symbolic dynamic models for highly varying power system loads
symbolic dynamic models for highly varying power system loads
symbolic dynamic models for highly varying power system loads
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19<br />
CSI<br />
= ∑( f<br />
χ i<br />
* fγi) /( f<br />
χi<br />
+ fγi)<br />
where ƒ χi is the fractional occurrence of i th common word in χ dictionary, ƒ γi is the<br />
fractional occurrence of i th common word in γ dictionary, and CSI max =0.5 (If the two<br />
signals are exactly identical). The lower the value of CSI, the higher the degree of<br />
dissimilarity between the two signals. Thus the value of CSI directly shows how much<br />
the two signals are in agreement.<br />
2.6 Forecasting a signal<br />
Attention turns to the <strong>for</strong>ecasting or prediction of future values of a signal. For<br />
this purpose, a dictionary can be <strong>for</strong>med by taking the instantaneous values in a signal at<br />
different points. Once the dictionary is <strong>for</strong>med, a word is selected randomly from the<br />
dictionary and without looking at its past history, the subsequent word is identified. This<br />
process continues until a long sequence of words is generated. Thereafter it is possible to<br />
predict the future data from the sequence.<br />
Model 1 (Single symbol checking)<br />
1 Form a dictionary [D,F] from data, where D is the dictionary and F is the<br />
fractional occurrence of words.<br />
2 Set count = 1.<br />
3 Load [D, F] into working dictionary [W D , W F ].<br />
4 Form CW F column, which is the cumulative frequency of occurrence. Now the<br />
dictionary is in the <strong>for</strong>m of [W D , W F , CW F ].