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32<br />

S&p 500 Index<br />

exeCUtIVe DIreCtor’S Letter Unit Trust Corporation Annual Report 2012<br />

along with new oil and gas finds.<br />

In January 2013, the IMF revised its 2013<br />

projection for world growth to 3.5 percent,<br />

marginally lower than its October 2012 forecast<br />

of 3.6 percent. World trade is expected<br />

to decelerate further, expanding a pace of 3.8<br />

percent in 2013 following 2.8 percent growth<br />

in 2012. Commodity prices are also expected<br />

to ease, while inflation should remain stable<br />

in the developed economies though rising<br />

slightly in the emerging market and developing<br />

economies. Global economic growth<br />

may achieve these estimates as long as major<br />

crisis risks do not materialize, particularly<br />

in the Euro-area and US. Any substantial deterioration<br />

in economic conditions for either<br />

of these economies would suggest negative<br />

implications for global economic growth.<br />

fInanCIal maRkets-nteRnatIOnal<br />

equIty PeRfORmanCe<br />

Equity markets posted solid returns in 2012,<br />

outperforming fixed-income markets as investors<br />

sought to purchase risk assets despite<br />

the uncertainties of the economic issues<br />

dominating the headlines. In north America,<br />

1.500<br />

1.450<br />

1.400<br />

1.350<br />

1.300<br />

1.250<br />

1.200<br />

1.150<br />

1.100<br />

1.050<br />

1.000<br />

25.000<br />

20.000<br />

15.000<br />

10.000<br />

9-Dec-11<br />

5.000<br />

0<br />

12-Dec-11<br />

9-Jan-12<br />

12-Feb-12<br />

9-Feb-12<br />

12-Mar-12<br />

9-Mar-12<br />

12-Apr-12<br />

9-Apr-12<br />

12-May-12<br />

9-May-12<br />

12-Jun-12<br />

9-Jun-12<br />

12-Jul-12<br />

S&p 500<br />

9-Jul-12<br />

Figure 1: North American Equity Indices<br />

S&p tSx Composite Index<br />

12-Aug-12<br />

9-Aug-12<br />

12-Sep-12<br />

9-Sep-12<br />

12-Oct-12<br />

the US benchmark S&P 500 Index rose 13.41<br />

percent for the year, compared to return of 0.0<br />

percent in 2011. The Financials sector was the<br />

year’s best performer returning 26.26 percent<br />

followed by the Consumer Discretionary and<br />

Healthcare sectors which saw gains of 21.87<br />

percent and 15.19 percent respectively. The<br />

sole US sector showing a negative return was<br />

the Utilities sector, the worst performer for<br />

the year. The Energy sector was the second<br />

worst performer returning 2.33 percent.<br />

Industries within the Energy sector exhibited<br />

mixed performance with the best performer,<br />

the S&P Oil and Gas Refining and Marketing<br />

Index, rising a magnificent 80.07 percent<br />

whereas the worst industry performer, the S&P<br />

Coal and Consumable Fuels Index, declined<br />

26.13 percent. Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite<br />

Index increased 4.00 percent compared to<br />

2011’s performance of negative 11.07 percent.<br />

The S&P Euro 350 Index soared 13.75 per-<br />

cent while the Uk’s FTSE 100 Index increased<br />

5.84 percent, up from negative 10.64 percent<br />

and negative 5.55 percent in the previous<br />

year. Belgium and Denmark outperformed,<br />

9-Oct-12<br />

12-Nov-12<br />

9-Nov-12<br />

12-Dec-12<br />

9-Dec-12<br />

Shanghai Se Composite ??????????? nikkel mSCI asia pacific<br />

??????????? S&p LaC ???????????<br />

13.000<br />

12.500<br />

12.000<br />

11.500<br />

11.000<br />

10.500<br />

10.000<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

S&p tSx Composite Index<br />

mSCI asia pacific Index<br />

18.000<br />

16.000<br />

14.000<br />

12.000<br />

10.000<br />

8.000<br />

6.000<br />

4.000<br />

9-Dec-11<br />

11.000<br />

10.000<br />

9.000<br />

8.000<br />

7.000<br />

6.000<br />

5.000<br />

9-Dec-11<br />

9-Jan-12<br />

ftSe<br />

9-Jan-12<br />

9-Feb-12<br />

9-Feb-12<br />

9-Mar-12<br />

9-Mar-12<br />

9-Apr-12<br />

ftSe mIB<br />

9-Apr-12<br />

9-May-12<br />

9-May-12<br />

9-Jun-12<br />

9-Jun-12<br />

Dax<br />

9-Jul-12<br />

9-Jul-12<br />

Figure 2: European Equity Indices<br />

Figure 3: Asian Equity Indices Figure 4: Latin American Equity Indices<br />

advancing 33.99 percent and 28.09 percent,<br />

with Europe largest economy, Germany, following<br />

closely behind at 25.24 percent. Spain<br />

posted the worst performance in the region<br />

of negative 4.76 percent followed by Greece<br />

which returned negative 2.35 percent and<br />

Portugal with negative 2.22 percent.<br />

The Emerging Markets also exhibited improved<br />

equity performance with the MSCI<br />

Asia Pacific Index providing returns of 13.61<br />

percent, while the S&P Latin America 40 Index<br />

posted comparatively weaker returns of<br />

3.30 percent. These were, however, significantly<br />

better than their 2011 performances<br />

of negative 17.31 percent and negative 20.69<br />

percent respectively. Asian markets were led<br />

by the Philippines, India, Thailand and China<br />

which posted returns of 34.70 percent, 27.86<br />

percent, 26.87 percent and 18.73 percent<br />

respectively. Malaysia showed the region’s<br />

poorest performance at 6.84 percent. Latin<br />

America saw Colombia outperforming<br />

the pack with returns of 19.91 percent, with<br />

Mexico and Peru following posting 18.24 percent<br />

and 15.03 percent. Chile trailed behind<br />

returning negative 2.67 percent followed by<br />

9-Aug-12<br />

9-Aug-12<br />

9-Sep-12<br />

9-Sep-12<br />

9-Oct-12<br />

9-Oct-12<br />

S&p 350 europe<br />

9-Nov-12<br />

9-Nov-12<br />

9-Dec-12<br />

9-Dec-12<br />

1.200<br />

1.150<br />

1.100<br />

1.050<br />

1.000<br />

950<br />

900<br />

850<br />

800<br />

46.000<br />

44.000<br />

42.000<br />

40.000<br />

38.000<br />

36.000<br />

34.000<br />

32.000<br />

30.000<br />

??????????? S&p 350 europe Index

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