Project Cycle Management Training Handbook - CFCU
Project Cycle Management Training Handbook - CFCU
Project Cycle Management Training Handbook - CFCU
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<strong>Project</strong> <strong>Cycle</strong> <strong>Management</strong> <strong>Training</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />
Beware of 'killer'<br />
assumptions!<br />
Figure 16: The Role of Assumptions<br />
Critical Assumptions<br />
➱ Define the systems environment and sustainability issues<br />
➱ Factors which project management cannot, or chooses<br />
not to control<br />
➱ Outside the project’s interventions<br />
➱ Essential to project success: necessary conditions<br />
➱ Results-to-purpose assumptions are the critical success<br />
factors<br />
A useful way of assessing the importance of assumptions is with the<br />
algorithm in Figure 17. Once assumptions have been identified, they<br />
are stated in terms of the desired situation. In this way they can be<br />
verified and assessed.<br />
Figure 17: The Assumptions Algorithm<br />
Assessment of Assumptions<br />
Will it be realised?<br />
Almost certainly<br />
Likely<br />
Unlikely<br />
Redesign the project by adding<br />
activities or results; reformulate the<br />
<strong>Project</strong> Purpose if necessary<br />
3.3.4 Factors Ensuring Sustainability<br />
Is external factor important?<br />
Yes No<br />
Yes<br />
Do not include in logframe<br />
Do not include in logframe<br />
Include as an assumption<br />
Is it possible to redesign the project in<br />
order to influence the external factor?<br />
No<br />
The project is not feasible<br />
A project can be said to be sustainable when it continues to deliver<br />
benefits to the project beneficiaries for an extended period after the<br />
main part of the donor assistance has been completed. Too often in<br />
the past it has been found that projects have failed to deliver<br />
sustainable benefits because they did not take sufficient account of a<br />
number of critical success factors. Experience has demonstrated that<br />
the longer-term sustainability of project benefits depends on the<br />
following factors:<br />
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