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National Resources Sector Employment Taskforce Technical Paper

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Table 2:<br />

Projected demand for construction skills<br />

Projected short tem construction jobs<br />

over the period 2009–2016<br />

Occupation<br />

Low Medium High<br />

Managers 10,485 17,329 25,994<br />

Professionals 10,137 16,755 25,133<br />

Technicians and tradespeople 23,664 39,112 58,668<br />

Community and personal service workers 234 386 579<br />

Clerical and administrative workers 12,596 20,819 31,229<br />

Sales workers 842 1,391 2,086<br />

Machinery operators and drivers 21,892 36,184 54,275<br />

Labourers 21,452 35,456 53,184<br />

Other 1,679 2,776 4,163<br />

TOTAL 102,981 170,209 255,313<br />

Sources: <strong>Taskforce</strong> analysis of ABS 2010a and ABS 2010b<br />

Detailed projections by occupation arising from major project construction activity against<br />

this methodology are presented at Appendix I. Over the projection period, for all scenarios,<br />

there is likely to be strong demand for fabrication engineering tradespeople (including<br />

welders) plumbers, mechanical engineering tradespeople, electronics and telecommunications<br />

tradespeople and electricians. The projections also suggest strong demand for machine<br />

operators and truck drivers. These jobs will become available for various periods between<br />

2010 and 2016.<br />

Under the <strong>Taskforce</strong>’s medium-growth scenario, the maximum number of labourers required<br />

during the peak is likely to be around 9,000 (ie 20 per cent of all construction jobs).<br />

Consistency with state and territory projections for construction employment<br />

The <strong>Taskforce</strong>’s medium and high growth scenarios for construction labour demand are<br />

broadly consistent with projections prepared for the Western Australian Government by<br />

Pit Crew Management and Consulting Services (Pit Crew) and projections prepared by the<br />

Queensland Major Contractors Association (QMCA).<br />

Analysis by the Government of Western Australian<br />

The Government of Western Australian engaged Pit Crew to produce a six-monthly industry<br />

report forecasting the demand for labour on major construction and engineering projects in<br />

Western Australia over the next three to five years (the Pit Crew Report WA 2009 in Western<br />

Australia Department of Training and Workforce Development 2010).<br />

The Pit Crew report includes the outcomes of modelled construction labour demand for<br />

69 Western Australian projects with a total capital value of $169.2 billion. This includes<br />

$104.7 billion worth of projects already under construction or approved and that Pit Crew<br />

anticipates will proceed. By comparison, the ABARE database identifies 119 Western Australian<br />

projects in the advanced and less advanced stage. Not all projects have a current known value<br />

(ABARE 2010a).<br />

16 | <strong>National</strong> <strong>Resources</strong> <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Employment</strong> <strong>Taskforce</strong>: <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Paper</strong>

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