Financeability tests and their role in price regulation - IPART - NSW ...
Financeability tests and their role in price regulation - IPART - NSW ...
Financeability tests and their role in price regulation - IPART - NSW ...
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3 How do <strong>IPART</strong> <strong>and</strong> other regulators assess f<strong>in</strong>anceability?<br />
3.2 How <strong>IPART</strong> has addressed short-term f<strong>in</strong>ancial viability concerns <strong>in</strong><br />
past determ<strong>in</strong>ations<br />
In mak<strong>in</strong>g past determ<strong>in</strong>ation, we have not made any explicit adjustments to a<br />
regulated bus<strong>in</strong>ess’s revenue requirements when our f<strong>in</strong>anceability test <strong>in</strong>dicated<br />
potential short-term f<strong>in</strong>ancial viability concerns. In some cases, we considered the<br />
test results when sett<strong>in</strong>g the WACC parameters or decid<strong>in</strong>g on the shape of the <strong>price</strong><br />
path. However, <strong>in</strong> others, we have decided it was better for the owners of the asset<br />
to address these potential concerns.<br />
For example, <strong>in</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g our 2010 determ<strong>in</strong>ation for State Water, we decided that the<br />
short-term f<strong>in</strong>anceability issues we identified were best managed by the bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>and</strong><br />
its shareholders, rather than by us. We considered that this was more consistent with<br />
our overall approach to <strong>regulation</strong>, which seeks to mimic the pressures of a<br />
competitive market on a privately-owned bus<strong>in</strong>ess.<br />
When we applied the f<strong>in</strong>anceability test <strong>in</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g our draft determ<strong>in</strong>ation for State<br />
Water, we found that the bus<strong>in</strong>ess’s credit rat<strong>in</strong>g was likely to fall below <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />
grade over the 2010 determ<strong>in</strong>ation period, primarily due to its large forecast capital<br />
expenditure program <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with a high dividend payout ratio. In our draft<br />
report, we sought stakeholders comments on several options for lift<strong>in</strong>g the credit<br />
rat<strong>in</strong>g back to <strong>in</strong>vestment grade <strong>and</strong> asked for stakeholder comment. The measures<br />
<strong>in</strong>cluded:<br />
� Not allow<strong>in</strong>g for portions of the forecast capital expenditure, much of which was<br />
needed to meet statutory <strong>and</strong> regulatory obligations. This would mean that State<br />
Water would need to defer this expenditure until the next determ<strong>in</strong>ation period.<br />
� Choos<strong>in</strong>g a higher WACC from with<strong>in</strong> the feasible range which would impose<br />
higher costs on State Water’s customers.<br />
� The Government (as shareholder) <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g State Water’s equity fund<strong>in</strong>g<br />
through larger equity <strong>in</strong>jections11. Most stakeholders argued that deferr<strong>in</strong>g some the forecast capital expenditure or<br />
provid<strong>in</strong>g larger equity <strong>in</strong>jections were the most appropriate option for improv<strong>in</strong>g<br />
State Water’s credit rat<strong>in</strong>g. However, State Water argued that we should <strong>in</strong>clude a<br />
revenue volatility allowance <strong>in</strong> the cost build<strong>in</strong>g blocks <strong>and</strong> adjust the debt gear<strong>in</strong>g<br />
ratio used <strong>in</strong> calculat<strong>in</strong>g the WACC, as it consider this was the best way to achieve an<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment grade credit rat<strong>in</strong>g while ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the forecast capital expenditure<br />
program. 12<br />
11 <strong>IPART</strong>, F<strong>in</strong>al report – review of bulk water charges for State Water Corporation, June 2010, p 160.<br />
12 <strong>IPART</strong>, F<strong>in</strong>al report – review of bulk water charges for State Water Corporation, June 2010, Chapter 12.<br />
<strong>F<strong>in</strong>anceability</strong> <strong>tests</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>their</strong> <strong>role</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>price</strong> <strong>regulation</strong> <strong>IPART</strong> 15