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Unit Trust Corporation Annual Report 2012<br />

Dear Fellow Investors<br />

It is my great pleasure to present to you<br />

the Executive Director’s Report on the<br />

Corporation’s financial outturn and the<br />

investment performance of its mutual funds<br />

for the year ended December 31, 2012.<br />

eCOnOmIC RevIeW<br />

and OutlOOk<br />

In the 2012 financial year, global economic<br />

performance surpassed expectations as policymakers<br />

across the world intervened, coordinating<br />

monetary and fiscal policies in order<br />

to revitalize global economic growth which<br />

has been decelerating since 2011.<br />

Real GDP in the US rose 2.2 percent in 2012<br />

compared to 1.8 percent in 2011. This increase<br />

was recorded despite declining government<br />

spending and is chiefly reflective of increased<br />

personal consumption and investment<br />

spending along with decelerating imports.<br />

The US housing market showed signs of resilience<br />

and the US Federal Reserve extended<br />

its accommodative policy measures in a bid to<br />

maintain low interest rates. The “debt ceiling<br />

debate” and the looming “fiscal cliff” remain<br />

the key legislative issues which are high on<br />

the agenda for US policymakers as both issues<br />

have the potential the cause serious economic<br />

fallout if not properly managed.<br />

Economic activity in the Euro-area contract-<br />

ed by 0.6 percent during 2012, following an<br />

expansion of 1.4 percent in 2011. This was<br />

prompted by declining export growth, falling<br />

investment levels triggered by increased<br />

capital flight, contracting private consumption<br />

and elevated unemployment levels.<br />

European Central Bank actions to supply liquidity<br />

to the region’s troubled banks have<br />

exeCUtIVe DIreCtor’S Letter<br />

helped to improve overall investor sentiment<br />

towards the Euro-area notwithstanding the<br />

weak economic fundamentals.<br />

Emerging market economic conditions were<br />

tempered by the Euro-area recession as<br />

these regions depend heavily on that area’s<br />

external demand. The Asian region still managed<br />

to grow at a rate of 6.28 percent in 2012<br />

compared to 7.54 percent in 2011, while Latin<br />

America grew at 2.57 percent compared to<br />

4.17 percent in 2011. These regions’ largest<br />

economies, China and Brazil, grew at 7.80<br />

percent 0.87 percent respectively in 2012.<br />

Many Caribbean economies continued to<br />

face challenges of elevated public debt levels,<br />

weak external demand, and adverse terms of<br />

trade. The Jamaican economy encountered<br />

continued difficulties in 2012, however, in<br />

February 2013, Jamaican authorities and the<br />

International Monetary Fund (IMF) reached a<br />

staff-level agreement for an Extended Fund<br />

Facility which should provide some support<br />

in the medium term. Barbados’ economic<br />

growth stagnated in 2012 as the economy<br />

remains challenged owing to the protracted<br />

global economic weakness which significantly<br />

impacts tourism. The Central Bank<br />

of Trinidad & Tobago forecasts GDP growth<br />

of 1.2 percent and 2.5 percent for 2012 and<br />

2013 respectively. Third quarter GDP grew<br />

by 1.5 percent year-over-year following a 3.3<br />

percent contraction in the preceding quarter.<br />

Crude, natural gas and petrochemical<br />

production all deteriorated during the year<br />

and various downstream energy projects<br />

were postponed. notably, however, there<br />

was increased exploratory and drilling activity<br />

in the upstream energy sector during 2012<br />

31

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