii B., Flohn H., Hofmeyr W. L., Lamb H.H., Rao K.H., C.C. Wallen: 1966:
Climatic Change, WMO Tech. Note 79, 58–75.
Vučetić, M., V. Vučetić, 1996: The phenological analysis of almond culture along the Adriatic coast,
Biometeorology, 14, 247–254.
Vučetić, M., Ž. Lončar, 2006: Growing degree days between the phenological phases of forest trees and
shrubs in the NW part of Croatia, Zbornik sažetaka s 6 th European Conference on Applied
Climatology, Ljubljana, 4–8. rujna 2006, 1 str. (CD-ROM).
Vučetić, V., M. Vučetić, 2003: Fenološke značajke na području Zavižana, Šumarski list, 7-8, 359–372.
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