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Observed climate changes in Croatia Climate change scenario

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MSR<br />

MSR<br />

MSR<br />

15<br />

12<br />

9<br />

6<br />

3<br />

CRIKVENICA (1891-2005)<br />

June<br />

y = 0.0174x + 0.29<br />

0<br />

1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001<br />

year<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

CRIKVENICA (1891-2005)<br />

July<br />

y = 0.0297x + 0.88<br />

0<br />

1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001<br />

year<br />

15<br />

12<br />

9<br />

6<br />

3<br />

CRIKVENICA (1891-2005)<br />

August<br />

y = 0.0293x + 1.56<br />

0<br />

1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001<br />

year<br />

MSR<br />

MSR<br />

MSR<br />

15<br />

12<br />

9<br />

6<br />

3<br />

HVAR (1867-2005)<br />

June<br />

y = 0.0075x + 3.55<br />

0<br />

1867 1882 1897 1912 1927 1942 1957 1972 1987 2002<br />

year<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

HVAR (1867-2005)<br />

July<br />

y = 0.0107x + 6.20<br />

0<br />

1867 1882 1897 1912 1927 1942 1957 1972 1987 2002<br />

year<br />

15<br />

12<br />

9<br />

6<br />

3<br />

HVAR (1867-2005)<br />

August<br />

y = 0.0131x + 6.20<br />

0<br />

1867 1882 1897 1912 1927 1942 1957 1972 1987 2002<br />

year<br />

Figure 3-3. Time series of monthly severity rate MSR, 5-year mov<strong>in</strong>g average and l<strong>in</strong>ear trends<br />

for meteorological stations Crikvenica (1891–2006) and Hvar (1867–2005). x is a number of<br />

years (1,2…n).<br />

45

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