National Resources Sector Employment Taskforce Technical Paper

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Honeymoon - SA Crocker Well and Mount Victoria - SA Kanmantoo - SA Four Mile - SA Kalkaroo - SA Oban ISR operation - SA Willcherry Hill (Stage 1) - SA Peculiar Knob - SA Port Bonython Fuel storage - SA Port Lincoln - SA Port Bonython - SA Cairn Hill iron ore copper gold project - SA Willcherry Hill (Stage 2) - SA Mutooroo - SA Mt Gee - SA Mt Gunson - SA Reliance deposit - SA Hawks Nest Magnetite Project - SA Olympic Dam expansion stage 1 - SA Olympic Dam expansion stage 2 - SA Olympic Dam optimisation - SA Olympic Dam Smelter expansion - SA Olympic Dam expansion stage 3 - SA Kipper gas project (stage 1) - VIC Turrum - VIC West Seahorse - VIC Donald - VIC Latrobe magnesium project - VIC Monash Energy project - VIC Kipper gas project (stage 2) - VIC Basker, Manta and Gummy oil development - VIC Basker, Manta and Gummy gas development - VIC WIM 150 zircon/ titanium project - VIC Micro LNG plant - TAS BassGas (Yolla Mid Life Enhancement) - TAS Barnes Hill - TAS King Island Scheelite mine redevelopment - TAS Mt Lindsay - TAS Renison Expansion Project (Rentails) - TAS Source: Taskforce analysis of ABARE unpublished data 10 | National Resources Sector Employment Taskforce: Technical Paper
3. Demand for labour and skills The Taskforce was asked to undertake an analysis of the resources sector’s labour and skills needs on a national basis over the next five years. Acknowledging that the number and scale of projects and the uncertainty of timing can affect projections, the Taskforce has: • modelled three growth scenarios for construction of resources projects—low, medium and high, based on the value of construction likely to go ahead • examined trends in demand for resources, as this will be a key influence on demand for skills, in the construction and operations phases of resources sector projects • modelled four growth scenarios for the gas sector—based on six, 10, 14 or 16 trains being built • estimated labour wastage (replacement demand) for the mining operations and gas sectors at 10 per cent per annum, noting it is estimated retirements will account for 2 per cent per annum. The Taskforce did not model replacement demand for the construction sector, noting the average employment in the four quarters to February 2010 in the construction workforce is 981,800 (ABS 2010a) and the resources construction workforce is a small portion of this overall workforce • tested the outcomes with the Western Australian and Queensland state governments and industry associations • reviewed advice from industry reports, its industry survey, consultations and submissions about the extent of skills demand. The modelling suggests the: • number of short-term construction jobs is likely to peak at around 45,000 during 2012 and 2013, with strong jobs growth for technicians, tradespeople and machinery operators and drivers • number of new jobs in mining operations is expected to increase by 4.9 per cent per annum, creating around 61,500 new jobs by 2015 • replacement demand in mining operations could be around 16,000 people per annum, including approximately 3,000 people retiring per year • the number of new jobs in gas operations will be between 1,800 and 3,200. There will be strong jobs growth for drillers (Queensland only), operators, electrical trades and mechanical technicians • replacement demand in gas operations could be around 2,000 people per annum, including approximately 500 people retiring per year. Modelling outcomes were discussed with the Western Australian Department of Training and Workforce Development on 19 May 2010, and the Queensland Department of Employment, Economic Development and Innovation, and the Queensland Department of Education and Training, on 25 May 2010. Both states supported the methodology used and considered the modelling outcomes broadly consistent with their own analysis. National Resources Sector Employment Taskforce: Technical Paper | 11
Page 1 and 2: RESOURCING THE FUTURE National Reso
Page 3 and 4: Table of Contents 1. Introduction..
Page 5 and 6: List of tables and figures Tables T
Page 7 and 8: Figures Figure 1: Advanced projects
Page 9 and 10: 1. Introduction This paper outlines
Page 11 and 12: 2. Projects This chapter outlines m
Page 13 and 14: ABARE’s list also identifies 286
Page 15 and 16: Marillana - WA Lake Maitland / JAUR
Page 17: NCIG export terminal (Newcastle Coa
Page 21 and 22: The RBA suggested this large pipeli
Page 23 and 24: Demand for labour by year for proje
Page 25 and 26: Figure 6 shows Pit Crew’s total c
Page 27 and 28: Treasury expects export volumes wil
Page 29 and 30: electricians and fabrication engine
Page 31 and 32: On the basis of ESQ’s modelling,
Page 33 and 34: The number of people who leave jobs
Page 35 and 36: In its recent report prepared for S
Page 37 and 38: • After taking likely retirement
Page 39 and 40: Available data suggest while unempl
Page 41 and 42: Table 11 provides estimates of the
Page 43 and 44: Table 13 and Figure 11 show that un
Page 45 and 46: Figure 12: Projected growth in supp
Page 47 and 48: Overall, the resources sector’s s
Page 49 and 50: 4.3.3 Projected trends in higher ed
Page 51 and 52: Table 21: Number and percentage of
Page 53 and 54: 5. Where are the skills gaps? This
Page 55 and 56: 5.3 The potential for skills gaps T
Page 57 and 58: 5.6.3 Engineers Engineers Australia
Page 59 and 60: Treasury noted that as commercial p
Page 61 and 62: 5.8 Skills shortages are limited to
Page 63 and 64: Table 26: Pit Crew Management Consu
Page 65 and 66: 5.9.2 Professions In the short term
Page 67 and 68: Agricultural, Medical and Science T
Page 69 and 70:
Technicians and tradespeople 37,833
Page 71 and 72:
Appendix II—Detailed ABARE projec
Page 73 and 74:
Appendix III—Employed and unemplo
Page 75 and 76:
Appendix IV—Higher education Line
Page 77 and 78:
Completions and projections in sele
Page 79 and 80:
Share of employment by field of stu
Page 81 and 82:
Ongoing monitoring of the labour ma
Page 83 and 84:
Figure 16: Number of suitable appli
Page 85 and 86:
Table 37: Skill shortages in resour
Page 87 and 88:
2. Main Elements of the SERA DEEWR
Page 89 and 90:
SERA results SERA results are not i
Page 91 and 92:
Incomplete recruitment exercises In
Page 93 and 94:
National Resources Sector Employmen
Page 95 and 96:
Q1. What is the name of your compan
Page 97 and 98:
The next question is about how many
Page 99 and 100:
The next two questions (7 and 8) ar
Page 101 and 102:
Q9. What proportion of gross wages
Page 103 and 104:
Q15. Provide information on those o
Page 105 and 106:
Q19. How does your organisation mos
Page 107 and 108:
Thank you for taking the time to co
Page 109 and 110:
Appendix VII—Acronyms AAC ABARE A
Page 111 and 112:
Appendix VIII—References Access E
Page 113 and 114:
WA Department of Training and Workf
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