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<strong>Improved</strong> <strong>Beta</strong>?<br />

Noël Amenc, Felix Goltz and Lionel Martellini<br />

The Evolution Of Equal Weighting<br />

Pradeep Velvadapu<br />

Expert Weighting: A Roundtable Discussion<br />

With Robert Arnott, Gus Sauter, Scott Ebner, Srikant Dash and more<br />

Core Vs. Blend<br />

David Blanchett<br />

Plus Blitzer on classifications, Wall on benchmarking microfinance and Crigger going bananas


www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong><br />

Vol. 14 No. 1<br />

features<br />

<strong>Improved</strong> <strong>Beta</strong>?<br />

by Noël Amenc, Felix Goltz<br />

and Lionel Martellini ........................ 10<br />

Comparing index weighting methodologies.<br />

The Evolution Of Equal Weighting<br />

by Pradeep Velvadapu ..................... 20<br />

What happens when you equal-weight sectors?.<br />

The Weight Debate<br />

with Robert Arnott, Gus Sauter, Scott Ebner,<br />

Srikant Dash, Frank Nielsen and Chris Woods . . 30<br />

Experts opine on the intricacies of weighting schemes.<br />

Core Vs. Blend<br />

by David Blanchett ........................ 36<br />

Do “core” indexes outperform “blend” indexes?<br />

Benchmarking Microfinance Equity Investments<br />

by Peter Wall ............................ 40<br />

How to construct an index of microfinance institutions.<br />

Sorting And Digging<br />

by David Blitzer .......................... 50<br />

The art of dividing the market into useful pieces.<br />

Better <strong>Beta</strong> By Bananas<br />

by Lara Crigger ........................... 64<br />

The grueling quest for the ultimate weighting scheme.<br />

news<br />

Indexes Regain Edge Over Active . . . . . . . . . . . . 52<br />

TD Ameritrade Offers Commission-Free ETFs . . 52<br />

MIT Launches Own Inflation Indexes . . . . . . . . . 52<br />

Wave Of ETF Closures Announced In Sept., Oct. . 52<br />

Indexing Developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53<br />

Around The World Of ETFs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56<br />

Back To The Futures ..................... 58<br />

Know Your Options ...................... 58<br />

On The Move ........................... 58<br />

10<br />

20<br />

data<br />

Selected Major Indexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59<br />

Returns Of Largest U.S. Index Mutual Funds . . . 60<br />

U.S. Market Overview In Style . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61<br />

U.S. Industry Review ..................... 62<br />

Exchange-Traded Funds Corner . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63<br />

36<br />

POSTMASTER: Send all address changes to Charter Financial Publishing Network, Inc., P.O. Box 7550, Shrewsbury, N.J. 07702. Reproduction, photocopying or<br />

incorporation into any information-retrieval system for external or internal use is prohibited unless permission is obtained in writing beforehand from the Journal Of<br />

Indexes in each case for a specific article. The subscription fee entitles the subscriber to one copy only. Unauthorized copying is considered theft.<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011 1


Contributors<br />

Noël Amenc<br />

Noël Amenc is a professor of finance and director of development at EDHEC<br />

Business School, where he heads the EDHEC-Risk Institute. Amenc has a master’s<br />

degree in economics and a Ph.D. in finance and has conducted active<br />

research in the fields of quantitative equity management, portfolio performance<br />

analysis and active asset allocation. He is a member of the editorial<br />

board of the Journal of Portfolio Management, associate editor of the Journal of<br />

Alternative Investments and a member of the scientific advisory council of the<br />

AMF (French financial regulatory authority).<br />

David Blanchett<br />

David Blanchett is the director of Consulting and Investment Research for the<br />

Retirement Plan Consulting Group at Unified Trust Company in Lexington, Ky.<br />

He is primarily responsible for helping 401(k) advisers with fiduciary, <strong>com</strong>pliance,<br />

operational and investment issues relating to Unified Trust’s retirement<br />

plan services. Blanchett has published over 30 papers in various industry<br />

journals. He is a CFA charterholder and recently <strong>com</strong>pleted his MBA at the<br />

University of Chicago Booth School of Business.<br />

David Blitzer<br />

David Blitzer is managing director and chairman of the Standard & Poor’s<br />

Index Committee. He has overall responsibility for security selection for S&P’s<br />

indices and index analysis and management. Blitzer previously served as chief<br />

economist for S&P and corporate economist at The McGraw-Hill Companies,<br />

S&P’s parent corporation. A graduate of Cornell University with a B.S. in engineering,<br />

he received his M.A. in economics from Georgetown University and<br />

his Ph.D. in economics from Columbia University.<br />

Lara Crigger<br />

Lara Crigger is an associate editor at Index Publications. She oversees editorial<br />

content for Hard Assets Investor, and provides research and content for Index<br />

Universe, Hard Assets Investor, Journal of Indexes and the Exchange-Traded Funds<br />

Report. Prior to joining Index Publications, Crigger was a freelance journalist<br />

specializing in finance and technology. She holds a B.S. in physics from the<br />

Rochester Institute of Technology.<br />

Felix Goltz<br />

Felix Goltz is head of Applied Research at EDHEC-Risk Institute. He conducts<br />

research in empirical finance, asset allocation and performance analysis, with a<br />

focus on indexing strategies. Goltz’s research has been published in international<br />

academic and practitioner journals and handbooks, and he is a frequent speaker<br />

at industry conferences. Goltz obtained a Ph.D. in finance from the Université de<br />

Nice Sophia Antipolis after studying economics and business administration at<br />

the University of Bayreuth and EDHEC Business School.<br />

Pradeep Velvadapu<br />

Pradeep Velvadapu is a senior research analyst for the index business at<br />

Russell Investments, based in Seattle. As part of the research and innovation<br />

group, he is responsible for conducting research and analysis necessary for<br />

the development of new index and investable products, and the maintenance<br />

and enhancement of existing products. Velvadapu joined Russell in 2006 as a<br />

member of the research team responsible for the development and construction<br />

of the Russell Global indexes, launched in January 2007.<br />

Peter Wall<br />

Peter Wall is founder and CEO of Wall’s Street Advisor Services, a consultancy<br />

specializing in innovations in financial information services. He has over 30<br />

years’ experience in developing and marketing financial information services,<br />

with International Finance Corporation, FTSE International and most recently,<br />

Microfinance Information Exchange Inc. In these capacities, Wall has also been<br />

active in many index and international financial reporting standards-setting<br />

activities. A member of the CFA Institute, he is based in Falls Church, Va.<br />

2<br />

January / February 2011


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Editor’s Note<br />

Considering Alternatives<br />

Jim Wiandt<br />

Editor<br />

With beta be<strong>com</strong>ing the new alpha, it seems apt that index weighting schemes are<br />

again <strong>com</strong>ing into focus. Despite Rob Arnott and others pitching alternatively<br />

weighted indexes as effectively better beta, they’ve always struck me as an effort<br />

to try to squeeze some alpha in over the market cap … more akin to enhanced indexing<br />

than “better beta,” and certainly some bet against where the market holds its money.<br />

Now, to some extent, the numbers are in. Alternative weighting strategies have been<br />

on the market for a few years now, and they’ve been stress-tested in some very stressful<br />

environments. We thought it was time to take a good, hard look at how they’ve fared.<br />

That’s all the more important considering that many more alternative strategies are <strong>com</strong>ing<br />

down the pike, including new equal-weighted ETFs providing exposure to all your<br />

favorite indexes. In this issue, you’ll get some insight into how these types of funds and<br />

indexes work.<br />

Right on point is a survey from Noël Amenc, Felix Goltz and Lionel Martellini firmly planting<br />

the flag that the alternatively weighted indexes outperform, in many respects, their capweighted<br />

counterparts. There is plenty of data in the piece for you to peruse and ponder.<br />

Pradeep Velvadapu weighs in with a piece looking at equal sector weighting … a<br />

strategy that has particularly fared well on the bust side of boom/bust bubbles like late<br />

’90s tech and 2008 financials ... both extremely interesting case study time periods for<br />

alternatively weighted indexes. Compare, contrast, reflect.<br />

Next up is an old-school roundtable from some of the leading players on the alternative<br />

and cap side of the weighting equation, including the thoughts of Gus Sauter, Rob<br />

Arnott, Scott Ebner, Srikant Dash, Frank Nielsen and Chris Woods. The hardcore JoI fans<br />

out there will LOVE this Q&A.<br />

Rounding out the issue is a look at “core vs. blend” portfolios by the always engaging<br />

David Blanchett, a great piece on the challenge of benchmarking microfinance by Peter<br />

Wall, David Blitzer making the assertion that if you’re in the markets, you’re a sorter or a<br />

digger, and Lara Crigger with a back-page jolly that sort of pans … me.<br />

Happy investing! These are exciting times around here and in our industry.<br />

Jim Wiandt<br />

Editor<br />

8<br />

January / February 2011


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<strong>Improved</strong> <strong>Beta</strong>?<br />

A <strong>com</strong>parison of index weighting schemes<br />

By Noël Amenc, Felix Goltz and Lionel Martellini<br />

10<br />

January / February 2011


In recent years, many alternatives to cap-weighted equity<br />

indexes have been launched. These indexes are constructed<br />

using other weighting schemes that are supposed to<br />

improve on capitalization weighting and thus provide investors<br />

with “improved beta.” The objective of this paper is to<br />

analyze the performance of a set of such indexes. The results<br />

suggest that the improved beta approaches provide benefits<br />

<strong>com</strong>pared to the standard cap-weighted indexes. Moreover,<br />

the weighting schemes achieve very different objectives,<br />

making good on their promise to alleviate specific problems<br />

inherent to cap-weighting.<br />

Cap-weighted equity indexes have <strong>com</strong>e to dominate<br />

the market for equity index products. Standard & Poor’s<br />

introduced its first cap-weighted stock index in 1923. Such<br />

indexes were intended to provide information on the market’s<br />

mood and direction, and often serve as a bellwether for<br />

the economy. The leading economic indicator <strong>com</strong>puted by<br />

the Conference Board, for example, has such a stock market<br />

index as one of its <strong>com</strong>ponents. Stock market indexes have<br />

also be<strong>com</strong>e a popular underlying for derivatives contracts.<br />

In 1982, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange introduced futures<br />

contracts on the S&P 500 Index and, one year later, the<br />

Chicago Board of Options Exchange listed options on the<br />

same index. The predominance of cap-weighting in equity<br />

index construction is closely linked to these uses. Arguably,<br />

reflecting the performance of stocks in proportion to their<br />

market capitalization allows a good representation of market<br />

movements. And, for the kind of short-term trading needed<br />

to replicate derivatives contracts, the liquidity inherent to<br />

cap-weighting is an advantage.<br />

However, investors do not use equity indexes only to<br />

obtain information and for short-term trading. Today capweighted<br />

indexes have be<strong>com</strong>e an integral part of the investment<br />

process of long-term investors such as pension funds,<br />

endowments and insurance <strong>com</strong>panies. The choice of an<br />

index will have a critical impact both on asset allocation and<br />

performance measurement. In particular, by creating a set of<br />

rules for selection of the asset universe, the weighting scheme<br />

of the selected assets, and periodic rebalancing, a particular<br />

index construction method will direct the risk exposures and<br />

performance of related passive investment vehicles and of<br />

active mandates managed with reference to the index.<br />

To be useful in the investment process, an index must be<br />

more than a reliable indicator of short-term market movements.<br />

Bailey, Richards and Tierney [1990] and Bailey [1992] point out<br />

that a chosen benchmark needs to be unambiguous, investable,<br />

measurable, appropriate, reflective of the investor’s current<br />

investment views and specified in advance. These criteria may<br />

of course be fulfilled by construction methods other than cap<br />

weighting, leaving room for different weighting schemes.<br />

Such alternatives have been developed in response to<br />

critiques of capitalization weighting. About 20 years ago,<br />

papers by Ferson, Kandel and Stambaugh [1987], Haugen<br />

and Baker [1991] and Grinold [1992] presented convincing<br />

empirical evidence that cap-weighted indexes provide an<br />

inefficient risk/return trade-off. In addition, Ranaldo and<br />

Häberle [2007] point out that many capitalization-weighted<br />

indexes may be perceived as active investment strategies. In<br />

pursuit of a more representative weighting scheme, recently<br />

launched indexes have proposed to weight stocks by <strong>com</strong>pany<br />

characteristics such as earnings or book value (Arnott, Hsu<br />

and Moore [2005]; Siegel, Schwartz and Siracusano [2007]).<br />

Other indexes weight stocks to achieve the highest risk/<br />

reward efficiency (Amenc et al. [2010]) or the lowest possible<br />

portfolio volatility (Nielsen and Aylursubramanian [2008]).<br />

Other approaches have focused on constructing maximum<br />

diversification benchmarks (Choueifaty and Coignard [2008])<br />

or equal-risk contribution benchmarks (Maillard, Roncalli and<br />

Teiletche [2010]). Rather than exploiting public information<br />

based on accounting data or risk/return <strong>com</strong>putations, equalweighted<br />

indexes simply attribute an identical weight to all<br />

constituents (Dash and Loggie [2008]).<br />

As a consequence of these developments, investors now<br />

have a wide range of weighting schemes at their disposal. A<br />

natural question is to ask how these schemes <strong>com</strong>pare. In<br />

particular, these indexes have very different objectives, ranging<br />

from minimizing risk to improving the representation of<br />

the economy through a stock market index. They also use<br />

very different types of information to attribute weights—<br />

including risk/return data or accounting data—and even<br />

ignore certain information, as in the case of equal weighting.<br />

A detailed <strong>com</strong>parison will help investors decide which<br />

of these alternatives are most useful to them. This paper<br />

does such a <strong>com</strong>parison for U.S. equity indexes that use the<br />

different weighting schemes. Among the aforementioned<br />

approaches, our analysis focuses on those approaches that<br />

have given rise to indexes published by major index providers.<br />

In particular, we focus on the four following weighting<br />

schemes that have been used by the main index providers to<br />

propose alternatives to market-cap-weighted indexes: efficient<br />

indexes (FTSE), fundamental indexes (FTSE), minimumvolatility<br />

indexes (MSCI) and equal-weighted indexes (S&P).<br />

Our performance analysis roughly covers the past decade, for<br />

which data on a variety of indexes is available.<br />

Available Weighting Schemes<br />

Investors may choose to use indexes for information acquisition,<br />

for performance measurement or as an investment<br />

vehicle. One of the key attractions of equity indexing is the<br />

transparency such indexes provide. Indexes are also sought for<br />

their purported ability to represent the equity market. Finally,<br />

but perhaps most importantly, equity indexes are supposed to<br />

provide investors an attractive risk/reward ratio so that they<br />

can give useful guidance on investment choices.<br />

There are a variety of systematic weighting approaches—<br />

other than weighting the stocks by their market capitalization—that<br />

may fulfill the criteria of representativity and<br />

efficiency. It turns out, however, that the approaches usually<br />

have a focus that is on one of the two aspects. In addition, they<br />

exploit very different sources of information to reach their<br />

objectives. Cap-weighted indexes and fundamental indexes<br />

are mainly concerned with representativity by weighting<br />

stocks by <strong>com</strong>pany characteristics, either market capitalization<br />

or accounting characteristics. Minimum-volatility indexes<br />

and efficient indexes, on the other hand, exploit information<br />

in the returns data of constituent stocks, concerning either<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

11


volatility and correlation (for minimum-volatility indexes) or<br />

volatility, correlation and expected returns (for efficient indexation).<br />

Equal-weighted indexes are the extreme, in the sense<br />

that they do not exploit any stock-specific information. Their<br />

weights can be <strong>com</strong>puted simply from the number of constituent<br />

stocks in the index without any further knowledge of any<br />

characteristics of these stocks.<br />

Indexes Focusing On Representativity<br />

A focus on representativity naturally leads to indexes that<br />

allocate greater weights to larger <strong>com</strong>panies than to smaller<br />

<strong>com</strong>panies. There are, however, two main approaches to<br />

measuring the size of a <strong>com</strong>pany. The cap-weighting scheme<br />

assumes that market capitalization is the best measure for<br />

the size of a <strong>com</strong>pany, whereas the characteristic-based<br />

weighting scheme proposes to use more fundamental measures<br />

of <strong>com</strong>pany size.<br />

Cap-weighted indexes use a stock’s market capitalization<br />

(i.e., the number of outstanding shares times the share price)<br />

as the weighting criterion. Each stock’s weight in the index<br />

will correspond to its share of the overall market capitalization<br />

of all stocks in the index. Such market-cap weighting is<br />

supposed to provide an accurate representation of the stock<br />

market, as more valuable firms will make up a larger share<br />

of the index. This weighting scheme is often justified by the<br />

capital asset pricint model (CAPM) and its central conclusion<br />

that the cap-weighted portfolio of all available assets in the<br />

economy will be mean-variance efficient. The major difference<br />

of cap-weighted equity indexes from this theoretical<br />

market portfolio is that the available indexes omit most of<br />

the assets available in the economy, as dividends on stocks<br />

account for only a small share of wealth <strong>com</strong>pared to in<strong>com</strong>e<br />

and benefits derived from labor, nonlisted businesses, social<br />

security and private housing.<br />

The cap-weighted indexes we include in our empirical<br />

analysis are the S&P 500 Index and the Russell 1000 Index,<br />

which are made up of the largest stocks by market capitalization.<br />

We chose these indexes as they are the most widely<br />

used by investors. Rather than being weighted by market<br />

capitalization, stocks are actually weighted by their freefloat;<br />

i.e., only the market capitalization available to nonstrategic<br />

investors is accounted for. This is the standard practice<br />

in cap-weighted construction of equity indexes.<br />

Fundamental-weighted indexes attempt to be more representative<br />

than cap-weighted indexes by introducing a different<br />

measure of firm size. Rather than being proportional<br />

to the stock’s market capitalization, the weights will be<br />

proportional to an accounting-based measure of size, such as<br />

the <strong>com</strong>pany’s earnings or its book value. Such indexes thus<br />

provide a better representation of stocks by their size as far<br />

as size can be captured by accounting measures.<br />

The idea behind such indexes is not to optimize the risk/<br />

reward trade-off but to have measures of firm size more reliable<br />

than market capitalization. Such indexes may, however,<br />

improve returns <strong>com</strong>pared to cap-weighted indexes, since—<br />

<strong>com</strong>pared to capitalization weighting—they will favor stocks<br />

with low price earnings ratios or high book-to-market ratios.<br />

In our empirical analysis, we use the FTSE RAFI 1000 Index.<br />

This index weights and selects the 1,000 largest stocks by a<br />

set of four characteristics measured over the past five years:<br />

dividends paid, book value, cash flow and <strong>com</strong>pany sales.<br />

Indexes Focusing On Efficiency<br />

Portfolio theory suggests that when indexes are used as<br />

investment benchmarks, the focus should be not on representativity<br />

but on achieving the highest possible risk/reward<br />

ratio. As mentioned in the introduction, one of the key short<strong>com</strong>ings<br />

of the cap-weighted indexes is inefficiency resulting<br />

from poor diversification. Several indexes have attempted to<br />

improve this dimension, while exploiting different approaches<br />

to building better diversified portfolios.<br />

Equal-weighted indexes simply attribute the same weight<br />

to each of their constituents. These indexes may provide a<br />

fair representation of the stock market, as their return for<br />

a given day actually shows the average return of all stocks<br />

on this day. More importantly, perhaps, equal weighting<br />

may lead to favorable risk/reward properties, since it is a<br />

straightforward way to construct well-diversified portfolios.<br />

This diversification rule, known as naive diversification,<br />

has its origins in a re<strong>com</strong>mendation, known as the onethird<br />

rule, more than 1,500 years old. This rule cited in<br />

the Talmud re<strong>com</strong>mends dividing one’s wealth into equal<br />

shares of land, business and cash. In the case of stock<br />

market indexes, it is called the 1/N rule. It re<strong>com</strong>mends<br />

giving an equal weight to each of the N index constituents.<br />

However, equal weighting is an extreme view, since it also<br />

means that we agree to give up deriving any form of useful<br />

information for weighting constituents, and that information<br />

on market capitalization or other measures used to<br />

derive index weights is entirely useless.<br />

An equal-weighted version of the S&P 500, which we use<br />

in our empirical analysis, is <strong>com</strong>puted by Standard & Poor’s.<br />

This index is based on the same 500 constituents as the<br />

cap-weighted version of the index but it attributes an equal<br />

weight to each constituent. Each quarter, the weight of each<br />

constituent is set to 0.2 percent.<br />

Minimum-volatility weighting is an initial approach to building<br />

scientifically rather than naively diversified portfolios.<br />

The focus here is on finding the constituent weights that lead<br />

to the lowest possible portfolio volatility. To construct such<br />

an index, one need only estimate volatilities and correlations<br />

of index constituent stocks. No knowledge of expected<br />

returns is necessary.<br />

Such a portfolio would be representative of the tangency<br />

portfolio if expected returns were identical for all stocks. It<br />

may thus represent the opportunity set for mean-variance<br />

investors in the absence of any information on differences in<br />

expected returns across stocks. In terms of risk/reward efficiency,<br />

the index focuses on lowering risk, without addressing<br />

its expected return properties.<br />

The empirical analyses below draw on data for the MSCI<br />

Minimum Volatility Index of U.S. stocks. This index is based on<br />

all constituents in the MSCI US index. The Barra portfolio optimizer<br />

is then used to find the minimum-volatility weights.<br />

Efficient-weighted indexes are based on portfolio optimization.<br />

They aim to improve the Sharpe ratio <strong>com</strong>pared to<br />

12<br />

January / February 2011


cap-weighted indexes by weighting stocks by their impact on<br />

portfolio risk and reward. It can be argued that these indexes<br />

provide higher welfare for investors in the mean-variance<br />

space and could thus be seen as better representing the<br />

equity risk premium accessible in the stock market.<br />

Efficient indexes focus directly on risk/reward properties.<br />

Their greater efficiency thus results from the construction<br />

method, as long as robust parameter estimates for expected<br />

returns, correlations and volatilities are used. These indexes<br />

are different from cap-weighted, equal-weighted or fundamentally<br />

weighted indexes in that, to create an optimal portfolio,<br />

they weight constituents by quantitative information<br />

on expected returns, correlations and volatilities.<br />

In our empirical analysis, we use the FTSE EDHEC-Risk<br />

Efficient Index for the U.S. market. The index weights stocks<br />

to maximize the index’s Sharpe ratio. To obtain parameter<br />

estimates for the stocks’ return <strong>com</strong>ovements, an equity<br />

factor model is used to estimate <strong>com</strong>mon return drivers.<br />

To estimate the stocks’ expected returns, downside risk is<br />

measured for each stock. The stock’s riskiness is then used<br />

as an indicator of its expected returns. Portfolio optimization<br />

is conducted on all mid- and large-cap stocks in the FTSE U.S.<br />

index, which is made up of approximately 700 stocks.<br />

Comparing Risk And Return<br />

Over the period for which data is available, we first<br />

assess the return and risk properties of all the indexes. We<br />

<strong>com</strong>pute average returns, various risk measures and riskadjusted<br />

return ratios. Our concern is mainly with the four<br />

noncap-weighted indexes and their <strong>com</strong>parison with two<br />

cap-weighted indexes, the S&P 500 and the Russell 1000.<br />

The paper looks at the period from January 8, 1999 to<br />

January 1, 2010. This period is chosen so as to have official<br />

track records as published by the index providers for all<br />

four of the noncap-weighted indexes. While it would be<br />

possible in principle to construct a longer data set with simulated<br />

returns to these indexes by applying the weighting<br />

scheme to a data set of individual stocks in the U.S., such<br />

an approach of simulating returns <strong>com</strong>es with the challenge<br />

of being able to account for all elements of the construction<br />

methodology of the respective index. Implementation of<br />

each approach, which may include various constraints and<br />

detailed protocols for rebalancing procedures, can have a<br />

significant impact on returns. To give a true and fair view of<br />

each method, we prefer to use official track records rather<br />

than making a potentially imperfect attempt of replicating<br />

the various methodologies.<br />

Figure 1 shows that all four alternatives to cap weighting<br />

achieve higher returns over this period. While the capweighted<br />

indexes return only about 1 percent per year over<br />

this period, the efficient index, fundamental index and equalweighted<br />

index have annual returns in excess of 5 percent.<br />

With a return of 2.5 percent per year, the minimum-volatility<br />

index yields more than the cap-weighted indexes, but considerably<br />

less than the other noncap-weighted methods.<br />

In terms of risk, Figure 1 reports the standard deviation<br />

Figure 1<br />

Performance Statistics<br />

This table shows summary statistics for different equity indexes. The construction principles of the indexes are more fully described in the text.<br />

The statistics are based on 11 years of weekly data from 1/8/99-1/1/10. All statistics are annualized, and performance ratios that involve the average<br />

returns are based on the geometric average, which reliably reflects multiple holding period returns for investors. A Cornish-Fisher expansion<br />

was used to <strong>com</strong>pute a value-at-Risk estimate that takes into account the mean, volatility, skewness and excess kurtosis of index returns.<br />

Efficient<br />

Index<br />

Noncap-Weighted<br />

Minimum<br />

Volatility<br />

Sources: Data from Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg; EDHEC-Risk Institute <strong>com</strong>putations.<br />

Fundamental<br />

Index<br />

S&P 500<br />

Equal-Weighted<br />

Cap-Weighted<br />

S&P 500 Russell 1000<br />

Average return (geometric) 6.4% 2.5% 5.3% 5.7% 0.9% 1.3%<br />

Standard deviation 19.4% 16.6% 20.5% 21.4% 19.8% 20.0%<br />

Semi-deviation (below zero) 13.9% 12.2% 14.5% 15.2% 14.3% 14.4%<br />

Tracking error (w.r.t. S&P 500) 5.8% 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 1.3%<br />

<strong>Beta</strong> (w.r.t. S&P 500) 0.94 0.80 0.99 1.03 1.00 1.01<br />

Sharpe ratio 0.18 -0.03 0.11 0.13 -0.10 -0.08<br />

Sortino ratio 0.46 0.20 0.36 0.38 0.06 0.09<br />

Information ratio 0.95 0.24 0.67 0.75 NA 0.32<br />

Treynor ratio 0.04 -0.01 0.02 0.03 -0.02 -0.02<br />

95% Value-at-Risk 4.4% 3.9% 4.4% 4.8% 4.5% 4.6%<br />

99% Value-at-Risk 11.0% 10.3% 11.9% 11.3% 10.5% 10.6%<br />

Skewness -0.62 -0.83 -0.39 -0.46 -0.50 -0.49<br />

Kurtosis 9.44 10.89 10.20 8.43 8.33 8.35<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

13


Figure 2<br />

Risk/Reward Difference Compared To S&P 500<br />

This table, based on 11 years of weekly data, from 1/8/99-1/1/10, shows differences in average returns, in volatility, and in Sharpe ratios between<br />

each index and the cap-weighted S&P 500 and the associated p-values. All differences are <strong>com</strong>puted from annualized statistics, and the average<br />

returns are a geometric average. The p-values for differences are <strong>com</strong>puted using a paired t-test for the average returns, a Fisher test for the volatility<br />

and a Jobson-Korkie test for the Sharpe ratio. Differences that are significantly different from zero at the 5% level are indicated in bold.<br />

Sources: Data from Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg; EDHEC-Risk Institute <strong>com</strong>putations.<br />

Noncap-Weighted<br />

Efficient Index Minimum Volatility Fundamental Index<br />

S&P 500<br />

Equal-Weighted<br />

Diff. in average 5.5% 1.6% 4.4% 4.9%<br />

p-value 0.3% 61.6% 2.5% 1.0%<br />

Diff. in volatility -0.4% -3.2% 0.8% 1.6%<br />

p-value 64.3% 0.0% 36.1% 5.8%<br />

Diff. in Sharpe ratio 0.28 0.08 0.22 0.23<br />

p-value 0.2% 53.6% 2.7% 1.0%<br />

and downside risk (semi-deviation below zero) for all indexes.<br />

In addition, the table shows the tracking error volatility and<br />

the beta with respect to the cap-weighted S&P 500. The minimum<br />

volatility index stands out, as it, unsurprisingly, has the<br />

lowest volatility of all indexes. The volatility of the efficient<br />

index is slightly lower than that of the cap-weighted indexes,<br />

whereas that of the fundamental and equal-weighted indexes<br />

is slightly higher. The minimum volatility index has a much<br />

lower beta with respect to the S&P 500 than any of the other<br />

noncap-weighted indexes. This result suggests that minimizing<br />

volatility leads to a portfolio that loads up on the more<br />

defensive low-beta stocks. Equal weighting and fundamental<br />

weighting lead to a beta almost identical to one, whereas<br />

efficient indexation, with a beta of 0.94, falls somewhat in<br />

between these two groups.<br />

Interestingly, efficient indexation has the lowest tracking<br />

error volatility of the noncap-weighted indexes, suggesting<br />

that its outperformance of the S&P 500 over this period is<br />

more stable than that of the other three alternatives.<br />

Figure 1 also shows risk-adjusted performance measures—<br />

the Sharpe, Sortino, information and Treynor ratios—for all<br />

indexes in this study. The Sharpe ratio reflects the indexes’ risk/<br />

reward efficiency by adjusting excess returns over the risk-free<br />

interest rate by the volatility incurred by the index. The Sharpe<br />

ratio of all but one of the noncap-weighted indexes is positive<br />

and overall is clearly more attractive for each of the noncapweighted<br />

indexes than for the cap-weighted indexes, which<br />

have negative Sharpe ratios over this period. The only noncapweighted<br />

index with a negative Sharpe ratio is the minimumvolatility<br />

index. We can see here that reducing volatility does<br />

not necessarily result in attractive risk/reward efficiency, as the<br />

index has lower volatility than its noncap-weighted rivals and<br />

markedly lower returns. Its risk/reward profile, however, is still<br />

more attractive than that of the cap-weighted indexes. The efficient<br />

index has the highest Sharpe ratio of all indexes, reflecting<br />

that, <strong>com</strong>pared to the cap-weighted S&P 500, it increases<br />

expected returns and lowers volatility.<br />

The results for the Sortino ratio, which uses downside risk<br />

instead of volatility to adjust for risk, and for the Treynor<br />

ratio, which uses the market beta to adjust for risk, are similar<br />

to the results for the Sharpe ratio.<br />

Figure 1 shows the indexes’ information ratios <strong>com</strong>puted<br />

with respect to the S&P 500 cap-weighted index. This statistic<br />

reflects the average return difference with the S&P 500 capweight<br />

index when it is adjusted for the incurred tracking<br />

error. We see that all noncap-weighted indexes have rather<br />

high information ratios, meaning that they outperform the<br />

cap-weighted S&P 500 fairly consistently.<br />

The minimum-volatility index, which effectively generates<br />

the lowest volatility of all indexes, also has the highest<br />

kurtosis, i.e., the highest indicator of fat tails in the returns<br />

distribution. This suggests that the focus on decreasing<br />

average risk (volatility) <strong>com</strong>es at the cost of an increase in<br />

tail risk, a result that has been put forward in the finance<br />

literature (Andersen, Simonetti and Sornette [2000]).<br />

Although the noncap-weighted indexes appear attractive<br />

overall in terms of risk and reward statistics, it is<br />

interesting to ask whether these differences are actually<br />

statistically significant. In fact, it would be possible that one<br />

would observe positive differences over a particular time<br />

period, even if the “true” performance of the underlying<br />

strategies were not better than that of the cap-weighting<br />

scheme. A statistical significance test allows us to assess<br />

whether we would be likely to observe such differences in<br />

the data if there were no true difference with respect to<br />

the cap-weighted S&P 500 Index. Figure 2 shows the results<br />

of significance tests for these three summary performance<br />

measures. All differences are <strong>com</strong>puted with respect to the<br />

S&P 500 cap-weighted index, and results that are significant<br />

at the 5 percent level are indicated in bold.<br />

The results in Figure 2 show that three of the noncapweighted<br />

indexes have significantly higher average returns<br />

than the cap-weighted S&P 500, but only the minimumvolatility<br />

index has significantly lower volatility. In terms<br />

14<br />

January / February 2011


of risk/reward efficiency, three of the noncap-weighted<br />

indexes have significantly higher Sharpe ratios than the<br />

cap-weighted S&P 500.<br />

It is useful to give some intuition on the statistical significance<br />

levels shown in Figure 2. For the Sharpe ratio, the<br />

efficient index has the most significant increase over the capweighted<br />

S&P 500, with a probability value of 0.2 percent.<br />

What this means is that, if there were no true difference<br />

in the Sharpe ratio with the cap-weighted S&P 500 index,<br />

we would expect to observe a difference as pronounced as<br />

the one we observed (i.e., 0.28) about one out of every 500<br />

times we look at a data set of 11 years. The probability values<br />

for the fundamental index and the equal-weighted index are<br />

on the order of 1 to 3 percent; hence it would also be highly<br />

unlikely to obtain such results if there were no true difference.<br />

To summarize the results that are statistically significant,<br />

we can conclude that—<strong>com</strong>pared to the cap-weighted<br />

S&P 500—minimum-volatility indexes have lower volatility<br />

and the other noncap-weighted indexes have higher average<br />

returns and higher Sharpe ratios.<br />

Factor Exposures<br />

The analysis of risk and return measures yields insights<br />

into how the indexes behave, which is obviously important<br />

information for investors. However, it is also interesting to<br />

analyze where the return properties <strong>com</strong>e from. The noncapweighted<br />

indexes may take on exposures to <strong>com</strong>mon risk<br />

factors that are well-known in academic finance literature,<br />

such as value, momentum and small-cap exposures.<br />

Since the indexes are broadly diversified across constituent<br />

stocks, one may in fact expect that the risk and return<br />

properties are largely driven by such factor exposures, leaving<br />

only a small fraction of returns that are <strong>com</strong>pletely specific<br />

to the method of index design. From the investor’s perspective,<br />

such risk exposures matter. They are often implicit<br />

results of portfolio construction, but investors want to know<br />

how exposed they are to certain factors.<br />

In this section, we use factor models to analyze exposure<br />

to the equity factors <strong>com</strong>monly used in academic literature.<br />

The standard factor models in the empirical finance<br />

literature use a market risk factor, which is made up of all<br />

stocks that are traded on the U.S. market and additional<br />

factors that are long/short portfolios, rebalanced monthly,<br />

of stocks that have been selected from this universe for<br />

their style characteristics. In our empirical analysis, we use<br />

the standard four-factor model (Carhart [1997]), in which<br />

we regress the returns in excess of the risk-free rate of the<br />

indexes on the excess returns of the cap-weighted index<br />

of all stocks listed on the NYSE, NYSE Amex and Nasdaq,<br />

on the Fama-French [1992] factors for the value and smallcap<br />

premium, and on an additional factor representing a<br />

momentum strategy. In terms of the Fama-French factors,<br />

the value factor is a portfolio that is long high book-to-price<br />

stocks (value stocks) and short low book-to-price stocks<br />

(growth stocks), while the small-cap factor is a portfolio<br />

that is long low market-cap stocks (small stocks) and short<br />

high market-cap stocks (large stocks). The momentum factor<br />

goes long in stocks with high recent returns (winners)<br />

and short in stocks with low recent returns (losers). Figure<br />

3 shows the results of these four-factor regressions.<br />

When the <strong>com</strong>monly used equity risk factors are adjusted<br />

for, only the efficient index and the equal-weighted index<br />

Figure 3<br />

Factor Exposures<br />

This table, based on 11 years of weekly data, from 1/8/99-1/1/10, shows results for factor regressions of the excess returns of various<br />

equity indexes on the market factor, value factor, small-cap factor and momentum factor. The table shows R-squares, regression coefficients<br />

and the p-values associated with the null hypothesis that the regression coefficients are zero. Coefficients that are significantly<br />

different from zero at the 5% level are indicated in bold.<br />

Efficient<br />

Index<br />

Noncap-Weighted<br />

Minimum<br />

Volatility<br />

Fundamental<br />

Index<br />

S&P 500<br />

Equal-Weighted<br />

Cap-Weighted<br />

S&P 500 Russell 1000<br />

Adj. R-squared 0.95 0.91 0.96 0.96 0.99 0.99<br />

Ann. Alpha 2.45% -0.41% 1.70% 2.44% -0.37% -0.17%<br />

p-value 5% 75% 12% 6% 53% 71%<br />

Market <strong>Beta</strong> 0.90 0.80 0.94 0.97 0.97 0.98<br />

p-value 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

Small-Cap <strong>Beta</strong> -0.02 -0.27 -0.12 0.01 -0.21 -0.15<br />

p-value 47% 0% 0% 73% 0% 0%<br />

Value <strong>Beta</strong> 0.32 0.23 0.41 0.30 0.00 -0.01<br />

p-value 0% 0% 0% 0% 99% 39%<br />

Momentum <strong>Beta</strong> -0.05 0.06 -0.08 -0.13 -0.02 -0.02<br />

p-value 2% 0% 0% 0% 7% 1%<br />

Sources: Data from Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg; EDHEC-Risk Institute <strong>com</strong>putations.<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

15


show marginal statistical significance for alpha if one considers<br />

the 5 percent level the threshold. Outperformance of the<br />

cap-weighted total market index is nevertheless economically<br />

significant for three of the noncap-weighted indexes (annual<br />

outperformance on the order of 2 percent).<br />

We now turn to a detailed discussion of estimated factor<br />

exposures reported in Figure 3.<br />

Market Exposure<br />

The results for the beta with the broad cap-weighted<br />

market proxy used here are qualitatively similar to what was<br />

obtained in Figure 2 when regressing the various indexes on<br />

the S&P 500 as a single market factor. The results confirm the<br />

low beta nature of the minimum-volatility index, whereas the<br />

other indexes have beta reasonably close to 1.<br />

Value/Growth Exposure<br />

It should first be noted that any reasonable definition<br />

of style neutrality would lead to the conclusion that equal<br />

weighting should be free of a value or growth bias. In<br />

fact, since no information whatsoever on valuation enters<br />

the determination of weights in an equal-weighted index,<br />

it is difficult to imagine that such an index would imply<br />

any choices in terms of value or growth exposure. That<br />

the equal-weighted index shows a value bias with respect<br />

to the cap-weighted index in Figure 3 indicates only the<br />

relativity of the reference point, and one could actually<br />

argue that the cap-weighted index has a growth bias relative<br />

to the equal-weighted reference. If we take the equalweighted<br />

index as a reference for value/growth neutrality,<br />

the direct implication is that indexes whose factor exposure<br />

is not markedly different from that of the equal-weighted<br />

index do not include any value biases.<br />

The results in Figure 3 show that only the fundamental<br />

index has a value exposure that is substantially greater<br />

than that of the equal-weighted index. Other noncapweighted<br />

indexes such as efficient indexation and minimum<br />

volatility have value exposures that are <strong>com</strong>parable<br />

to that of equal weighting. These results are consistent<br />

with economic intuition: the fundamental index method<br />

derives constituent weights from <strong>com</strong>pany characteristics<br />

such as earnings. Kaplan [2008] has shown that weighting<br />

stocks by their earnings actually corresponds to an<br />

adjustment of the market-cap weight for the earnings<br />

yield of each stock relative to the earnings yield of the<br />

cap-weighted index. Thus, stocks with a high earnings<br />

yield will be mechanically overweighted, whereas stocks<br />

with a low earnings yield will be underweighted for their<br />

capitalization weight. Similar arguments can be made concerning<br />

the additional <strong>com</strong>pany characteristics used in the<br />

index method; notably dividends, book value and sales:<br />

Stocks with a high-dividend yield, high book-to-market<br />

ratio and high sales-to-price ratio will be overweighted<br />

<strong>com</strong>pared with their capitalization weight. As these are<br />

typical ratios used in value strategies, it is not surprising<br />

to find a substantial exposure to the value factor. Other<br />

weighting schemes considered in this analysis do not use<br />

fundamental information, and therefore do not lead to<br />

such a mechanical value bias. Compared with the equalweighted<br />

reference, neither the efficient index nor the<br />

minimum-volatility index displays any value bias.<br />

Small-Cap Exposure<br />

If one were to use an equal-weighted index that included<br />

a broad set of stocks covering all ranges of market capitalization,<br />

one would ascertain a small-cap bias, as most of the<br />

stocks traded on an exchange are small- or even micro-cap<br />

stocks. However, the equal-weighted index used here is <strong>com</strong>posed<br />

of S&P 500 constituents, i.e., large-cap stocks—the<br />

reason for which the small-cap exposure in Figure 3 is insignificantly<br />

different from zero for the equal-weighted index.<br />

Moreover, the indexes studied here are made up of large-cap<br />

stocks, so none of these indexes should show any meaningful<br />

bias toward small caps.<br />

Interestingly, the minimum-volatility index and the<br />

fundamental index show the opposite of a small-cap bias.<br />

Figure 3 shows a statistically significant negative exposure<br />

to the small-cap factor for these two indexes, as well as<br />

for the two cap-weighted indexes. This can be explained<br />

by the fact that the cap-weighted market factor in these<br />

models is not the narrow S&P 500 but the much broader<br />

index reflecting the entire stock universe of all NYSE, NYSE<br />

Amex and Nasdaq stocks. Compared to this market factor,<br />

the returns of cap-weighted and fundamentally weighted<br />

indexes are driven largely by the largest stocks. This can<br />

be explained by the fact that their constituents represent<br />

only the largest stocks and their weighting mechanism<br />

depends on <strong>com</strong>pany size. The minimum-volatility index<br />

also has a significantly negative exposure to small caps,<br />

which perhaps can be explained by a concentration in<br />

low beta stocks that leads to a bias towards defensive<br />

industries such as tele<strong>com</strong>s and utilities, which are usually<br />

dominated by a few large <strong>com</strong>panies. In contrast, the efficient<br />

and equal-weighted indexes have insignificant exposures<br />

to the small-cap factor. They appear to be the least<br />

biased toward large-cap stocks by virtue of their weighting<br />

mechanism, even though their constituent universe is<br />

also made up of the largest and most liquid stocks.<br />

Momentum Exposure<br />

Of all the noncap-weighted indexes, momentum exposure<br />

is most negative for equal-weighted indexes. After all,<br />

<strong>com</strong>pared to cap-weighting, equal-weighting mechanically<br />

rebalances away from stocks that increase in price. This<br />

mechanical rebalancing is also inherent to the fundamental<br />

index, which has the next most pronounced negative<br />

momentum beta. Momentum exposure is less pronounced<br />

for the efficient index and the minimum-volatility index.<br />

This can perhaps be explained by the fact that the efficient<br />

index and minimum-volatility index are rebalanced based<br />

on currently available quantitative information on risk and<br />

returns of the constituent stocks, so they do not necessarily<br />

have a mechanical rebalancing effect built into their<br />

weighting mechanism.<br />

In addition to the factor exposures, Figure 3 contains<br />

interesting results concerning the closeness-of-fit of the fac-<br />

16<br />

January / February 2011


Figure 4<br />

Appendix: Performance Statistics For Subperiods<br />

This table shows summary statistics for different equity indexes. The construction principles of the indexes are more fully described in the text.<br />

The statistics are based on weekly data. All statistics are annualized, and performance ratios that involve the average returns are based on the<br />

geometric average, which reliably reflects multiple holding period returns for investors. A Cornish-Fisher expansion was used to <strong>com</strong>pute a valueat-risk<br />

estimate that takes into account the mean, volatility, skewness and excess kurtosis of index returns.<br />

Efficient<br />

Index<br />

Minimum<br />

Volatility<br />

Sources: Data from Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg; EDHEC-Risk Institute <strong>com</strong>putations.<br />

Fundamental<br />

Index<br />

S&P 500<br />

Equal-Weighted<br />

S&P 500 Russell 1000<br />

Average (geometric) 7.8% 1.7% 6.5% 7.3% -0.1% 0.2%<br />

Std. Dev. 16.5% 15.2% 17.2% 18.7% 19.3% 19.4%<br />

Semi-deviation (below zero) 11.7% 11.1% 12.1% 13.2% 13.8% 13.9%<br />

Tracking error 7.3% 8.0% 7.3% 7.5% 0.0% 1.6%<br />

<strong>Beta</strong> with S&P 500 0.79 0.73 0.83 0.90 1.00 1.00<br />

Sharpe ratio 0.28 -0.10 0.19 0.22 -0.17 -0.15<br />

Sortino ratio 0.67 0.15 0.54 0.55 -0.01 0.02<br />

Information ratio 1.09 0.23 0.91 0.99 NA 0.24<br />

Treynor ratio 0.06 -0.02 0.04 0.05 -0.03 -0.03<br />

95% Value-at-Risk 3.9% 3.6% 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 4.5%<br />

99% Value-at-Risk 7.2% 6.7% 7.6% 7.8% 7.9% 8.0%<br />

Skewness -0.69 -0.50 -0.49 -0.54 -0.34 -0.35<br />

Kurtosis 5.49 5.49 5.74 4.98 4.92 4.98<br />

Efficient<br />

Index<br />

Noncap-Weighted<br />

Minimum<br />

Volatility<br />

First subperiod (from 1/8/99-7/2/04)<br />

Second subperiod (from 7/9/04-1/1/10)<br />

Noncap-Weighted<br />

Fundamental<br />

Index<br />

S&P 500<br />

Equal-Weighted<br />

Cap-Weighted<br />

Cap-Weighted<br />

S&P 500 Russell 1000<br />

Average (geometric) 5.0% 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 1.9% 2.3%<br />

Std. Dev. 21.9% 17.9% 23.4% 23.8% 20.3% 20.6%<br />

Semi-deviation (below zero) 15.7% 13.2% 16.6% 16.9% 14.7% 14.9%<br />

Tracking error 3.7% 4.9% 5.7% 5.2% 0.0% 0.9%<br />

<strong>Beta</strong> with S&P 500 1.07 0.86 1.13 1.16 1.00 1.01<br />

Sharpe ratio 0.10 0.03 0.06 0.06 -0.04 -0.02<br />

Sortino ratio 0.32 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.13 0.16<br />

Information ratio 0.83 0.28 0.38 0.44 NA 0.48<br />

Treynor ratio 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.00<br />

95% VaR (Cornish Fisher) 4.9% 4.1% 5.0% 5.2% 4.6% 4.6%<br />

99% VaR (Cornish Fisher) 12.7% 12.6% 13.7% 13.0% 12.7% 12.8%<br />

Skewness -0.55 -1.02 -0.33 -0.40 -0.64 -0.61<br />

Kurtosis 9.81 13.33 10.41 9.14 11.10 10.99<br />

tor models. The R-squared for these regressions indicates<br />

how well the factor model fits the observed returns of the<br />

respective index, with an R-squared of 1 indicating a perfect<br />

fit, meaning that the index would be perfectly replicable<br />

with the equity factors. For the cap-weighted indexes, the<br />

results in Figure 3 show that the factor model suffices to get<br />

an R-squared close to 1. This is not the case for the noncapweighted<br />

indexes. They contain some return variation that<br />

cannot be explained by the factors. The R-squared reaches<br />

levels on the order of 0.95, leaving 5 percent of the return<br />

variation unexplained by exposure to <strong>com</strong>mon factors. This<br />

unexplained part can be linked to the unique index construction<br />

method of each of the noncap-weighted indexes.<br />

Conclusion<br />

The analysis provided in this paper clearly shows that the<br />

noncap-weighted indexes beat the standard cap-weighted<br />

indexes such as the S&P 500 and the Russell 1000 in terms of<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

17


Figure 5<br />

Appendix: Risk/Reward Difference Compared To S&P 500 For Subperiods<br />

This table shows differences in average returns, in volatility and in Sharpe ratios between each index and the cap-weighted S&P 500 and the associated<br />

p-values. All statistics are <strong>com</strong>puted from weekly returns data. All differences are <strong>com</strong>puted from annualized statistics and the average returns<br />

are a geometric average. The p-values for differences are <strong>com</strong>puted using a paired t-test for the average returns, a Fisher test for the volatility and<br />

a Jobson-Korkie test for the Sharpe ratio. Differences that are significantly different from zero at the 5% level are indicated in bold.<br />

Noncap-Weighted<br />

Efficient Index Minimum Volatility Fundamental Index<br />

S&P 500<br />

Equal-Weighted<br />

Diff. in average 8.0% 1.8% 6.6% 7.4%<br />

p-value 2.1% 74.2% 5.1% 2.7%<br />

Diff. in volatility -2.8% -4.1% -2.1% -0.6%<br />

p-value 0.8% 0.0% 5.3% 62.4%<br />

Diff. in Sharpe ratio 0.45 0.07 0.37 0.39<br />

p-value 0.9% 75.1% 3.6% 2.5%<br />

Sources: Data from Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg; EDHEC-Risk Institute <strong>com</strong>putations.<br />

First subperiod (from 1/8/99-7/2/04)<br />

Second subperiod (from 7/9/04-1/1/10)<br />

Noncap-Weighted<br />

Efficient Index Minimum Volatility Fundamental Index<br />

S&P 500<br />

Equal-Weighted<br />

Diff. in average 3.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3%<br />

p-value 3.6% 67.3% 25.3% 18.0%<br />

Diff. in volatility 1.7% -2.4% 3.2% 3.5%<br />

p-value 18.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.7%<br />

Diff. in Sharpe ratio 0.14 0.07 0.10 0.10<br />

p-value 2.9% 54.7% 23.5% 12.2%<br />

risk-adjusted performance over the 11 years for which data is<br />

available for all indexes.<br />

Moreover, the “improved beta” strategies achieve the<br />

main objectives—which vary widely from one noncapweighted<br />

index to another—that they have set for themselves.<br />

The efficient index, whose aim is higher risk/reward<br />

efficiency, does indeed obtain the highest Sharpe ratio of<br />

all the indexes. The minimum-volatility index obtains the<br />

lowest volatility. Equal-weighted indexes and fundamental<br />

indexes obtain higher average returns as a result of their<br />

mechanical rebalancing feature. The differences among<br />

the indexes are also reflected in quite different factor<br />

exposures. Minimum volatility, as it favors low beta stocks,<br />

clearly has the lowest market beta of all noncap-weighted<br />

indexes, while fundamental weighting leads to the highest<br />

value exposure, and equal weighting to the most pronounced<br />

anti-momentum exposure.<br />

In sum, efficient indexes, the newest of the strategies<br />

analyzed in this paper, not only obtain the highest Sharpe<br />

ratios in the period analyzed in this paper, but also appear<br />

to have the most diversified factor exposures. Their volatility<br />

is lower than that of equal-weighted and fundamental-weighted<br />

indexes, and since they are not subject to the<br />

same tilt toward low beta stocks, their average returns<br />

are higher than those of minimum-volatility indexes.<br />

Efficient indexes, which are an attempt to provide an<br />

investable proxy for the tangency portfolio from modern<br />

portfolio theory, are thus a significant new addition to the<br />

improved beta toolbox.<br />

That the four weighting schemes have rather different<br />

risk and return properties also suggests that different<br />

investors may choose different alternatives, depending on<br />

which characteristic they value most. Moreover, <strong>com</strong>bining<br />

these alternatives may add even more value, as different<br />

return properties may allow an investor who wants to<br />

move away from capitalization weighting to diversify his<br />

exposure to noncap-weighted schemes. This issue is left<br />

for further research.<br />

Appendix<br />

Summary Statistics And Differences With Capitalization<br />

Weighting In Subperiods<br />

Figures 4 and 5 contain an analysis of results for the two subperiods<br />

of the sample. On the whole, the results per subperiod<br />

confirm the conclusions drawn for the full period. The results<br />

for the full period can thus be considered quite robust.<br />

Additional Description Of Data Sources<br />

For the noncap-weighted indexes, the data for MSCI and<br />

S&P EW is obtained from Datastream. The information on<br />

18<br />

January / February 2011


fundamental indexes is obtained from the data described in<br />

Amenc, Goltz and Le Sourd [2009] and updated with returns<br />

from Datastream on the FTSE RAFI 1000 Index. The data on<br />

the efficient U.S. index is obtained from the data in Amenc et<br />

al. [2010] and updated using the FTSE EDHEC-Risk Efficient<br />

Index for the US from Datastream.<br />

The risk-free rate is taken from the daily risk-free rate<br />

data in the Fama-French factors provided by Kenneth French.<br />

It is converted into weekly returns from daily returns. This<br />

rate reflects a one-month Treasury bill index. The average<br />

risk-free rate is 2.91 percent per annum. The market factor<br />

in the factor regressions is taken from Kenneth French; this<br />

is the value-weighted CRSP total market index (NYSE, NYSE<br />

Amex and Nasdaq stocks).<br />

References<br />

Amenc, N., F. Goltz and V. Le Sourd, 2009. “The performance of characteristics-based indexes.” European Financial Management, vol. 15 pp 241-278.<br />

Amenc, N., F. Goltz, P. Retkowsky, and L. Martellini. 2010. “Efficient indexation: An alternative to cap-weighted indexes.” Working paper.<br />

Andersen, J.V., P. Simonetti and D. Sornette. 2000. “Minimizing volatility increases large risks.” International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 3, vol.3: pp 523-35.<br />

Arnott, R., J. Hsu and P. Moore. 2005. “Fundamental indexation.” Financial Analysts Journal 61 vol. 2: pp 83-99.<br />

Bailey, J.V. 1992. “Are manager universes acceptable performance benchmarks?” Journal of Portfolio Management, vol. 18 No. 3, pp 9-13.<br />

Bailey J.V., T.M. Richards and D.E. Tierney. 1990. “Benchmarks, portfolios and the manager/plan sponsor relationship.” In: Current topics in investment management, eds. Frank<br />

Fabozzi, J. and T. Dessa Fabozzi, pp 349-63. Harper Collins: New York.<br />

Carhart, M. 1997. “On persistence in mutual fund performance.” Journal of Finance vol. 52 No. 1 pp 57-82.<br />

Choueifaty, Y., and Y. Coignard. 2008. “Toward maximum diversification.” Journal of Portfolio Management, vol. 35 No. 1 pp 40-51.<br />

Dash, S. and K. Loggie. 2008. “Equal weight indexing—Five years later.” Working paper.<br />

Fama, E. and K. French. 1992. “The cross-section of expected stock returns.” Journal of Finance vol. 47 No. 2 pp 427-465.<br />

Ferson, W.E., S. Kandel and R.F. Stambaugh. 1987. “Tests of asset pricing with time-varying expected risk premiums and market betas.” Journal of Finance vol. 42 No. 2 pp 201-20.<br />

Grinold, R. 1992. “Are benchmark portfolios efficient?” Journal of Portfolio Management (fall) vol. 19 No. 1 pp 14-21.<br />

Haugen, R. and N. Baker. 1991. “The efficient market inefficiency of capitalization-weighted stock portfolios.” Journal of Portfolio Management (spring) pp 35-40.<br />

Kaplan, P.D. 2008. “Why fundamental indexation might—or might not—work.” Financial Analysts Journal vol. 64 No. 1 pp 32-39.<br />

Maillard, S., T. Roncalli and J. Teiletche. 2010. The properties of equally weighted risk contributions portfolios. Journal of Portfolio Management. vol. 36 No. 4 pp 60-70<br />

Nielsen, F. and R. Aylursubramanian. 2008. “Far from the madding crowd: Volatility efficient indices.” Working paper.<br />

Ranaldo, A. and R. Häberle. 2007. “Wolf in sheep’s clothing: The active investment strategies behind index performance.” European Financial Management vol. 14 No. 1 pp 55-81.<br />

Siegel, J.J., J.D. Schwartz and L. Siracusano. 2007. “The Unique Risk and Return Characteristics of Dividend-Weighted Stock Indexes,” WisdomTree white paper.<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

19


The Evolution Of<br />

Equal Weighting<br />

Adding a sector approach<br />

By Pradeep Velvadapu<br />

20<br />

January / February 2011


Over the past few years, market observers have seen<br />

increased interest in indexes that use “alternative”<br />

weighting methodologies. While market-cap<br />

weighting is an excellent choice for benchmarks for active<br />

management and for the basis of investable products such<br />

as passive mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs),<br />

futures and options, investor interest in alternative index<br />

weighting methodologies, such as equal weighting and fundamental<br />

weighting, is growing.<br />

In this paper we provide an overview of some of these<br />

alternatives and a broader analysis of equal-weighted<br />

indexes. We first describe cap-weighted, fundamentalweighted<br />

and equal-weighted indexes and <strong>com</strong>pare their<br />

characteristics. We then discuss in greater detail the conventional<br />

equal-weighted index structure and review a new<br />

alternative to this method: the sector equal-weighted index<br />

methodology. We <strong>com</strong>pare and contrast the conventional<br />

equal-weighted methodology to the sector equal-weighted<br />

indexes and illustrate the benefits that a sector equalweighted<br />

index can provide. We then extend this analysis<br />

to the international indexes and analyze whether the characteristics<br />

observed in the domestic market persist.<br />

Based on our simulations, we find that:<br />

VËËÖ?ËÝj~Í~ËMßËWÄÍÍÖjÍÄ^ËÝjËĬjË?aËÍÁ?Äparent,<br />

introduces sector risk into an index.<br />

VËË.jWÍÁËjÖ?Ýj~ÍjaËajÞjÄˬÁÜajaË?ËMjÍÍjÁË?MÄlute<br />

return with lower volatility for the time period<br />

tested <strong>com</strong>pared to traditional equal-weighted and capweighted<br />

indexes.<br />

VËË0jÄjËÁjÄÖÍÄË?ÁjËWÄÄÍjÍË?WÁÄÄËÍjËajÄÍWË?Á~j<br />

cap, mid-cap and small-cap spectrum and the global<br />

developed and emerging regions.<br />

Figure 1<br />

Weight<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

Russell 1000 Weight By Size Deciles as of 1/1/2010<br />

0%<br />

Source: Russell Investments<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10<br />

N Cap Weight<br />

Decile<br />

N Equal Weight<br />

Capitalization-Weighted Indexes<br />

Market-cap weighting remains the most popular<br />

approach to index construction. Cap-weighting is an<br />

objective, practical and theoretically grounded weighting<br />

scheme: objective, in that market values represent the<br />

market’s assessment of the relative values of firms; practical,<br />

given that a portfolio automatically adjusts its constituent<br />

weights as market prices move, resulting in fewer<br />

rebalancing trades; and theoretically grounded, drawn as<br />

it is from Harry Markowitz’s capital asset pricing model.<br />

The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the efficient<br />

market hypothesis (EMH) provide the theoretical bases for<br />

cap-weighted indexes. The efficient market hypothesis 1<br />

states that asset prices are rationally priced by all investors,<br />

who have equal access to relevant information. Thus, the<br />

price of a security (and by inference, its market capitalization)<br />

reflects its true value, based upon all available information<br />

at any given point in time.<br />

The CAPM designates the aggregation of all assets as<br />

being the “market portfolio” and states that the market<br />

portfolio is efficient, i.e., that it has the highest level<br />

of expected return for its level of risk. According to the<br />

CAPM, the market portfolio (which holds risk-free assets in<br />

some proportion) is the only risky asset portfolio investors<br />

need to invest in.<br />

While there is justifiable debate on the validity of the<br />

CAPM, the theory establishes the market portfolio as an<br />

important baseline methodology. The assumption that capweighted<br />

indexes measure the market portfolio has led to<br />

their being considered the best proxies for measuring the<br />

Figure 2<br />

Sector (as Trading of 1/1/2010)<br />

Symbol<br />

Russell 1000<br />

Cap Weighted<br />

Russell 3-Month 1000 Average Constituent<br />

Daily Equal Volume Weight<br />

Russell 1000<br />

Sector Equal Weight<br />

Consumer Discretionary 12.0% 16.9% 11.1%<br />

Consumer Staples 9.2% 5.6% 11.1%<br />

Energy 11.4% 7.9% 11.1%<br />

Financial Services 15.4% 19.7% 11.1%<br />

Health Care 12.5% 10.0% 11.1%<br />

Materials & Processing 4.3% 7.4% 11.1%<br />

Producer Durables 10.6% 13.1% 11.1%<br />

Source: Russell Investments<br />

Comparison Of Sector Weights, As of 1/1/2010<br />

Technology 17.9% 11.8% 11.1%<br />

Utilities 6.7% 7.6% 11.1%<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

21


Figure 3<br />

1<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0<br />

Figure 4<br />

Volatility Of The Russell 2000 Index<br />

Sector 1998–2000 2007–2009<br />

Consumer Discretionary 6.56 9.56<br />

Consumer Staples 4.55 5.12<br />

Energy 13.87 12.70<br />

Financial Services 5.03 7.64<br />

Health Care 13.30 6.66<br />

Materials & Processing 6.33 9.03<br />

Producer Durables 7.12 8.09<br />

Technology 13.57 8.13<br />

Utilities 5.42 4.97<br />

Source: Russell Investments<br />

Correlations Of Russell 2000 SEW and<br />

Russell 2000 SEW-MC With Russell 2000<br />

Jun 30<br />

2000<br />

Jun 30<br />

2002<br />

Jun 30<br />

2004<br />

Source: Russell Investments, 6/30/1999-6/30/2010.<br />

Figure 5<br />

Jun 30<br />

2006<br />

Jun 30<br />

2008<br />

Jun 30<br />

2010<br />

N Russell 2000 Sector Equal Weight, Constituents Market Cap Weighted<br />

N Russell 2000 Sector Equal Weight, Constituents Equal Weighted<br />

Tracking Error And Turnover In Sector Equal Weight Indexes<br />

Reweighting Frequency<br />

Russell 1000 Sector Equal Weight<br />

Tracking Error 3<br />

Turnover (average<br />

per annum) 4<br />

Daily 0.00 177.67%<br />

Monthly 1.03 39.09%<br />

Quarterly 1.76 26.15%<br />

Semiannually 2.32 21.33%<br />

Annually 4.60 16.08%<br />

Russell 2000 Sector Equal Weight<br />

Daily 0.00 253.75%<br />

Monthly 1.51 55.77%<br />

Quarterly 2.48 37.80%<br />

Semiannually 3.34 33.44%<br />

Annually 6.54 26.65%<br />

Source: Russell Investments<br />

performance of a market and of active managers, and it<br />

forms the theoretical basis for passive index investing (see<br />

Christopherson, Cariño, Ferson [2009]).<br />

Over and above the theoretical basis, weighting the<br />

constituents of an index by their market capitalization has<br />

many practical advantages that appeal to passive investors.<br />

Cap-weighted indexes are the only indexes to represent a<br />

buy-and-hold strategy and to provide broad market representation<br />

at a very low cost within the replicated portfolio.<br />

Because they do not require frequent rebalancing,<br />

cap-weighted indexes help to keep transaction costs low<br />

within the replicated portfolio. Most cap-weighted indexes<br />

also have an objective and transparent methodology that is<br />

simple to understand, construct and track.<br />

Critics of cap-weighted indexes point to the fact that<br />

basing index constituents’ weights on their market capitalization<br />

results in the largest securities having the biggest<br />

weights in the index, so much so that the contribution of<br />

smaller-capitalization securities can be minimal. Passive<br />

investment based on cap weighting captures the return of<br />

the benchmark. But if investors believe markets are not efficient,<br />

they must believe it is possible to earn excess return<br />

over the benchmark.<br />

While market-cap weighting is an excellent choice for<br />

passive investable products, there is growing interest in<br />

alternative index weighting methodologies. Two leading<br />

alternative approaches are fundamental-weighted indexes<br />

and equal-weighted indexes.<br />

Fundamental-Weighted Indexes<br />

Fundamental indexes present an investment strategy<br />

based on the premise that market prices cannot reliably<br />

represent the underlying value of a <strong>com</strong>pany, because markets<br />

are not efficient. Fundamental indexes weight stocks<br />

by business metrics such as sales, cash flows, book value,<br />

dividends and buybacks (the so-called “Main Street” factors),<br />

rather than by the float-adjusted market capitalization<br />

2 of securities.<br />

By weighting stocks on the basis of subjective factors,<br />

an index is inherently placing a bet on which <strong>com</strong>panies<br />

have greater performance potential than others (see, for<br />

example, Blitz and Swinkels). This passive investment strategy<br />

has been seen to provide a higher return with lower<br />

volatility relative to cap weighting, over sample periods<br />

(see Arnott [2005]).<br />

Since fundamental indexes weight securities by a firm’s<br />

economic fundamentals, critics argue that this creates a<br />

value bias within the index. Companies that invest heavily in<br />

future growth will tend to have low earnings and therefore<br />

have a smaller weight in a fundamental index. This creates<br />

a scenario wherein fundamental indexes overweight value<br />

stocks and underweight growth stocks.<br />

Fundamental indexes also have higher turnover than capweighted<br />

indexes.<br />

Equal-Weighted Indexes<br />

Equal-weighting does not consider any information<br />

about the stocks within an index; the only relevant infor-<br />

22<br />

January / February 2011


mation is the number of stocks in the index. The basis of<br />

the equal-weighting approach is to assign a weight of 1/N<br />

to each security in an index, where N is the number of<br />

securities in the index.<br />

Assume, for example, that you “know” which security is<br />

going to be the best performer in the Russell 1000 Index.<br />

If you want the best return, you will hold only that security.<br />

If you diversify away from that future best-performing<br />

security by purchasing any other securities, you will not<br />

achieve the best possible return. But since most investors<br />

know they don’t have infallible foresight, they diversify<br />

in order to make sure they don’t own only the worstperforming<br />

security.<br />

Similar motivations for diversification have been noticed<br />

in some active managers’ portfolios. Some active managers,<br />

in an attempt to diversify across their holdings, tend not to<br />

weight their portfolios by market capitalization. As Fabozzi<br />

[1998] notes, “… managers tend to not capitalization-weight<br />

their portfolios for a variety of reasons. The most often cited<br />

reason is related to the manager’s aversion to putting too<br />

much money in any one basket (such as IBM)—they want<br />

stock name diversification.”<br />

While market-capitalization-weighted indexes provide<br />

diversification benefits by providing exposure to every<br />

security in the index, equal-weighting provides equal exposure<br />

to every <strong>com</strong>pany in the index. Figure 1 presents the<br />

weights represented by the Russell 1000 cap weight and<br />

the Russell 1000 constituent equal weight indexes, grouped<br />

by deciles of <strong>com</strong>pany size. The largest 10 percent of <strong>com</strong>panies<br />

account for 58 percent of the overall weight in the<br />

Russell 1000 cap weight index, <strong>com</strong>pared with just 10 percent<br />

of the overall weight in the Russell 1000 equal weight<br />

index. Equal-weight indexes provide equal exposure to<br />

every size decile of the index, while smaller-capitalization<br />

securities have very small weights in a cap-weighted index.<br />

The Russell Equal Weight Indexes<br />

The conventional approach to the construction of equalweighted<br />

indexes, however, brings with it issues such as<br />

inherent sector biases, potential capacity constraints/liquidity<br />

concerns, high turnover and rebalancing issues.<br />

Sector Biases<br />

An index with equal weights across all constituents (constituent<br />

equal weighting: CEW) will allocate significantly<br />

higher weights to some sectors than to others, embedding<br />

sector bias into the index.<br />

An alternative approach is to equal-weight sectors<br />

within an index. Figure 2 <strong>com</strong>pares the sector weights<br />

of the Russell 1000 cap-weighted index, the Russell 1000<br />

CEW index and the Russell 1000 SEW index as of January<br />

1, 2010. The technology, financial services and health care<br />

segments dominate the market-cap-weighted index, while<br />

financial services, producer durables and consumer discretionary<br />

sectors dominate the conventional equal-weighted<br />

variant, accounting for more than 50 percent of the index.<br />

The SEW approach evens this out, placing equal weights<br />

on each segment of the market.<br />

Figure 6<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

Figure 7<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Jun 30<br />

1978<br />

Growth Of A Dollar For Russell 2000 SEW, CEW<br />

And Cap-Weight Indexes<br />

Jun 30<br />

1982<br />

Jun 30<br />

1986<br />

Jun 30<br />

1990<br />

Jun 30<br />

1994<br />

N Russell 2000 Constituent Equal Weight<br />

N Russell 2000 Cap Weight<br />

Source: Russell Investments, 6/30/1978-6/30/2010.<br />

Figure 8<br />

0<br />

Jun 30<br />

1978<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Growth Of A Dollar For Russell 1000 SEW, CEW<br />

And Cap-Weight Indexes<br />

Jun 30<br />

1982<br />

Jun 30<br />

1984<br />

Jun 30<br />

1986<br />

Jun 30<br />

1988<br />

Jun 30<br />

1990<br />

Jun 30<br />

1992<br />

Jun 30<br />

1994<br />

N Russell 1000 Constituent Equal Weight<br />

N Russell 1000 Cap Weight<br />

Source: Russell Investments, 6/30/1978-6/30/2010.<br />

Jun 30<br />

1996<br />

Jun 30<br />

1998<br />

Jun 30<br />

2002<br />

Jun 30<br />

2006<br />

N Russell 2000 Sector Equal Weight<br />

Volatility Of The Russell 1000 Cap Weight,<br />

SEW And CEW Indexes<br />

N Russell 1000 Constituent Equal Weight<br />

N Russell 1000 Cap Weight<br />

Source: Russell Investments, 6/30/1982-6/30/2010.<br />

Jun 30<br />

1998<br />

Jun 30<br />

2000<br />

Jun 30<br />

2002<br />

Jun 30<br />

2004<br />

Jun 30<br />

2006<br />

N Russell 1000 Sector Equal Weight<br />

Jun 30<br />

2010<br />

Jun 30<br />

2008<br />

N Russell 1000 Sector Equal Weight<br />

Jun 30<br />

2010<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

23


Russell’s sector equal-weighted indexes allocate an equal<br />

portion of the portfolio to each of the nine Russell sectors,<br />

and then equal-weight the constituents within each sector.<br />

Why Equal-Weight Constituents Within The Sector?<br />

Equal-weighting the constituents within a sector assures<br />

that a few large <strong>com</strong>panies will not drive the performance of<br />

the sector. This may also add diversification benefits similar<br />

to those outlined above for equally weighted sectors. To<br />

test this, we simulate a portfolio that is equal-weighted at<br />

the sector level, but the constituents within each sector are<br />

weighted according to their float-adjusted market capitalization<br />

(SEW-MC). Rolling 36-month correlations between the<br />

SEW-MC, SEW and the cap-weighted Russell 2000 Index are<br />

presented in Figure 3.<br />

The results are surprising. The correlation between the<br />

SEW index and the Russell 2000 falls dramatically during the<br />

technology boom-and-bust period, dropping as low as 60<br />

percent on August 2001 and maintaining a correlation of 90<br />

percent to 95 percent after May 2003. The correlation of the<br />

SEW-MC index to the Russell 2000 stays above 95 percent<br />

through the whole period.<br />

We do not see a big drop in correlations during the<br />

2008-2009 financial crisis, and a closer look at the sector<br />

volatility of the Russell 2000 explains why. We calculate the<br />

volatility of the sector returns of the Russell 2000 index for<br />

two periods, 1998 to 2000 and 2007 to 2009. For the 1998-<br />

2000 period, volatility is high in the energy, health care and<br />

technology sectors, while the other sectors have relatively<br />

low volatility. For the 2007-2009 period, volatility is spread<br />

out across all sectors, with just the energy sector <strong>com</strong>paratively<br />

higher than the other sectors (see Figure 4). This<br />

suggests that during periods where volatility is increasing<br />

within a few sectors, the SEW index could potentially provide<br />

diversification benefits when used in conjunction with<br />

cap-weighted indexes. We note that equal-weighting the<br />

constituents within sectors adds attractive diversification<br />

features to the index, and that simply equal-weighting the<br />

sectors does not replicate an SEW index.<br />

Figure 9<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Volatility Of The Russell 2000 Cap Weight,<br />

SEW And CEW Indexes<br />

Jun 30<br />

1984<br />

Jun 30<br />

1988<br />

Jun 30<br />

1992<br />

N Russell 2000 Constituent Equal Weight<br />

N Russell 2000 Cap Weight<br />

Jun 30<br />

1996<br />

Source: Russell Investments, 6/30/1982-6/30/2010.<br />

Jun 30<br />

2000<br />

Jun 30<br />

2004<br />

Jun 30<br />

2008<br />

N Russell 2000 Sector Equal Weight<br />

Capacity Constraints<br />

Equal-weighted indexes have been criticized for the<br />

capacity constraints potentially posed by constituents that<br />

are too small to take an equal position. Other concerns focus<br />

on high turnover caused by frequent rebalancing. These<br />

problems can be eliminated or mitigated in the construction<br />

and maintenance of the equal-weighted index.<br />

To address one of the main criticisms of equal-weighted<br />

indexes—that an investor can take a significant position<br />

within a smaller-capitalization security, posing a liquidity<br />

risk—the Russell Sector Equal Weight Index methodology<br />

applies a screen prior to the construction of each index, which<br />

is designed to remove securities that could have difficulty<br />

assuming their required positions in a particular security.<br />

This screen has an insignificant impact on the returns of<br />

the index. For the period 1996 to 2010, the Russell 1000 SEW<br />

index with a capacity screen applied had an annualized tracking<br />

error of only 28 basis points to the same index with no<br />

capacity screen applied. For the small-cap Russell 2000 SEW<br />

index, the annualized tracking error was 38 basis points.<br />

Turnover<br />

While portfolio turnover can be a concern with equalweighted<br />

indexes, it is helpful to remember that much of this<br />

turnover can be attributed to the reconstitution of the associated<br />

cap-weighted index. The average quarterly turnover on<br />

the Russell 1000 Sector Equal Weight Index was 6.3 percent<br />

for the July 1996 to June 2010 period. However, when we<br />

remove the July period of each year (when reconstitution of<br />

the cap-weighted Russell 1000 Index occurs), the average turnover<br />

be<strong>com</strong>es 4.2 percent. This suggests that the reconstitution<br />

of the underlying index can have a significant influence on<br />

the turnover observed in the equal-weighted index. Even when<br />

the reconstitution period for the underlying index is taken into<br />

account, the portfolio turnover observed in the Russell 1000<br />

Sector Equal Weight Index is <strong>com</strong>parable to those of equalweighted<br />

indexes currently in the marketplace and certainly<br />

lower than the turnover observed in active funds.<br />

Additional measures can be taken in the daily maintenance<br />

of the index to avert turnover in the index between<br />

reweighting periods, which might otherwise be caused by<br />

corporate actions affecting the constituents. For example,<br />

not applying month-end share adjustments and not increasing<br />

a <strong>com</strong>pany’s weight when a <strong>com</strong>pany acquires another<br />

<strong>com</strong>pany from different size tiers can reduce turnover<br />

between reweighting periods.<br />

Rebalancing Frequency<br />

Sector equal-weighted indexes assign a weight to each<br />

security at each rebalancing period. However, between rebalancing<br />

periods, the weights of each security will deviate from<br />

this target weight due to daily changes in price. A perfect<br />

implementation of the sector equal-weight strategy would<br />

require sectors and constituents to rebalance daily. Daily<br />

rebalancing would be impractical to implement as a passive<br />

strategy; it would require selling and buying constituents’<br />

shares daily to keep the weights constant, and thus bring<br />

about high transaction costs for replicated portfolios.<br />

24<br />

January / February 2011


Thus, a trade-off is required between representation of<br />

the strategy and turnover. To keep portfolio turnover down,<br />

we reweight less frequently but incur some tracking error to<br />

a hypothetical portfolio that is reweighted daily. To test the<br />

impact of different reweighting periods, we simulate sector<br />

equal-weighted strategy indexes based on different reweighting<br />

time frames—daily, monthly, quarterly, semiannually and<br />

annually. Intuitively, we should see tracking error maximized<br />

for the scenario with the longest reweighting period and<br />

turnover maximized for the shortest reweighting period.<br />

We measure the tracking error of each reweighting time<br />

frame against the theoretical perfect implementation of daily<br />

reweighting. We also calculate the turnover of the portfolios<br />

for each of the different reweighting time frames. These<br />

results are presented in Figure 5 for the Russell 1000 and<br />

Russell 2000 sector equal-weighted indexes.<br />

The results are as expected. When the frequency of<br />

reweighting increases, so does the turnover of the portfolio.<br />

However, as the frequency is increased, the tracking error of<br />

the portfolio decreases. A daily reweighted large-cap portfolio<br />

has turnover of more than 175 percent. The turnover is more<br />

pronounced for the daily reweighted small-cap portfolio,<br />

where it is more than 250 percent. Turnover decreases dramatically<br />

for both the large-cap and small-cap portfolios when<br />

the reweighting is done on a monthly basis, be<strong>com</strong>ing less<br />

than a quarter of that of the daily reweighted portfolio. The<br />

annually reweighted large-cap portfolio has the least turnover<br />

(16 percent), but also the highest tracking error (4.6 percent).<br />

The Russell Equal Weight Indexes: Performance 5<br />

In this section, we examine the investment performance<br />

of quarterly rebalanced cap-weighted SEW and CEW index<br />

Figure 10<br />

Trading<br />

Symbol<br />

Value of a Dollar<br />

Volatility 3-Month (annualized)<br />

Average<br />

Daily Volume<br />

January 1979-June 2010<br />

Sharpe Ratio<br />

Russell 1000 $27.25 15.68 0.1182<br />

Russell 1000 CEW $44.86 17.86 0.1354<br />

Russell 1000 SEW $59.19 17.20 0.1535<br />

Russell 2000 $27.03 19.96 0.1039<br />

Russell 2000 CEW $17.02 21.47 0.0807<br />

Russell 2000 SEW $26.92 20.43 0.1025<br />

Russell 3000 $27.06 15.81 0.1172<br />

Russell 3000 CEW $24.98 19.89 0.1001<br />

Russell 3000 SEW $36.28 18.90 0.1207<br />

January 1996-June 2010<br />

Russell 1000 $2.23 16.44 0.0657<br />

Russell 1000 CEW $3.49 19.62 0.1091<br />

Russell 1000 SEW $4.22 18.44 0.1332<br />

Russell 2000 $2.33 20.99 0.0677<br />

Russell 2000 CEW $2.42 23.58 0.0702<br />

Russell 2000 SEW $3.03 22.47 0.0904<br />

Russell 3000 $2.22 16.52 0.0651<br />

Russell 3000 CEW $2.76 21.87 0.0827<br />

Russell 3000 SEW $3.42 20.58 0.1049<br />

January 2001-June 2010<br />

Russell 1000 $0.97 16.38 –0.0216<br />

Russell 1000 CEW $1.64 20.94 0.0717<br />

Russell 1000 SEW $1.87 19.52 0.0932<br />

Russell 2000 $1.43 20.90 0.0517<br />

Russell 2000 CEW $1.73 25.26 0.0768<br />

Russell 2000 SEW $1.90 23.89 0.0892<br />

Russell 3000 $0.99 16.58 –0.0154<br />

Russell 3000 CEW $1.71 23.55 0.0759<br />

Russell 3000 SEW $1.90 22.01 0.0916<br />

Source: Russell Investments<br />

Sharpe Ratios For The Russell 1000, Russell 2000 And Russell 3000 Indexes From 1979-2010, 1996-2010 And 2001-2010<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

25


structures in the U.S. large- and small-cap equity markets<br />

and in global developed and emerging markets. Generally we<br />

find that the Russell Equal Weight indexes display superior<br />

returns with lower levels of volatility when <strong>com</strong>pared to capweight<br />

and CEW indexes over our sample periods.<br />

Performance Of U.S. Indexes<br />

Figure 6 displays the performance of the Russell 1000 SEW,<br />

CEW and cap-weight indexes from December 1978 to June<br />

2010. The cumulative return of the SEW index was almost<br />

double that of the cap-weighted Russell 1000 index from<br />

January 1, 1979 to June 2010 and 35 percent more than that of<br />

the CEW index. Since 1979, the cap-weighted indexes outperformed<br />

the equal-weighted indexes for a meaningful period of<br />

time just once, during the tech bubble of the late 1990s.<br />

Previous research has suggested that during periods of<br />

strong bull markets, equal-weighted indexes can underperform<br />

cap-weighted indexes (Dash and Loggie [2008]).<br />

However, an extension to this might be necessary. While it<br />

may be true that equal-weighting underperformed during<br />

this period, we should note that from 1998 to 2000, the market<br />

was sector-led. Mega-cap technology stocks contributed<br />

significantly to the return of the cap-weighted indexes during<br />

this period. The weight of the technology sector in the<br />

Russell 1000 cap-weighted index increased significantly over<br />

this time period, going from 11.5 percent on January 1, 1998<br />

to a high of over 30 percent on July 3, 2000. Comparatively,<br />

the weight of the technology sector in the Russell 1000 SEW<br />

index was consistently reset to 11.1 percent throughout this<br />

sample time period. It is fair to conclude that the outperformance<br />

of the sector during this period led to the outperformance<br />

of the cap-weight indexes over the equal-weighted<br />

indexes. We also note that having such a large weight in<br />

the technology sector of the Russell 1000 Index hurt performance<br />

after the bubble burst, with the equal-weighted<br />

indexes faring better than the cap-weighted indexes during<br />

the technology sector downturn in 2001 and 2002.<br />

Cumulative returns are presented for the cap-weighted SEW<br />

and CEW Russell 2000 indexes from 1979 to 2010 in Figure<br />

7. The Russell 2000 cap-weighted index outperforms both<br />

the SEW and CEW indexes for much of the 1980s and 1990s,<br />

and does so handily during the tech bubble of the late ’90s.<br />

However, after the year 2000, the SEW index outperformed the<br />

cap-weighted Russell 2000. The Russell 2000 SEW index outperformed<br />

the respective CEW index over this time period. We<br />

note that the value of an investment in the CEW index would<br />

not have been higher than that of a like investment in the sector<br />

equal-weighted index for any significant period of time.<br />

Volatility<br />

The volatility of the Russell 1000 and Russell 2000—as<br />

measured by the annualized rolling three-year standard<br />

deviation of monthly returns—in the cap weight, SEW and<br />

CEW indexes is displayed in Figures 8 and 9.<br />

The Russell 1000 cap-weighted index has lower volatility<br />

than both of the respective equal-weighted indexes for the<br />

entire period, except in the late 1990s, when the volatility<br />

of the cap-weighted indexes exceeds the level of the other<br />

two indexes, going from a low of 8.0 percent at the end of<br />

April 1996 to a high of 19.5 percent on April 2001. The SEW<br />

Figure 11<br />

Regression Results For The Russell 1000<br />

Trading<br />

Symbol<br />

t Stat<br />

1/1/1979-12/31/1990 Russell 1000<br />

R Square 0.9884<br />

P-value<br />

Intercept –0.6780 –13.8474 0.0000<br />

Russell 3000 0.9723 86.2907 0.0000<br />

Russell Midcap - Russell Top 200 0.4730 18.4476 0.0000<br />

Russell 1000 Value - Russell 1000 Growth –0.0467 –1.9097 0.0582<br />

1/1/1991-12/31/2000 Russell 1000<br />

R Square 0.9414<br />

Intercept –0.3346 –3.4871 0.0007<br />

Russell 3000 1.0321 41.3417 0.0000<br />

Russell Midcap - Russell Top 200 0.4264 10.5634 0.0000<br />

Russell 1000 Value - Russell 1000 Growth 0.2269 8.2533 0.0000<br />

1/1/2001-6/30/2010 Russell 1000<br />

R Square 0.9700<br />

Intercept 0.1024 1.0637 0.2898<br />

Russell 3000 1.0473 49.2877 0.0000<br />

Russell Midcap - Russell Top 200 0.5812 12.4487 0.0000<br />

Russell 1000 Value - Russell 1000 Growth –0.0296 –0.8431 0.4010<br />

Source: Russell Investments<br />

26<br />

January / February 2011


index consistently has lower volatility than the CEW index.<br />

The Russell CEW 1000 index has significantly higher volatility<br />

than the other two indexes from 2002 to 2005, deviating<br />

as much as 3 percent from the SEW index.<br />

In contrast, as we show in Figure 9, the Russell 2000 capweight<br />

index does not consistently display lower volatility<br />

than the Russell 2000 SEW. The SEW index shows lower<br />

volatility than the cap-weighted indexes from 1982 to 1993<br />

and during the technology boom-and-bust period, while the<br />

cap-weighted indexes have lower volatility for much of the<br />

current decade. There is no significant period of time during<br />

which the CEW index has lower volatility than the capweighted<br />

index or the SEW index.<br />

We observed similar return and risk characteristics when<br />

we tested the SEW and CEW methodologies based on the<br />

Russell Global indexes. The SEW index consistently outperformed<br />

the CEW index, with lower volatility.<br />

Risk-Adjusted Returns<br />

The Russell SEW indexes have outperformed capweighted<br />

indexes over the entire period under review<br />

(1/1/1979-6/30/2010) in the domestic U.S. indexes and in<br />

international markets. However, the outperformance was<br />

ac<strong>com</strong>panied by higher volatility.<br />

We present Sharpe ratios over three time periods for the<br />

Russell 1000, 2000 and 3000 Indexes for the cap-weighted,<br />

SEW and CEW indexes (see Figure 10). With the exception of<br />

the Russell 2000, over the longest sample time period (1979<br />

to June 2010), the risk-adjusted returns for the SEW were<br />

higher than for the cap-weighted and CEW indexes.<br />

For the period 1996 to 2010, which includes the outperformance<br />

of cap-weighted indexes during the technology<br />

boom, absolute returns and Sharpe ratios are higher<br />

for the SEW indexes.<br />

Where Is the Outperformance Coming From?<br />

To analyze where the outperformance of the SEW indexes<br />

is <strong>com</strong>ing from and to gain additional insight, we perform a<br />

Fama-French three-factor regression analysis and calculate<br />

contribution to returns by sector and size.<br />

Fama-French Factor Regression<br />

We regress the returns of the Russell 1000 and the Russell<br />

2000 SEW indexes using the Fama-French three-factor model<br />

of market, size and style for each decade on the Russell 1000<br />

and Russell 2000 cap-weighted indexes. The dependent variable<br />

is the excess return of the respective SEW index, minus<br />

the risk-free rate. The small-capitalization factor (SmB) for<br />

the Russell 1000 SEW index is measured as the excess return<br />

of the Russell Midcap Index over the Russell Top 200 Index,<br />

and for the Russell 2000 SEW index as the excess return of<br />

the Russell 2000 over the Russell 1000. The high minus low<br />

(HmL) style factor is taken as the value minus growth of the<br />

respective cap-weighted indexes. The regression results are<br />

presented in Figures 11 and 12.<br />

When adjusted for size and style factors, the equalweighted<br />

indexes exhibit an alpha of 0.10 percent and 0.13<br />

percent per month for the Russell 1000 and Russell 2000<br />

SEW indexes, respectively, in the last decade, though these<br />

are not statistically significant. For the 1980s and 1990s, a<br />

Figure 12<br />

Regression Results For The Russell 2000<br />

Trading<br />

Symbol<br />

t Stat<br />

1/1/1979-12/31/1990 Russell 2000<br />

R Square 0.9711<br />

P-value<br />

Intercept –0.7324 –8.1698 0.0000<br />

Russell 3000 0.9001 41.2856 0.0000<br />

Russell 2000 - Russell 1000 0.9637 28.0772 0.0000<br />

Russell 2000 Value - Russell 2000 Growth –0.0213 –0.4972 0.6198<br />

1/1/1991-12/31/2000 Russell 2000<br />

R Square 0.9247<br />

Intercept –0.5357 –3.8859 0.0002<br />

Russell 3000 1.0376 26.4475 0.0000<br />

Russell 2000 - Russell 1000 0.9380 22.1299 0.0000<br />

Russell 2000 Value - Russell 2000 Growth 0.1765 4.5246 0.0000<br />

1/1/2001-6/30/2010 Russell 2000<br />

R Square 0.9485<br />

Intercept 0.1345 0.8866 0.3772<br />

Russell 3000 1.1150 31.8928 0.0000<br />

Russell 2000 - Russell 1000 0.9666 16.8875 0.0000<br />

Russell 2000 Value - Russell 2000 Growth –0.1187 –2.2406 0.0271<br />

Source: Russell Investments<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

27


negative alpha is observed for both the Russell 1000 and<br />

Russell 2000 SEW indexes and is statistically significant.<br />

The regression results provide strong empirical support<br />

for assertion that equal-weighted indexes tilt toward<br />

smaller-capitalization securities to a statistically significant<br />

level. For each decade, the SmB coefficient is more than 0.4<br />

for the Russell 1000 SEW index and more than 0.9 for the<br />

Russell 2000 SEW index. Thus, the Russell 1000 SEW index<br />

is influenced by mid-cap securities, and the Russell 2000<br />

SEW index is strongly influenced by securities at the middle<br />

to bottom of the Russell 2000 benchmark.<br />

What is even more interesting is the shifting influence of<br />

growth and value factors from one decade to the next for both<br />

the Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 SEW indexes. The indexes<br />

seem to exhibit a growth tilt for much of the 1980s, a “value”<br />

tilt for the 1990s and then a growth tilt for the 2000s.<br />

Contribution To Return By Sector<br />

In Figure 13, we <strong>com</strong>pare cumulative contribution to return<br />

by sector from July 1996 to December 1999 and January 2000<br />

to June 2010 between the Russell cap-weighted and SEW<br />

indexes. Not surprisingly, the technology, consumer discretionary<br />

and financial services sectors contribute almost 66 percent<br />

of the total return. While all of the sectors in the Russell<br />

SEW 1000 index had a positive return for the period 1996 to<br />

1999, the contribution from seven of the nine sectors underperformed<br />

the sector returns of the cap-weighted index.<br />

We see similar results for the Russell 2000, with the technology<br />

and financial services sector driving the returns of the<br />

cap-weighted index. Although the Russell 2000 SEW index has<br />

five of the nine sectors contributing higher returns than those<br />

of the cap-weighted index, they are not high enough to over<strong>com</strong>e<br />

the low contributions from the technology and financial<br />

services sectors. Thus, the cap-weighted index outperformed<br />

the Russell 2000 SEW index for the 1996-1999 time period.<br />

As we previously observed, the outperformance is reversed<br />

within the last decade, with the SEW indexes outperforming the<br />

cap-weighted indexes significantly. Every sector in the Russell<br />

1000 SEW has a positive return and a higher contribution than<br />

the cap-weighted indexes. The energy sector has the highest<br />

contribution, providing 25.4 percent of the total return for<br />

the SEW indexes. Comparatively, within the Russell 1000 capweighted<br />

index, the energy sector contributes only 1.7 percent,<br />

with the consumer staples sector providing the largest contribution<br />

at 3.7 percent. The technology sector has a large negative<br />

contribution of 13.9 percent in the Russell 1000 cap-weighted<br />

index, resulting in the index having a negative performance of<br />

10.9 percent for the 2000-2010 time period.<br />

Again, we see similar results in the Russell 2000 SEW index<br />

from 2000 to 2010. The energy sector provides the largest<br />

contribution, at 26.8 percent, while the utilities sector has<br />

the only negative contribution. The financial services sector<br />

performs the best within the Russell 2000 cap-weighted<br />

index, with a contribution of 22.7 percent, larger than that<br />

of the Russell 2000 SEW index.<br />

There are some interesting results we should consider from<br />

the sector contributions, particularly the large deviation in<br />

the technology sector from 2000 to 2010 for both the Russell<br />

1000 and the Russell 2000. The differences in contribution to<br />

return cannot entirely be attributed to the sector weight differences<br />

or the different rebalance schemes. We provide the<br />

contribution to return by deciles in Figure 14 for the Russell<br />

1000 cap-weighted index. The large negative contribution of<br />

-22.58 percent from the top 10 percent of the largest <strong>com</strong>panies<br />

in the index played a significant role in the index achieving<br />

a negative return for this time period.<br />

The Fama-French regression analysis showed the large<br />

influence of smaller-capitalization securities in the SEW<br />

index. We surmise from these results that the outperformance<br />

of smaller-capitalization securities and the underperformance<br />

of large-cap <strong>com</strong>panies led to the SEW index<br />

outperformance from 2000 to 2010. This suggests that when<br />

larger-cap <strong>com</strong>panies outperform smaller-cap <strong>com</strong>panies, the<br />

SEW index might underperform a cap-weighted index.<br />

Figure 13<br />

Contribution To Return By Sector<br />

Trading<br />

Symbol<br />

Russell 1000<br />

7/1/1996-12/31/1999 1/1/2000-6/30/2010<br />

Russell 2000 Russell 1000 Russell 2000<br />

Cap<br />

Weight<br />

SEW<br />

Cap<br />

Weight<br />

SEW<br />

Cap<br />

Weight<br />

SEW<br />

Cap<br />

Weight<br />

Consumer Discretionary 14.4% 7.2% 5.5% 2.8% –1.5% 8.8% 7.3% 7.8%<br />

Consumer Staples 8.5% 7.3% 1.7% 4.2% 3.7% 15.5% 2.1% 13.3%<br />

Energy 5.8% 6.2% 0.5% 1.8% 1.7% 25.4% 4.4% 26.8%<br />

Financial Services 23.7% 11.3% 12.4% 5.2% 1.0% 13.1% 22.7% 14.5%<br />

Health Care 13.9% 7.0% 1.5% 0.0% 1.9% 17.6% 7.3% 11.7%<br />

Materials & Processing 3.7% 4.8% –0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 12.7% 7.7% 13.6%<br />

Producer Durables 11.4% 8.5% 5.5% 5.6% –0.6% 12.9% 3.3% 11.6%<br />

Technology 31.7% 18.3% 19.2% 12.2% –13.9% 3.2% –15.7% 0.2%<br />

Source: Russell Investments<br />

Utilities 12.4% 10.5% 6.3% 9.5% –3.8% 1.5% –0.7% –7.7%<br />

SEW<br />

28<br />

January / February 2011


Figure 14<br />

Contribution To Return By Company Size Deciles<br />

Trading<br />

Symbol<br />

Average<br />

Weight<br />

Russell 1000<br />

7/01/1996-12/31/1999 12/31/1999-6/30/2010<br />

Total Return<br />

Contribution<br />

to Return<br />

Average<br />

Weight<br />

Total Return<br />

Contribution<br />

to Return<br />

MC Decile 1 54.35 139.41 72.30 52.98 –30.91 –22.58<br />

MC Decile 2 15.00 110.15 16.68 10.77 6.08 0.59<br />

MC Decile 3 8.16 78.40 7.41 7.38 4.12 0.39<br />

MC Decile 4 5.99 158.36 8.23 5.56 73.16 2.88<br />

MC Decile 5 4.24 68.49 3.32 4.25 37.34 1.67<br />

MC Decile 6 3.42 37.14 2.06 3.10 52.56 1.44<br />

MC Decile 7 2.73 45.97 1.85 2.64 82.04 1.50<br />

MC Decile 8 2.45 39.90 1.75 1.83 73.31 1.06<br />

MC Decile 9 1.64 86.30 1.43 1.87 77.39 1.18<br />

MC Decile 10 1.47 40.78 0.76 5.27 41.31 2.42<br />

[N/A] 0.56 106.83 0.64 4.34 –19.16 0.55<br />

Source: FactSet<br />

Conclusion<br />

Equal-weighting by constituents, while simple, introduces<br />

sector risk into an index exposure. We find that the sector<br />

equal-weighted indexes provided a better absolute return<br />

with lower volatility for the time period tested. On the<br />

basis of simulated returns, we find that equal-weighting by<br />

sector provided better risk-adjusted returns than a constituent<br />

equal-weighted index and the respective cap-weighted<br />

index over our sample periods. These results are consistent<br />

across the domestic large-cap and small-cap spectrum and<br />

the global developed and emerging markets, although that<br />

analysis was not included in the results. The analysis of the<br />

performance attribution and regression shows that the sector<br />

equal-weight index is strongly influenced by small-capitalization<br />

securities in the index, suggesting that the sector<br />

equal-weighted index might underperform a cap-weighted<br />

index when larger-capitalization securities outperform smaller-capitalization<br />

<strong>com</strong>panies.<br />

Endnotes<br />

1 There are three forms of the EMH: The weak form asserts that all past information is fully reflected in the price of a security. The semi-strong form asserts that all publicly available<br />

information is fully reflected in the price of a security. The strong form asserts that all information is reflected in the price of a security.<br />

2 The float-adjusted market capitalization of a stock is the total market capitalization net of closely held shares that are not freely available to the public.<br />

3 Tracking error is calculated as the standard deviation of monthly excess return over the daily reweighted portfolio multiplied by the square root of 12.<br />

4 Turnover is the average turnover (calculated as the minimum of the addition and deletion percentage of the portfolio) per time frame multiplied by the number of times the<br />

portfolio is reweighted per annum.<br />

5 The returns of the Sector Equal Weight and the Constituent Equal Weight indexes are simulated and the constituents are not screened for capacity constraints.<br />

References<br />

Ankrim, Ernie, and Jill Johnson. 2000. “Global Equity Portfolio Diversification: Is It Still a Valid Investment Strategy?” Russell Research Commentary (November).<br />

Arnott, Robert D., Vitali Kalesnik, Paul Moghtader and Craig Scholl. 2010. “Beyond Cap Weight: The empirical evidence for a diversified beta.” Journal of Indexes<br />

(January/February).<br />

Arnott, Robert D., and John M. West. 2006. “Fundamental Indexes: Current and Future Applications.” in A Guide to Exchange Traded Funds and Indexing Innovations—<br />

Fifth Anniversary Issue.<br />

Arnott, Robert D., Jason Hsu and Philip Moore. “Fundamental Indexation.” 2005. Financial Analysts Journal (March/April).<br />

Blitz, David, and Laurens Swinkels. 2008. “Fundamental indexation: an active value strategy in disguise.” SSRN (August).<br />

Carino, David R., and Thomas H. Goodwin. “The Measurement of Excess Return.” 2001. Russell Research Commentary (November).<br />

Christopherson, Jon, David R. Carino and Wayne E. Ferson. 2009. “Portfolio Performance Measurement and Benchmarking.” McGraw-Hill Finance & Investing.<br />

Dash, Srikant, and Keith Loggie. 2008. “Equal Weight Indexes: Five Years Later.” S&P Indices (April).<br />

Dash, Srikant, and Liyu Zeng. 2010. “Equal Weight Indexes: Seven Years Later.” S&P Indices (July).<br />

“Equal Weighted Indexing—A Critique of S&P’s Study.” 2008. Advisor Perspectives newsletter (May).<br />

Fabozzi Frank J. 1998. “Active Equity Portfolio Management” Wiley.<br />

Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. 1992. “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance. Vol. 47, No. 2 (June), pp. 427–465.<br />

Pope, Brad. 2009. “Insights on Market Capitalization and Fundamental-Weighted Indexes.” BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.<br />

Treynor, Jack. 2005. “Why Market-Valuation-Indifferent Indexing Works.” Financial Analysts Journal (September/October).<br />

Warren, Geoff, and Don Ezra. 2010. “When should investors consider an alternative to passive investing?” Russell Research (January).<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

29


The Weight Debate<br />

A roundtable<br />

30<br />

January / February 2011


Alternative weighting strategies burst onto the market a number<br />

of years ago and attracted huge swaths of attention. There<br />

were media gatherings, fund launches aplenty and op-eds in the<br />

Wall Street Journal.<br />

Where do things stand now that the strategies have been live<br />

for some time and have gone through a number of vigorous market<br />

cycles? The Journal of Indexes gathered some of the leading<br />

thinkers in the weighting space to discuss where things stand on<br />

the cusp of 2011.<br />

Gus Sauter, Chief Investment Officer,<br />

Vanguard Group<br />

JoI: What have the last three years taught us<br />

about the potential risks and potential benefits<br />

of alternative weighting strategies?<br />

Sauter: I don’t think a three-year time period is enough to really<br />

judge anything. When you’re looking at alternative weights,<br />

the big question is whether or not you’re gaining factor exposure,<br />

or factor exposure plus alpha—and you can’t determine<br />

whether there’s alpha in a three-year time period.<br />

JoI: Cap weighting is “the market,” but is it how we should be<br />

thinking about investing?<br />

Sauter: There are two <strong>com</strong>ponents of return from the market.<br />

One is the various factor returns you can gain exposure<br />

to, and the other would be value added above and beyond<br />

that, or alpha. The factor returns are basically market-capweighted<br />

returns, and the big question is: Can you actually<br />

add value above and beyond that? I think it’s very, very difficult<br />

to add value above and beyond that, and I don’t think<br />

it’s possible using simple heuristics.<br />

My view is that these various alternative weighting<br />

schemes really are just giving you factor exposure that you<br />

can gain through cap weighting.<br />

You can look at these various alternative constructs through<br />

many different lenses. You can look at them mathematically;<br />

you can look at them performancewise. And when I do that I<br />

keep <strong>com</strong>ing up with the same answer: These [indexes] typically<br />

have a smaller-cap bias and a value bias. We certainly know<br />

that, if you go back over the last 50, 80, 100 years, small-cap<br />

and value have outperformed. It would be hard to construct<br />

an index that has a tilt towards those segments of the marketplace<br />

and not have that index or that benchmark outperform<br />

the S&P 500, which is usually what people are <strong>com</strong>paring<br />

these things to. But I’d say it’s a wholly unfair <strong>com</strong>parison and<br />

that really the right <strong>com</strong>parison is against a mid-cap value, or<br />

perhaps small-cap value, cap-weighted index. And there you’ll<br />

find that they perform very similarly.<br />

JOI: Alternatively weighted indexes have been available for some<br />

time. Why haven’t more end-users begun using them?<br />

Sauter: I think—like with anything—there should be some<br />

skepticism. The promoters of these indexes have made<br />

pretty big promises, and I would hope that investors would<br />

be skeptical of that. Usually when you make pretty grandiose<br />

claims, it’s probably too good to be true.<br />

JoI: Why is cap weighting so entrenched? What is its appeal to<br />

investors?<br />

Sauter: I think there are two reasons. Cap weighting has been<br />

the dominant form of indexing or investing—and that’s No. 1.<br />

Theory would tell us the appropriate weight for a portfolio is<br />

cap weighting, if you believe in efficient markets. Personally, I<br />

don’t. But even if you don’t believe in efficient markets, I still<br />

think cap-weighted indexing makes sense, and that’s because<br />

of the argument that outperformance is a zero-sum game.<br />

We know that, in aggregate, investors can only get the<br />

market rate of return, and unfortunately they can’t even get<br />

that, because of costs. So a majority of investors will underperform<br />

the market. That proposal really doesn’t require any<br />

assumptions—that’s just truisms.<br />

For that reason, we have a good deal of confidence that capweighted<br />

indexing would provide a relatively attractive rate of<br />

return, relative to what active investors can obtain. The other<br />

proposals for weightings don’t have a theoretical underpinning,<br />

and they don’t have a simple rational explanation either.<br />

JoI: What makes a weighting methodology superior? Is it just<br />

performance?<br />

Sauter: Performance, which does include risk as well: Riskadjusted<br />

returns are really the most important aspect of<br />

investing. I think simplicity is important as well; certainly<br />

cap-weighted indexing is as simple a construct as you can<br />

devise. Transparency [is important] as well, and certainly a<br />

cap-weighted index is the most transparent.<br />

JOI: In an era of rising correlations, can diversifying your weighting<br />

methodology have any beneficial effect on portfolio performance<br />

statistics?<br />

Sauter: I’d never want to say that diversification isn’t a benefit.<br />

The problem is: Are you getting additional diversification<br />

from these alternative weighting schemes? I guess I’d<br />

say you’re getting other factor exposure. I’d just ask: Do you<br />

want those factor bets? And if you do, why not just take them<br />

directly with a cap-weighted index?<br />

You’re not really diversifying; you’re basically tilting.<br />

Rob Arnott, Founder and Chairman,<br />

Research Affiliates LLC<br />

JOI: What have the last three years taught us<br />

about the potential risks and potential benefits<br />

of alternative weighting strategies?<br />

Arnott: The alternative weighting strategies are as different<br />

from one another as each of them is from cap weight, so it’s<br />

very difficult to generalize. I think it’s fair to say that the past<br />

three years have taught us that the markets’ perspective on<br />

risks, perspectives on opportunity, and willingness to pay<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

31


for perceived growth is constantly in flux, and that strategies<br />

that contra-trade against the market’s constantly changing<br />

opinion can capitalize on that. That’s a good thing for most<br />

of the alternative indexing approaches, because most of<br />

them do contra-trade.<br />

The past three years has also seen markets that were profoundly<br />

hostile to value strategies—and markets that were<br />

profoundly rewarding of value strategies, especially deep<br />

value, especially low-quality value. That’s a reminder that<br />

none of these strategies is going to add value or beat the<br />

market at all times, because every one of these strategies is<br />

different from cap weight—and from a cap-weighted-centric<br />

world view, is therefore active relative to cap weight.<br />

Each of these strategies has active bets that will at times be<br />

in favor with the market’s preferences, and at times be out of<br />

favor. Those would be my takeaways from the last three years.<br />

JOI: Alternatively weighted indexes have been available for some<br />

time. Why haven’t more end-users begun using them?<br />

Arnott: There’s enormous inertia in our business. Cap-weighted<br />

indexes have been with us for 50 years. Cap-weighted indexes<br />

beat the median active manager at least two years out of three<br />

for 50 years. Cap-weighted indexation is still a minority strategy<br />

in the marketplace. But I look at the [use] of Fundamental Index<br />

strategies, which collectively—including RAFI and its imitators—<br />

grew from $0 to $50 billion in five years. That’s pretty amazing.<br />

One can view this from a half-empty or half-full perspective.<br />

The half-empty perspective is well, gosh, stock markets<br />

alone collectively are over $40 trillion worldwide. So a $50<br />

billion takeup is barely a 10th of a percent. The half-full<br />

perspective would be, I’ve never seen any strategy, any new<br />

product idea, in the investing world garner $50 billion in<br />

assets in five years. It’s not as if momentum is slowing and<br />

investors are disheartened. Instead, quite to the contrary,<br />

we’re finding that recent experience—the latest three years,<br />

for instance—has ratified the merits of these strategies<br />

emphatically. And those who were on the fence are one-byone<br />

<strong>com</strong>ing off the fence, most of them in favor.<br />

What we’re finding is, in each of four continents—<br />

Australia, Asia, North America and Europe—at least one<br />

of the two largest pools of capital on each continent has a<br />

live Fundamental Index portfolio. Most of these are one- or<br />

two-billion-dollar “toe in the water” experiments, but if the<br />

experiments go well, for these organizations to ramp up to<br />

$50 billion, individually, would be unsurprising.<br />

I see this as a situation in which our work and pioneering<br />

and championing the Fundamental Index concept has opened<br />

the floodgates for a whole raft of alternative indexes—noncap<br />

indexes, valuation-independent indexes—to gain traction<br />

and to gain a serious hearing. I see momentum accelerating<br />

fairly fast, not decelerating. It would be unsurprising to<br />

me if that $50 billion crosses $100 billion in two years.<br />

JOI: Does market capitalization accurately represent the value<br />

of a <strong>com</strong>pany?<br />

Arnott: Absolutely. Cap weighting is the value of a <strong>com</strong>pany, if<br />

you define value as the current market value. The word “value”<br />

is heavily used in our industry, and it means different things to<br />

different people. To the classic Graham and Dodd analyst, value<br />

is the net present value of all future cash flows, and is the true<br />

fair value of a <strong>com</strong>pany, something we can never know. To the<br />

efficient markets person, value is what a <strong>com</strong>pany will fetch<br />

today, and market cap perfectly captures that. To the consultants<br />

in our industry and quantitative investors, value sometimes<br />

means a strategy, a bias towards lower-PE and higheryielding<br />

<strong>com</strong>panies. If you define it as the true fair value—as if<br />

somebody was clairvoyant and could see the future—of course<br />

it’s not, but then again, nobody knows what that number is.<br />

JOI: Why is cap weighting so entrenched? What is its appeal to<br />

investors?<br />

Arnott: The appeal of cap weight is simplicity, cost and<br />

theoretical backing. Simplicity: What could be simpler than<br />

weighting <strong>com</strong>panies by their aggregate market value? Cost:<br />

What could be cheaper than running such a strategy—both<br />

in terms of direct fees and in terms of indirect costs, because<br />

turnover is so very light?<br />

In terms of theoretical appeal, the advent of the capital<br />

asset pricing model [CAPM] by Bill Sharpe and others in the<br />

early ’60s, and the subsequent development of the efficient<br />

markets hypothesis, wound up ratifying cap weight as the<br />

sensible way to invest. CAPM says if markets are efficient, the<br />

cap-weighted market is unbeatable on a risk-adjusted basis.<br />

And efficient markets hypothesis says prices are correct;<br />

therefore, stock-picking is a waste of time.<br />

Both of those are really powerful and really intuitively<br />

appealing theories. But the originators of these ideas—Bill<br />

Sharpe and Burt Malkiel—are alive today. Both of them would<br />

cheerfully admit that their theories are approximations of the<br />

real world, that the real world is more <strong>com</strong>plex than that.<br />

If markets aren’t efficient, then the inherent pre-eminence<br />

of cap weight as the only sensible indexing approach suddenly<br />

disappears and opens the door for a whole array of<br />

interesting ideas. And so I think to some extent we helped<br />

to spawn a revolution in the way our industry thinks about<br />

indexes. If you want a benchmark that looks like the market,<br />

it’s got to be cap weighted. If you want an index that looks<br />

like the broad economy, the economy is not cap weighted;<br />

it’s something closer to a Fundamental Index strategy.<br />

If you want a strategy that minimizes variance or maximizes<br />

Sharpe ratio, then a minimum variance or an EDHEC<br />

approach suddenly be<strong>com</strong>es dominant and very interesting.<br />

I think what we’ve seen is that the floodgates are open for a<br />

whole spectrum of really interesting ideas, and all of a sudden<br />

they are no longer viewed as quirky, peculiar departments,<br />

but rather as legitimate alternatives to cap weight.<br />

JOI: What makes a weighting methodology superior? Is it just<br />

performance?<br />

Arnott: No [that’s just one piece. There’s also risk.] If you<br />

manage the risk right, you have the staying power for any<br />

return-seeking strategy.<br />

32<br />

January / February 2011


There can also be the implementation challenges. Some<br />

of the new index methods have high turnover, or have a relatively<br />

aggressive reliance on small-cap and illiquid <strong>com</strong>panies.<br />

That doesn’t make the strategies inferior; it makes them<br />

more challenging to implement. It amplifies the importance<br />

of very, very careful implementation. Also, the superiority of<br />

any strategy on any of these measures is a moving target.<br />

In any given year, the style bets, if you will, relative to the<br />

market of any of these strategies, will change. And as they<br />

change, no single strategy will be the best in all years. In<br />

individual years, different strategies will be dominant.<br />

JOI: In an era of rising correlations, can diversifying your weighting<br />

methodology have any beneficial effect on portfolio performance<br />

statistics?<br />

Arnott: Absolutely. High correlation on issue-specific risk merely<br />

means that the relative values are stickier than they should be,<br />

relative to the shifting fundamentals, and relative return opportunities<br />

of the individual <strong>com</strong>panies. I would argue that if correlations<br />

became extremely high, the benefits of classic, old-fashioned<br />

Graham and Dodd analysis—<strong>com</strong>paring fair prices with<br />

a <strong>com</strong>pany’s business potential—could <strong>com</strong>e back into vogue<br />

and turn out to be a very powerful tool. Sticky prices mean you<br />

have lots and lots of time to study the individual <strong>com</strong>panies, and<br />

to gauge which ones are mispriced. It means the mispricing is<br />

stickier and longer lasting. I view high correlations as something<br />

that, if anything, enhance the potential of disciplined strategies<br />

that depart from the cap-weighted market.<br />

Scott Ebner, Managing Director and<br />

Global Head of ETF Product Development,<br />

State Street Global Advisors<br />

JOI: What have the last three years taught us<br />

about the potential risks and potential benefits<br />

of alternative weighting strategies?<br />

Ebner: Well, if you look at the actual product movement in<br />

the ETF space, we’ve seen a lot of new products launched that<br />

are based on alternative indices, but the assets in the business<br />

continue to be focused on the [more] standard benchmark<br />

indexes. So I think we’ve learned that while they’re very<br />

interesting—and I think the investor choice is a good thing—<br />

the investor demand, especially on the ETF front, for index<br />

products continues to be focused on core benchmarks.<br />

JOI: Alternatively weighted indexes have been around for<br />

some time. Why haven’t more investors and end users begun<br />

using them?<br />

Ebner: Standard indexes have a kind of gravitational pull<br />

that continue to draw their attention. I don’t consider it to<br />

be a failure in any respect for alternatively weighted indexes<br />

that the assets and volume in the market continue to be<br />

concentrated around standard benchmarks. Any time you<br />

have greater variety, you have greater fragmentation, and in<br />

the space of alternatively weighted indices or alternatively<br />

constructed indices, it starts to look a little bit more like<br />

the actively managed space, where there’s greater degrees<br />

of fragmentation based on process or brand, or differentiation—so<br />

you would expect the fragmentation to be higher.<br />

JOI: Why is cap weighting so entrenched? What is its appeal<br />

to investors?<br />

Ebner: It’s a very simple concept, and it’s a concept that has<br />

shown over time that it’s very hard for active managers to beat.<br />

Investors a lot of times also are not aware of the weighting<br />

methodologies behind the indexes. They’re aware of the<br />

names of the indices they know, and they follow the index<br />

values. More sophisticated investors are usually more aware<br />

of the particular methodology of their indices. But some<br />

of the most widely known indices in the world are not cap<br />

weighted. The Dow Jones industrial average is one of the<br />

most widely known, and it’s a tremendously good blue-chip<br />

index, but it’s not cap weighted.<br />

JOI: In an era of rising correlations, can diversifying your weighting<br />

methodology have any beneficial effect on portfolio performance<br />

statistics?<br />

Ebner: I think the ability for an alternative weighting mechanism<br />

to significantly de-correlate with a benchmark index is<br />

unlikely. Most of the academic research that I’ve seen shows<br />

that it’s the choice of allocation that is the highest explanatory<br />

variable for performance out<strong>com</strong>e. And when you talk about<br />

alternative weighting screens, you’re typically not adjusting<br />

that asset allocation space. So you may be picking up marginal<br />

performance versus the cap-weighted benchmark, but I don’t<br />

think you’re significantly altering the risk characteristics.<br />

I don’t think most of the index providers who offer alternatively<br />

weighted indices think that they’re significantly<br />

altering the risk characteristics. In fact, they’re looking to<br />

kind of keep with the investment objectives of the category<br />

as a whole, but to represent it differently.<br />

Srikant Dash, Managing Director, S&P<br />

Indices, Standard & Poor’s<br />

JOI: What have the last three years taught us<br />

about the potential risks and potential benefits<br />

of alternative weighting strategies?<br />

Dash: I think the last three years have showed us that the lines<br />

between active and passive are blurring, and there’s a large<br />

shade of gray in between. In general, a minority of investors<br />

are truly passive—they believe in passive indexing. A minority<br />

of investors truly believe in active investing. A majority of<br />

investors are somewhere in between. Index products that are<br />

based on strategies or based on different weighting schemes<br />

seek to address the needs of those investors.<br />

Being in the middle region between active and passive also<br />

means that not only do you harness the benefits of both—<br />

meaning that you can have the diversification and relatively<br />

low costs of indexing—but you also have some of the factor<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

33


isks and active risks in active strategies. It’s be<strong>com</strong>e a more<br />

<strong>com</strong>plex decision for investors [as a result].<br />

JoI: Cap weighting is “the market,” but is it how we should be<br />

thinking about investing?<br />

Dash: The first thing to look for in investing is to look for how<br />

things are. That’s your frame of reference. And your frame of<br />

reference doesn’t necessarily dictate how you want to actually<br />

invest your money. So I think it’s kind of a flawed debate to<br />

have, if you are trying to correlate the frame of reference with<br />

investment choice. Despite overwhelming evidence that by<br />

investing in a passive portfolio that tracks a benchmark over<br />

long periods of time you do a lot better, the majority of investors<br />

prefer to do otherwise. That really relates to the distinction<br />

between the frame of reference and actual investments.<br />

The investment decision is not just shaped by the frame of<br />

reference; it’s shaped by asset allocation models and your belief<br />

system. And a lot of investors don’t want to settle for the market<br />

average. A lot of investors feel that they can do better than average,<br />

and that’s why they choose something other than passive. To<br />

me the debate should be about how we set our frame of reference,<br />

and how we go about investing our money. And it should<br />

be set in the broader context of investor psychology. It’s a sterile<br />

debate to make it about X benchmark versus Y benchmark.<br />

JOI: Alternatively weighted indexes have been available for some<br />

time. Why haven’t more end-users begun using them?<br />

Dash: We have a slew of alternatively weighted indexes.<br />

We have had fairly robust growth in our business in alternatively<br />

weighted indexes. We probably have $1.5 billion to<br />

$2 billion in our factor-weight indexes, about $5 billion to<br />

$6 billion in our dividend-weighted indexes and half a billion<br />

dollars in our liquidity-weighted indexes; probably $7<br />

billion to $8 billion in our equal weight indexes and benchmark.<br />

It’s a small part of our business, but it’s a meaningful<br />

and growing part of our business.<br />

JOI: Why is cap weighting so entrenched? What is its appeal<br />

to investors?<br />

Dash: It’s a frame of reference. At the end of the day, as I said<br />

before, one needs to figure out the frame of reference and the<br />

actual investments. The actual investments are influenced by<br />

a number of factors, investor psychology being one of them.<br />

[Also] the marketing of financial products earlier: In general, the<br />

industry markets products where it makes the most money. And<br />

frankly, nonmarket-cap-weighted products are higher-margin<br />

products for all of us in the industry, just like actively managed<br />

funds are higher-margin products for fund providers.<br />

Again, it’s really important to know the distinction between<br />

the frame of reference and actual investments. One could have<br />

a particular frame of reference, but the investments may be<br />

shaped <strong>com</strong>pletely different than the frame of reference.<br />

JOI: What makes a weighting methodology superior? Is it just<br />

performance?<br />

Dash: Arguing weighting by factor A versus weighting by factor<br />

B is like arguing my investment strategy is better than<br />

somebody else’s investment strategy. At the end of the day,<br />

the investor starts to evaluate these alternative-weighted<br />

indexes, just like they would evaluate active managers. What is<br />

the investment philosophy? What are the risk exposures? And<br />

what are the chances that these exposures pay off? This is a<br />

little bit like one of those sterile debates.<br />

JOI: In an era of rising correlations, can diversifying your weighting<br />

methodology have any beneficial effect on portfolio performance<br />

statistics?<br />

Dash: I would run a thousand miles away from anyone who<br />

is making a case for diversifying a portfolio simply by picking<br />

the weights within an asset class. Whoever is making that<br />

case is just selling product. The time-honored and tested way<br />

of diversifying a portfolio over long periods of time is to give<br />

exposure to multiple asset classes. It’s clear that the <strong>com</strong>prehensive<br />

majority of one’s returns <strong>com</strong>es from asset allocation<br />

across asset classes. They don’t <strong>com</strong>e from particular investment<br />

strategies within an asset class.<br />

Frank Nielsen, Executive Director and<br />

Head of Applied and Index Research, MSCI<br />

JOI: What has the last three years taught us<br />

about the potential risks and potential benefits<br />

of alternative weighting strategies?<br />

Nielsen: I’m not sure if the last three years taught us anything<br />

different from what we’ve learned in previous years.<br />

Alternative weighting can mean lots of different things.<br />

At one extreme is capital or capitalization, which is the<br />

standard. [The other] extreme would be equal weighted,<br />

where one would end up with a very heavy weight in small<br />

caps. And an alternative [to those two] would be what are<br />

now known as fundamentally weighted indices, where one<br />

weights individual securities based on the underlying fundamentals;<br />

[the fundamentally weighted indices] tend to have<br />

strong value and small-cap biases, and often high dividends.<br />

Also, in the last couple of years, risk-weighted alternative<br />

weighting schemes have <strong>com</strong>e up, including minimum variance,<br />

or minimum volatility indices.<br />

They all try to capture something different. The cap<br />

weighted clearly has the largest capacity [for investment]—<br />

it’s reflecting the market assessment of the value of individual<br />

securities. This is also extremely cost efficient to implement,<br />

so it has many advantages.<br />

With regard to fundamentally weighted indexes, there are<br />

all kinds of alternative indexes, and how one wants to define<br />

fundamentals can vary. But I think they all basically have the<br />

<strong>com</strong>mon characteristics of small-cap and value bias. They<br />

have less capacity, but it’s still pretty good—certainly more<br />

than an equal-weighted index.<br />

What we saw during the crisis clearly was that value had<br />

a terrible period relative to its long-term average. Valuerelated<br />

<strong>com</strong>panies and indices underperformed the market,<br />

34<br />

January / February 2011


which in itself didn’t perform well. That really highlighted<br />

that value-oriented or fundamentally weighted indices are<br />

not an investment that will consistently and always do better<br />

than a simple cap-weighted index.<br />

With these alternative weighting schemes, you are basically<br />

making a bet on certain risk premia that have been identified<br />

in academia, as well as in empirical research. Those risk<br />

premia may go through cycles, or may disappear altogether.<br />

If you look back in time, there are these cycles where value<br />

was done very well, and then there are other cycles where<br />

value hasn’t done well relative to growth <strong>com</strong>panies.<br />

Finally, the risk-weighted indexes are sort of the most recent<br />

addition. Their capacity is not as good as that of cap-weighted<br />

indices, but similar to fundamentally weighted indices. And<br />

certainly the ones that focus on low risk have a bias towards<br />

low-risk or low-beta <strong>com</strong>panies. They behave very differently<br />

depending on the cycle you are in and have consistently lower<br />

risk than any of the other indices we discussed. They also tend<br />

to do very well in periods where the markets tank—they did<br />

extremely well during the financial crisis, as well as when the<br />

Internet bubble burst. These volatility-weighted indices have<br />

benefits in down markets, but again, you are betting on low<br />

volatility, and low volatility stocks will not always do well.<br />

JoI: Cap weighting is “the market,” but is it how we should be<br />

thinking about investing?<br />

Nielsen: It’s super-cheap, efficient, low turnover, And there’s<br />

very little proof that you can consistently outperform it.<br />

And even though the market is wrong at certain times, it’s<br />

always difficult to figure out when the market is wrong or<br />

right. Therefore, many people still believe that whatever the<br />

market price of a security, that’s the best assessment of the<br />

<strong>com</strong>pany’s value you can get.<br />

If you don’t agree, then there are all these alternatives.<br />

Then you can basically buy growth indices, value indices,<br />

small-cap indices—but you’re basically making an assessment<br />

that there is a mispricing in the market that you can<br />

identify and then benefit from.<br />

JOI: What makes a leading methodology superior? Is it just<br />

performance?<br />

Nielsen: I think a strong motivation for the development of<br />

alternatively weighted indices has been performance. And a<br />

large chunk of the marketing of the existing ones is driven by<br />

performance arguments.<br />

Some try to <strong>com</strong>e up with academic explanations, or<br />

theoretical explanations, and a lot of them use also empirical<br />

data. The issue with empirical data is that you’re always<br />

looking at a relatively short period of time. Even if it’s 20<br />

years, it may not be sufficient. But I think what many of these<br />

alternative-weighted indices are really doing is they try to<br />

capture well-established risk premiums.<br />

If you believe that this risk premia exists, then it be<strong>com</strong>es a<br />

question of how to best get exposure to these risk premia.<br />

JOI: In an era of rising correlations, can diversifying your weighting<br />

methodology have any beneficial effect on portfolio performance<br />

statistics?<br />

Nielsen: If correlations really increase very significantly, like<br />

they did during the financial crisis, it doesn’t really make<br />

much of a difference. Let’s say you were invested in the world<br />

and you just used different weighting schemes for developed<br />

markets: It didn’t really make much of a difference if you were<br />

equal weighted, cap weighted, alternatively weighted. It may<br />

have made a difference insofar as instead of losing 40 percent,<br />

you may have lost 45 percent or 38 percent, but it wasn’t<br />

giving you a 15 percent loss relative to a 40 percent loss. In<br />

financial crises, usually correlations increase significantly.<br />

I think for some crises, these low-risk strategies, or<br />

low-risk alternatively weighted indices really offer a better<br />

alternative. Your investment is still going down, though.<br />

Our minimum volatility index in ’08 outperformed the capweighted<br />

one by roughly 15 percent or so. It still was down,<br />

but it went down significantly less. But again, it will give you<br />

also very different performance in big up-markets. It’s not<br />

always superior by any stretch of imagination, but it’s a specific<br />

strategy that will help protect you on the downside.<br />

Chris Woods, Managing Director,<br />

Governance & Policy, FTSE Group<br />

JOI: What have the last three years taught us<br />

about the potential risks, and the potential<br />

benefits of alternative weighting strategies?<br />

Woods: I think they’ve taught us that these are a useful<br />

<strong>com</strong>plement to traditional cap-weighted strategies. They’re<br />

particularly beneficial in the aftermath of bubbles: They perform<br />

well when cap-weighted indices are be<strong>com</strong>ing less concentrated,<br />

but conversely they underperform cap-weighted<br />

indices when those be<strong>com</strong>e more concentrated.<br />

JOI: Alternatively weighted indexes have been available for some<br />

time. Why haven’t more end-users begun using them?<br />

Woods: In part because cap-weighted indices are deeply<br />

entrenched, they have stood the test of time and are subject<br />

to relatively lower transaction costs and rebalancing costs.<br />

And in part, because I think many potential users still don’t<br />

understand the rationale behind alternative weighting, and<br />

are reluctant to move away from the tried and tested until<br />

there’s a greater groundswell of acceptance.<br />

JOI: Why is cap weighting so entrenched? What is its appeal to<br />

investors?<br />

Woods: These indices are relatively easy to construct, and<br />

relatively easy to manage investment portfolios against. And<br />

theoretically they have a degree of backing from the capital<br />

asset pricing model that suggests that the optimal portfolio<br />

in a risk/reward sense is the cap-weighted portfolio.<br />

continued on page 48<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

35


Core Vs. Blend<br />

Index investing in the middle<br />

By David M. Blanchett<br />

36<br />

January / February 2011


While Value and Growth investing styles are typically<br />

purely defined, the “middle” style tends to be more<br />

subjective. Most indexes that seek to track the<br />

middle style are typically “Blend,” whereby they hold stocks<br />

that are considered both Value and Growth. This approach<br />

implies that investing in the “middle,” or Core, is not worthwhile<br />

and that an aggregated Blend approach is enough. In<br />

order to determine if Core is a worthwhile investing style,<br />

the historical performance differences of the domestic equity<br />

Morningstar Large Cap Core, Mid Cap Core and Small Cap Core<br />

are <strong>com</strong>pared against the performance of the Morningstar<br />

Blend indexes and the Russell indexes (which are also Blend)<br />

on a return and market-factor-adjusted basis. The results of<br />

the analysis suggest that while the outperformance of Core<br />

over Blend is not statistically significant, Core indexes have<br />

historically outperformed Blend indexes on a return and<br />

market-factor-adjusted basis, with slightly less risk.<br />

Investing In Style<br />

The concept of investing in styles is not new. In 1934<br />

Graham and Dodd documented the superior performance<br />

of strategies that invest in high-dividend yield stocks in the<br />

U.S. This gave rise to what has be<strong>com</strong>e known as the value<br />

style (although it’s likely had different names through time).<br />

In 1977 a study published by S. Basu documented that low<br />

P/E stocks had historically outperformed large-cap stocks in<br />

the U.S. by a margin that could not be explained by conventional<br />

measures of risk. Similarly, in 1981 a study published<br />

in the Journal of Financial Economics by Rolf Banz documented<br />

that small-cap stocks had historically outperformed large-cap<br />

stocks in the U.S. by a margin that could not be explained<br />

by conventional measures of risk. This was followed by a<br />

number of other papers, perhaps most notably research by<br />

Fama and French [1992] that indentified risk factors that are<br />

highly correlated with long-term historical returns, namely<br />

<strong>com</strong>pany size and value orientation.<br />

The findings of Basu, Banz and other researchers that followed<br />

gave rise to the concept of the “Style Box” introduced<br />

by Morningstar in 1993. The equity Style Box is a nine-square<br />

grid that classifies securities by market capitalization along<br />

the vertical axis and by value and growth characteristics<br />

along the horizontal axis and has be<strong>com</strong>e perhaps the<br />

most <strong>com</strong>monly utilized method of categorizing U.S. equity<br />

mutual funds. Morningstar’s equity style methodology uses a<br />

“building block,” holdings-based approach that is consistent<br />

with Morningstar’s fundamental approach to investment<br />

research. Style is first determined at the stock level and then<br />

those attributes are “rolled up” to determine the overall<br />

investment style of a fund or portfolio.<br />

The importance of style investing can be witnessed in the<br />

naming methodology utilized by many U.S. fund <strong>com</strong>panies<br />

that call funds “Mid-Cap Growth” or “Small Value,” etc., to<br />

inform the potential investors of the target equity exposure<br />

of the fund. Style groups, such as those used by Morningstar<br />

in its fund categories, have be<strong>com</strong>e the primary peer groups<br />

for mutual fund <strong>com</strong>parison purposes and funds that have<br />

performed well historically (e.g., are “5 star” funds within<br />

their respective Morningstar categories, etc.) tend to feature<br />

such information prominently in sales materials. Morningstar<br />

even implicitly recognized the importance of rating funds<br />

within specific styles versus broad groups when it changed<br />

its Star Rating system in 2002.<br />

Core Vs. Blend<br />

A variety of <strong>com</strong>panies such as Dow Jones, 1 Morningstar,<br />

MSCI, S&P and Russell have developed indexes that track<br />

the performance of the various domestic equity styles<br />

(i.e., the <strong>com</strong>plete style box). While it is impossible to<br />

directly invest in an index, there are a variety of ways an<br />

investor can obtain those market exposures, e.g., through<br />

an index mutual fund or ETF. The methodologies across<br />

index providers, though, can differ materially. These<br />

differences can result in varying market exposures and<br />

varying returns, something that has been documented by<br />

Israelsen [2007], among others.<br />

While market capitalization is a relatively straightforward<br />

way to determine a stock’s relative total value, it<br />

be<strong>com</strong>es more <strong>com</strong>plex when considering things like free<br />

float, whereby the number of shares outstanding are adjusted<br />

based on those available for trading. However, there is<br />

considerably more disagreement about what makes a stock<br />

“Value” or “Growth” than its respective market capitalization,<br />

which is why providers use varying methodologies to<br />

make the distinction. For example, the Dow Jones methodology<br />

uses “six intuitive fundamental factors” to determine<br />

whether a stock is Value or Growth, and then determines<br />

the aggregate style score by measuring a stock’s “Euclidian<br />

distance” from the growth and value seeds. S&P uses three<br />

factors to measure Growth and four factors to measure<br />

Value, while Morningstar has a 10-factor model that assigns<br />

a 50 percent weighting to forward-looking estimates and a<br />

50 percent weighting to historical values. Once a stock has<br />

been categorized as Value or Growth, it is then allocated<br />

to the respective index accordingly, and even here, the<br />

methodologies can vary. For example, Russell uses a “nonlinear<br />

probability” method to assign stocks to the Growth<br />

and Value style indexes.<br />

For each of the major providers, Value and Growth tend<br />

to be well-defined, but the “middle” is not. The middle is<br />

typically identified with “Blend,” which represents that market-capitalization-weighted<br />

proxy for all the stocks within<br />

Figure 1<br />

Value<br />

Differences In ‘Middle’ Large Portfolios:<br />

Morningstar Large Core, Russell 1000, And S&P 500<br />

Morningstar Large Core Russell 1000 S&P 500<br />

Large Mid Small<br />

Blend Growth Value Blend Growth Value Blend Growth<br />

Source: Morningstar<br />

Large Mid Small<br />

Large Mid Small<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

37


that given size range. In contrast, Morningstar utilizes<br />

an approach where stocks are assigned to three different<br />

“buckets”: Growth, Core and Value, with “Core” representing<br />

stocks that are not identified strongly with either the<br />

Growth or Value categories. This differs from most providers<br />

in that the “middle” style is viewed as a distinct investing<br />

style, not simply the market capitalization <strong>com</strong>bination<br />

of all the stocks in the style. Morningstar’s Core approach<br />

results in a much more precisely defined “middle” style, as<br />

is depicted in Figure 1. Note how the dispersion around the<br />

centroid, or weighted average size and style exposure of<br />

the index, is considerably less than the Russell 1000 or S&P<br />

500, indexes which are both Blend, rather than Core.<br />

Analysis<br />

An analysis was performed in order to determine whether<br />

Core represents a more advantageous method to invest in<br />

the “middle.” For the analysis, Morningstar’s Core indexes<br />

are used as the proxy for Core, while Morningstar’s Blend<br />

indexes and the Russell indexes are used as proxies for<br />

the Blend approach. Morningstar Core was the only Core<br />

approach considered for the analysis. While it would be<br />

possible to synthetically create other Core indexes, such as<br />

by synthetically creating an S&P Core index based on those<br />

securities excluded from either the S&P Pure Growth Index<br />

or S&P Pure Value Index (since these remaining stocks,<br />

which would be 34 percent of the S&P 500 Index, would be<br />

considered Core), only Morningstar Core is used because<br />

it is the only Core strategy currently available as an investment<br />

(via a family of iShares ETFs). Two definitions of Blend<br />

are included. The Morningstar Blend indexes were selected<br />

since they have the most similar underlying construction<br />

methodology and factors as the Morningstar Core indexes.<br />

The Russell indexes were selected to represent Blend as<br />

well since they are the most widely known for benchmarking<br />

in the investment industry.<br />

Monthly returns for the respective indexes were obtained<br />

from Morningstar Direct. Two tests are performed based on<br />

monthly returns over the longest period of data available at<br />

the time of the analysis, from July 1, 1997 to May 31, 2010. For<br />

both tests, the monthly return of the Blend benchmark index<br />

(either Morningstar Blend or Russell) is subtracted from the<br />

return of the respective Core index (Morningstar Core) over<br />

the entire time period. This type of analysis is most similar to<br />

a two-sample t-test assuming unequal variances.<br />

The first test <strong>com</strong>pares the raw performance for the two<br />

Figure 2<br />

Average Historical Monthly Returns, July 1997 - May 2010<br />

Morningstar Core Morningstar Blend Russell<br />

Large Mid Small Large Mid Small Large Mid Small<br />

Geomean 0.29% 0.51% 0.64% 0.19% 0.47% 0.47% 0.27% 0.56% 0.38%<br />

Std Dev 4.53% 5.35% 5.96% 4.76% 5.39% 6.11% 4.83% 5.37% 6.19%<br />

Source: Morningstar Direct<br />

Figure 3<br />

Correlations<br />

Source: Morningstar Direct<br />

Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap<br />

MCore MBlend R1000 MCore MBlend RMid MCore MBlend R2000<br />

MCore 1.00 0.94 0.93<br />

MBlend 0.94 1.00 0.99<br />

R1000 0.94 0.99 1.00<br />

MCore 1.00 0.95 0.92<br />

MBlend 0.95 1.00 0.99<br />

RMid 0.93 0.99 1.00<br />

MCore 1.00 0.98 0.93<br />

MBlend 0.98 1.00 0.98<br />

R2000 0.94 0.98 1.00<br />

Figure 4<br />

Monthly Returns Test: Morningstar Core vs. Morningstar Blend July 1997 - May 2010<br />

Raw Return Difference<br />

Replicating Portfolio Alpha Difference<br />

Large Mid Small Large Mid Small<br />

Geomean 0.08% 0.02% 0.15% 0.04% 0.00% 0.11%<br />

Std Dev 1.60% 1.70% 1.30% 1.34% 1.24% 0.98%<br />

t-stat 0.62 0.13 1.44 0.36 -0.05 1.42<br />

Source: Morningstar Direct<br />

38<br />

January / February 2011


strategies. Past research by Blanchett [2010] has noted that<br />

indexes have varying factor exposures that have a significant<br />

impact on performance. For the second test, the returns of<br />

each index are <strong>com</strong>pared against a market-factor-adjusted<br />

portfolio, and then to each other. The market-factor-adjusted<br />

portfolio was determined based on a single four-factor (i.e.,<br />

Carhart) regression over the entire period of monthly returns.<br />

This approach removes any potential tilts an index may have<br />

that would skew its raw performance (e.g., it has a Small tilt<br />

and/or Value tilt). All data for the beta factors, as well as the<br />

risk-free rate, was obtained from Kenneth French’s website.<br />

For the four-factor regression, the excess return of the<br />

index (which is defined as the return of the index for the<br />

month minus the risk-free rate for the month) is regressed<br />

against a Market <strong>Beta</strong> factor (defined as the return on the<br />

market minus the risk-free rate); a Value factor (or HML,<br />

defined as the return on Value stocks minus the return on<br />

Growth stocks); a Size factor (or SMB, defined as the return<br />

on Small stocks minus the return on Big stocks); and a<br />

Momentum factor (based on the six value-weight portfolios<br />

formed on size and prior two- to 12-month returns, the average<br />

return on the two high prior-return portfolios minus the<br />

average return on the two low prior-return portfolios). The<br />

four-factor regression equation is:<br />

R index<br />

– R f<br />

= A index<br />

+ B index<br />

(R market<br />

– R f<br />

) + B SMB<br />

(SMB) +<br />

B HML<br />

(HML) + B MOM<br />

(Momentum) + E asset<br />

Where R index<br />

is the return on the index, R f<br />

is the risk-free rate,<br />

A index<br />

is the alpha of the index, B index<br />

is the index’s beta with<br />

respect to the market, R market<br />

is the return of the market, B SMB<br />

is<br />

the index’s beta with respect to the “Large” factor (SMB), B HML<br />

is the index’s beta with respect to the “Value” factor (HML),<br />

B MOM<br />

is the index’s beta with respect to the “Momentum” factor<br />

(MOM) and E asset<br />

is the error term. For those readers not<br />

familiar with the four-factor regression approach, see Fama<br />

and French [1993] and Carhart [1997].<br />

Cremers, Petajisto and Zitzewitz [2008] have noted that the<br />

standard Fama-French (three-factor) and Carhart (four-factor)<br />

regression models can produce statistically significant nonzero<br />

alphas for passive indexes primarily from the disproportionate<br />

weight the Fama-French factors place on Small Value stocks<br />

(which have performed well). While Cremers et al. introduce<br />

regression factors that outperform standard models in their<br />

paper, the traditional four-factor estimates are used for this<br />

research, due to their widespread use and acceptance.<br />

The regression factors for the nine test indexes are<br />

included in Appendix I. Note that only the Morningstar Core<br />

indexes had positive intercepts for the each of the three<br />

indexes (i.e., positive monthly alpha). Morningstar Blend<br />

had negative intercepts for Large Cap and Small Cap, while<br />

Russell had a negative intercept for Small Cap that was quite<br />

large in absolute terms, of -0.24 percent (with a t-statistic of<br />

-2.81). The R² values are higher for Morningstar Blend and<br />

Russell than for Morningstar Core. This should not be surprising<br />

given the factors are constructed using broad marketcap<br />

indexes (most similar to the Wilshire 5000) that are more<br />

similar to a Blend approach than a Core approach.<br />

Figure 5<br />

Morningstar Large Core Market-Factor-Adjusted Rolling<br />

Annual Outperformance Vs. Morningstar Large Blend<br />

Morningstar Core Rolling Risk-Adjusted<br />

Alpha vs. Morningstar Blend<br />

10%<br />

8%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

2%<br />

0%<br />

-2%<br />

-4%<br />

-6%<br />

-8%<br />

June<br />

‘98<br />

Source: Morningstar Direct<br />

Feb<br />

‘01<br />

Results<br />

The monthly geometric average performance results for<br />

the test indexes are included in Figure 2, and the correlations<br />

across capitalization groups are included in Figure 3.<br />

The Morningstar Core indexes tended to have higher average<br />

returns than the respective Morningstar Blend and Russell<br />

indexes over the test period, as well as lower risk, which<br />

is defined as the standard deviation of monthly returns.<br />

Not surprisingly, the Morningstar Core indexes were more<br />

similar to the Morningstar Blend indexes (versus the Russell<br />

indexes), given their similar construction methodology. Also,<br />

not surprisingly, the Morningstar Blend indexes were more<br />

similar to the Russell indexes (versus the Morningstar Core<br />

indexes), since both represent “Blend” styles of investing.<br />

Figure 4 contains information regarding the statistical<br />

significance of the differences in the monthly returns<br />

for the Morningstar Core indexes versus the Morningstar<br />

Blend indexes on both a raw return basis and on a marketfactor-adjusted<br />

basis. The Morningstar Core indexes outperformed<br />

each of the three Blend indexes on a raw return<br />

basis, although none of the t-statistics were statistically<br />

significant. The outperformance of the Morningstar Core<br />

indexes over the Morningstar Blend indexes is less on a<br />

market-factor-adjusted basis because the indexes have<br />

varying “tilts” that have been corrected for. For example,<br />

the Morningstar Large Core Index is slightly more valueoriented<br />

than the Morningstar Large Blend Index, which<br />

contributes positively to its raw return outperformance.<br />

However, although the Morningstar Core outperformed<br />

Morningstar Blend on a factor-adjusted basis for all three<br />

capitalization groups, the outperformance wasn’t significant<br />

at the 5 percent level.<br />

Figure 5 shows the Morningstar Large Core market-factoradjusted<br />

rolling annual performance versus Morningstar<br />

Large Blend for the entire test period. Note that while the<br />

aggregate average is positive, there are significant variations<br />

during the test period.<br />

Figure 6 contains information regarding the statistical<br />

continued on page 49<br />

Nov<br />

‘03<br />

Aug<br />

‘06<br />

May<br />

‘09<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011 39


Benchmarking<br />

Microfinance Equity Investments<br />

Indexes for a developing asset class<br />

By Peter Wall<br />

40<br />

January / February 2011


Microfinance, generally understood to mean the provision<br />

of financial services (particularly microloans)<br />

to poor people in developing economies, is increasingly<br />

attracting international institutional investor attention<br />

as an alternative asset investment opportunity, particularly<br />

as a socially responsible and financially attractive way to<br />

promote human well-being. The California State Teachers’<br />

Retirement System’s (CalSTRS) proposal to include microfinance<br />

as an eligible asset in its alternative assets allocation<br />

is just one recent example of this trend. 1<br />

Yet there has been no consistent measure of performance<br />

of equity invested in the providers of microfinance. This article<br />

outlines the growing need for such measures and the approach<br />

used to create the first indexes for this new asset category—the<br />

WSAS Microfinance Institutions Shareholder Value Indexes.<br />

The Evolution Of Microfinance Institutions 2<br />

Specialized financial institutions that provide microfinance<br />

services, generically called ”microfinance institutions”<br />

(MFIs), arose from humanitarian efforts to meet the financial<br />

needs—principally the credit needs—of very poor people in<br />

developing economies. Grameen Bank in Bangladesh is one<br />

widely recognized name in this regard.<br />

MFIs take many possible legal forms, including nonprofit,<br />

nongovernmental organizations (NGOs); member-owned<br />

cooperatives/credit unions; nonbank financial institutions;<br />

and licensed, deposit-taking banks, with the latter two forms<br />

most <strong>com</strong>monly being shareholder-owned.<br />

Experience has shown that MFIs, to be truly effective in<br />

the long term in meeting the needs of their <strong>com</strong>munities,<br />

need to be financially self-sustaining; that is, they need to<br />

produce a financial surplus to their operating and funding<br />

costs. And to truly scale up operations, they need to tap <strong>com</strong>mercial<br />

sources of funding; in particular, equity finance.<br />

Equity Investment In MFIs 3<br />

While there were several far-sighted institutional equity<br />

investors in MFIs before 1995, the period since 2004 has<br />

seen the start of a boom of equity investment in MFIs that<br />

shows signs of only accelerating.<br />

Investments in specialized funds and investment vehicles<br />

are the principal channels for this. A survey of the microfinance<br />

funds industry by the MFI rating and information<br />

services <strong>com</strong>pany MicroRate, using 2008 data for 68 microfinance<br />

investment vehicles (MIVs) 4 —which invest the pooled<br />

assets of multiple investors with MFIs—found that such MIVs<br />

had about $490 million in equity investments, <strong>com</strong>pared with<br />

about $78 million in equity from specialized MIVs in 2005.<br />

The Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP), using<br />

different definitions of MIVs/investors (including development<br />

finance institutions not covered by MicroRate), found<br />

about $1.5 billion invested by the end of 2008. This <strong>com</strong>pares<br />

with CGAP’s findings of $370 million at the end of 2006.<br />

There are a number of reasons for this trend, including:<br />

VËË0jË ajÄÍÁ?ÍjaË ?aË jaÖÁ~Ë ~aË ÁjÍÖÁË Ë jÖÍßË<br />

(ROE) performance of high-profile MFIs—top-quartile performers<br />

turning in annual ROE of around 20 percent; 5<br />

VËË0jË ÜjÁßË ¬ÄÍÜjË ¬ÖMWÍßË ÄÖÁÁÖa~Ë WÁw?WjË<br />

and “Bottom of the Pyramid” business opportunities<br />

in developing economies, such as the UN’s Year of<br />

Microcredit (2005), the awarding of the Nobel Peace<br />

Prize to Dr. Muhammad Yunus and Grameen Bank<br />

(2006), and the favorable feature articles on MFI results<br />

in Forbes magazine (2007); 6<br />

VËË0jËÄÖWWjÄÄËwËÍ?ˬÖMWËÄÍWËwwjÁ~ÄËMßË ÄËÄÖWË<br />

as Compartamos Banco and Financiera Independencia<br />

(Mexico, 2007); and<br />

VËË0jË~ÁÝ~ËjÖÍßËW?¬Í?ËjjaÄËwË ÄË®?ÄËjÄÍ?MÄjaË<br />

ones grow, new ones are launched, and nonprofits are<br />

“transformed” into shareholder types), resulting in<br />

larger investment opportunities.<br />

Further, studies have indicated that the recent financial<br />

results of MFIs’ operations tend to be largely insulated from<br />

domestic economic downturns. Moreover, their financial<br />

results have been largely uncorrelated to traditional asset<br />

classes, suggesting MFI equity investments can help diversify<br />

the sources of risk and return for broad-based portfolios. 7<br />

The microfinance-specific trends have been supported by<br />

broader trends in the capital markets. Microfinance opportunities<br />

exist as a bridge of two traditional asset classes—<br />

emerging markets and private equity—and both of those<br />

market segments have been performing very well recently.<br />

In short, it seems equity investors could “do well while<br />

doing good” by investing in carefully selected MFIs—or<br />

simply do well financially, if doing good wasn’t an investment<br />

requirement. Their experiences in emerging markets<br />

public and private equity make them willing to dip their<br />

toes in the MFI equity pool.<br />

Yet the performance of funds—particularly when active<br />

investment decisions are involved—presents some problems if<br />

you are looking to use the data as a way to measure an asset category’s<br />

performance or to make asset allocation decisions. Fund<br />

performance reflects the impacts of effects like fund manager<br />

selection risk, “cash drag” and funds closing to new investment.<br />

Also, with microfinance equity investing in particular, there is<br />

a very small set of funds with very short operating histories.<br />

Microfinance equity investment needs a benchmark of the performance<br />

of the ultimate source of fund performance; in other<br />

words, indexes of MFI equity performance.<br />

Benchmarking MFIs’<br />

‘Shareholder Value’ Performance<br />

The Wall’s Street Advisor Services MFI Shareholder Value<br />

Indexes (WSAS MFI SVIX) are the first sample-consistent<br />

measures of changes over time in the value of shareholders’<br />

investments in the equity of a broad sample of microfinance<br />

institutions. No other such measures exist.<br />

The WSAS MFI SVIX consist of a series of annual “Vintage<br />

Indexes” that measure changes to shareholders’ value by<br />

year of inception of their investment in a set of MFIs), and a<br />

Composite Index that blends investment results across the<br />

annual Vintage Indexes.<br />

The MFIs selected for inclusion in the indexes are<br />

screened for investor equity investment activity, financial<br />

transparency and geographic spread, all characteristics of<br />

interest to investors.<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

41


Figure 1<br />

Illustration: Determining Shareholder Value (SV) - Results For One MFI’s Investor Vintages 2004 & 2005<br />

Step 1: Assemble basic MFI financial data<br />

Items End 2004<br />

Transactions<br />

during 2005<br />

End 2005<br />

Notes on Items<br />

Capital increase from New Investor in<br />

Total Shareholder Capital $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 2005 @ 2x 2004 book value = creation<br />

of Investor Vintage 2005<br />

Shares in issue 100 100 200<br />

+ Net In<strong>com</strong>e in 2005 $200 $200<br />

= Total Book Value Equity 2005 $3,200<br />

+ Cash dividend pd. from 2004 $100 $100<br />

= Total Shareholder Value $1,000 $3,300<br />

Step 2: Apportion Shareholder Value among Investor Vintages (IVs)<br />

IV 2004’s Book Value $1,000 $1,600<br />

IV 2004 diluted to 50% ownership<br />

via capital increase<br />

Shares owned 100 100<br />

+ Cash dividend received $50.00 Assumes half of annual cash dividend<br />

IV 2004’s SV at end-2005 $1,000.00 $1,650.00<br />

Increase due to new capital, earnings,<br />

& cash dividend<br />

Change in IV 2004’s SV in 2005 $650.00<br />

IV 2005’s Shareholder Value<br />

Shares owned Expansion 0 100 100<br />

IV 2005 buys 50% of MFI via capital<br />

increase<br />

Capital paid-in $2,000.00<br />

Total Cash dividend received $50 Assumes half of annual cash dividend<br />

IV 2005’s SV end-2005 $1,650<br />

= 50% share of MFI 2005 Book Value +<br />

cash dividend received<br />

Step 3: Calculate Changes in Investor Vintages’ SV & Composite Results - 2005<br />

IV 2004 65.0%<br />

$1,000 in capital produced $1,650<br />

Shareholder Value by end-2005<br />

IV 2005 -17.5%<br />

$2,000 in capital produced $1,650<br />

Shareholder Value by end-2005<br />

$3,000 in capital produced $3,300<br />

Composite Result 10.0%<br />

Shareholder Value by end-2005<br />

Source: Wall’s Street Advisor Services<br />

The MFI Shareholder Value Indexes<br />

The basic steps involved in the construction of the<br />

WSAS MFI Shareholder Value Indexes are measuring “MFI<br />

Shareholder Value,” selecting MFIs for the indexes’ coverage,<br />

grouping MFIs’ shareholders’ investments into “Investor<br />

Vintages” by the period in which their investments are first<br />

made, and measuring changes in Shareholder Value among<br />

the Investor Vintages to generate index levels.<br />

‘MFI Shareholder Value’ Terms Defined<br />

WSAS uses “Shareholder Value” in the classic sense, as a<br />

measure of financial value. It considers the total accumulation<br />

of value (or loss) an investment generates for investors.<br />

For index purposes, “Shareholder Value” can be summarized<br />

as the cumulative result of the cash flows that equity<br />

investors in an MFI experience in a period, with book value<br />

owned at the end of any particular period as the “terminal<br />

value” for the period.<br />

In the context of the principally private equity investing<br />

approach used for MFI investment, equity investors’ outflows<br />

consist of initial negotiated buy-in prices, and subscriptions<br />

to capital increases—typically rights issues for current shareholders<br />

or capital expansions, but also negotiated purchases<br />

from other current shareholders representing shifts in ownership<br />

between Investor Vintages.<br />

Equity investors’ inflows are determined by:<br />

42<br />

January / February 2011


Figure 2<br />

Eligible MFI Investor Vintages, By Year (Where 0 = The Base Investor Vintage For The Year*)<br />

MFI Selection Year MFI SVIX Index 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

2005 2005<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5<br />

2006 2006<br />

0 1 2 3 4<br />

2007 2007<br />

0 1 2 3<br />

2008 2008<br />

0 1 2<br />

2009 2009<br />

0 1<br />

2010 2010<br />

0<br />

Composite<br />

All Investor Vintages, in order of inclusion<br />

How to read this table: The Investor Vintages formed during a year belong to the MFI SVIX annual index in the period they are created,<br />

no matter the MFI’s Selection Year. For instance, the MFI SVIX 2009 (light blue) contains the 2009 results of all Investor Vintages formed in<br />

2008, from all MFIs selected for 2009 and all prior periods (indicated in the 2008 light blue column).<br />

Source: Wall’s Street Advisor Services<br />

*Not all MFIs will add a new Investor Vintage every year, so Investor Vintage numbers used here are for illustrative purposes only.<br />

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?ÁjË WÄÍÁÖWÍjaË »MßË ßj?Á¼Ë ßÇË ÍjÄjË ajÞjÄË W?Ë ßË MjË<br />

Ö¬a?ÍjaË WjË ¬jÁË ßj?Á±Ë ÖÍÖÁjË ¬ÁÜjjÍÄË Ë Ë aÄ-<br />

WÄÖÁj^Ë jÞÍja~Ë ÍË ajÍ?jaË Äj?Ö?Ë ?aÊÁË Ö?ÁÍjÁßË<br />

¬ÖMWËÄÍ?ÍjjÍÄ^ËÝË?ÝËÍjËÄjÁjÄËÍËMjˬÁaÖWjaËÁjË<br />

wÁjÖjÍßË?aËËwjÁËajÍ?±Ë<br />

Selecting MFIs For Index Inclusion:<br />

The MFI Selection Year Concept<br />

ÄË jÍjaË j?ÁjÁ^Ë ÄË Í?jË ?ßË j~?Ë wÁÄ^Ë ?aË<br />

?Ë Í?MjË wj?ÍÖÁjË wË ÍjË aÖÄÍÁßË ÄË Í?ÍË jÝË Ä?ÁjajÁ<br />

M?ÄjaËÄÍÍÖÍÄË?ÁjËMj~ËWÁj?ÍjaË?ËÍjËÍj^ËÁË?ÁjËMj~Ë<br />

ÍÁ?ÄwÁjaËwÁË!#ÄËÍËÄ?Ája~ËjÍÍjıËË?aaÍ^Ë<br />

?ßË ÄË ?ÜjË ~Ë ~ÁÝÍË Á?ÍjÄË ?aË ÁjÖÁjË ?aaÍ?Ë<br />

jÖÍßËW?¬Í?ËÍˬÁÖajÍ?ßËÄÖÄÍ?ËÄÖWË~ÁÝͱË<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

43


Figure 3<br />

Establishing MFI SVIX Annual Vintage Results<br />

Source: Wall’s Street Advisor Services<br />

Note: For illustrative purposes only - not actual data or results.<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Vintage 2005 MFI Shareholder Values - Base Period 2004<br />

MFI 1 S 0 V $ $100.0 $100.0 $100.0 $100.0 $100.0<br />

MFI 2 S 0 V $ $200.0 $240.0 $288.0 $345.6 $414.7<br />

MFI 3 S 0 V $ $300.0 $300.0 $300.0 $300.0 $300.0<br />

V2005 SV $ $600.0 $640.0 $688.0 $745.6 $814.7<br />

MFI SVIX 2005 - Index levels 100.00 106.67 114.67 124.27 135.79<br />

MFI SVIX 2005 - Index’s annual results 0.0% 6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 9.3%<br />

Vintage 2006 MFI Shareholder Values - Base Period 2005<br />

MFI 1 S 1 V $ $100.0 $100.0 $100.0 $100.0<br />

MFI 2 S 1 V $ $100.0 $120.0 $144.0 $172.8<br />

MFI 3 S 1 V $ $200.0 $300.0 $300.0 $300.0<br />

MFI 4 S 0 V $ $100.0 $100.0 $100.0 $100.0<br />

MFI 5 S 0 V $ $200.0 $240.0 $288.0 $345.6<br />

MFI 6 S 0 V $ $300.0 $300.0 $300.0 $300.0<br />

V2006 SV $ $1,000.0 $1,160.0 $1,232.0 $1,318.4<br />

MFI SVIX 2006 - Index levels 100.00 116.00 123.20 131.84<br />

MFI SVIX 2006 - Index’s annual results 0.0% 16.0% 6.2% 7.0%<br />

So, for the WSAS MFI SVIX to be as broad and representative<br />

as possible, MFIs are considered for inclusion in the indexes on<br />

an annual review basis. That is, every year a list of MFIs (those<br />

reporting to MIX Market, a firm that keeps track of MFI-related<br />

data) is reviewed for eligibility, and MFIs are added to coverage.<br />

For purposes of tracking when MFIs first be<strong>com</strong>e members of<br />

the index, they are grouped into an “MFI Selection Year.”<br />

For consideration for inclusion in the WSAS MFI Indexes,<br />

MFIs must have the following qualities:<br />

VËË0jßË ÖÄÍË MjË Ä?Ája~Í߬jË W¬?jÄqM?Ä^Ë<br />

! ÄËÁËÁÖÁ?ËM?ÄqÄÍjaËËÍjË 9Ë ?ÁjÍÇË<br />

VËË0jßË ÖÄÍË ?ÜjË ?Ë 9Ë ?ÁjÍË Ö?ÍßwaÄWÄÖÁjË<br />

ajÄ~?ÍËwË»|Ë?aļËÁËMjÍÍjÁqÍ?ÍËÄ^ËÍjË Ë<br />

must have issued audited financial statements for the<br />

¬jÁaËÖajÁËÁjÜjÝÇ 10<br />

VËË0jßË ÄÖaË ?ÜjË ÍÍ?Ë jÖÍßË W?¬Í?Ë Ë 2±.±Ë a?ÁË<br />

terms such that 20 percent of that amount is equal to or<br />

greater than the median amount of equity investments<br />

made in the review year, as recorded in WSAS’ database<br />

of MFI equity investments 11 (for the MFI SVIX 2005 and<br />

ÔååÉËajÞjÄ^ËÍÄË?ÖÍËÄËg|yå^ååå¯Ç<br />

VËËÍË ÍjË ÍjË wË ÁjÜjÝËwÁËWÖÄ^ËÍjË ËÄÖaË<br />

not be 95 percent or more owned by one party that<br />

has expressed or demonstrated its intention to retain<br />

Í?ÍË jÜjË wË WÍÁÇË ?aË ?ÄÄÖ~Ë ÍjË ¬ÁjWja~Ë<br />

qualifications are met,<br />

VËË+ÁjwjÁjWjËwÁË ËWÖÄÄËÝËMjË?ajËwÁˬÖÁ¬ÄjÄË<br />

of increasing the number of countries covered, maximizing<br />

the number of microcredit clients served, and<br />

representing the share-denominated MFI universe.<br />

Starting with a July 2009 qualifying universe of 378 MFIs<br />

from MIX Market’s database (with total 2005 equity capital<br />

of $1.92 billion), WSAS “screened in” 64 MFIs.<br />

2¬ËwÖÁÍjÁËajÍ?jaËÁjÜjÝËwËÍjÄjË Ä^ËÏåË ÄËÖ?fied<br />

for the MFI SVIX 2005 and 21 for the MFI SVIX 2006.<br />

Their <strong>com</strong>bined end-2005 equity capital represented about<br />

40 percent of the 378 MFI universe, making the MFI SVIX<br />

series quite representative.<br />

MFI Investor Vintages And Their Inclusions<br />

In The MFI SVIX Composite Index<br />

MFIs that are constituents in one MFI Selection Year may<br />

have shareholder value changes included in subsequent<br />

years’ MFI SVIX, if they have new Investor Vintages formed<br />

in subsequent periods.<br />

For instance, the MFI SVIX 2005 has a base period of<br />

2004. The only Investor Vintage contained in the Selection<br />

Year 2005 Index, throughout its history, will be that present<br />

at the end of 2004. An Investor Vintage formed in 2005 in<br />

MFIs from Selection Year 2005 will have its results added to<br />

the Investor Vintage 2006, and carry through in that index<br />

throughout its history. In other words, portions of an MFI’s<br />

results may be represented in several annual indexes, as<br />

Investor Vintages are formed.<br />

The MFI SVIX Composite includes all Investor Vintages’<br />

results, so all MFIs and their related Investor Vintages are<br />

carried in the SVIX Composite from when they be<strong>com</strong>e<br />

represented in any Vintage Index. The MFI SVIX Composite<br />

Index therefore represents the dollar-weighted results of all<br />

investors in all the selected MFIs.<br />

44<br />

January / February 2011


Figure 4<br />

WSAS MFI SVIX Composite Index: Calculation Elements Illustrated<br />

Source: Wall’s Street Advisor Services<br />

Note: For illustrative purposes only - not actual data or results.<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

A) V2005 SV $ $600.0 $640.0 $688.0 $745.6 $814.7<br />

% SVIX Composite 100.0% 39.0% 37.2% 37.7% 38.2%<br />

B) V2006 SV $ $1,000.0 $1,160.0 $1,232.0 $1,318.4<br />

% SVIX Composite 61.0% 62.8% 62.3% 61.8%<br />

C) MFI SVIX Composite SV$ (gross) $600.0 $1,640.0 $1,848.0 $1,977.6 $2,133.1<br />

less: period IV SV added $600.0 $1,000.0<br />

= MFI SVIX Composite SV for period – $640.0 $1,848.0 $1,977.6 $2,133.1<br />

Annual Result % 0.0% 6.7% 12.7% 7.0% 7.9%<br />

MFI SVIX Composite Index 100.00 106.67 120.20 128.62 138.74<br />

Deletions From Index Coverage<br />

MFIs may be deleted from index coverage for any of the<br />

following reasons:<br />

VËË0jË Ë?ÄË~jËÖÍËwËjÞÄÍjWjËÍÁÖ~ËjÁ~jÁËÁË<br />

M?ÁÖ¬ÍWßÇ<br />

VËË0jË ËÄËajjjaËÍË?ÜjËWj?ÄjaËMj~Ë?ËWÁw?WjË<br />

ÄÍÍÖÍËˬÁ?WÍWjÇ 12 or<br />

VËË0jË Ë?ÄËÄjÝËW?~jaËÍÄËWÁ¬Á?ÍjËwÁËwÁË<br />

a shareholder-based entity.<br />

Company And Country Exposures<br />

0jË 8..Ë Ë .79Ë ajÞjÄË ÁjW~ãjË Í?ÍË ÜjÄÍÁÄË w?WjË<br />

WÄÍÁ?ÍÄËÍ?ÍËÄÖaËMjËÁjwjWÍjaËˬjÁ?Í?ËMjW?ÁÄ^Ë<br />

MÖÍËÍ?ÍËÍjßË?ÄËÝ?ÍËÄÍÁ?Íj~WËMjW?ÁÄËÍ?ÍËWjË?ÄËWÄjË<br />

?ÄˬÄÄMjËÍËÁj¬ÁjÄjÍ~ËÍjË»?ÁjÍˬ¬ÁÍÖÍß±¼Ë<br />

ÁˬjÁ?Í?ËMjW?ÁÄ^ËÜjÄÍÁÄËÍ߬W?ßËÖÄÍËW-<br />

ÄajÁË ÍjÁË ÁjĬjWÍÜjË ¬ÁÖajÍ?Ë ®ÁË Áj~Ö?ÍÁß¯Ë aÜjÁÄwW?-<br />

ÍËjjaÄÊÁjÖÁjjÍÄ^ËÄÖWË?ÄËaÜaÖ?ËW¬?ßËjÞ¬-<br />

ÄÖÁjË ÍÄË ?aË WÖÍÁßË jÞ¬ÄÖÁjË ÍÄ±Ë #ÍjÁË ¬jÁ?Í?Ë<br />

ÁjÖÁjjÍÄË?ßËWÖajË?Þã~ËĬÁj?aËwËÜjÄÍjÍÄË<br />

?~ËÍ?Á~jÍËWÖÍÁjÄËÁËÁj~ıË<br />

ËÄÍÁ?Íj~WËMjW?Á^ËÝjÜjÁ^ËÁj¬ÁjÄjÍÄËÍjË?W?ÍË<br />

?aˬjÁwÁ?WjËwËÍjËW¬jÍjË»¬¬ÁÍÖÍßËÄjͱ¼ËwËjËÁË<br />

ÍÝË ÄËÝjÁjËÜjÁßË?Á~j^ËÁËÄÍËwËÍjËj~MjË ËjÖÍßË<br />

ÄËËa?ËÁË+jÁÖ^ËwÁËjÞ?¬j^ËÄÖWË?ËMjW?ÁËÝÖaËÍÍË<br />

ÍÝ?ÁaËÄÖWËWWjÍÁ?ÍjaËjÞ¬ÄÖÁjıË<br />

0jË8..Ë Ë.79¾ÄË Ë7Í?~jËÄjjWÍË~ÖajjÄË<br />

?ÁjË ajÄ~jaË ÍË M??WjË ÍjË ¬jÁ?Í?Ë ?aË ÄÍÁ?Íj~WË<br />

MjW?ÁËjjaÄ^ËMÖÍËÝÍË?ËW?ÍËÍËÍjËÄÍÁ?Íj~WË<br />

benchmark category.<br />

ÄËÍjËajÞËÄjÁjÄË~?ÄˬÖMWËjÞ¬ÄÖÁj^ËÖÄjÁËwjjaM?WË<br />

ÝËMjËw?WÍÁjaËÍËÍjË ËÄjjWÍË~ÖajjıËÍËÄË?ÄË<br />

¬ÄÄMjËÍ?ÍËÍjËÄjÁjÄËW?ËMjËjÞ¬?ajaËÍˬÁÜajË?ÍjÁ?-<br />

ÍÜjËj?ÄÖÁjÄ^ËWÖa~ËÄÖWËÍ~ÄË?ÄËÁj~?ËÁËWÖÍÁßË<br />

MjW?ÁÄ^Ë?aÊÁË»M??WjaËÄWÁjW?Áa¼ÄWÁjjjaË Ä±Ë<br />

Methodology For Compiling The Index Series<br />

8jË wÁÄÍË WÄajÁ~Ë ÍjË WÁj?ÍË wË ÍjË ajÞË ÄjÁjÄ^Ë<br />

8..ËÄÍ?ÁÍjaËwÁËÍÝËM?ÄWË?ÄÄÖ¬ÍÄ]<br />

VË0?ÍËajÞËÁjÄÖÍÄËÄÖaËMjËa?ÁÝj~ÍjaÇË?a<br />

VËË0?ÍË ÍjÁjË Ý?ľÍË ?Ë ÄÖwwWjÍßË ~j~Á?¬W?ßË aÜjÁÄwjaË?aËMÁ?aË»WÁÍW?Ë?ÄļËwË<br />

ËÄ?ÁjajÁËjÖÍßË<br />

ÖÍË?ÁÖaËÔååy±Ë<br />

The WSAS MFI SVIX Annual Vintage Series<br />

0jË8..Ë Ë.79Ë?Ö?Ë7Í?~jËÁjÄÖÍÄËÁj¬ÁjÄjÍË<br />

ÍjËÜ?ÖjÝj~ÍjaËW?~jÄËËÄ?ÁjajÁËÜ?ÖjËwÁËÍjË<br />

ÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jËËj?WË Ë¬ÁjÄjÍËwÁËÍjËM?ÄjËÜ?ÖjË<br />

wËÍjË Ë.jjWÍË:j?ÁË®wÁËjÝßËÄjjWÍjaË Ä¯^Ë?aË<br />

wÁËÍjËÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jÄËwÁjaËj?WËßj?ÁËË ÄËwÁË<br />

¬ÁjÜÖÄË.jjWÍË:j?Áı<br />

0jË8..Ë Ë.79ËÄjÁjÄËÄËMÖÍËwÁËÍjË.jjWÍË:j?ÁË<br />

?aËÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jÁjÄÖÍËjÜj^ËÖ¬±Ë0?ÍËÄ]Ë<br />

VËËÁÄÍ^Ë8..ËÄjjWÍÄË ÄËj?WËßj?ÁËËÍjËM?ÄÄËwËÍjË<br />

~ÖajjÄË?Áj?aßËÖÍja^Ë?a<br />

VËË0jÁj?wÍjÁ^Ë8..ËajÜj¬ÄËwÁ?ÍËËj?WË ¾ÄËÜjÄÍÁË<br />

7Í?~jË?aËÍÄˬjÁwÁ?WjËÁjÄÖÍÄ^ˬjÁaËMßˬjÁa±<br />

.^Ë wÁË ÄÍ?Wj^Ë ÍjË 8..Ë Ë .79Ë ÔååyË ®.79Ôååy¯^Ë<br />

ÝÍË?ËM?ÄjˬjÁaËwËÔåå|^ËÄËÍjËwÁÄÍË?Ö?ËajÞËÄjÁjÄ^Ë<br />

?aËßË7ÔååyË®Ôååy¾ÄË. å ˯ËÁjÄÖÍÄËÝË?wwjWÍËÍjË.79Ôååy±<br />

0jË ÁjÄÖÍÄË wË ÄÖMÄjÖjÍË ÜjÄÍÁË 7Í?~jÄË Ë ÄË<br />

ÄjjWÍjaË wÁË .79Ë WÜjÁ?~jË ?ÁjË WÖajaË Ë ÍjË ¬jÁaË ÍjË<br />

ÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jÄË?ÁjËjÄÍ?MÄja±Ë<br />

ÁËÄÍ?Wj^ËÍjËÁjÄÖÍÄËwË?ËÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jËjÄÍ?M-<br />

ÄjaË aÖÁ~Ë ÔååyË Ë ?Ë .jjWÍË :j?ÁË ÔååyË Ë ÝÖaË<br />

wÁËÍjËM?ÄjˬjÁaËÜ?ÖjËwÁËÍ?ÍË ¾ÄËÁjÄÖÍÄËWÍÁ-<br />

MÖÍË Ë ÍjË .79ÔååÉ^Ë ?aË ÍjË ¾ÄË ÜjÄÍÁË 7Í?~jË<br />

jÄÍ?MÄjaË Ë ÔååÈË ÝÖaË wÁË ÍjË M?ÄjË ¬jÁaË Ü?ÖjË<br />

wÁËÍ?ÍË ¾ÄËWÍÁMÖÍËÍËÍjË.79Ôååo¾ÄËÁjÄÖÍÄË®ÄjjË<br />

jÞ?¬jËË~ÖÁjËÔ¯±Ë<br />

~ÖÁjË ÏË ÖÄÍÁ?ÍjÄË ÝË ÍjË ÁjÄÖÍÄË wË ÜjÄÍÁË 7Í?~jÄË<br />

at the MFI level get carried into the MFI year in which the<br />

ÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jÄË?ÁjËwÁja±Ë!ÍjËÍ?ÍË ÄË!ıˤ^ËÔË?aË<br />

Ï^ËwÁË Ë.jjWÍËÔååy^Ë?ÜjËÜ?ÖjËÜÜjaËË.79ÔååÉË<br />

wÁËjÝËÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jÄË®. 1 7g¯ËwÁjaËËÔååy±Ë<br />

The WSAS MFI SVIX Composite Series<br />

0jË8..Ë Ë.79ˬÄÍjËWMjÄËÍjËÁjÄÖÍÄËwË?Ë<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

45


Figure 5<br />

WSAS MFI SVIX Series - Basic Data & Results<br />

MFI SVIX 2005<br />

Source: Wall’s Street Advisor Services<br />

*All values for the years after 2006 will change as new MFIs & annual Investor Vintages are added<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Index levels, US$ terms, end of period 100.00 145.20 203.47 431.01 408.29<br />

Number of MFIs included 30 30 30 30 30<br />

IV ‘05 Shareholder Value, USD mn. $395.08 $573.66 $803.86 $1,702.83 $1,613.08<br />

IV ‘05 SV, USD Change % 45.2% 40.1% 111.8% -5.3%<br />

MFI SVIX 2006<br />

Index levels, US$ terms, end of period 100.00 99.42 148.46 248.28<br />

Number of MFIs included 29 29 29 29<br />

IV ‘06 Shareholder Value, USD mn. end-period $204.25 $203.07 $303.23 $507.11<br />

IV ‘06 SV, USD Change % 0.0% -0.6% 49.3% 67.2%<br />

MFI SVIX Composite *<br />

Index levels, US$ terms, end of period 100.00 145.20 187.95 374.44 395.74<br />

Number of MFIs included 30 30/51 51 51 51<br />

Combined IVs’ SV, USD mn. end-period $395.08 $777.91 $1,006.93 $2,006.07 $2,120.20<br />

Combined IVs’ SV USD, Change % 0.0% 45.2% 29.4% 99.2% 5.7%<br />

Investor Vintages from all MFIs. The simplified illustration in<br />

Figure 4 uses the data from Figure 3 to show how this works.<br />

It should be pointed out that the SVIX Composite result for<br />

2006 in Figure 4 is based on the year 2005 Composite’s SV,<br />

“adding back” the $1,000 in 2005 SV arising from the addition<br />

of 2006’s base period SV.<br />

Note that V2005’s SV $’s share of the Composite’s<br />

SV at the close of 2005 was 39 percent, meaning the<br />

2006 results of V2005’s SV provides 39 percent of SVIX<br />

Composite’s 2006 result.<br />

Results From The WSAS MFI SVIX Series<br />

So far, WSAS has <strong>com</strong>piled <strong>com</strong>plete Investor Vintage data<br />

through the end of 2008 for 30 MFIs from the MFI Selection<br />

Year 2005 (whose results <strong>com</strong>prise the MFI SVIX 2005), and for<br />

21 MFIs from MFI Selection Year 2006, whose results—together<br />

with those of the eight 2006 Investor Vintages formed in<br />

Selection Year 2005 MFIs—form the MFI SVIX 2006.<br />

The MFI SVIX Composite blends these results, according<br />

to the changes in their U.S.-dollar-denominated shareholder<br />

values. Please note that while the MFI SVIX Composite<br />

results are shown here through the end of 2008, the years<br />

subsequent to 2006 will be revised when the MFI SVIX 2007<br />

and 2008 results are available, which should be in the fall of<br />

2010, and the MFI SVIX 2009 series before the end of 2010.<br />

Changes To Shareholder Value<br />

Figure 5 presents the MFI SVIX 2005, 2006 and Composite<br />

results and related data, through the end of 2008.<br />

Looking at the annual changes in shareholder value, some<br />

things quickly be<strong>com</strong>e apparent. In general, the results are<br />

quite positive: MFI SVIX 2005 shows a cumulative four-year<br />

growth of 308 percent (a 42 percent <strong>com</strong>pound annual<br />

growth rate), while MFI SVIX 2006 shows a three-year cumulative<br />

growth of 148 percent (35 percent CAGR), and the MFI<br />

SVIX Composite has a four-year cumulative growth of 295<br />

percent (41 percent CAGR). At the same time, the timing of<br />

entry investments seems to have a big impact on returns,<br />

and year-to-year changes in shareholder value can be quite<br />

variable. Regardless, the dollar value of “shareholder value”<br />

of the indexes is micro by almost any institutional investor’s<br />

standard, even after the period’s high growth.<br />

It should also be noted that while most of the MFIs’<br />

Investor Vintages show positive returns in the period, a few<br />

“home run” results bring up the averages, as is typical for<br />

private equity investment.<br />

MFI SVIX 2005 Highlights:<br />

VËË0jË ajÞË WÖajÄË ÏåË ÄË wÁË Ô|Ë WÖÍÁjÄa?Ë<br />

had four; Bolivia, Mexico and Peru had two each; and<br />

the other countries one each;<br />

VËËÔÈË ÄˬÁaÖWjaˬÄÍÜjË.?ÁjajÁË7?ÖjËË2±.±Ëa?ÁË<br />

terms over the period, while three produced declines;<br />

VËËÍË ÍjË Ë jÜj^Ë ÍjË ?ÜjÁ?~jË WÖÖ?ÍÜjË WÁj?ÄjË<br />

was about 369 percent; leaving out three “home run”<br />

results, the average cumulative increase was about 151<br />

percent (26 percent CAGR);<br />

VËË.¬?a??Ë ®a?¯Ë Ý?ÄË ÍjË MjÄÍË aÜaÖ?Ë ¬jÁwÁjÁ^Ë<br />

with Investor Vintage 2005 Shareholder Value growing<br />

at a 155 percent CAGR over the four years;<br />

VËË+?¬Ö?Ë!jÝËÖj?Ë WÁw?WjˬÁaÖWjaËÍjË~Áj?ÍjÄÍË<br />

decline in IV2005 Shareholder Value, a cumulative loss<br />

of -70 percent over the four years; and<br />

VËËË ÍjÁÄË wË Áj~?Ë WWjÍÁ?ÍË wË ÜjÄÍÁË 7Í?~jË<br />

46<br />

January / February 2011


Figure 6<br />

Figure 7<br />

WSAS MFI SVIX - Levels, 2004-2008<br />

WSAS MFI SVIX - Value Changes % By Year<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

120%<br />

110%<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

N SVIX 2005 N SVIX 2006 N SVIX Composite<br />

N SVIX 2005 N SVIX 2006 N SVIX Composite<br />

Source: Wall’s Street Advisor Services<br />

Source: Wall's Street Advisor Services<br />

2005’s book values at the end of 2008, Latin America/<br />

Caribbean held 44 percent; East Europe/Central Asia held<br />

25 percent; Africa had 19 percent; and Asia 15 percent.<br />

MFI SVIX 2006 Highlights<br />

VËËÔË ÄË wÁË ¤Ë WÖÍÁjÄË ÝjÁjË ÜÜjaË ®Ô¤Ë ÄË<br />

selected for coverage based on 2006 data, and eight<br />

wÁË ÍjË ÔååyË Ë .jjWÍË MjW?ÖÄjË ÍjßË ?aË jÝË<br />

ÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jÄËwÁjaËaÖÁ~ËÔååy¯Ç<br />

VËËÔÉËwËÍjËÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jÄˬÁaÖWjaˬÄÍÜjËÁjÍÖÁÄ^Ë<br />

ÍÖ~ËÄÞˬÁaÖWjaËÍÁjjßj?ÁËWÖÖ?ÍÜjËWÁj?ÄjÄËË<br />

shareholder values of under 10 percent;<br />

VËË0jË Ä~j?Á~jÄÍË WÁj?ÄjË Ë 7åÉË Ü?ÖjË Ý?ÄË wÁË<br />

..Ë WÁw?WjË Ía±Ë ®a?¯q?Ë ÄÍ?~~jÁ~Ë ÍÁjjßj?ÁË<br />

WÖÖ?ÍÜjË WÁj?ÄjË wË Ô^yÉÉË ¬jÁWjÍË ®¤Ë ¬jÁWjÍË<br />

-¯±ËWajÍ?ß^Ë..Ë WÁw?WjËÄˬ?~Ë?Ë+#Ë<br />

Ëa?ËÄjÍjËËÖßËÔå¤åÇ<br />

VËË.?ÁjajÁË7?ÖjÄËajWÁj?ÄjaËÜjÁËÍjˬjÁaËwÁË-j¬Ë<br />

?Ë®jß?¯ËMßËÔÉˬjÁWjÍ^ËwÁË0?jjÁË WÁw?WjË<br />

?Ë®+?ÄÍ?¯ËMßËÏÔˬjÁWjÍ^Ë?aËwÁËÍjËjÝË7åÉËwË<br />

+!Ë WÁw?WjË®+?¬Ö?Ë!jÝËÖj?¯ËMßËÉÉˬjÁWjÍÇË<br />

VËË0jË Ä~j?Á~jÄÍË 7ÔååÉË Ë ÍjË Ë .79Ë ÔååÉË Ý?ÄË<br />

wÁË?WjÁ?Ëaj¬jajW?Ë® jÞW¯^Ë?ÍËÏåˬjÁWjÍË<br />

of the index’s shareholder value at the start of the series<br />

in 2005, and it produced a cumulative 214 percent<br />

WÁj?ÄjËË7ÔååÉËÄ?ÁjajÁËÜ?Öj^ËaÖjË?Á~jßËÍËÍjË<br />

ÄjÖÍË ¬ÁWjjaÄË Áj?ãjaË aÖÁ~Ë Ôååo±Ë 0ÄË ÄjÖÍË<br />

ÁjÜjÄË jÞW?Ë Áj¬ÁjÄjÍ?ÍË wÁË ÍjË Ë .79Ë<br />

ÔååÉËwÁËÔååËwÁÝ?ÁaÇË?a<br />

VËË0ÝËÍjÁË Ë.79ËÔååÉËWÄÍÍÖjÍÄËÄ?ÝËÍjÁË7åÉË<br />

ÜjÄÍÁÄËÄjËÖÍËaÖÁ~ËÔååoq+jÁÖ¾ÄË ?WËajË0Á?M?Ë<br />

®Ü?Ë?ËÍÁ?ajËÄjËÍË.WÍ?M?^ˬÁaÖW~Ë?ËÍÁjjßj?ÁË<br />

WÁj?ÄjË wË Ô¤åË ¬jÁWjͯ^Ë ?aË 2~?a?Ë WÁw?WjË<br />

Ía±Ë®Ü?Ë?ËÍÁ?ajËÄ?jËÍËÖÍßË ?Ëjß?^ˬÁaÖW~Ë?Ë<br />

ÍÁjjßj?ÁËWÁj?ÄjËwËÏÏyˬjÁWjͯ±<br />

MFI SVIX Composite Highlights<br />

0jÄjË ~~ÍÄË ?ÁjË MÁjw^Ë ÄWjË ÍjÄjË Áj¬ÁjÄjÍË ?Ë a?Á<br />

Ýj~ÍjaËMjaËwËÍjË?Ö?Ë Ë.79ËÄjÁjľËÁjÄÖÍıË0ÁÖ~ÖÍË<br />

ÍjˬjÁa^Ë Ë.79ËÔååyËÁj¬ÁjÄjÍÄË?ÁÖaËÈyˬjÁWjÍËwËÍjË<br />

¬ÄÍj¾ÄË .?ÁjajÁË 7?ÖjÇË a?Ë ?aË ÍjË ?Á~jÄÍË ÖMjÁË<br />

wË Ë ÜjÄÍÁË 7Í?~jÄË Áj¬ÁjÄjÍjaË ®j~ͯ^Ë wÝjaË MßË +jÁÖË<br />

®ÄjÜj¯^Ë?Ma?Ë®wÖÁ¯Ë?aË jÞWË®ÍÁjj¯^ËÝjËÄjÜjËWÖ-<br />

ÍÁjÄË?aËÍÝË7ÄËÁj¬ÁjÄjÍja^Ë?~ËyËÜjÄÍÁË7Í?~jÄËwÁË<br />

y¤Ë Ä±Ë ßËÍjËjaËwËÔååo^ËÍjËWMjaËMËÜ?ÖjÄËwËÍjË<br />

¬ÄÍj¾ÄË yË 7ÄË Áj¬ÁjÄjÍjaË ?MÖÍË g¤±Ï|Ë M^Ë Ö¬Ë wÁË<br />

Ôååy¾ÄËWMjaËMËÜ?ÖjÄËwËgå±É¤ËM±<br />

.WjˬjÁajaËMËÜ?ÖjËÁj¬ÁjÄjÍÄËjßËÄÍËÜjÄÍjaËËÍjË<br />

Ä^ËÍËÄË?Ëj?ÄÖÁjËwË»jßË?ÍËÁÄ^¼Ë?aËÍËÄËÍjË<br />

MjÄÍËj?ÄÖÁjËwËajÞËaÜjÁÄwW?ͱË0jËͬËwÜjËWÖÍÁjÄË<br />

ËÍÄËÁj~?ÁaË?ÍËÍjËjaËwËÔååoËÝjÁjË jÞWË®¤oˬjÁWjͯ^Ë<br />

jß?Ë®¤|ˬjÁWjͯ^Ë+jÁÖË®¤åˬjÁWjͯ^Ë?Ma?Ë®ÈˬjÁWjͯË<br />

?aË Ö~?Á?Ë®yˬjÁWjͯ^ËwÁË?ËWMjaËy|ˬjÁWjÍËÄ?ÁjËwË<br />

MËÜ?Öj±Ë0ÄËÝ?ÄËÜjÁßËÄ?ÁËÍËÔååy¾ÄËyÉˬjÁWjÍËÄ?ÁjËMßË<br />

ÍjËÄ?jËwÜjËWÖÍÁjÄ^ËÍÖ~ËÝj~ÍÄËÄwÍjaËÄ~wW?ÍßËË<br />

ÄjËW?ÄjÄË®jß?ËÖ¬ËwÁË|±yˬjÁWjÍËÍˤ|ˬjÁWjÍ^Ë jÞWË<br />

aÝËwÁËÔÉˬjÁWjÍËÍˤoˬjÁWjÍ^ËwÁËÄÍ?Wj¯±<br />

?ÄÍß^Ëa?Ë ÄˬÁaÖWjaËÄjËĬjWÍ?WÖ?ÁË~?ÄËwÁË<br />

ÜjÄÍÁÄËwËÔååyË?aËÔååÉË®?Á~jßËwÁËW?¬Í?ËjÞ¬?ÄÄË<br />

?ÍË ~Ë ÖͬjÄË ÍË MË Ü?Öjį^Ë MÖÍË Í߬W?ßË wÁË ÝË<br />

2±.±Ëa?ÁËÄÍ?ÁÍ~ˬÍıË<br />

Closing Comments<br />

WÁw?WjË ÄË WÁj?Ä~ßË ?ÍÍÁ?WÍ~Ë ÍjË ÍjÁjÄÍË ?aË<br />

ÜjÄÍjÍËwËÄÍÍÖÍ?ËÍjÁ?Í?ËjÖÍßËÜjÄÍÁÄ^ËwÁË<br />

ÍÄˬÍjÍ?Ë?ÄË?ËÄW?ßËÁjĬÄMj^Ë?ÄÄjÍaÜjÁÄwß~Ë?aË<br />

¬ÁwÍ?MjË?ÄÄjÍËW?Íj~Áß±Ë0jË8..Ë Ë.?ÁjajÁË7?ÖjË<br />

ajÞjÄ^ËÝWËÄËw?ÁËMj?ÁËÖÍËÍjˬÁwÍ?MjË?ĬjWÍËwËÍjË<br />

?ÄÄjÍË W?Íj~Áß^Ë Áj¬ÁjÄjÍË ÍjË wÁÄÍË WÄÄÍjÍË j?ÄÖÁjÄË wË<br />

the financial value shareholders received over time across a<br />

MÁ?aßËaÜjÁÄwjaËÄjÍËwË Ä±<br />

ÍË ÄË ¬ÁÍ?ÍË ÍË ÁjW~ãjË Í?ÍË ÍjË j?ÄÖÁjjÍÄË wË<br />

W?~jÄËË» Ë.?ÁjajÁË7?Öj¼Ë?ÁjËjWjÄÄ?ÁßË?¬¬ÁÞ-<br />

?Íj±Ë0jÁjË?ÁjË?ßË~aËÁj?ÄÄËwÁËÍÄqÍjË?MÄjWjËwË<br />

<strong>com</strong>plete information about shareholder actions, the neces-<br />

ÄÍßËwËÄjË?ÄÄÖ¬ÍÄË?MÖÍËÍ~ËwËÍÁ?Ä?WÍÄ^ËÍjË<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

47


aggregation and resultant “smoothing” of individual transactions,<br />

and the use of exchange rates to translate inputs and<br />

results into U.S. dollars that may not have occurred in reality<br />

are principal among these. That’s the nature of any private<br />

equity investment, and microfinance investments at this<br />

point are largely private transactions.<br />

But the series does provide benchmarks of MFI shareholder<br />

value performance whose results will approximate what<br />

investors achieved in the past across a fairly representative<br />

and diversified set of MFIs , and provide the basis for accumulating<br />

historical performance characteristics of the important<br />

and fast-growing niche asset category, MFI equity.<br />

As microfinance be<strong>com</strong>es a more widely practiced and<br />

<strong>com</strong>mercially funded business activity, and as more annual<br />

indexes are added, the indexes will be<strong>com</strong>e increasingly<br />

important to investors looking to benchmark their portfolios’<br />

performance, and to potential investors who want to know<br />

MFI equity’s performance characteristics.<br />

Endnotes<br />

1<br />

See Global Pensions, “CalSTRs explores microfinance,” April 6, 2010. http://www.globalpensions.<strong>com</strong>/global-pensions/news/1599783/calstrs-explores-microfinance<br />

2<br />

There is a huge and rapidly growing body of literature about the sources and evolution of microfinance and of MFIs. Interested readers can start at www.microfinancegateway.<strong>com</strong>.<br />

3<br />

Good starting points for this subject are “The Growth of Commercial Microfinance: 2004-2006” (September 2006) and “Characteristics of Equity Investments in Microfinance”<br />

(April 2004), by Elisabeth Rhyne & Brian Busch (2006), and by Rhyne and James Kaddaras (2004), respectively, for the Council of Microfinance Equity Funds. See http://www.cmef.<br />

<strong>com</strong>/Page.aspx?pid=1687 for access to these reports.<br />

4<br />

See MicroRate, “The State of Microfinance Investment” at http://microrate.<strong>com</strong>/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/2009_MIV_Survey_Presentation_Final.pdf . See also the series of<br />

survey reports released by CGAP, which show similar trends and volumes. Most recent was The CGAP 2009 MIV Survey<br />

http://www.cgap.org/gm/document-1.9.38774/CGAP%20MIV%20Survey%20-%20Results%20Presentation.pdf.<br />

5<br />

The Microfinance Information Exchange, Inc. (MIX) is the world’s leading source of data and research on MFIs. The MIX Market (www.mixmarket.org) and its research sister site<br />

www.themix.org are MIX’s dissemination points for its work.<br />

MIX Provider provides a great range of data and research products on MFI performance. See particularly MIX’s Trend Lines reports for time series’ data on the medians for top<br />

(75th) quartile, bottom (25th) quartile, and overall results.<br />

As for actual results, the latest available median RoE results in U.S. dollar terms for the top quartile performers of MFI Banks was 16.2 percent (2005), 20.0 percent (2006), 18.2 percent<br />

(2007 – latest available 6-30-2010). NBFIs achieved similar results. See www.themix.org/sites/default/files/MBB%2018%20-%20Before%20the%20Crisis.pdf for the most recent report.<br />

6<br />

See Forbes, “The World’s Top 50 Microfinance Institutions,” Dec. 20, 2007. http://www.forbes.<strong>com</strong>/2007/12/20/top-philanthropy-microfinance-biz-cz_1220land.html<br />

7<br />

See A. Gonzalez/MIX, “Resilience of Microfinance Institutions to National Macroeconomic Events: An Econometric Analysis of MFI Asset Quality,” http://www.themix.org/<br />

publications/resilience-microfinance-institutions-macroeconomic-events; Krauss & Walter, “Can Microfinance Reduce Portfolio Volatility?” http://papers.ssrn.<strong>com</strong>/sol3/papers.<br />

cfm?abstract_id=943786 and also Galema et al. “International Diversification and Microfinance,” http://www.microfinancegateway.org/gm/document-1.9.34326/56904.pdf.<br />

8<br />

Much has been written recently about “The battle for the soul of microfinance,” and the topic promises to be a continuing debate. Interested readers can start with The Financial<br />

Times article, “The battle for the soul of microfinance” (Dec. 6, 2008). http://us.ft.<strong>com</strong>/ftgateway/superpage.ft?news_id=fto120520081936136455 .<br />

9<br />

The microfinance industry is working furiously through a stakeholder task force to develop “MFI social performance” standards, and to have the standards widely adopted and<br />

reported upon by MFIs. Check the Social Performance Task Force website (www.sptf.info) for more on this initiative, and the related MIX website that is accumulating MFI social<br />

performance reports – www.themix.org/standards/sp-reports. MIX also has applied its own measures of the “balanced scorecard” on MFI operations, in its series of MIX MFI<br />

Global 100 Composite rankings. These can be seen at www.themix.org/publications/2009-mix-global-100-<strong>com</strong>posite.<br />

10<br />

For explanations and details about MIX’s “Diamonds for Disclosure” system, see www.mixmarket.org/faq/diamond-rankings. WSAS may seek financial statements from another<br />

public source, such as the MFI’s own website, if for some reason such information is not found in MIX Market.<br />

11<br />

WSAS <strong>com</strong>piles records of terms and amounts of publicly announced equity investments (and divestments) in MFIs, as well as records of FY year-end shareholdings in MFIs to<br />

“triangulate” information for use in determining MFI cohort results.<br />

12<br />

WSAS uses MIX’s acceptance of an institution as an MFI as sufficient to include it as an MFI in the WSAS MFI SVIX Indexes, assuming it meets the other index inclusion requirements.<br />

Roundtable continued from page 35<br />

JOI: What makes a weighting methodology superior? Is it just<br />

performance?<br />

Woods: Performance, in the broadest sense: There will be<br />

periods when indices that use alternative weighting schemes<br />

do underperform, but equally there will be periods when<br />

they outperform their cap-weighted equivalents. Generally<br />

they have very respectable performance over extended time<br />

periods. They are less susceptible to bubbles, and most are<br />

designed to have a broader representation of stocks than<br />

their cap-weighted equivalents.<br />

JOI: In an era of rising correlations, can diversifying your weighting<br />

methodology have any beneficial effect on portfolio performance<br />

statistics?<br />

Woods: I would say diversifying your weighting methodology<br />

is a good thing. Certainly not converting <strong>com</strong>pletely to<br />

an alternative weighting scheme, but an allocation to it will<br />

likely improve portfolio performance.<br />

But I’m not sure that the rising correlations are the connection<br />

there. Just for the sake of illustration, one of the reasons<br />

these indices can outperform even in sideways markets is that<br />

they rebalance more frequently and, in effect, because they’ll be<br />

rebalancing to fixed weights, they’ll sell stocks that have gone<br />

up and buy stocks that have gone down, so they’re capturing<br />

the volatility in markets. People call that volatility pumping.<br />

You get an increase in performance from capturing that<br />

volatility, and you partly detract from that with the extra<br />

transaction cost you’re incurring. But that’s not due to rising<br />

correlations; it’s just another reason why these indices<br />

in certain market regimes will outperform cap-weighted<br />

equivalents. We certainly know they don’t outperform in all<br />

market regimes.<br />

48<br />

January / February 2011


Blanchett continued from page 39<br />

Figure 6<br />

Monthly Returns Test: Morningstar Core Vs. Russell, July 1997- May 2010<br />

Raw Return Difference<br />

Replicating Portfolio Alpha Difference<br />

Large Mid Small Large Mid Small<br />

Geomean -0.01% -0.07% 0.22% 0.02% -0.07% 0.27%<br />

Std Dev 1.67% 2.04% 2.18% 1.37% 1.43% 1.52%<br />

t-stat -0.07 -0.42 1.25 0.15 -0.57 2.21<br />

Source: Morningstar Direct<br />

significance of the differences in the monthly returns for the<br />

Morningstar Core indexes versus the Russell indexes on both<br />

a raw return basis and on a market-factor-adjusted basis.<br />

While the Morningstar Large Core Index had a higher average<br />

monthly geometric return than the Russell 1000 (0.293 percent<br />

vs. 0.274 percent), it had a negative return when the differences<br />

were <strong>com</strong>pared on a monthly basis. The results of the<br />

market- factor-adjusted test were generally the same as the<br />

raw return test, except the Morningstar Large Core Index had<br />

a higher return than the Russell 1000 when the returns were<br />

factor-adjusted. The outperformance of the Morningstar Small<br />

Core Index over the Russell 2000 be<strong>com</strong>es more pronounced<br />

versus the raw return at +0.27 percent per month (which<br />

works out to 3.27 percent per year). Over the entire test<br />

period, the cumulative Morningstar Small Core outperformed<br />

the Russell 2000 by over 50 percent. The outperformance is<br />

also statistically significant at the 5 percent level (i.e., has a<br />

t-statistic greater than 2 in absolute terms).<br />

Conclusion<br />

The results from this analysis suggest that Core appears<br />

to be a better “middle” investing strategy than Blend. The<br />

Morningstar Core indexes tended to have both higher relative<br />

returns and higher factor-adjusted returns than their<br />

respective Morningstar Blend and Russell capitalization peers,<br />

although most of the results were not statistically significant.<br />

Therefore, it may be worthwhile for investors seeking non-<br />

Value and non-Growth style exposures to consider investing in<br />

the true “middle,” which would be a Core approach, versus a<br />

Blend approach, which is currently the most popular.<br />

Works Cited<br />

Banz, Rolf. 1981. “The relationship between return and market value of <strong>com</strong>mon stocks.” Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 9: 3-18.<br />

Basu, S. 1977. “Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis.” Journal of Finance, vol. 32,<br />

No. 3: 663-682.<br />

Blanchett, David. 2010. “Can Indexes Generate Alpha?” Journal of Indexes, vol. 13, No 2 (March/April): 32-37.<br />

Carhart, Mark M. 1997. “On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance.” Journal of Finance, vol. 52, No 1: 57-82.<br />

Cremers, Martijn, Antti Petajisto, and Eric Zitzewitz. 2008. “Should Benchmark Indices Have Alpha? Revisiting Performance Evaluation.” Working paper version July 31, 2008: http://<br />

www.mc<strong>com</strong>bs.utexas.edu/Dept/Finance/fea/papers/f2-should-benchmark-indices.pdf.<br />

Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. 1992. “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, vol. 47, No 2: 427-466.<br />

Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. 1993. “Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Bonds and Stocks.” Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 33: 3-53.<br />

Israelsen, Craig. 2007. “Variance Among Indexes.” Journal of Indexes, vol. 10, No 3 (May/June): 26-29.<br />

Appendix I<br />

Four Factor Results<br />

Morningstar Core Morningstar Blend Russell<br />

Large Mid Small Large Mid Small Large Mid Small<br />

Intercept 0.03% 0.03% 0.05% -0.02% 0.03% -0.07% 0.01% 0.09% -0.24%<br />

Mkt-RF 0.89 0.98 1.00 0.96 1.02 1.01 0.98 1.03 1.00<br />

SMB -0.26 0.08 0.53 -0.23 0.18 0.61 -0.14 0.21 0.75<br />

HML 0.12 0.48 0.48 -0.06 0.26 0.30 0.02 0.23 0.27<br />

Mom. -0.02 -0.07 -0.08 -0.01 -0.04 -0.09 -0.02 0.01 0.01<br />

R² 89.91% 87.79% 91.89% 98.66% 94.71% 96.38% 99.42% 95.62% 97.36%<br />

Sources: Morningstar Direct, Kenneth French<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011 49


Talking Indexes<br />

Sorting And Digging<br />

Breaking down the broad market<br />

By David Blitzer<br />

Most of traditional securities analysis falls into one<br />

of two areas—sorting or digging. Sorting consists<br />

of assigning stocks to classifications, groups or categories;<br />

digging involves delving into the financial, legal or<br />

operational details one <strong>com</strong>pany at a time.<br />

Sorting begins when securities are divided into asset<br />

classes. Most investors believe that stocks are different<br />

from bonds, have different risks and returns, and usually<br />

behave differently. Any two stocks are likely to be more<br />

similar to one another than a stock is to a bond. This illustrates<br />

a key aspect of sorting: Two securities in the same<br />

category have less variation than two securities in different<br />

categories. While asset classes may be obvious, things<br />

be<strong>com</strong>e more interesting and useful when we divide stocks<br />

into style (growth and value); size (large, mid and small);<br />

or sectors. Most broad-based indexes sort stocks by style,<br />

size and sector. Further divisions are often included, such<br />

as more narrowly defined industries, style versus pure style<br />

or financial measures such as dividend yield.<br />

Since the ultimate objective is to understand why some<br />

stocks perform better than others, a successful categorization<br />

should tell us something about past returns and risks<br />

at different periods of time. Unfortunately, a categorization<br />

of stocks—like all other securities analysis—cannot provide<br />

truly reliable predictions of future returns. Of course, that<br />

doesn’t stop analysts from trying. The three categorizations<br />

mentioned—style, size and sector—are the most oft-used<br />

sorts. These weren’t just the creation of index providers<br />

searching for more ways to slice and dice their indexes;<br />

rather, they are the result of an established and still-growing<br />

body of literature on <strong>com</strong>ovement; that is, how some groups<br />

of stock tend to <strong>com</strong>ove or move together.<br />

The basic concept behind <strong>com</strong>ovement is that fundamental<br />

factors such as earnings, capital structure or a <strong>com</strong>pany’s<br />

business model determine a stock’s underlying value. If one<br />

brings together a group of stocks with similar fundamentals,<br />

the stocks should have similar risks and returns. Dividing<br />

stocks into growth and value, usually done with various<br />

financial measures such as price-to-book value, dividend<br />

yield or others, is one example. Some fundamental factors<br />

such as earnings per share or dividends are easy to measure,<br />

others such as industry supply conditions or shifts in demand<br />

for a group of products are harder to identify and quantify.<br />

One way to deal with hard-to-measure factors is to find an<br />

easy-to-measure proxy such as what industry a <strong>com</strong>pany is in.<br />

Grouping stocks by sector or industry works in the sense that<br />

stocks within a sector are more alike than stocks in different<br />

sectors. Another example of a proxy measure is size. Smallcap<br />

stocks often behave differently than large-cap stocks;<br />

one group may rise when the other falls. While there are lots<br />

of ideas about why small-caps don’t mimic large-caps, the<br />

key idea is that size can be a useful way to classify stocks.<br />

All these sorts relate, more or less, to some fundamental<br />

factor affecting a stock’s returns. However, <strong>com</strong>ovement can<br />

be a useful tool to examine situations where other, nonfinancial<br />

or noneconomic, factors are involved. One that should be<br />

familiar is home-country bias—despite globalization, many<br />

investors prefer stocks in their home market and therefore<br />

grouping stocks by nationality is <strong>com</strong>mon. Another might<br />

be whether the stock is listed on the NYSE or Nasdaq, even<br />

though the listing requirements can be quite similar. A more<br />

reasonable, and more studied, factor in stock performance<br />

is the extent of analyst coverage and the speed with which<br />

news about a <strong>com</strong>pany spreads through the markets. Widely<br />

followed stocks are heavily analyzed and discussed, while<br />

stocks with little analytical coverage are sometimes seen as<br />

50<br />

January / February 2011


either undiscovered gems or ignored for good reason. A lack<br />

of notoriety could be seen as a plus or a minus.<br />

Among the possible factors that might affect a stock’s<br />

performance and be a useful categorization tool is index<br />

membership. Recently some studies have argued that<br />

stocks that are added to the S&P 500 tend to see a shift in<br />

their performance and be<strong>com</strong>e more like other stocks in<br />

the index after they are added. 1 Specifically, they <strong>com</strong>pare<br />

the beta calculated for stocks within the 500, based on<br />

the 500, with the beta of similar stocks outside the index,<br />

based on an index excluding stocks in the 500. That means<br />

that the two beta calculations distinguish between stocks<br />

included in or excluded from the 500, with the result<br />

that the beta for stocks newly added to the 500 generally<br />

increases after those stocks join the index.<br />

The guidelines that S&P uses to select stocks for the<br />

500 specify adequate liquidity, at least 50 percent public<br />

float, four quarters of positive earnings and a minimum<br />

market cap of $3.5 billion. As a result, there are similarities<br />

among the stocks in the index, so their performance<br />

would be expected to have some similarities.<br />

However, the econometric analyses in the research above<br />

find that by being added to the index, the stock’s performance<br />

shifts to be<strong>com</strong>e similar to other stocks in the index. One<br />

possible explanation for this is that stocks in the S&P 500 are<br />

more likely to be covered by analysts because they are part<br />

of the index. Further, the increased coverage may mean that<br />

news is spread faster so that S&P 500 member stocks react<br />

together, and more quickly, to market developments.<br />

A reason cited in the research is based on the trading of<br />

ETFs, mutual funds and other funds that track the 500. Since<br />

this trading tracks the index, it would involve the buying or<br />

selling of all the stocks in the index at the same time and could<br />

make the stocks move together. This explanation assumes<br />

that index investors all agree on whether to buy or sell; if<br />

the choice of buying or selling is random, then one investor’s<br />

buying would simply offset another’s selling. While directional<br />

trading could make index-member stocks <strong>com</strong>ove, there probably<br />

isn’t enough trading to cause such an effect. First, much<br />

of the in-and-out trading of the 500 in order to establish or<br />

hedge equity positions is done through futures and would not<br />

necessarily push the stocks to move together.<br />

Second, the creation/redemption of ETF shares doesn’t<br />

seem large enough to cause this effect. Looking at the<br />

SPDRs, the largest S&P 500 ETF (NYSE Arca: SPY), the average<br />

daily change in shares outstanding over the three years<br />

ended Oct. 28, 2010 was about 0.1 percent per day. While<br />

there were a few days with very large changes, about 87<br />

percent of the time the change in shares was 3 percent or<br />

less. Suppose for a moment that the experience in SPY is<br />

the same as in all S&P 500 funds. Since about 10 percent of<br />

the outstanding float shares of any stock in the 500 are held<br />

by S&P 500 funds of one kind or another, this would mean<br />

that the average turnover from trading S&P 500 funds was<br />

30 basis points. This is well below the typical turnover of<br />

stocks in the index and not likely to drive stocks to move<br />

together. Moreover, while there may be substantial in-andout<br />

trading in a very liquid ETF like SPY, there is a lot of S&P<br />

500 money in institutional funds that rarely trade.<br />

While index membership may be one factor behind<br />

<strong>com</strong>ovement, it is most likely the attention and analytical<br />

coverage the index brings—not the trading—that matters.<br />

Endnote<br />

1 Nicholas Barberis, Andrei Shleifer and Jeffrey Wurgler, “Comovement,” Journal of Financial Economics vol. 75 (2005), pp 283-317.<br />

Why advertise in the Journal of Indexes?<br />

JOURNAL OF INDEXES PRINT SUBSCRIPTIONS ONLINE AT WWW.JOURNALOFINDEXES.COM/SUBSCRIPTIONS<br />

*OEFY1VCMJDBUJPOT--$4BDSBNFOUP4USFFU4VJUF4BO'SBODJTDP$"t"EWFSUJTJOHBOE3FQSJOUT*ORVJSJFT<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011 51


News<br />

Indexes Regain Edge Over Active<br />

Most actively managed U.S. equity<br />

mutual funds underperformed their<br />

benchmarks in the first half of this year,<br />

according to the latest Standard & Poor’s<br />

Indices Versus Active Funds Scorecard.<br />

The SPIVA report, covering the 12<br />

months ended June 30, marks a departure<br />

from the last report, when many<br />

active investors fared better than their<br />

benchmarks at a time of upheaval following<br />

the market crash of 2008-2009.<br />

The new report shows 56 percent<br />

of managers failed to beat their benchmarks,<br />

re-establishing the historical<br />

trend. Active management has consistently<br />

underperformed in most stock<br />

and bond asset classes for the better<br />

part of the last decade. Apart from 2009,<br />

the last year active management fared<br />

better was in 2000, when 40.5 percent<br />

of managers failed to beat their indexes,<br />

versus 2009’s 41.67 percent.<br />

The data show that the percentage<br />

of equity managers besting their benchmarks<br />

over the last year is largely in<br />

line with historical averages over one-,<br />

three- and five-year figures.<br />

Active bond managers fared a bit better<br />

than their counterparts in equities in<br />

the past year. The most shining examples<br />

were managers of short- and intermediate-term<br />

government securities, about<br />

60 percent of whom outperformed their<br />

respective benchmarks in the 12 months<br />

ended June 30. However, those bright<br />

spots of outperformance <strong>com</strong>pletely disappeared<br />

in the three- and five-year time<br />

frames, according to the S&P report.<br />

TD Ameritrade Offers<br />

Commission-Free ETFs<br />

TD Ameritrade launched a massive<br />

new zero-<strong>com</strong>mission ETF trading<br />

platform in early October, be<strong>com</strong>ing<br />

the fourth major brokerage center to<br />

eliminate <strong>com</strong>missions on certain ETF<br />

trades. The new platform allows investors<br />

to purchase more than 100 ETFs<br />

<strong>com</strong>mission free, including funds from<br />

Vanguard, State Street Global Advisors,<br />

PowerShares and iShares.<br />

TD’s program is far more <strong>com</strong>prehensive<br />

than current offerings from other<br />

providers. Last year, Charles Schwab<br />

became the first major brokerage to<br />

offer zero-<strong>com</strong>mission trading, waiving<br />

<strong>com</strong>missions for its family of Schwab<br />

ETFs; currently, Schwab offers 11 ETFs.<br />

Fidelity came next, striking a deal with<br />

iShares to offer 25 ETFs <strong>com</strong>mission free.<br />

Vanguard then waived <strong>com</strong>missions for<br />

brokerage customers who bought any of<br />

the 68 Vanguard-listed ETFs.<br />

TD’s program breaks the mold by<br />

not aligning itself with any provider and<br />

by offering access to so many funds.<br />

The program includes a fairly <strong>com</strong>prehensive<br />

list of U.S. equity, international<br />

equity and fixed-in<strong>com</strong>e ETFs, with a<br />

smattering of <strong>com</strong>modities. Notably<br />

missing from the offering are gold bullion<br />

ETFs and sector funds.<br />

Commission-free trading programs<br />

are designed in part to make ETFs more<br />

palatable to individual investors, who<br />

can be dissuaded from investing in ETFs<br />

by <strong>com</strong>mission costs.<br />

The ETFs in the TD Ameritrade program<br />

were selected by Morningstar<br />

Associates LLC, a registered investment<br />

adviser and unit of Morningstar.<br />

The TD Ameritrade program has an<br />

important catch: An investor who buys a<br />

fund and then sells it within 30 days will<br />

be charged a short-term trading fee. The<br />

program is designed to help long-term<br />

investors access the ETF space.<br />

MIT Launches Inflation Indexes<br />

The Massachusetts Institute of<br />

Technology has launched an Internetbased<br />

resource to measure price changes<br />

from around the world and to give<br />

real-time inflation estimates.<br />

In what is called the Billion Prices<br />

Project, MIT’s researchers monitor<br />

more than 5 million prices of items<br />

sold by online retailers from around the<br />

world, as well as <strong>com</strong>puting inflation<br />

statistics on a daily basis.<br />

The price data collected are from<br />

categories such as food and beverages,<br />

household products, electronics, apparel<br />

and real estate. MIT tracks prices in more<br />

than 50 countries and currently publishes<br />

data for a smaller subset of countries,<br />

including the U.S., the U.K., Argentina,<br />

Australia, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia,<br />

France, Italy, Turkey and Venezuela.<br />

According to Professor Roberto<br />

Rigobon of the MIT Sloan School of<br />

Management, the project provides<br />

pricing data at much greater speed<br />

than conventional inflation indexes,<br />

but also in greater detail across countries.<br />

MIT’s inflation indexes also offer<br />

a real-time indicator of economic conditions,<br />

says Rigobon.<br />

Wave Of ETF Closures<br />

Announced In Sept., Oct.<br />

September saw the announcement<br />

of several fund closures, with two of<br />

the announcing firms closing their<br />

ETF operations entirely.<br />

Geary Advisors said it would be closing<br />

its two ETFs, the Texas Large Companies<br />

ETF (NYSE Arca: TXF) and the Oklahoma<br />

ETF (NYSE Arca: OOK), which had <strong>com</strong>bined<br />

net outflows in August of $7 million—about<br />

50 percent of total assets<br />

under management. NYSE Arca halted<br />

trading in TXF and OOK on Sept. 27.<br />

Later in the month, Old Mutual<br />

announced it would be closing all five<br />

of its funds: the GlobalShares FTSE<br />

All-World Fund (NYSE Arca: GSW),<br />

GlobalShares FTSE Emerging Markets<br />

Fund (NYSE Arca: GSR), GlobalShares<br />

FTSE All-Cap Asia Pacific ex Japan Fund<br />

(NYSE Arca: GSZ), GlobalShares FTSE All-<br />

World ex US Fund (NYSE Arca: GSO) and<br />

GlobalShares FTSE Developed Countries<br />

ex US Fund (NYSE Arca: GSD). Trading<br />

in the ETFs was suspended prior to the<br />

market opening on Oct. 6, and share-<br />

52<br />

January / February 2011


holders were to receive the net asset<br />

value of their shares as of Oct. 8.<br />

Meanwhile, Javelin Investment<br />

Management said during September<br />

that it would be closing one of its<br />

two funds. The JETS Dow Jones Islamic<br />

Market International Index Fund (NYSE<br />

Arca: JVS) shut down on Oct. 19; it was<br />

launched in July 2009. The firm’s JETS<br />

Contrarian Opportunities Index Fund<br />

(NYSE Arca: JCO) will continue to trade.<br />

Finally, PowerShares announced it<br />

was closing 10 ETFs in early October,<br />

including funds tied to its Dynamic and<br />

FTSE RAFI families of ETFs. The funds’<br />

final day of trading was Dec. 14.<br />

INDEXING DEVELOPMENTS<br />

New Russell Indexes Target<br />

Institutional Investors<br />

Russell Investments has launched a<br />

new global benchmark specifically aimed<br />

at institutional investors that meets a<br />

growing demand for broader exposure to<br />

investable <strong>com</strong>panies around the world.<br />

The Russell World Cap Index tracks<br />

U.S. equities from all capitalization tiers<br />

and global large-cap stocks by <strong>com</strong>bining<br />

the U.S. broad-market Russell 3000<br />

Index and the Russell Global ex-U.S.<br />

Large Cap Index into one.<br />

The new benchmark currently <strong>com</strong>prises<br />

more than 5,100 securities and<br />

about 93 percent of the Russell Global<br />

Index. Russell said in a press release<br />

that the launch underscores its focus<br />

on consultants and pension plan sponsors<br />

in its index business. According to<br />

Russell, the index mimics the strategies<br />

of institutional investors who include<br />

small-cap stocks in their domestic portfolios<br />

but focus on large-cap stocks in<br />

their international portfolios.<br />

S&P Launches<br />

CDS Sovereign Indexes<br />

Standard & Poor’s launched two<br />

credit default swap indexes for sovereign<br />

entities designed to track a<br />

big part of the over-the-counter credit<br />

derivative contracts market.<br />

The S&P International Developed<br />

Nation Sovereign CDS Index has similar<br />

country constituents and weightings<br />

as the S&P/Citigroup International<br />

Treasury Bond (ex U.S.) Index, according<br />

to S&P. Meanwhile, the S&P Eurozone<br />

Developed Nation Sovereign CDS Index<br />

provides about the same country constituents<br />

and weightings as the S&P<br />

Eurozone Government Bond Index.<br />

The country constituents and weights<br />

for each index are set at the inception of<br />

each index series, S&P said. On each rollover<br />

date, a new series will be launched<br />

with the current weights and constituents<br />

of the respective bond indexes. The<br />

new indexes have a 5 ¼-year maturity,<br />

as measured from the effective date.<br />

Barclays Debuts EM Bond Index<br />

Barclays Capital expanded its platform<br />

of government inflation-linked<br />

bond indexes in October with the<br />

launch of a more liquid version of its<br />

flagship inflation-linked emerging markets<br />

sovereign debt index.<br />

The Emerging Markets Tradable<br />

Government Inflation-Linked Bond<br />

Index (EMTIL) is a subset of the <strong>com</strong>pany’s<br />

Emerging Markets Government<br />

Inflation-Linked Bond Index (EMGILB),<br />

the first <strong>com</strong>prehensive local-currency-issued<br />

government inflation-linked<br />

debt index from developing nations,<br />

which itself debuted in 2007.<br />

The new benchmark strives to be<br />

more “tradable” than its parent by investing<br />

only in the most liquid bonds included<br />

in the larger index, with measures<br />

in place to ensure regional diversification,<br />

according to the <strong>com</strong>pany. EMTIL<br />

is a rule-based benchmark <strong>com</strong>prising<br />

the most liquid local-currency bonds<br />

from various emerging markets inflationlinked<br />

issuers included in the <strong>com</strong>pany’s<br />

flagship index. Among them, Brazil,<br />

Chile, Mexico, Poland, South Africa,<br />

South Korea and Turkey make the list.<br />

The index will be rebalanced annually.<br />

Mexico Joins<br />

Citigroup Bond Index<br />

Citigroup announced at the end of<br />

September that Mexico would officially<br />

join its World Government Bond Index,<br />

following a June announcement outlining<br />

Mexico’s eligibility.<br />

Mexico’s fixed-in<strong>com</strong>e market met<br />

the requirements regarding size, credit<br />

and barriers to entry, with 19 Mexican<br />

government bonds—with a market<br />

value of $116.8 billion—initially eligible<br />

for inclusion in the index. Together<br />

those 19 bonds represented 0.65 percent<br />

of the WGBI’s total market value.<br />

The newly added Mexican bonds<br />

are also included in the World Broad<br />

Investment-Grade (WorldBIG) Bond<br />

Index, of which the WGBI is a <strong>com</strong>ponent,<br />

Citigroup said.<br />

Russell Rolls Out<br />

Frontier Index Family<br />

Russell Investments expanded into<br />

the far reaches of the developing world<br />

by launching a new series of indexes<br />

that focus on frontier markets. The family<br />

covers 41 countries that aren’t part<br />

of either its emerging markets or its<br />

developed country benchmarks.<br />

The broad Russell Frontier Index is<br />

a float-adjusted market-capitalizationweighted<br />

benchmark that limits any<br />

one country weight in the mix to 15<br />

percent in order to minimize singlecountry<br />

risk and distribute exposure in<br />

a more regional manner. It <strong>com</strong>prises<br />

683 securities; the top countries in<br />

terms of weight are Argentina, Bahrain,<br />

Jordan, Kuwait and Qatar.<br />

Other indexes in the series include<br />

the Russell Frontier Large Cap Index<br />

and Russell Frontier Small Cap Index.<br />

In addition, the <strong>com</strong>pany is launching<br />

a Russell Frontier ex-GCC Index,<br />

as well as a large-cap and a small-cap<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

53


News<br />

version of it, which excludes Bahrain,<br />

Kuwait, Oman and Qatar.<br />

FTSE Debuts<br />

Diversification Indexes<br />

Late September saw the launch<br />

of the alternatively weighted FTSE<br />

Diversification Based Investing Index<br />

Series, which FTSE Group developed via<br />

a partnership with investment firm QS<br />

Investors LLC. The three indexes in the<br />

initial launch are designed to maximize<br />

diversification across countries and sectors<br />

with the aim of increasing returns<br />

and decreasing downside risk relative<br />

to standard market-cap-based indexes.<br />

The FTSE DBI Developed, FTSE<br />

DBI Developed ex US and FTSE DBI<br />

Developed ex Japan indexes are each<br />

based on indexes from FTSE’s “All<br />

World” index family, but their country<br />

and sector weightings have been<br />

adjusted based on correlations data to<br />

reduce risks associated with concentration<br />

and momentum.<br />

Morningstar Announces<br />

Revised Classifications<br />

Morningstar said in October that it<br />

had revised its equities classification<br />

structure to target the markets served<br />

by each <strong>com</strong>pany rather than the type<br />

of business it engages in.<br />

Morningstar will retain the usage<br />

of “super sectors” but they have been<br />

restructured based on sensitivity to macroeconomic<br />

cycles as cyclical, defensive<br />

and sensitive rather than the manufacturing,<br />

services and information categories<br />

that were used in the old classification<br />

system. A Morningstar representative<br />

called the new system more “intuitive.”<br />

Revenue and in<strong>com</strong>e are initially<br />

used to classify a <strong>com</strong>pany into an<br />

industry, of which there are 148. Each<br />

industry falls under the umbrella of<br />

one of 69 industry groups depending<br />

on its market characteristics. The<br />

industry groups in turn roll up into 11<br />

sectors that each fall into one of the<br />

three super sectors.<br />

Full implementation throughout<br />

Morningstar’s product groups is expected<br />

by the close of the first quarter of 2011.<br />

SSgA Switches US Funds<br />

To S&P Indexes<br />

State Street Global Advisors planned<br />

to change indexes on seven of its equity<br />

funds in December from Dow Jones<br />

to Standard & Poor’s, aligning its U.S.<br />

large-, mid- and small-cap funds so that<br />

they all use benchmarks from the same<br />

family as those of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF<br />

(NYSE Arca: SPY) and SPDR S&P MidCap<br />

400 ETF (NYSE Arca: MDY), according to<br />

a document circulated to financial advisers<br />

and by <strong>IndexUniverse</strong>.<strong>com</strong>.<br />

In addition to getting new names and<br />

indexes, the seven funds will also adopt<br />

new tickers that build on the “SPY” and<br />

“MDY” trading symbols. The seven ETFs<br />

and their proposed new tickers are:<br />

VË.+-ËÝËjÄË?Á~jË?¬Ë7?ÖjË0Ë<br />

®!:.ËÁW?]Ë7¯^Ë».+:7¼<br />

VË.+-ËÝËjÄË?Á~jË?¬ËÁÝÍË<br />

ETF (NYSE Arca: ELG), “SPYG”<br />

VË.+-ËÝËjÄË aË?¬Ë7?ÖjË0Ë<br />

®!:.ËÁW?]Ë 7¯^Ë» :7¼<br />

VË.+-ËÝËjÄË aË?¬ËÁÝÍË<br />

ETF (NYSE EMG), “MDYG”<br />

VË.+-ËÝËjÄË.?Ë?¬Ë0Ë®!:.Ë<br />

Arca: DSC), “SLY”<br />

VË.+-ËÝËjÄË.?Ë?¬Ë7?ÖjË0Ë<br />

®!:.ËÁW?]Ë.7¯^Ë».:7¼<br />

VË.+-ËÝËjÄË.?Ë?¬ËÁÝÍË<br />

ETF (NYSE Arca: DSG), “SLYG”<br />

Dow Jones Indexes Launches<br />

Venture Capital Index<br />

In late October, Dow Jones Indexes<br />

ajMÖÍjaË ÍÄË ÝË jÄË 2±.±Ë 7jÍÖÁjË<br />

Capital Index, which the firm developed<br />

in collaboration with Sand Hill<br />

Econometrics.<br />

The new index tracks U.S.-<br />

headquartered <strong>com</strong>panies financed by<br />

venture capital that are not yet publicly<br />

traded, with <strong>com</strong>ponents selected from<br />

ÍjË ÝË jÄË 7jÍÖÁj.ÖÁWjË a?Í?-<br />

base of private investment firms and<br />

venture-backed <strong>com</strong>panies. Because<br />

the <strong>com</strong>ponents are not publicly traded,<br />

the index’s values are determined<br />

ÖÄ~Ë a?Í?Ë wÁË ÍjË 7jÍÖÁj.ÖÁWjË<br />

database and Sand Hill’s proprietary<br />

valuation methodology. The index is<br />

published quarterly, as the underlying<br />

data required to value the <strong>com</strong>panies is<br />

only available on a quarterly basis.<br />

Components can be included only<br />

after receiving an initial venture capital<br />

investment, and are removed in the<br />

case of a merger, acquisition or initial<br />

public offering—or if they go out of<br />

business. Firms funded by a private<br />

investor or leveraged buyout fund are<br />

not eligible for inclusion.<br />

Stoxx Expands<br />

International Lineup<br />

Stoxx Ltd. said in November that<br />

it had expanded its offering of bluechip<br />

indexes beyond Europe. The firm<br />

launched three new indexes targeting<br />

the largest and most liquid stocks<br />

in their respective markets: the Stoxx<br />

North America 50, the Stoxx Asia/Pacific<br />

50 and the Stoxx Global 150.<br />

The two regional blue-chip indexes are<br />

each subsets of two broader indexes: the<br />

Stoxx Americas 600 and the Stoxx Asia/<br />

Pacific 600. Meanwhile, the global index<br />

represents the <strong>com</strong>bined <strong>com</strong>ponents of<br />

the Stoxx North America 50, the Stoxx<br />

Asia/Pacific 50 and the Stoxx Europe 50,<br />

another of the firm’s blue-chip indexes.<br />

Nasdaq Rolls Out Alpha Indexes<br />

At the start of November, Nasdaq<br />

OMX Group launched five indexes that<br />

track the relative performance of a single<br />

stock or ETF against another single stock<br />

54<br />

January / February 2011


News<br />

or leading ETF. In doing so, the indexes<br />

reflect the correlation between individual<br />

stocks and ETFs in a way that can help<br />

investors capture returns even when the<br />

market is down, according to Nasdaq.<br />

The initial indexes in the series<br />

include:<br />

VËË!?Äa?Ë# 9ˬ?Ë+ËÜıË.+:Ë<br />

ajÞË®¬¬jËÄÍWËÜıËÍjË.+-Ë.F+Ë<br />

500 ETF)<br />

VËË!?Äa?Ë# 9ˬ?ËËÜıË.+:Ë<br />

ajÞË®ÍjË.+-ËaË0ÁÖÄÍËÜıËÍjË<br />

.+-Ë.F+ËyååË0¯<br />

VËË!?Äa?Ë# 9ˬ?Ë00ËÜıË.+:Ë<br />

ajÞË®0Áj?ÄÖÁßËÍjÄËÜıËÍjË.+-Ë<br />

.F+ËyååË0¯<br />

VËË!?Äa?Ë# 9ˬ?ËËÜıË9ËajÞË<br />

®Í~ÁÖ¬ËÄÍWËÜıËÍjË?W?Ë<br />

.jjWÍË.jWÍÁË.+-ËÖa¯Ë<br />

VËË!?Äa?Ë# 9ˬ?Ë ËÜıË.+:ËajÞË<br />

®ÍjË.?ÁjÄË .ËjÁ~~Ë ?ÁjÍÄË<br />

0ËÜıËÍjË.+-Ë.F+ËyååË0¯<br />

The indexes began real-time calcula-<br />

ÍËË#Wͱˤ¤±<br />

AROUND THE WORLD OF ETFs<br />

Vanguard Debuts<br />

Russell-Based ETFs<br />

Vanguard launched seven new funds<br />

M?ÄjaË Ë -ÖÄÄjË ajÞjÄË Ë .j¬ÍjMjÁË<br />

as part of an ambitious expansion plan<br />

to have a broad lineup of Vanguard<br />

products that give different advisers who<br />

favor different indexes the tools they<br />

need. In keeping with Vanguard’s aggressive<br />

stance on expenses, the new funds<br />

carry annual expense ratios ranging from<br />

層ÔˬjÁWjÍËÍËå±ÔåˬjÁWjÍq¬ÁWjaËÍË<br />

ÖajÁWÖÍËÍÄË?ËW¬jÍÍÁ^Ë.?Ájı<br />

0jËjÝË-ÖÄÄjM?ÄjaËwÖaÄ^ËÍjÁËÍWers<br />

and annual expense ratios are:<br />

VËË7?~Ö?ÁaË-ÖÄÄjˤåååË0Ë®!?Äa?Ë<br />

]Ë7#!¯^Ë層ÔˬjÁWjÍ<br />

VËË7?~Ö?ÁaË-ÖÄÄjˤåååË7?ÖjË0Ë<br />

®!?Äa?Ë ]Ë7#!7¯^Ë層yˬjÁWjÍ<br />

VËË7?~Ö?ÁaË-ÖÄÄjˤåååËÁÝÍË0Ë<br />

®!?Äa?Ë ]Ë7#!¯^Ë層yˬjÁWjÍ<br />

VËË7?~Ö?ÁaË-ÖÄÄjËÔåååËajÞËÖaË<br />

®!?Äa?Ë ]Ë708#¯^Ë層yˬjÁWjÍ<br />

VËË7?~Ö?ÁaË-ÖÄÄjËÔåååË7?ÖjËajÞË<br />

ÖaË®!?Äa?Ë ]Ë7087¯^Ëå±ÔåˬjÁWjÍ<br />

VËË7?~Ö?ÁaË-ÖÄÄjËÔåååËÁÝÍËajÞË<br />

ÖaË®!?Äa?Ë ]Ë708¯^Ëå±ÔåˬjÁWjÍ<br />

VËË7?~Ö?ÁaË-ÖÄÄjËÏåååËajÞËÖaË<br />

®!?Äa?Ë ]Ë70-¯^Ë層yˬjÁWjÍ<br />

Van Eck Debuts<br />

First-Ever Rare Earths ETF<br />

Ë?ÍjË#WÍMjÁ^Ë7?ËWËM?ËÁjaË<br />

ÖÍË ÍjË ?ÁjÍË 7jWÍÁÄË -?ÁjË ?ÁÍÊ<br />

.ÍÁ?Íj~WË jÍ?ÄË 0Ë ®!:.Ë ÁW?]Ë - 9¯^Ë<br />

which invests in <strong>com</strong>panies engaged in the<br />

production, refining and recycling of rareearth<br />

and strategic metals and minerals.<br />

The new fund is the latest foray by<br />

?Ë 2±.±Ë 0Ë Ä¬ÄÁË ÍË ÁË jÍ?Ä^Ë<br />

amid surging global demand for materials<br />

like gallium, which is used to make a<br />

host of specialized high-tech equipment.<br />

.ÍÁ?Íj~WË jÍ?ÄË ?ÁjË jÄÄjÍ?Ë ÍË ?ßË<br />

aÖÄÍÁjıËÝjÜjÁ^ËÍjÄjËjÍ?Ä^ËwÍjË<br />

byproducts of other mining operations,<br />

are not only difficult to extract but are<br />

also likely to be in increasingly short<br />

supply in the next few years.<br />

- 9ËÍÁ?WÄË?Ë?ËajÞËwËÔ|ËW¬?-<br />

nies engaged in the production, refin-<br />

~Ë ?aË ÁjWßW~Ë wË Ö¬Ë ÍË |Ë Á?ÁjË<br />

earth and strategic metals and miner-<br />

?Ä±Ë - 9Ë ?ÄË ?Ë jÍË jÞ¬jÄjË Á?ÍË wË<br />

0.57 percent.<br />

US ETF Assets Top $900 Billion<br />

ÄÄjÍÄËË2±.±Ë0ÄËWÁÄÄjaËÍjËgååË<br />

billion threshold for the first time on<br />

.j¬Í±ËÔo^ˬÁ¬jjaËMßËwÝÄËÍË~aË<br />

and other <strong>com</strong>modities and a strong<br />

move in the equity markets.<br />

To be sure, the jitters coursing<br />

through the global economy have made<br />

the asset gathering anything but linear.<br />

Europe’s sovereign debt crisis caused a<br />

dip in assets in early spring. But since<br />

June, assets have been rising again. The<br />

ÁjËÍ?ˤ^åååË2±.Ë0ÄË?aË?ËÍÍ?ËwË<br />

gåϱÏoËMË?ÄËwË.j¬Í±ËÔo±Ë<br />

M?ß^Ë ÍjË 0Ë aÖÄÍÁßË ÝË ?ÄË<br />

?MÖÍËg¤±ÏyËÍÁËË?ÄÄjÍÄ^ËWÖa~Ë<br />

wÖaÄËÄÍjaËËÖÁ¬jË?aËÄ?±Ë<br />

WisdomTree Launches<br />

Commodity Currency ETF<br />

8Äa0ÁjjË ?ÖWjaË ?Ë jÝË<br />

“<strong>com</strong>modity currency” fund in late<br />

.j¬ÍjMjÁ±<br />

0jË8Äa0ÁjjËÁjßwÖÄËaÍßË<br />

ÖÁÁjWßËÖaË®!:.ËÁW?]Ë9¯ËÍÁ?WÄË?Ë<br />

basket of eight currencies of emerging<br />

as well as developed <strong>com</strong>modity-proaÖW~ËjWjÄ]ËÍjËÖÄÍÁ??Ëa?Á^Ë<br />

??a?Ëa?Á^Ë!ÁÝj~?ËÁj^Ë!jÝË<br />

=j??aË a?Á^Ë Á?ã?Ë Áj?^Ë j?Ë<br />

¬jÄ^Ë -ÖÄÄ?Ë ÁÖMjË ?aË .ÖÍË wÁW?Ë<br />

rand. The countries’ exports include<br />

everything from milk and mutton to<br />

gold, diamonds, silver and oil.<br />

9Ë?ÄËÍËÍÁ?WËÍjËjßË?ÁjÍË<br />

rates in each of the eight currencies as<br />

well as the changes in those rates rela-<br />

ÍÜjË ÍË ÍjË 2±.±Ë a?ÁË MßË WM~Ë ?Ë<br />

2±.±Ë W?ÄË M?ÄjË ÝÍË wÁÝ?ÁaË WÖÁÁjWßË<br />

contracts. The new fund carries an<br />

expense ratio of 0.55 percent.<br />

Pimco Launches BABs,<br />

Corporates ETFs<br />

+WË ?ÖWjaË ÍÝË jÝË 0ÄË Ë<br />

.j¬ÍjMjÁË wWÖÄjaË Ë ÜjÄÍjÍ<br />

grade corporate bonds and Build<br />

jÁW?Ë aÄËÖW¬?ËajMͱ<br />

0jË +WË ÜjÄÍjÍË Á?ajË<br />

Á¬Á?ÍjË aËajÞËÖaË®!:.ËÁW?]Ë<br />

#-+¯Ë ÄË M?ÄjaË Ë ÍjË wË jÁÁË<br />

ßWË 2.Ë Á¬Á?ÍjË ajÞ^Ë ?Ë Ö?-<br />

?~jaË ajÞË W¬ÁÄ~Ë 2±.±Ë a?Á<br />

denominated, fixed-rate corporate debt<br />

ÝÍË?ÍËj?ÄÍËgÔyåËËÖÍÄÍ?a~±Ë<br />

+W¾ÄËwÖaËÝËÍÁ?WËÍjËajÞËÖÄ~Ë<br />

a proprietary representative sampling<br />

¬ÁWjÄÄ±Ë #-+Ë W?ÁÁjÄË ÍÍ?Ë ¬jÁ?Í~Ë<br />

jÞ¬jÄjÄËwËå±ÏÔˬjÁWjͱ<br />

0jË +WË ÖaË jÁW?Ë aÄË<br />

.ÍÁ?Íj~ßË ÖaË ®!:.Ë ÁW?]Ë =¯Ë ÄË<br />

an actively managed ETF that invests<br />

Ë ÜjÄÍjÍ~Á?ajË ÖaË jÁW?Ë<br />

aÄË ÄÍjaË Ë ÍjË ?ÁW?ßÄË ?¬Í?Ë<br />

ÖaËjÁW?Ë aÄËajÞËÝÍË?ˬ?ÁË<br />

Ü?ÖjË wË ?ÍË j?ÄÍË gÔyåË ±Ë =Ë<br />

W?ÁÁjÄË?ËjÞ¬jÄjËÁ?ÍËwËå±|yˬjÁ-<br />

WjÍ±Ë ÖaËjÁW?Ë aÄË?ÁjËÍ?Þ?MjË<br />

municipal bonds.<br />

Claymore Changes<br />

Name To Guggenheim<br />

?ßÁjË .jWÖÁÍjÄË W±Ë W?~jaË ÍÄË<br />

?jËÍËÖ~~jjËÖaÄËÄÍÁMÖÍÁÄË<br />

Inc. in the latest developments following<br />

?ßÁj¾ÄË ?WÖÄÍË MßË Ö~~jjË<br />

?ÄÍË#WÍMjÁ±Ë0jËW¬?ßË?ÄËW?~jaË<br />

the names of most of its ETFs to include<br />

ÍjËÖ~~jjË?j±<br />

0jËÁj?jaË?ßÁjËMÖÄjÄÄËÝË<br />

continue to support the current product<br />

lineup of ETFs, unit investment<br />

trusts and closed-end funds, and their<br />

respective strategies and investment<br />

56<br />

January / February 2011


policies won’t change, Guggenheim<br />

said in a press release.<br />

The renamed ETFs will retain their<br />

existing ticker symbols.<br />

iShares Launches 3<br />

Emerging Market ETFs<br />

iShares, the world’s biggest ETF<br />

<strong>com</strong>pany, launched three targeted<br />

emerging markets funds to its lineup<br />

in September, adding <strong>com</strong>petition to<br />

what has be<strong>com</strong>e the hottest asset class<br />

in the investment universe.<br />

The funds include the following:<br />

VËË.?ÁjÄË .Ë Á?ãË.?Ë?¬ËajÞË<br />

Fund (NYSE Arca: EWZS)<br />

VËË.?ÁjÄË .Ë?Ë.?Ë?¬ËajÞË<br />

ÖaË®!:.ËÁW?]Ë!.¯Ë<br />

VËË.?ÁjÄË .Ë+¬¬jÄËÜjÄÍ?MjË<br />

?ÁjÍËajÞËÖaË®!:.ËÁW?]Ë+¯<br />

Emerging markets have be<strong>com</strong>e<br />

increasingly popular among investors<br />

since the 2008-2009 global stock market<br />

crash. While the developed world<br />

is mired in sluggish growth, developing<br />

countries are growing.<br />

iShares is charging annual expense<br />

ratios of 0.65 percent on all three funds.<br />

Credit Suisse Debuts<br />

Merger Arb ETN<br />

ÁjaÍË .ÖÄÄj^Ë ÍjË .ÝÍãjÁ?a<br />

based investment bank and asset<br />

manager, rolled out an ETN in early<br />

October that attempts to profit from<br />

merger activity.<br />

0jË ÁjaÍË .ÖÄÄjË jÁ~jÁË ÁMÍÁ?~jË<br />

ÖaË ajÞË 0!Ë ®!:.Ë ÁW?]Ë . ¯Ë<br />

aims to capture the spread between<br />

the price at which the stock of a target<br />

<strong>com</strong>pany trades after a proposed<br />

acquisition is announced, and the price<br />

which the acquiring <strong>com</strong>pany has proposed<br />

to pay for the target.<br />

The ETN is based on an index that<br />

uses a quantitative methodology to<br />

track a dynamic basket of securities<br />

held as long or short positions and<br />

W?Ä±Ë ÍÄË a~ÄË ÝË MjË Ýj~ÍjaË Ë<br />

accordance with certain rules to include<br />

publicly announced merger and acquisition<br />

transactions that meet certain<br />

qualifying conditions.<br />

The ETN has an annual expense ratio<br />

of 0.55 percent.<br />

iShares Chip ETF Gets<br />

New Name And Index<br />

iShares changed the index and name<br />

wËÍÄË.F+Ë!ÁÍËjÁW?Ë0jW~ßË<br />

Ë .jWaÖWÍÁÄË ajÞË ÖaË ®!:.Ë<br />

ÁW?]Ë8¯Ë?aË?ÄËÄwÍjaËÍÄˬÁ?ÁßË<br />

listing to Nasdaq, effective Oct. 15.<br />

The ETF’s new underlying benchmark<br />

ÄËÍjË+9Ë.jWaÖWÍÁË.jWÍÁËajÞ^Ë<br />

ÝË?ÄË».#9¼ÇË;ÄËMjjËÁj?jaË?ÄËÍjË<br />

.?ÁjÄË+9Ë.#9Ë.jWaÖWÍÁË.jWÍÁË<br />

ajÞËÖa±ËÍÄËjÝËÍWjÁËÄË».#99^¼Ë?aË<br />

it has shifted to the Nasdaq from the New<br />

York Stock Exchange’s Arca platform.<br />

iShares said in a press release that<br />

the changes are aimed at attracting<br />

more investors to the microchip fund,<br />

which had an industry-leading $243.6<br />

million under management.<br />

Although leveraged and inverse-levjÁ?~jaË<br />

0ÄË Í?ÍË ÍÁ?WË ÍjË .#9Ë ajÞË<br />

?ÁjË ?Ü??Mj^Ë .?ÁjÄ¾Ë jÝË .#99Ë wÖaË<br />

will be<strong>com</strong>e the first single-exposure,<br />

~ßË.#9M?ÄjaË0±<br />

iShares said that investors who want<br />

to remain in its semiconductor sector<br />

fund needn’t take any action in connection<br />

with the changes.<br />

iShares, JP Morgan In Race<br />

To Launch Copper ETF<br />

Ë ?ÍjË #WÍMjÁ^Ë ÍÝË ÝjÝË<br />

firms filed for physical copper ETFs.<br />

The first registered product was the<br />

±+±Ë Á~?Ë +ßÄW?Ë ¬¬jÁË .?ÁjÄË<br />

ETF. According to the filing, its investment<br />

objective “is for the shares to<br />

reflect the performance of the price of<br />

+ßÄW?ˬ¬jÁËÁ?ajË^¼ËjÄÄËjÞ¬jÄjıË<br />

0jË 0Ë ÄË ÍjË ßË jË Í?ÍË ±+±Ë<br />

Á~?Ë ?ÄË Ë Áj~ÄÍÁ?Í^Ë ?aË ÍjË<br />

firm has no listed ETFs.<br />

A few days later, iShares filed for a<br />

similar product. The price of iShares<br />

¬¬jÁË 0ÁÖÄÍË Ä?ÁjÄË ÝË MjË M?ÄjaË Ë<br />

ÄjÍÍjjÍˬÁWjÄËwËÍjËaË jÍ?ÄË<br />

Exchange, the filing said. The copper will<br />

be stored in warehouses at locations in<br />

the United States or in other places if it<br />

has approval from the trustee and the<br />

sponsor, the paperwork said.<br />

The only existing exchange-traded<br />

product similar to the proposed funds<br />

ÄË ÍjË +?ÍË ÝË jÄ2 .Ë ¬¬jÁË<br />

Subindex Total Return ETN (NYSE Arca:<br />

¯^Ë ?Ë ajMÍË ÄÍÁÖjÍË Í?ÍË ÍÁ?WÄË<br />

jÞËW¬¬jÁËwÖÍÖÁjıË<br />

¬¬jÁË ?ÄË MjjË Äjj~Ë WÁj?Ä~Ë<br />

demand, and its usage is looked at as a<br />

bellwether for the global economy.<br />

Neither filing specified a ticker symbol<br />

or an expense ratio.<br />

New ETFS Product<br />

Has All That Glitters<br />

ETF Securities launched during<br />

October the first-ever physical precious<br />

metals basket to list in the U.S.. The ETFS<br />

+ßÄW?Ë +ÁjWÖÄË jÍ?Ë ?ÄjÍË .?ÁjÄË<br />

(NYSE Arca: GLTR) is already available<br />

to investors in Europe, Australia and<br />

Japan, and is designed to streamline the<br />

process of achieving the portfolio diversification<br />

that precious metals afford.<br />

Each share of GLTR holds 0.03 ounces<br />

wË~aÇˤ±¤ËÖWjÄËwËÄÜjÁÇËå±åå|ËÖWjÄË<br />

wË ¬?ÍÖÇË ?aË å±ååÉË ÖWjÄË wË ¬?ladium.<br />

According to ETFS, the formula<br />

<strong>com</strong>es from using a screen that takes into<br />

account variables on each of the metals,<br />

including liquidity, new mining supply,<br />

total demand and industrial supply.<br />

The fund charges an annual expense<br />

ratio of 0.60 percent.<br />

Van Eck Debuts<br />

China A-Shares Fund<br />

Ëa#WÍMjÁ^Ë7?ËWË?ÖWjaË?Ë<br />

0Ë Í?ÍË Í?¬ÄË ÍË ÍjË ?Ë Ä?ÁjÄË<br />

?ÁjÍ±Ë 0jË ?ÁjÍË 7jWÍÁÄË ?Ë 0Ë<br />

®!:.Ë ÁW?]Ë +¯Ë ~ÜjÄË ÜjÄÍÁÄË wÁÍ<br />

row access to the performance of the<br />

?ËÄ?ÁjÄË?ÁjÍËÍÁÖ~ËÍjËÖÄjËwË<br />

swaps and derivative instruments while<br />

ÍÁ?W~Ë ÍjË .Ë ÏååË ajÞ^Ë ÝWË W-<br />

¬ÁÄjÄËÄjßË?ËÄ?ÁjÄËÄjWÖÁÍjı<br />

?ËÄ?ÁjÄË?ÁjËÄjWÖÁÍjÄËwÁË<br />

??aË ?M?ÄjaË W¬?jÄ^Ë<br />

and have been mostly off limits to<br />

foreign investment and tightly regu-<br />

?ÍjaËMßËÍjË~ÜjÁjÍ±Ë ÖÍË~~Ë<br />

financial reforms that aim to improve<br />

foreign investment in mainland <strong>com</strong>panies<br />

are slowly making A-shares<br />

more accessible.<br />

The fund, which in its initial stages<br />

will <strong>com</strong>prise swaps and derivatives,<br />

will eventually hold actual A-Shares<br />

ÄjWÖÁÍjÄË?wÍjÁË7?ËWËÁjWjÜjÄËÖ?wjaËwÁj~ËÄÍÍÖÍ?ËÜjÄÍÁË®,¯Ë<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

57


News<br />

status, according to Van Eck.<br />

PEK <strong>com</strong>es with an expense ratio of<br />

0.72 percent.<br />

BACK TO THE FUTURES<br />

CME Launches Weekly<br />

Nasdaq-100 Options<br />

The CME Group listed weekly<br />

options on futures on the Nasdaq-100<br />

index as of Oct. 18. The options are<br />

available for both the standard ($100<br />

multiplier) and the e-mini ($20 multiplier)<br />

futures on the index.<br />

With weekly options available, investors<br />

will be able to buy options on<br />

futures expiring on any Friday of the<br />

month, rather than just on the third<br />

Friday. The contracts are Europeanstyle<br />

exercise, with the expiration price<br />

based on a weighted average of e-mini<br />

Nasdaq-100 futures in the last 30 seconds<br />

of trading Friday.<br />

CME Group Volume<br />

Rises In October<br />

October saw the CME Group experience<br />

a 6 percent jump in volume from the<br />

prior year, reaching an average daily contract<br />

volume of 11.4 million contracts.<br />

However, its suite of equity index<br />

products was the worst-performing<br />

group. Index-related derivatives represented<br />

about 24 percent of the<br />

exchange’s total ADV for October 2010;<br />

in October 2009, they were 26 percent<br />

of the total ADV. That decline in the<br />

share of ADV was ac<strong>com</strong>panied by an<br />

actual decline in ADV of 6 percent from<br />

the prior year to 2.7 million contracts.<br />

KNOW YOUR OPTIONS<br />

CFTC Mulls Options<br />

Trade On PPLT, PALL<br />

The Commodity Futures Trading<br />

Commission is considering a request<br />

to allow trading in options of ETF<br />

Securities’ physical platinum and palladium<br />

exchange-traded funds.<br />

If the CFTC approves the request,<br />

it would mark the first time options<br />

trading is allowed for platinum and palladium<br />

ETFs.<br />

To begin trading options on its ETFS<br />

Physical Platinum Shares (NYSE Arca:<br />

PPLT) and the ETFS Physical Palladium<br />

Shares (NYSE Arca: PALL), ETF Securities<br />

and its clearing agent must first obtain<br />

“exemptive relief” under Rule 4(c) of<br />

the Commodity Exchange Act.<br />

The request for exemptive relief was<br />

made by the Options Clearing Corporation,<br />

which acts as both the issuer and guarantor<br />

of options and futures contracts.<br />

CBOE’s October Volume Falls<br />

The Chicago Board Options Exchange<br />

saw its average daily volume fall 6 percent<br />

year-over-year in October, working<br />

out to 4.3 million contracts.<br />

Interestingly, the October volumes<br />

for ETF and equity index options<br />

were higher than those of the equity<br />

options. While the ADV for equity<br />

options was down 12 percent, the<br />

ADV for equity index options was up 4<br />

percent and the ADV for ETF options<br />

was down just 2 percent.<br />

Among the index and ETF options<br />

contracts, the contracts on the S&P 500<br />

Index, SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE Arca: SPY),<br />

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), PowerShares<br />

QQQ Trust (Nasdaq GM: QQQQ) and<br />

SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE Arca: GLD) were<br />

the most actively traded.<br />

ON THE MOVE<br />

Bowen Takes Control<br />

Of First Trust<br />

First Trust LP’s President James<br />

Bowen has acquired control of the<br />

Wheaton, Ill.-based money management<br />

firm, and while the transaction<br />

won’t affect the day-to-day operations<br />

of any First Trust funds, the change<br />

of ownership means shareholders will<br />

have to approve the new management.<br />

Terms of the transaction under<br />

which Bowen acquired 100 percent<br />

of the voting stock of the fund <strong>com</strong>pany’s<br />

general partner, The Charger<br />

Corp., weren’t disclosed in a press<br />

release First Trust disseminated on<br />

Oct. 12. Bowen has been with First<br />

Trust since it was founded in 1991<br />

and was part of a predecessor entity<br />

before then as well.<br />

Shareholders of record as of Sept. 30<br />

were to vote on the new management<br />

in December, the press release said.<br />

The transaction closed on Oct. 12.<br />

Ebner To Head SPDR<br />

Product Development<br />

State Street Global Advisors, the<br />

world’s No. 2 ETF <strong>com</strong>pany, named<br />

Scott Ebner to the newly created post<br />

of managing director and global head<br />

of ETF product development.<br />

Ebner joins State Street from NYSE<br />

Euronext, where he oversaw the listing<br />

and trading of ETFs, warrants, certificates,<br />

structured notes and other<br />

exchange-traded products.<br />

In his new role, Ebner will head<br />

product development and focus on<br />

expanding State Street’s share of the<br />

growing global ETF business.<br />

Bourcier Leaves Lyxor<br />

According to reports in Portfolio<br />

International and the Financial Times,<br />

Isabelle Bourcier, global head of ETFs<br />

at Lyxor, the subsidiary of French bank<br />

Société Générale, is leaving the firm to<br />

pursue other opportunities.<br />

Portfolio International reported additionally<br />

that Thomas Meyer zu Drewer,<br />

head of Lyxor’s German ETF operation,<br />

is shortly to move to Commerzbank as<br />

head of European business.<br />

Lyxor is adding other senior staff,<br />

however, including Simon Klein, formerly<br />

global head of sales for Deutsche Bank’s<br />

db x-trackers arm, says the publication.<br />

Nizam Hamid, previously head of<br />

sales strategy at iShares, is shortly to<br />

join Lyxor; originally his planned role at<br />

Lyxor, according to sources, was to be<br />

global co-head of ETFs with Bourcier.<br />

Topix Head Moves To Singapore<br />

As of November, Masayuki Kato has<br />

moved to Singapore, where he is now the<br />

general manager and chief representative<br />

of the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s office<br />

there. He will be responsible for managing<br />

the exchange’s relationships with other<br />

exchanges and financial institutions.<br />

Kato was previously the head of<br />

the TSE’s index operations, overseeing<br />

index development and licensing.<br />

The exchange’s best-known index is<br />

the widely used Topix benchmark,<br />

which covers Japan’s stock market<br />

and underlies a broad range of products<br />

around the world.<br />

58<br />

January / February 2011


Global Index Data<br />

Selected Major Indexes Sorted By YTD Returns<br />

January/February 2011<br />

Total Return % Annualized Return %<br />

Index Name YTD 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 3-Yr 5-Yr 10-Yr 15-Yr Sharpe Std Dev<br />

MSCI Sri Lanka* 72.97 184.15 -62.09 -15.15 42.78 30.70 7.81 42.09 22.78 12.17 20.73 6.80 0.61 50.98<br />

MSCI Colombia* 57.93 76.50 -27.68 12.64 10.92 102.31 125.66 59.01 25.83 27.93 39.73 17.80 0.83 33.87<br />

Alerian MLP 31.03 76.41 -36.91 12.72 26.07 6.32 16.67 44.54 12.11 14.35 18.94 - 0.56 23.90<br />

AMEX Gold Miners* 24.00 37.30 -26.79 16.86 21.86 29.08 -9.56 47.07 4.82 16.98 - - 0.32 47.88<br />

S&P MidCap 400/Citi Growth 18.43 41.08 -37.61 13.50 5.81 14.39 15.79 37.32 -0.05 5.89 5.37 12.93 0.10 26.07<br />

DJ Transportation Average 17.51 18.58 -21.41 1.43 9.81 11.65 27.73 31.84 0.76 6.10 7.08 7.62 0.14 28.28<br />

Wilshire 4500 Completion 16.24 36.99 -39.03 5.39 15.28 10.03 18.10 43.84 -3.02 4.41 3.78 7.99 -0.02 26.23<br />

Barclays EM 16.15 34.23 -14.75 5.15 9.96 12.27 11.89 26.93 9.94 9.83 11.16 12.09 0.65 15.13<br />

S&P MidCap 400 15.42 37.38 -36.23 7.98 10.32 12.56 16.48 35.62 -1.41 4.93 6.12 11.02 0.05 26.07<br />

Russell 2000 Growth 14.97 34.47 -38.54 7.05 13.35 4.15 14.31 48.54 -3.81 3.99 1.15 4.53 -0.03 27.97<br />

S&P SmallCap 600/Citi Growth 14.91 28.35 -32.94 5.60 10.54 7.02 24.27 38.43 -3.20 3.59 5.91 8.40 -0.01 27.06<br />

NASDAQ 100 14.83 54.61 -41.57 19.24 - - - - -1.10 - - - 0.06 26.38<br />

MSCI World Small Cap 14.72 44.12 -41.88 0.79 17.20 15.71 24.31 57.79 -4.46 4.22 7.98 - -0.05 27.63<br />

Barclays US Corp High Yield 14.41 58.21 -26.16 1.87 11.85 2.74 11.13 28.97 9.46 9.08 8.58 7.46 0.56 17.32<br />

Russell Micro Cap 14.02 27.48 -39.78 -8.00 16.54 2.57 14.14 66.36 -7.26 -0.40 5.32 - -0.14 29.31<br />

MSCI EM 13.97 78.51 -53.33 39.39 32.17 34.00 25.55 55.82 -3.98 14.94 - - 0.02 33.03<br />

Wilshire 5000 Equal Weight* 13.80 83.16 -44.96 -6.69 18.91 5.53 28.89 92.83 1.44 5.19 12.21 14.52 0.17 31.51<br />

Russell 2000 13.58 27.17 -33.79 -1.57 18.37 4.55 18.33 47.25 -3.91 3.07 4.89 7.33 -0.03 28.00<br />

MSCI EAFE Small Cap 13.38 46.78 -47.01 1.45 19.31 26.19 30.78 61.35 -7.56 3.53 8.67 - -0.15 28.76<br />

S&P SmallCap 600 13.28 25.57 -31.07 -0.30 15.12 7.68 22.65 38.79 -3.43 3.12 6.56 9.20 -0.02 27.67<br />

Dow Jones US Select Dividend 13.02 11.13 -30.97 -5.16 19.56 3.77 18.14 30.16 -6.64 -0.17 6.83 9.59 -0.20 23.94<br />

S&P 500 Equal Weighted 12.72 46.31 -39.72 1.53 15.80 8.06 16.95 40.97 -2.28 4.22 5.62 9.37 0.02 26.93<br />

S&P MidCap 400/Citi Value 12.52 33.73 -34.87 2.65 14.62 10.80 17.19 33.81 -2.78 3.88 6.77 9.15 0.00 26.43<br />

Russell 2000 Value 12.10 20.58 -28.92 -9.78 23.48 4.71 22.25 46.03 -4.13 2.02 8.16 9.54 -0.03 28.72<br />

S&P SmallCap 600/Citi Value 11.75 22.85 -29.51 -5.54 19.57 8.33 21.06 39.09 -3.82 2.58 7.02 9.83 -0.02 28.57<br />

Barclays US Credit 10.67 16.04 -3.08 5.11 4.26 1.96 5.24 7.70 7.93 6.74 7.10 6.69 0.88 8.09<br />

Barclays US Treasury TIPS 9.84 11.41 -2.35 11.64 0.41 2.84 8.46 8.40 7.44 6.32 7.64 - 0.76 8.92<br />

Russell 3000 Growth 9.76 37.01 -38.44 11.40 9.46 5.17 6.93 30.97 -3.93 3.28 -2.25 5.44 -0.10 22.63<br />

Russell 1000 Growth 9.35 37.21 -38.44 11.81 9.07 5.26 6.30 29.75 -3.94 3.21 -2.52 5.58 -0.10 22.29<br />

DJ Industrial Average 8.96 22.68 -31.93 8.88 19.05 1.72 5.31 28.28 -4.50 4.01 2.53 8.15 -0.17 19.99<br />

Russell 3000 8.88 28.34 -37.31 5.14 15.72 6.12 11.95 31.06 -5.96 2.08 0.62 6.92 -0.19 22.73<br />

S&P 500/Citi Growth 8.82 31.57 -34.92 9.13 11.01 1.14 6.97 27.08 -3.43 3.12 -2.22 6.42 -0.10 21.03<br />

Barclays Treasury 8.57 -3.57 13.74 9.01 3.08 2.79 3.54 2.24 7.09 6.32 6.10 6.16 1.10 5.72<br />

Citigroup WGBI 8.54 2.55 10.89 10.95 6.12 -6.88 10.35 14.91 8.07 7.74 7.93 6.06 0.83 8.93<br />

Russell 1000 8.48 28.43 -37.60 5.77 15.46 6.27 11.40 29.89 -6.14 1.99 0.29 6.94 -0.20 22.38<br />

Barclays US Aggregate Bond 8.33 5.93 5.24 6.97 4.33 2.43 4.34 4.10 7.23 6.45 6.38 6.36 1.51 4.14<br />

Barclays Global Aggregate 8.31 6.93 4.79 9.48 6.64 -4.49 9.27 12.51 7.23 7.28 7.50 6.15 0.84 7.70<br />

Russell 3000 Value 8.00 19.76 -36.25 -1.01 22.34 6.85 16.94 31.14 -8.14 0.73 3.04 7.75 -0.27 23.51<br />

Barclays US Government 7.98 -2.20 12.39 8.66 3.48 2.65 3.48 2.36 6.92 6.23 6.08 6.15 1.20 5.07<br />

S&P 500 7.84 26.46 -37.00 5.49 15.79 4.91 10.88 28.68 -6.49 1.73 -0.02 6.74 -0.23 21.92<br />

Russell 1000 Value 7.63 19.69 -36.85 -0.17 22.25 7.05 16.49 30.03 -8.49 0.62 2.64 7.65 -0.30 23.17<br />

06&,3DFLûF 7.23 24.18 -36.42 5.30 12.20 22.64 18.98 38.48 -7.58 2.17 2.40 1.38 -0.26 22.89<br />

S&P 500/Citi Value 6.85 21.18 -39.22 1.99 20.80 5.82 15.71 31.79 -9.68 0.17 0.87 6.50 -0.34 23.86<br />

MSCI Kokusai (World Ex Japan) 6.56 33.14 -41.96 10.66 21.95 7.67 14.62 32.83 -7.95 3.07 1.61 6.77 -0.25 24.40<br />

Barclays Municipal 6.53 12.91 -2.47 3.36 4.84 3.51 4.48 5.31 5.79 5.20 5.59 5.63 0.82 6.03<br />

MSCI BRIC* 6.49 88.79 -60.27 56.12 52.87 39.81 13.63 84.18 -8.83 16.32 14.17 10.55 -0.09 36.12<br />

MSCI World 6.41 29.99 -40.71 9.04 20.07 9.49 14.72 33.11 -8.09 2.54 1.33 5.57 -0.27 23.72<br />

DJ UBS Commodity 5.92 18.91 -35.65 16.23 2.07 21.36 9.15 23.93 -6.35 -0.10 5.96 6.11 -0.18 24.24<br />

Russell Top 200 5.86 24.21 -36.07 5.89 15.53 3.77 8.31 26.68 -7.16 1.22 -1.45 6.12 -0.28 20.99<br />

Dow Jones Utilities Average 5.42 12.47 -27.84 20.11 16.63 25.14 30.24 29.39 -5.00 4.06 4.16 8.57 -0.27 16.74<br />

MSCI EAFE 4.72 31.78 -43.38 11.17 26.34 13.54 20.25 38.59 -9.60 3.31 3.17 4.97 -0.28 26.08<br />

STOXX Europe Total Market 4.50 37.50 -46.75 13.07 35.39 10.11 21.42 41.39 -10.16 4.32 4.00 7.60 -0.26 28.50<br />

STOXX Europe 600 3.98 36.65 -46.54 13.49 35.04 9.93 20.95 40.58 -10.28 4.18 3.82 7.72 -0.26 28.35<br />

MSCI EAFE GDP Weighted 2.37 30.38 -44.82 12.88 27.39 13.68 22.57 42.95 -11.06 2.72 3.10 5.85 -0.31 27.86<br />

MSCI EAFE Value 1.91 34.23 -44.09 5.96 30.38 13.80 24.33 45.30 -10.69 2.51 4.26 6.30 -0.29 27.82<br />

EURO STOXX Total Market -0.48 32.77 -47.59 18.26 37.82 9.35 21.58 46.01 -12.47 3.74 3.23 7.43 -0.27 32.23<br />

S&P GSCI -1.41 13.48 -46.49 32.67 -15.09 25.55 17.28 20.72 -15.20 -7.78 1.43 4.38 -0.38 31.59<br />

Citigroup Greek GBI -18.36 6.98 -3.84 13.25 11.88 -8.95 15.73 25.58 -5.22 1.08 7.90 - -0.18 21.44<br />

MSCI Ireland -21.49 12.28 -71.92 -20.09 46.81 -2.29 43.07 43.83 -40.12 -20.41 -7.98 -2.54 -1.26 35.26<br />

MSCI Greece -33.63 25.05 -66.01 32.91 35.05 16.10 46.06 69.52 -34.39 -11.23 -2.93 - -0.64 47.80<br />

Source: Morningstar. Data as of October 31, 2010. All returns are in US dollars, unless noted. YTD is year-to-date. 3-, 5-, 10- and 15-year returns are annualized. Sharpe is 12-month Sharpe ratio.<br />

Std Dev is 3-year standard deviation. *Indicates price returns. All other indexes are total return.<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong><br />

January / February 2011<br />

59


Index Funds<br />

Largest U.S. Index Mutual Funds Sorted By Total Net Assets In $US Millions<br />

Total Return % Annualized Return %<br />

FPO<br />

January/February 2011<br />

Fund Name Ticker Assets Exp Ratio 3-Mo YTD 2009 2008 3-Yr 5-Yr 10-Yr 15-Yr P/E Std Dev Yield<br />

Vanguard Total Stock Market - Inv VTSMX 65,976.0 0.18 8.38 9.00 28.70 -37.04 -5.70 2.30 0.85 6.88 14.4 22.68 1.81<br />

Vanguard Institutional - Instl VINIX 50,875.2 0.05 7.95 7.82 26.63 -36.95 -6.44 1.76 0.00 6.80 14.3 21.91 2.07<br />

Vanguard 500 - Inv VFINX 46,539.0 0.18 7.92 7.73 26.49 -37.02 -6.54 1.65 -0.11 6.67 14.3 21.92 1.95<br />

Vanguard Total Intl Stock - Inv VGTSX 39,442.6 0.32 10.65 7.43 36.73 -44.10 -8.52 5.33 4.69 - 12.1 28.06 2.22<br />

Vanguard Total Stock Market - Adm VTSAX 35,237.0 0.07 8.41 9.13 28.83 -36.99 -5.60 2.40 0.93 6.94 14.4 22.70 1.92<br />

Vanguard 500 Admiral Class VFIAX 33,155.2 0.07 7.96 7.83 26.62 -36.97 -6.44 1.75 -0.03 6.73 14.3 21.92 2.06<br />

Vanguard Institutional - Instl+ VIIIX 29,529.6 0.02 7.96 7.85 26.66 -36.94 -6.41 1.79 0.03 6.82 14.3 21.91 2.10<br />

Vanguard Total Bond Market II - Inv VTBIX 25,214.5 0.11 1.81 8.21 - - - - - - - - 3.29<br />

Fidelity Spartan 500 - Inv Cl FUSEX 25,067.0 0.10 7.93 7.77 26.51 -37.03 -6.53 1.69 -0.10 6.61 14.7 21.93 1.76<br />

Vanguard Total Bond Market - Adm VBTLX 23,853.1 0.12 1.86 8.37 6.04 5.15 7.27 6.49 6.19 6.21 - 4.19 3.51<br />

Vanguard Total Stock Market - Instl VITSX 22,934.9 0.06 8.45 9.13 28.83 -36.94 -5.58 2.43 0.97 6.99 14.4 22.67 1.92<br />

Vanguard Total Bond Market - Instl VBTIX 21,195.5 0.07 1.87 8.40 6.09 5.19 7.31 6.53 6.24 6.28 - 4.19 3.55<br />

Vanguard Total Bond Market - Inv VBMFX 20,400.9 0.22 1.84 8.27 5.93 5.05 7.16 6.39 6.11 6.16 - 4.19 3.40<br />

Vanguard 500 - Signal VIFSX 17,076.0 0.07 7.97 7.83 26.61 -36.97 -6.44 1.73 -0.07 6.70 14.3 21.92 2.06<br />

Fidelity Spartan 500 - Adv Cl FUSVX 13,365.1 0.07 7.97 7.82 26.55 -37.01 -6.49 1.72 -0.09 6.63 14.7 21.91 1.79<br />

Vanguard Instl Total Stock Mkt - Instl+ VITPX 12,530.1 0.02 8.41 9.14 28.92 -36.89 -5.53 2.49 - - 14.4 22.71 1.94<br />

T. Rowe Price Equity 500 PREIX 12,407.4 0.30 7.89 7.59 26.33 -37.06 -6.65 1.51 -0.26 6.47 14.7 21.89 1.58<br />

Fidelity U.S. Bond FBIDX 11,259.9 0.32 1.67 8.14 6.45 3.76 6.70 5.89 6.13 6.16 - 3.83 3.06<br />

Schwab S&P 500 SWPPX 10,020.5 0.09 7.97 7.84 26.25 -36.72 -6.41 1.75 -0.06 - 15.2 21.84 1.31<br />

Vanguard Total Bond Market II - Instl VTBNX 9,976.7 0.07 1.82 8.25 - - - - - - - - 3.32<br />

Vanguard Total Bond Market - Signal VBTSX 8,510.1 0.12 1.86 8.37 6.04 5.15 7.27 6.47 6.15 6.18 - 4.19 3.51<br />

Vanguard Mid Cap - Instl VMCIX 7,580.1 0.08 9.97 15.08 40.51 -41.76 -3.65 3.91 5.97 - 15.5 26.38 1.05<br />

Vanguard European Stock - Inv VEURX 7,126.8 0.27 11.54 4.66 31.91 -44.73 -10.35 4.04 3.60 7.58 11.1 29.20 3.62<br />

Vanguard Mid Cap - Inv VIMSX 7,093.9 0.27 9.88 14.93 40.22 -41.82 -3.82 3.75 5.81 - 15.5 26.36 0.93<br />

Vanguard Developed Markets - Instl VIDMX 6,921.5 0.08 10.26 5.73 28.17 -41.62 -9.51 3.45 3.19 - 11.5 27.05 1.08<br />

Vanguard Short-Term Bond - Signal VBSSX 6,674.7 0.12 1.29 5.13 4.38 5.51 5.73 5.43 5.01 5.30 - 2.59 2.30<br />

Fidelity Spartan Intl - Inv Cl FSIIX 6,462.4 0.10 10.18 4.91 28.48 -41.43 -9.53 3.40 3.05 - 13.4 27.15 1.99<br />

Vanguard Small Capitalization - Inv NAESX 6,444.5 0.28 8.85 15.04 36.12 -36.07 -2.52 4.13 5.84 8.33 15.4 28.80 0.86<br />

Vanguard Total Bond Mkt - Instl+ VBMPX 6,180.5 0.05 1.88 8.39 5.93 5.05 7.20 6.42 6.12 6.16 - 4.19 -<br />

Fidelity Spartan Total Market - Inv Cl FSTMX 5,814.5 0.10 8.32 9.25 28.39 -37.18 -5.77 2.31 0.86 - 14.9 22.61 1.64<br />

Fidelity Series 100 FOHIX 5,784.2 0.20 7.04 5.42 22.14 -35.44 -7.53 - - - 14.1 20.86 2.15<br />

Vanguard Growth - Inv VIGRX 5,664.4 0.28 10.94 9.76 36.29 -38.32 -3.69 3.30 -0.93 6.81 16.6 22.35 1.04<br />

Vanguard Emerging Markets VEIEX 5,597.1 0.40 11.92 13.86 75.98 -52.81 -4.66 14.27 14.38 9.44 14.2 33.54 1.06<br />

Vanguard Short-Term Bond - Inv VBISX 5,538.9 0.22 1.27 5.04 4.28 5.43 5.63 5.36 4.97 5.28 - 2.59 2.19<br />

Vanguard Extended Market - Instl VIEIX 5,418.5 0.08 9.45 15.23 37.69 -38.58 -3.03 4.17 3.80 8.13 15.8 27.21 1.01<br />

Vanguard Small Capitalization - Instl VSCIX 5,240.2 0.08 8.90 15.22 36.40 -35.98 -2.34 4.30 6.02 8.48 15.4 28.80 1.00<br />

Vanguard Total Stock Market - Signal VTSSX 5,011.7 0.07 8.43 9.10 28.85 -36.99 -5.61 2.38 0.88 6.91 14.4 22.67 1.91<br />

Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock - Adm VEMAX 4,761.1 0.27 11.97 13.98 76.18 -52.76 -4.55 14.39 14.44 9.48 14.2 33.56 1.15<br />

Schwab 1000 SNXFX 4,578.5 0.29 8.22 8.52 27.68 -37.28 -6.14 1.92 0.25 6.73 15.3 22.07 1.62<br />

Vanguard Extended Market - Inv VEXMX 4,409.4 0.30 9.40 15.06 37.43 -38.73 -3.22 3.97 3.61 7.97 15.8 27.20 0.85<br />

)LGHOLW\,QüDWLRQ3URWHFWHG%RQG FSIPX 4,343.2 0.20 3.03 6.64 - - - - - - - - 0.43<br />

Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US - Instl VFWSX 4,145.9 0.15 10.59 7.92 39.01 -43.96 -7.79 - - - 12.5 28.46 1.90<br />

Vanguard REIT - Inv VGSIX 4,116.1 0.26 8.02 25.18 29.58 -37.05 -4.22 3.71 11.23 - 36.3 40.47 3.07<br />

Fidelity Spartan Total Market - Adv Cl FSTVX 4,062.7 0.07 8.32 9.26 28.43 -37.16 -5.75 2.34 0.87 - 14.9 22.59 1.67<br />

Vanguard Small-Cap Value - Inv VISVX 3,928.3 0.28 6.70 13.45 30.34 -32.05 -2.61 2.84 7.64 - 13.4 29.38 1.65<br />

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond - Inv VBIIX 3,837.3 0.22 3.59 13.24 6.79 4.93 9.18 7.56 7.35 6.88 - 6.93 3.87<br />

ING US Stock Index Port I INGIX 3,794.1 0.26 7.90 7.62 26.22 -37.12 -6.68 1.51 - - 14.3 21.97 0.64<br />

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond - Adm VBILX 3,766.1 0.12 3.61 13.34 6.89 5.01 9.28 7.65 7.42 6.93 - 6.93 3.98<br />

9DQJXDUG3DFLûF6WRFN,QY VPACX 3,707.0 0.27 7.56 7.33 21.18 -34.36 -7.81 2.09 2.25 1.31 12.3 23.53 2.46<br />

Vanguard Growth - Instl VIGIX 3,698.7 0.08 10.98 9.94 36.50 -38.19 -3.51 3.47 -0.78 6.94 16.6 22.36 1.21<br />

Vanguard Small-Cap Growth - Inv VISGX 3,561.5 0.28 11.03 16.64 41.85 -40.00 -2.59 5.20 5.52 - 18.3 29.01 0.24<br />

Vanguard Balanced - Inv VBINX 3,506.9 0.25 5.73 8.98 20.05 -22.21 -0.17 4.33 3.36 7.01 14.4 14.05 2.42<br />

Vanguard Mid Cap - Adm VIMAX 3,475.2 0.14 9.95 15.05 40.48 -41.78 -3.69 3.87 5.91 - 15.5 26.37 1.02<br />

Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock - Instl VEMIX 3,473.4 0.23 11.97 14.00 76.35 -52.74 -4.50 14.46 14.56 9.57 14.2 33.54 1.18<br />

Fidelity Spartan Extended Mkt - Inv Cl FSEMX 3,381.6 0.10 9.86 16.25 36.65 -38.45 -2.76 4.56 3.87 - 15.9 26.30 0.99<br />

ING U.S. Bond - Portfolio Class I ILBAX 3,323.6 0.46 1.53 7.81 5.88 - - - - - - - 2.65<br />

Vanguard Balanced - Instl VBAIX 3,267.8 0.08 5.83 9.19 20.18 -22.10 0.00 4.48 3.49 7.10 14.4 14.03 2.59<br />

Vanguard Extended Market - Adm VEXAX 3,253.3 0.13 9.42 15.21 37.65 -38.63 -3.08 4.13 3.73 8.05 15.8 27.19 0.98<br />

Vanguard Value - Instl VIVIX 3,235.5 0.08 5.79 6.72 19.79 -35.88 -8.42 0.94 1.40 6.84 12.6 22.58 2.67<br />

Vanguard Value - Inv VIVAX 3,216.6 0.26 5.74 6.52 19.58 -35.97 -8.58 0.77 1.26 6.73 12.6 22.56 2.49<br />

Source: Morningstar. Data as of October 31, 2010. Exp Ratio is expense ratio. YTD is year-to-date. 3-, 5-, 10- and 15-yr returns are annualized. P/E is price-to-earnings ratio.<br />

Std Dev is 3-year standard deviation. Yield is 12-month.<br />

60<br />

January / February 2011


Morningstar U.S. Style Overview Jan. 1 - Oct. 31, 2010<br />

Trailing Returns %<br />

3-Month YTD 1-Yr 3-Yr 5-Yr 10-Yr<br />

Morningstar Indexes<br />

US Market 8.47 8.90 18.28 –5.77 2.36 0.66<br />

Large Cap 8.15 6.60 14.70 –6.84 1.65 –1.07<br />

Mid Cap 9.50 14.79 27.56 –3.54 3.97 4.98<br />

Small Cap 8.79 15.32 28.99 –1.91 4.36 6.38<br />

US Value 6.92 8.92 16.46 –8.10 0.76 3.75<br />

US Core 6.78 8.29 17.48 –4.38 3.32 2.25<br />

US Growth 12.26 9.67 21.28 –5.10 2.67 –4.58<br />

Morningstar Market Barometer YTD Return %<br />

Large Cap<br />

US Market<br />

8.90<br />

6.60<br />

Value<br />

8.92<br />

Core<br />

8.29<br />

Growth<br />

9.67<br />

7.43 5.54 7.16<br />

Large Value 6.87 7.43 13.02 –10.33 –0.28 1.92<br />

Large Core 5.82 5.54 13.43 –5.23 2.78 0.35<br />

Large Growth 12.49 7.16 18.21 –5.24 2.00 –6.28<br />

Mid Cap<br />

14.79<br />

12.48 15.76 16.04<br />

Mid Value 7.25 12.48 24.56 –2.87 2.89 8.08<br />

Mid Core 9.85 15.76 28.86 –2.87 4.35 7.48<br />

Mid Growth 11.50 16.04 29.18 –5.07 4.39 –0.54<br />

Small Cap<br />

15.32<br />

14.16 14.25 17.61<br />

Small Value 6.49 14.16 29.74 0.78 4.66 11.09<br />

Small Core 7.85 14.25 26.42 –2.50 4.18 8.39<br />

Small Growth 12.19 17.61 30.87 –3.99 3.90 –0.13<br />

–8.00 –4.00 0.00 +4.00 +8.00<br />

Sector Index YTD Return %<br />

Media 20.06<br />

Consumer Goods 16.11<br />

Industry Leaders & Laggards YTD Return %<br />

Resorts & Casinos 91.62<br />

Drug Related Products 60.61<br />

Biggest Influence on Style Index Performance<br />

Best Performing Index<br />

YTD<br />

Return %<br />

Small Growth 17.61<br />

Constituent<br />

Weight %<br />

Consumer Services 16.05<br />

Industrial 13.95<br />

Hardware 9.36<br />

9.08<br />

Business Services 8.46<br />

Software 6.62<br />

Utilities 6.50<br />

Energy 4.57<br />

Financial Services 3.86<br />

Healthcare 2.91<br />

Recreational Goods, Other 54.42<br />

Auto Parts Stores 54.41<br />

Major Airlines 50.32<br />

General Entertainment 45.93<br />

–16.58 Publishing - Newspaper<br />

–16.87 Aluminum<br />

–17.08 Long-Term Care Facilities<br />

–21.69 Regional - Mid -Atlantic Banks<br />

–32.06 Education & Training Services<br />

–42.35 Dairy Products<br />

Riverbed Technology Inc. 150.72 0.58<br />

TIBCO Software Inc. 99.58 0.74<br />

Sotheby's 96.00 0.69<br />

Informatica Corp. 57.23 1.05<br />

WABCO Holdings Inc. 79.99 0.75<br />

Worst Performing Index<br />

Large Core 5.54<br />

Philip Morris International Inc. 25.78 2.87<br />

International Business Machines Corp. 11.33 5.41<br />

McDonald's Corp. 27.60 2.11<br />

Caterpillar Inc. 41.49 1.11<br />

Procter & Gamble Co. 8.07 5.56<br />

1-Year<br />

3-Year<br />

5-Year<br />

Value<br />

Core<br />

Growth<br />

Value<br />

Core<br />

Growth<br />

Value<br />

Core<br />

Growth<br />

Large Cap<br />

13.02<br />

13.43<br />

18.21<br />

Large Cap<br />

–10.33<br />

–5.23<br />

–5.24<br />

Large Cap<br />

–0.28<br />

2.78<br />

2.00<br />

Mid Cap<br />

24.56<br />

28.86 29.18<br />

Mid Cap<br />

–2.87<br />

–2.87 –5.07<br />

Mid Cap<br />

2.89<br />

4.35 4.39<br />

Small Cap<br />

29.74<br />

26.42 30.87<br />

Small Cap<br />

0.78<br />

–2.50 –3.99<br />

Small Cap<br />

4.66<br />

4.18 3.90<br />

–20 –10 0 +10 +20<br />

–20 –10 0 +10 +20<br />

–20 –10 0 +10 +20<br />

Source: Morningstar. Data as of Oct. 31, 2010.<br />

Notes and Disclaimer: ©2010 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise noted, all data is as of most recent month end. Multi-year returns are annualized. NA: Not Available. Biggest Influence on Index Performance lists<br />

are calculated by multiplying stock returns for the period by their respective weights in the index as of the start of the period. Sector and Industry Indexes are based on Morningstar's proprietary sector classifications. The information ?<br />

contained herein is not warranted to be accurate, <strong>com</strong>plete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong><br />

January / February 2011<br />

61


Dow Jones U.S. Industry Review<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Industry Review<br />

Performance<br />

Index Name Weight 1-Month 3-Month YTD 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Index 100.00% 3.94% 8.47% 8.79% 18.16% -5.77% 2.35% 0.58%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials Index 3.60% 6.34% 15.14% 16.25% 32.45% -2.32% 9.90% 9.60%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index 10.39% 4.66% 8.58% 13.81% 21.62% 1.04% 6.13% 6.35%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services Index 12.22% 5.09% 12.35% 16.88% 27.67% -0.30% 3.50% 1.81%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Financials Index 15.85% 1.84% 0.57% 3.45% 8.00% -19.10% -9.12% -2.12%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Health Care Index 11.09% 1.69% 9.74% 2.29% 14.21% -1.82% 3.06% 0.90%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Industrials Index 12.73% 3.35% 7.34% 14.54% 26.85% -5.81% 3.76% 1.38%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Index 10.51% 5.24% 10.53% 4.01% 6.59% -6.94% 5.90% 8.78%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index 16.79% 6.50% 11.15% 7.66% 20.37% -1.96% 6.08% -4.52%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Tele<strong>com</strong>munications Index 3.02% 1.15% 11.27% 10.98% 24.00% -8.04% 4.54% -3.85%<br />

Dow Jones U.S. Utilities Index 3.80% 1.55% 6.16% 7.03% 18.23% -5.57% 3.84% 3.06%<br />

Risk-Return<br />

5%<br />

3-Year Annualized Return<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

-15%<br />

-20%<br />

Consumer Goods<br />

Health Care<br />

Utilities Composite<br />

Tele<strong>com</strong>munications<br />

Consumer Services<br />

Oil & Gas<br />

Technology<br />

Industrials<br />

Basic Materials<br />

Financials<br />

-25%<br />

14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 36%<br />

3-Year Annualized Risk<br />

Industry Weights Relative to Global ex-U.S.<br />

Asset Class Performance<br />

Basic Materials<br />

-8.54%<br />

U.S. [83.67] Global ex-U.S. [79.48] Commodities [82.15]<br />

REITs [83.25] Infrastructure [94.54]<br />

Consumer Goods<br />

-2.24%<br />

160<br />

Consumer Services<br />

4.72%<br />

140<br />

Financials<br />

-8.97%<br />

Health Care<br />

5.51%<br />

120<br />

Industrials<br />

-0.37%<br />

100<br />

Oil & Gas<br />

0.81%<br />

80<br />

Technology<br />

11.91%<br />

Tele<strong>com</strong>munications<br />

-2.21%<br />

60<br />

Utilities<br />

-0.62%<br />

40<br />

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%<br />

Underweight Overweight<br />

20<br />

10/07 1/08 4/08 7/08 10/08 1/09 4/09 7/09 10/09 1/10 4/10 7/10 10/10<br />

Chart <strong>com</strong>pares industry weights within the Dow Jones U.S. Index to industry weights within the Dow Jones U.S. = Dow Jones U.S. Index | Global ex-U.S. = Dow Jones Global ex-U.S. Index<br />

Global ex-U.S. Index<br />

Commodities = Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index | REITs = Dow Jones U.S. Select REIT Index<br />

Infrastructure = Dow Jones Brookfield Global Infrastructure Index<br />

© Dow Jones & Company, Inc. 2010. All rights reserved."Dow Jones", "Dow Jones Indexes", "Dow Jones U.S. Index", "Dow Jones Global ex-U.S. Index" and "Dow Jones U.S. Industry Indexes" are service marks of Dow Jones & Company, Inc. "UBS" is a registered trademark of UBS AG. "Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index" is a service<br />

mark of Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and UBS. "Brookfield" is a service mark of Brookfield Asset Management Inc. or its affiliates. The "Dow Jones Brookfield Infrastructure Indexes" are published pursuant to an agreement between Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and Brookfield Asset Management. Investment products that may be based<br />

on the indexes referencedare not sponsored,endorsed, sold or promoted by Dow Jones, and Dow Jones makes no representationregarding the advisability of investing in them. Inclusion of a <strong>com</strong>pany in these indexes does not in any way reflect an opinion of Dow Jones on the investment merits of such <strong>com</strong>pany. Index performance is for<br />

illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of an investment product that may be based on the index. Index performance does not reflect management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index.<br />

The Dow Jones U.S. Index, the Dow Jones Global ex-U.S. Index and the Dow Jones U.S. Industry Indexes were first published in February 2000. The Dow Jones Brookfield Infrastructure Index was first published in July 2008. To the extent this document includes information for the index for the period prior to its initial publication date,<br />

such information is back-tested (i.e., calculations of how the index might have performed during that time period if the index had existed). Any <strong>com</strong>parisons, assertionsand conclusions regarding the performance of the Index during the time period prior to launch will be based on back-testing. Back-tested information is purely hypothetical<br />

and is provided solely for informational purposes. Back-tested performance does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual performance. Past performance is also not indicative of future results.<br />

Data as of October 29, 2010<br />

Source: Dow Jones Indexes Analytics & Research<br />

For more information, please visit the Dow Jones Indexes Web site at www.djindexes.<strong>com</strong>.<br />

62<br />

January / February 2011


Exchange-Traded Funds Corner<br />

Largest New ETFs Sorted By Total Net Assets In $US Millions<br />

Covers ETFs and ETNs launched during the 12-month period ended October 31, 2010.<br />

Fund Name Ticker ER 1-Mo 3-Mo YTD Launch Date Assets<br />

Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners GDXJ 0.59 8.32 35.66 40.56 11/10/2009 1,573.9<br />

Vanguard Short-Term Corp Bond VCSH 0.15 0.26 1.57 6.09 11/19/2009 893.2<br />

PowerShares Build America Bond BAB 0.28 -1.92 1.84 13.04 11/17/2009 569.5<br />

ETFS Physical Platinum PPLT 0.60 2.71 8.05 - 1/8/2010 566.8<br />

ETFS Physical Palladium PALL 0.60 14.37 29.79 - 1/8/2010 538.2<br />

PIMCO Enh Short Maturity Strategy MINT 0.35 0.10 0.64 1.47 11/16/2009 441.5<br />

Vanguard Intermediate Corp Bond VCIT 0.15 0.43 3.49 13.03 11/19/2009 391.6<br />

WisdomTree Emrg Mrkts Local Debt ELD 0.55 0.99 - - 8/9/2010 374.0<br />

Schwab International Equity SCHF 0.13 3.39 9.49 5.20 11/3/2009 362.2<br />

Schwab U.S. Broad Market SCHB 0.06 3.88 8.38 9.06 11/3/2009 354.9<br />

Schwab U.S. Large-Cap SCHX 0.08 3.92 8.21 8.44 11/3/2009 333.4<br />

Alerian MLP AMLP 0.85 3.17 - - 8/25/2010 309.5<br />

Schwab U.S. Small-Cap SCHA 0.13 4.08 8.55 15.03 11/3/2009 246.3<br />

iShares MSCI Indonesia EIDO 0.65 3.37 15.48 - 5/5/2010 224.4<br />

Schwab Emerging Markets Equity SCHE 0.25 3.17 11.57 - 1/14/2010 216.4<br />

Global X China Consumer CHIQ 0.65 0.79 18.45 24.48 12/1/2009 174.9<br />

First Trust BICK BICK 0.64 3.01 11.81 - 4/12/2010 170.7<br />

Global X Silver Miners SIL 0.65 8.85 39.79 - 4/20/2010 167.6<br />

PowerShares CEF In<strong>com</strong>e PCEF 1.81 0.74 5.96 - 2/19/2010 166.1<br />

E-TRACS Alerian MLP Infrastr ETN MLPI 0.85 4.93 7.39 - 4/1/2010 159.1<br />

Source: Morningstar. Data as of October 31, 2010. ER is expense ratio. 1-Mo is 1-month. 3-Mo is 3-month. YTD is year-to-date.<br />

Selected ETFs In Registration<br />

DBX MSCI Japan Currency-Hedgd Eqty<br />

Emerald Rock Dividend Growth<br />

EGS INDXX India Mid Cap<br />

ETFS Leveraged Wheat<br />

Global X Russell Emrg Mkts Growth<br />

Grail Western Asset Enh Liquidity<br />

iShares Barclays 0-5 Year TIPS Bond<br />

J.P. Morgan Physical Copper<br />

Jefferies S&P 500 VIX Shrt-Tm Futures<br />

Market Vectors All China Healthcare<br />

Pimco Prime Ltd Maturity Strategy<br />

PowerShares S&P 500 Low <strong>Beta</strong><br />

PowerShares S&P Bank Loan<br />

ProShares Hedge Replication<br />

Riverfront Strategic In<strong>com</strong>e<br />

Russell 1000 High Volatility<br />

Rydex Russell BRIC Equal Weight<br />

SPDR Emerging Markets Dividend<br />

Teucrium Soybean<br />

WisdomTree EMEA Bond<br />

Source: <strong>IndexUniverse</strong>.<strong>com</strong>’s ETF Watch<br />

Largest U.S.-listed ETFs Sorted By Total Net Assets In $US Millions<br />

Total Return % Annualized Return %<br />

Fund Name Ticker Assets Exp Ratio 3-Mo YTD 2009 2008 3-Yr 5-Yr Mkt Cap P/E Std Dev Yield<br />

SPDR S&P 500 SPY 80,633.8 0.09 8.00 7.82 26.31 -36.70 -6.43 1.80 45,787 15.1 1.86 21.77<br />

SPDR Gold GLD 55,972.2 0.40 14.83 23.59 24.03 4.92 19.04 23.37 - - - 21.59<br />

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets EEM 48,035.3 0.72 11.40 11.91 68.82 -48.87 -4.18 13.65 18,699 14.9 1.30 33.11<br />

Vanguard Emerging Markets VWO 40,817.0 0.27 11.94 14.32 76.26 -52.54 -4.67 14.09 15,648 14.2 1.17 32.89<br />

iShares MSCI EAFE EFA 36,185.1 0.35 9.82 5.02 26.88 -41.00 -9.75 3.19 30,636 13.7 2.38 27.43<br />

PowerShares QQQ QQQQ 23,150.2 0.20 14.15 14.64 54.67 -41.72 -1.26 6.55 43,514 19.4 0.63 26.50<br />

iShares S&P 500 IVV 23,053.1 0.09 8.00 7.88 26.61 -37.00 -6.47 1.78 44,129 14.7 1.87 21.84<br />

iShares Barclays TIPS Bond TIP 20,751.7 0.20 5.28 9.48 8.95 -0.53 7.32 6.15 - - 2.50 9.03<br />

Vanguard Total Stock Market VTI 15,397.6 0.07 8.49 9.23 28.89 -36.95 -5.59 2.51 21,970 14.4 1.91 22.63<br />

iShares iBoxx $ Inv Gr Corp Bond LQD 14,481.9 0.15 3.06 11.97 8.58 2.44 7.66 6.54 - - 4.80 12.27<br />

iShares Russell 2000 IWM 12,767.5 0.28 8.38 13.51 28.53 -34.15 -3.84 3.23 858 15.8 1.12 27.47<br />

iShares Barclays Aggregate Bond AGG 12,474.5 0.24 1.45 7.99 3.01 7.90 6.91 6.26 - - 3.46 5.48<br />

iShares MSCI Brazil EWZ 11,658.0 0.65 9.46 3.71 121.50 -54.37 0.10 23.06 27,301 13.9 3.40 40.73<br />

iShares Russell 1000 Growth IWF 11,437.8 0.20 10.55 9.23 36.73 -38.21 -3.98 3.13 34,871 17.3 1.34 22.31<br />

SPDR S&P MidCap 400 MDY 10,875.8 0.25 9.32 15.09 37.52 -36.40 -1.73 4.76 2,983 18.1 1.02 25.72<br />

Vanguard Total Bond Market BND 9,162.4 0.12 1.88 8.03 3.67 6.88 7.17 - - - 3.48 4.92<br />

iShares Russell 1000 Value IWD 8,888.8 0.20 6.25 7.62 19.23 -36.45 -8.54 0.61 30,897 13.0 2.10 23.03<br />

iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 FXI 8,553.6 0.73 9.05 7.61 47.28 -47.73 -13.20 20.69 70,251 15.3 1.52 35.56<br />

iShares Barclays 1-3 Yr Treas Bond SHY 8,482.1 0.15 0.58 2.66 0.36 3.00 3.89 4.36 - - 1.09 1.96<br />

iShares S&P 400 MidCap IJH 8,112.8 0.22 9.43 15.32 37.81 -36.18 -1.48 4.95 2,980 18.1 1.18 25.65<br />

SPDR DJ Industrial Average DIA 8,058.8 0.17 6.89 8.80 22.72 -32.10 -4.56 3.93 100,162 13.9 2.37 19.80<br />

iShares Silver SLV 7,839.7 0.50 37.49 46.14 47.67 -23.79 18.95 - - - - 36.15<br />

Market Vectors Gold Miners GDX 7,366.1 0.53 18.82 23.99 36.72 -26.07 4.88 - 14,617 27.8 0.19 47.95<br />

Barclays 1-3 Year Credit Bond CSJ 7,358.9 0.20 0.82 3.23 7.17 3.84 5.15 - - - 2.69 4.28<br />

iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond HYG 7,149.7 0.50 4.52 10.34 28.86 -17.40 5.09 - - - 8.40 19.36<br />

Source: Morningstar. Data as of October 31, 2010. Exp Ratio is expense ratio. 3-Mo is 3-month. YTD is year-to-date. 3-Yr and 5-Yr are 3-year and 5-year annualized returns, respectively.<br />

Mkt Cap is geometric average market capitalization. P/E is price-to-earnings ratio. Std Dev is 3-year standard deviation. Yield is 12-month.<br />

www.journalofindexes.<strong>com</strong> January / February 2011<br />

63


Weighty Matters<br />

HUMOR<br />

Better <strong>Beta</strong> By Bananas<br />

By Lara Crigger<br />

Devising a perfect<br />

weighting scheme is<br />

harder than it looks<br />

Not too long ago, our editor-in-chief Jim<br />

Wiandt called the entire analytics R&D team<br />

into his office and offered a proposition.<br />

“I grow weary of today’s weighting<br />

schemes,” he said. “Let us devise a better one.”<br />

Market-cap indexes, he dismissed, are<br />

too hierarchal, while equal weighting is<br />

too <strong>com</strong>munist. Fundamental indexes, he<br />

said, “encourage polygamy.”<br />

“Make me an index that’s flash-crash proof,”<br />

he said. “One that fairly and accurately represents<br />

all <strong>com</strong>panies in a sector, regardless of<br />

size. And smells like fresh-baked muffins.”<br />

For hours, my fellow analysts and I sequestered<br />

ourselves away in our top secret Index<br />

Laboratory. We scribbled down differential<br />

equations and Fourier transforms until our<br />

fingers bled. We converted a pickle barrel<br />

into a coffee pot. We programmed 10,000<br />

lines of BASIC using only our left pinky toes.<br />

And then we got to work.<br />

Suzanne King, our fundamentals expert,<br />

advocated a Darwinian approach. Each<br />

year, she argued, one male and one female<br />

from the executive board of each <strong>com</strong>pany<br />

should be sent into an elaborate maze,<br />

where they’d fight other <strong>com</strong>panies’ teams<br />

to the death—the results of which would<br />

be filmed before a live studio audience.<br />

“Isn’t that the plot of ‘The Hunger<br />

Games’?” I asked.<br />

“Investing is just like children’s literature,”<br />

she said. “Only the strongest survive.”<br />

Our head technician, Percival Polynomian,<br />

argued that trend-following would<br />

better serve investors. He derived an algorithm<br />

that weighs <strong>com</strong>panies based on<br />

their daily volume, stochastic oscillators<br />

and current ranking on the Billboard charts.<br />

It worked pretty well, too—at least until<br />

we discovered the algorithm ranked Justin<br />

Bieber higher than Apple.<br />

Frustrated, I turned at last to Bobo, our<br />

senior vice president of Analytics. Bobo,<br />

for our newer readers, is an overweight<br />

chimp in a lab coat, who we pay in ripe<br />

fruit. He also has a corner office.<br />

Vice President Bobo offered up a detailed<br />

plan that would weight stocks by their<br />

intrinsic Banana Quotient, a quantitative<br />

factor that predicts the presence or absence<br />

of vegetative quality. I probed for details,<br />

but Bobo soon became too engrossed in<br />

grooming Suzanne for nits.<br />

In any case, we presented our various<br />

proposals to Jim the next day. He listened<br />

to the presentation with his trademark<br />

placid smile and congratulated us on our<br />

fine work. But as the research team filed<br />

out of the room, he pulled me aside.<br />

“Crigger, I’m concerned,” he said. “None<br />

of these proposals is quite right.”<br />

“It’s a thorny problem, sir,” I replied.<br />

“People have been searching for the perfect<br />

index for decades. You gave us four<br />

hours and a hungry monkey.”<br />

“It’s good enough for the SEC,” Jim said<br />

sternly. “Do better.”<br />

Thus, the team and I went back to the<br />

laboratory. After an all-nighter and two<br />

cases of Red Bull, we finally hit upon the<br />

perfect index: a Platonic ideal of technicals<br />

and fundamentals, immune to even the<br />

tiniest market flicker; whereby, if it were to<br />

be put into practice, the absolute minimum<br />

number of employees would be sent to jail.<br />

It also smelled faintly of snickerdoodles.<br />

I pitched our plan to Jim the next day.<br />

“Not bad, Crigger,” he said.<br />

I flushed with pride and an absence of nits.<br />

“But,” he said, after a thoughtful pause,<br />

“I still think it needs something. Something<br />

new, something exciting.”<br />

He clapped his hands. “I know,” Jim<br />

said. “It needs more cowbell.”<br />

And thus I unveil Index Publications’ newest<br />

enterprise: The Justin Bieber Bobotronic<br />

Mockingjay And Now With More Cowbell<br />

Total Return Index. Keep checking back for<br />

our methodology, which we’ll publish as soon<br />

as Legal approves the use of Comic Sans.<br />

It’ll be scratch ‘n’ sniff.<br />

64<br />

January / February 2011


INVESTING IN<br />

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© 2011 The Vanguard Group, Inc. All rights reserved. U.S. Pat. No. 6,879,964 B2; 7,337,138. Vanguard Marketing Corporation, Distributor.


RYDEX EQUAL WEIGHT ETFs<br />

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