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<strong>KCE</strong> Reports 80S Maximum Billing Supplement 135<br />

6 INTRODUCTION<br />

The introduction of a ceiling on co-payments can influence behaviour of patients and<br />

providers. The ceiling introduces a bend in the budget line – the nominal price per unit<br />

diminishes or becomes zero after a specified amount of medical care is bought within a<br />

specified period.<br />

It is well-known that individuals react to price changes. This is confirmed in a recent<br />

review 1 : having insurance leads to a higher utilization of services whereas an increase in<br />

cost-sharing leads to a decrease. Although there is clearly an impact of changes in costsharing<br />

on the probability of seeing a doctor and on the probability of having a hospital<br />

stay, the strength of the effect differs between different types of care. General<br />

practitioners as well as drugs seem most affected; hospital care and specialist care least.<br />

In case of a deductible, we also expect patients will consume more when they face a<br />

lower price. Providers can also increase consumption and/or price. However, given<br />

uncertainty in the consumption of medical care, it is not clear when this reaction will<br />

take place. Keeler and Rolph (1988) 2 see three different possibilities: myopic behaviour,<br />

rational behaviour and inflexible behaviour. Patients can react and increase consumption<br />

only after exceeding the limit when co-payments are reduced or absent. Patients in this<br />

case act in a myopic way; decisions are always based on the current OOP price. Before<br />

reaching the maximum billing expenditure, the usual OOP price guides behaviour. After<br />

reaching the limit, patients will start consuming more because of (nearly) free care.<br />

Rational behaviour occurs when patients anticipate they will exceed the limit and<br />

increase consumption once they expect to reach the limit. In such a case, the current<br />

OOP price is not a complete guide to behaviour. Families will also look at the effect of<br />

current spending on future prices; expenditures in the range below the deductible<br />

reduce the remaining deductible and, hence, there will be a greater chance to exceed<br />

the deductible. Therefore, current consumption reduces the expected costs of future<br />

medical care. Consequently, the patient will adapt his behaviour according to his<br />

expectation of (not) exceeding the deductible: when he expects to exceed it, he will act<br />

as if he is fully insured and vice versa. Although consumption of medical care is fraught<br />

with uncertainty, in this case the individual should have some general idea about the<br />

evolution of his consumption, and more specifically the co-payments included in the<br />

MAB-counter. When rational behaviour occurs, this can also include what Bakker 3<br />

(cited in Ministerie van Volksgezondheid, Welzijn en Sport, 2001 4 ) calls a ‘postponing’<br />

effect: patients who expect to generate high expenditures at the end of an accounting<br />

period will try to shift these to the beginning of the next accounting period because<br />

they will then enjoy ‘(nearly) free care’ during a longer time span. Finally, inflexible<br />

behaviour relates to the situation where the behaviour of the patient is not affected.<br />

The initial coinsurance rate continues to guide behaviour because patients are unaware<br />

of the lower price (because of informational problems) or do not respond to it (which<br />

is less likely, given the empirical findings of price effects).<br />

Similar to patients, also providers can change their behaviour, if they know patients have<br />

exceeded their limit. In general they can induce consumption or also change prescribing<br />

behaviour (e.g. less generic or cheap drugs) or change their attitude towards charging<br />

co-payments.<br />

In the next paragraph, we will look at the empirical evidence of the impact of<br />

price/coinsurance on the demand for medical care in case of a deductible on the basis of a<br />

literature review. Next we will propose a methodology for our empirical work. Empirical<br />

results for Belgium are presented in chapter 5 of the main text.

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