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symbolic dynamic models for highly varying power system loads

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13<br />

equipment. It simply identifies the equipment population having higher probability of<br />

failure. This technique is useful <strong>for</strong> gateway cables. Gateway cables are several hundreds<br />

feet long, and the testing of these cables requires them to be out of service during the test.<br />

Because of the required outage, it becomes expensive and inconvenient to test these<br />

cables.<br />

Using a Markov chain model, the authors defined various possible states such as<br />

equipment population, failure, repair and testing. Transition between these states was<br />

characterized probabilistically. The Markov based testing program was able to identify a<br />

subpopulation that has a much higher probability of failure.<br />

In 1993, Csenki used a Markov model <strong>for</strong> the reliability analysis of the recovery<br />

blocks [19]. The technique of the recovery blocks is a well-known fault tolerant software<br />

method in which many alternative modules are used <strong>for</strong> the same problem. Finally the<br />

results are verified by an acceptance test. Experiments show that the failure points in the<br />

input domain of the software are not isolated but <strong>for</strong>m clusters, each one attributable to a<br />

common software fault. The author has described a reliability model <strong>for</strong> a recovery block.<br />

This model consists of a primary module, an acceptance test and two alternate modules.<br />

A Markov model is developed to obtain first and second moments of the successful input<br />

points <strong>for</strong> recovery blocks and thus it is used to study reliability of recovery blocks when<br />

the series of input values traverse nested clusters of failure points in the input domain.

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