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The Arrow - Ofcom Licensing

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(d) Audience Projections<br />

Provide the following information:<br />

(i) <strong>The</strong> projected adult (aged 15+) population of the Total Survey Area (TSA) within which it is intended to<br />

measure the listenership of the service;<br />

2,327,000<br />

(ii) Projections for listenership ratings (e.g. weekly reach, average weekly hours of listening) over the fir st three<br />

years of the service, with detailed demographic br eakdowns as appropriate;<br />

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3<br />

15+ TSA Pop’n 2,327,000 2,327,000 2,327,000<br />

15+ Reach % 11 13 14<br />

15+ Reach 256,000 303,000 326,000<br />

15+ Avg Hours 6.0 7.0 8.0<br />

15+ Total Hours 1,536,000 2,121,000 2,608,000<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Arrow</strong> is targeted specifically at those aged 40-59, with a slight male skew in its<br />

appeal. We should expect this to be reflected in the audience profile more directly in<br />

the second year, although initially we anticipate a slightly younger profile bearing in<br />

mind the increased propensity for immediate trial of new media in younger age groups.<br />

Year One Population Reach Reach % Avg Hours Hours<br />

15+ 2,327,000 256,000 11.0 6.0 1,536,000<br />

15-24 399,000 32,718 8.2 3.5 114,513<br />

25-34 365,000 40,880 11.2 4.5 183,960<br />

35-44 453,000 59,538 13.1 7.5 447,519<br />

45-54 358,000 48,939 13.7 7.9 386,615<br />

55-64 320,000 40,960 12.8 5.8 238,563<br />

65-74 432,000 32,966 7.6 5.0 164,830<br />

75+ 1,133,000 135,406 12.0 6.6 893,679<br />

Male 1,194,000 120,594 10.1 5.3 642,321<br />

Female 1,168,000 149,436 12.8 7.2 1,072,698<br />

40-59 Male 2,327,000 256,000 11.0 6.0 1,536,000<br />

(iii) <strong>The</strong> expected impact of the proposed service on existing services, in listenership terms;<br />

As the only station specifically targeting mature adults with a male bias, we expect<br />

listening to be attracted from a range of existing stations which currently only partially<br />

satisfy our core market’s needs. People who love Adult Rock can only find it elsewhere<br />

17

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