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Corynebacterium glutamicum - JUWEL - Forschungszentrum Jülich

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4. Simulative Comparison of Model Discriminating Design Criteria<br />

Similar to in the first case study, the difference between the expected model variances is<br />

determining the experiment to a much larger extend than the differences in the expected<br />

concentrations. The part of the criterion, driven by the model variances, accounts for<br />

99.5% of the criterion.<br />

The BH criterion is calculated as a summation over all measured values and all model<br />

pairs. The criterion for each state variable and each measured point is shown in figure<br />

4.10(c) for each model pair.<br />

As could be expected from figure 4.10, mainly the differences between model Cat2<br />

and the other two models are of influence. Furthermore, it is mainly the measurement<br />

of substrate which contributes to the criterion. Especially the measurements in a range<br />

where one of the models from a model pair predicts very low substrate concentrations<br />

are of importance.<br />

Buzzi-Ferraris and Forzatti (BF)<br />

The designed experiment according to the BF criterion is shown in figure 4.11, illustrated<br />

by the expected concentrations according to the competing models. Again, skipped<br />

samples are caused by the lower bound on the volume.<br />

In this experiment, the influence of the different model pairs is more evenly divided:<br />

model pairs Cat1-Cat2, Cat1-Cat3 and Cat2-Cat3 accounted for about 27%, 18% and<br />

56% of the criterion.<br />

The criterion was with 2 · 10 4 by far high enough to pass the minimal value according<br />

to the original BF criterion.<br />

Chen and Asprey (CA)<br />

The designed experiment according to the CA criterion is shown in figure 4.12, illustrated<br />

by the expected concentrations according to the competing models.<br />

In this designed experiment, the model pairs Cat1-Cat2, Cat1-Cat3 and Cat2-Cat3<br />

accounted for 28%, 24% and 48% of the criterion. In this case, the optimized criterion<br />

was with 5·10 4 high enough not to have problems regarding the minimal value suggested<br />

in the original criterion.<br />

The criterion is shown over time for substrate and product in figure 4.12(c), showing<br />

that 98% of the criterion is accounted for by the substrate measurements, fairly evenly<br />

divided over time.<br />

Hunter and Reiner (HR)<br />

The designed experiment according to the HR criterion is shown in figure 4.13, illustrated<br />

by the expected concentrations according to the competing models. Obviously, the<br />

suggested experiment is very similar to the experiment according to the CA criterion<br />

shown in the prior paragraph.<br />

78

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