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Technieken voor de observatie en analyse van verkeersconflicten

Technieken voor de observatie en analyse van verkeersconflicten

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English summary<br />

Title Techniques for the observation and analysis of traffic conflicts<br />

Subtitle Literature study<br />

Abstract<br />

The roots of the Traffic Conflict Technique (TCT) are situated in the fabrics of G<strong>en</strong>eral<br />

Motors in Detroit. At the <strong>en</strong>d of the sixties, the car manufacturer <strong>de</strong>veloped observation<br />

techniques to <strong>de</strong>termine into what ext<strong>en</strong>d cars of G<strong>en</strong>eral Motors were involved in unsafe<br />

traffic situations (Perkins & Harris, 1968; Archer, 2001). A traffic conflict was <strong>de</strong>fined as<br />

every possible conflict situation leading to braking or manoeuvres.<br />

Conflict observation techniques start from the assumption that the behaviour of drivers is<br />

a valuable source of information in the case of pot<strong>en</strong>tial conflicts (Hydén, 1987; Horst,<br />

1990). Only a small amount of all passages lead to fatalities. The share of pot<strong>en</strong>tial<br />

conflicts is already bigger. Through the <strong>analyse</strong>s of pot<strong>en</strong>tial conflicts insight can be<br />

gained in factors <strong>en</strong> patterns un<strong>de</strong>rlying unsafety. This information can be used as<br />

additional information to acci<strong>de</strong>nt data and can be used by road authorities wh<strong>en</strong> taking<br />

a well fun<strong>de</strong>d <strong>de</strong>cision about the r<strong>en</strong>ovation of intersections and stretches.<br />

The use of conflict observation techniques is divers:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

as instrum<strong>en</strong>t for diagnosis of unsafe locations,<br />

formulation of theory: for in <strong>de</strong>pth investigation of aspects causing unsafe situations,<br />

carrying out evaluations of the effects of measures using before and after studies,<br />

<strong>de</strong>termining criterions for setting priorities in a programme for road safety research.<br />

An important ad<strong>van</strong>tage of the use of traffic conflict techniques is the fact that research<br />

of the road safety of a certain location can be carried out within a short period of time.<br />

There is no need to wait for statistical rele<strong>van</strong>t acci<strong>de</strong>nt data. Moreover, research can be<br />

adapted to the specific characteristics of the situation which allows gaining insight in the<br />

relation betwe<strong>en</strong> behaviour of the road users in relation to the build <strong>en</strong>vironm<strong>en</strong>t. Wh<strong>en</strong><br />

using cameras, research results can be linked to more g<strong>en</strong>eral data about weather,<br />

amount of vehicles and speed. Furthermore, footages can be used wh<strong>en</strong> discussing the<br />

results of the research with stakehol<strong>de</strong>rs and the responsible authorities.<br />

Traffic conflict techniques also have limitations. Carrying out observations is time<br />

int<strong>en</strong>sive because the observers make there observations during at least 18 hours.<br />

Moreover, the data is collected during a short period of time which means that the<br />

information is not necessarily rele<strong>van</strong>t for other periods of the year. This aspect should<br />

be taking into account wh<strong>en</strong> <strong>de</strong>signing a research and analysing the results. Because of<br />

the fact that internationally differ<strong>en</strong>t methods have be<strong>en</strong> <strong>de</strong>veloped, it is very important<br />

to <strong>de</strong>fine clearly what is meant with a conflict in or<strong>de</strong>r to be able to compare the results<br />

with acci<strong>de</strong>nt data and research results of other conflict observations. A third point of<br />

interest has to do with the <strong>de</strong>gree into which conflicts are an indication for the expected<br />

level of unsafety. Serious conflicts can not simply be se<strong>en</strong> as an indicator for acci<strong>de</strong>nts,<br />

but the can give an indication of the road safety of a certain location because patterns of<br />

behaviour leading to conflicts can be <strong>de</strong>tected.<br />

Steunpunt Verkeersveiligheid 4 RA-2007-118

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