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ON THE EFFECTS OF CIRCULAR BOLT PATTERNS ON THE ...

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These techniques yield information on the relative significance of not only the main parameters<br />

X X ,..., X , but also the interactions between the same parameters X X ( X X ... X )<br />

1, 2 n<br />

94<br />

X .<br />

1 2 3,...,<br />

1 2 n<br />

However, in most practical problems, such as the one studied, many of the higher-order interactions may<br />

be eliminated on the basis of physical and intuitive considerations. Probable interactions must, however,<br />

be included in the model. The behavior of the extended end-plate connection seems to be a simple<br />

solution considering the cantilever profile of the member, but there are many more parameters that can<br />

be considered in an analytical study and regression analysis. For example, bolt diameter, end-plate<br />

thickness, column flange thickness, beam depth, and many other parameters can be contributing in the<br />

connection behavior. This possibility makes this type of an analytical study and regression analysis a<br />

complex and interesting study, but does not facilitate the complete defining of all the interactions.<br />

If a linear regression model is not found satisfactory, an alternative method is the product regression<br />

model of the form:<br />

C1<br />

1<br />

C2<br />

2<br />

Cn<br />

n<br />

x C X X ... X<br />

(5.4)<br />

0<br />

This nonlinear regression method was used in this project because of the complexity of the<br />

interactions involved. This may be reduced to a linear regression model if the logarithms are taken off<br />

from both sides as shown below:<br />

ln 0 1 1 2 2<br />

x lnC<br />

C<br />

ln X C<br />

X ...<br />

C<br />

ln X<br />

(5.5)<br />

n<br />

Denoting the logarithms of the various parameters by prime superscripts, Equation 5.5 becomes:<br />

' ' '<br />

'<br />

x C0<br />

C1X<br />

1 C2X<br />

2 <br />

'<br />

... Cn<br />

X n<br />

(5.6)<br />

This is similar to the first group of terms in Equation 5.3. It should be noted that in Equation 5.6,<br />

'<br />

1<br />

'<br />

2<br />

'<br />

3<br />

product terms of the form X , X , X , etc., do not occur, so no interactions are present.<br />

In this study, the coefficient 0 C and the exponents n C C C ,..., , 1 2 in Equation 5.5 are determined by<br />

multiple regression analysis, so as to obtain the best least square fit to the data. With this method, the<br />

best fit regression equation is taken as the one which minimizes the sum of the squares of the deviations<br />

of the data points from the equation fit to the data. To demonstrate the basic principles, say that the value<br />

n

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