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Financeability tests and their role in price regulation - IPART - NSW ...

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3 How do <strong>IPART</strong> <strong>and</strong> other regulators assess f<strong>in</strong>anceability?<br />

3 How do <strong>IPART</strong> <strong>and</strong> other regulators assess<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anceability?<br />

In general, regulators assess the f<strong>in</strong>anceability of a regulated bus<strong>in</strong>ess by apply<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anceability test that <strong>in</strong>volves:<br />

� calculat<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>ancial statements for the bus<strong>in</strong>ess from the build<strong>in</strong>g blocks model<br />

� calculat<strong>in</strong>g a set of f<strong>in</strong>ancial ratios based on these f<strong>in</strong>ancial statements<br />

� calculat<strong>in</strong>g the bus<strong>in</strong>ess’s likely credit rat<strong>in</strong>g based on these f<strong>in</strong>ancial ratios, <strong>and</strong><br />

� reach<strong>in</strong>g a conclusion on the bus<strong>in</strong>ess’s short-term f<strong>in</strong>ancial viability based on the<br />

likely credit rat<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

If they conclude that the bus<strong>in</strong>ess’s f<strong>in</strong>ancial viability is at risk, regulators must<br />

decide whether they should address this risk by mak<strong>in</strong>g an adjustment to <strong>their</strong><br />

pric<strong>in</strong>g decisions, or whether it is more appropriate for the bus<strong>in</strong>ess or its<br />

shareholders to address.<br />

The sections below describe our current f<strong>in</strong>anceability test <strong>in</strong> detail, <strong>and</strong> discuss how<br />

we have decided to address short-term f<strong>in</strong>ancial viability risks <strong>in</strong> past<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>ations, <strong>and</strong> how bus<strong>in</strong>esses <strong>and</strong> shareholders can address such risks.<br />

Box 3.1 outl<strong>in</strong>es some differences between our <strong>and</strong> other regulators’ f<strong>in</strong>anceability<br />

<strong>tests</strong>.<br />

3.1 <strong>IPART</strong>’s current f<strong>in</strong>anceability test<br />

Generally speak<strong>in</strong>g, our current f<strong>in</strong>anceability test <strong>in</strong>volves tak<strong>in</strong>g the follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

steps for each regulated bus<strong>in</strong>ess:<br />

� decid<strong>in</strong>g on the gear<strong>in</strong>g ratio to be used <strong>in</strong> comput<strong>in</strong>g the f<strong>in</strong>ancial ratios<br />

(discussed below), which may be different to that used <strong>in</strong> calculat<strong>in</strong>g the WACC<br />

� modell<strong>in</strong>g the impact of the proposed <strong>price</strong> path on the bus<strong>in</strong>ess’s revenues (us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the build<strong>in</strong>g block model) to forecast its cash flows over the determ<strong>in</strong>ation period<br />

� comput<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>ancial statements from the forecast cash flows<br />

� comput<strong>in</strong>g a set of f<strong>in</strong>ancial ratios from the f<strong>in</strong>ancial statements, <strong>and</strong><br />

� comput<strong>in</strong>g the bus<strong>in</strong>ess’s likely credit rat<strong>in</strong>g from the f<strong>in</strong>ancial ratios.<br />

<strong>F<strong>in</strong>anceability</strong> <strong>tests</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>their</strong> <strong>role</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>price</strong> <strong>regulation</strong> <strong>IPART</strong> 11

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