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NOx Emissions Impacts from Widespread Deployment of CHP in ...

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<strong>NOx</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong> Report<br />

system under the current air quality regulations. In addition, <strong>CHP</strong> projects are currently<br />

restricted <strong>from</strong> receiv<strong>in</strong>g TERP fund<strong>in</strong>g promot<strong>in</strong>g <strong>NOx</strong> reductions, particularly <strong>in</strong> the<br />

HGB non-atta<strong>in</strong>ment region. The scientific basis for these restrictions should be further<br />

analyzed and quantified.<br />

Potential opportunities to develop <strong>CHP</strong> <strong>in</strong> the commercial and <strong>in</strong>stitutional build<strong>in</strong>g<br />

sector are numerous, but the <strong>NOx</strong> impacts are highly dependent on the <strong>CHP</strong> operat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

strategy employed for such systems. Current market dynamics favor the development <strong>of</strong><br />

small <strong>CHP</strong> systems designed and operated to serve facility thermal loads (Case 3). While<br />

such systems have a potentially beneficial <strong>NOx</strong> impact, the impact is anticipated to be<br />

only about one-third <strong>of</strong> the possible <strong>NOx</strong> reductions. Without additional <strong>in</strong>centives, a<br />

purely market based approach would under develop <strong>CHP</strong> capacity <strong>in</strong> the commercial<br />

market result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the realization <strong>of</strong> substantially lower <strong>NOx</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>gs.<br />

This study did not evaluate the impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>CHP</strong> development time, which can take one to<br />

three years for a s<strong>in</strong>gle system. <strong>Widespread</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>CHP</strong> <strong>of</strong> a magnitude<br />

similar to what is suggested here could conceivably take 10-15 years or longer.<br />

Additional study is needed to better quantify and forecast <strong>NOx</strong> impacts <strong>in</strong>to the future.<br />

4.3 Conclusions<br />

In HGB today, the potential for additional <strong>CHP</strong> systems <strong>in</strong> both commercial and<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial sectors is large and grow<strong>in</strong>g. In the commercial sector, <strong>of</strong>fice build<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

represent a large opportunity for <strong>CHP</strong>, although other build<strong>in</strong>g types like hospitals and<br />

hotel may be a better fit for <strong>CHP</strong>. In the <strong>in</strong>dustrial sector, large projects over 20 MW<br />

represent the best opportunities for <strong>NOx</strong> reductions, although many smaller projects are<br />

possible. Potential <strong>NOx</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>gs anticipated <strong>from</strong> widespread adoption <strong>of</strong> <strong>CHP</strong> <strong>in</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

structures <strong>in</strong> HGB is estimated to be <strong>in</strong> the rage <strong>of</strong> 13 - 15 tons per day.<br />

Implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>CHP</strong> reduces total <strong>NOx</strong> emissions, but shifts some <strong>of</strong> those emissions<br />

to those facilities adopt<strong>in</strong>g its use. Thus, the geographical distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>NOx</strong> emissions<br />

is changed through <strong>CHP</strong> implementation. While total sav<strong>in</strong>gs are achieved, <strong>NOx</strong><br />

emissions at facilities adopt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>CHP</strong> is anticipated to <strong>in</strong>crease. For HGB, this could mean<br />

that local <strong>NOx</strong> emissions could <strong>in</strong>crease by about 11.8 tons per day. This study suggests<br />

that widespread adoption <strong>of</strong> <strong>CHP</strong> would reduce <strong>NOx</strong> concentrations <strong>in</strong> HGB if more than<br />

half <strong>of</strong> the <strong>NOx</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>from</strong> decreased use <strong>of</strong> grid electricity actually lowered <strong>NOx</strong><br />

concentrations <strong>in</strong> the eight-county region. Further studies <strong>of</strong> the <strong>NOx</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>from</strong> <strong>CHP</strong><br />

and the potential impacts on ozone formation are warranted.<br />

In recent years, commercial real estate owners and developers are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly look<strong>in</strong>g at<br />

<strong>CHP</strong> for economic and environmental reasons, and a few <strong>CHP</strong> projects are currently<br />

under construction <strong>in</strong> HGB. However, the adoption rate for <strong>CHP</strong>, especially among<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial facilities, has slowed due to volatile natural gas prices and uncerta<strong>in</strong> economic<br />

conditions. If additional <strong>NOx</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>gs are to be realized <strong>from</strong> <strong>CHP</strong>, a number <strong>of</strong><br />

regulatory and market barriers will need to be addressed and <strong>in</strong>centive provided to value<br />

the <strong>NOx</strong> benefits.<br />

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