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corio norlane structure plan background report - City of Greater ...

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Figure 2 – Average Annual Population Change<br />

Average Annual Population Change (%)<br />

1.5<br />

1<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

-0.5<br />

-1<br />

-1.5<br />

-2<br />

1981-91 1991-2001 2001-06<br />

Corio<br />

Norlane<br />

<strong>Greater</strong> Geelong<br />

Source: Suburbs in Time, DPCD, 2006<br />

3.3 Projected future population<br />

Population forecasts prepared for the <strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Greater</strong> Geelong by ID Consultants<br />

suggest that population will marginally rise across the Corio and Norlane area over the<br />

next twenty years (25,023 to 25,959; +0.2 annually). However, despite the projected<br />

increase, the population is not expected to attain population numbers that existed in<br />

1991 (26, 929 persons).<br />

Population growth forecast for Corio and Norlane is within a context <strong>of</strong> strong growth<br />

projected for the <strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Greater</strong> Geelong which is projected to grow by 64,000 people<br />

between 2006 and 2026.<br />

Figure 3 – Forecast Population<br />

Corio Norlane Population Forecast 2011-2031<br />

28000<br />

27000<br />

26000<br />

25000<br />

24000<br />

23000<br />

22000<br />

21000<br />

1991<br />

1996<br />

2001<br />

2006<br />

2011<br />

2016<br />

2021<br />

2026<br />

2031<br />

Source: Suburbs in Time, DPCD, 2006 & ID Consultants for COGG, 2010<br />

3.4 Age Structure<br />

Suburbs in Time shows that Corio and Norlane combined have an increasingly ageing<br />

population pr<strong>of</strong>ile like most parts <strong>of</strong> Australia, with the number <strong>of</strong> persons aged over 65<br />

Corio Norlane Structure Plan<br />

Background Report - 38 - Final - March 2011

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