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Annual Report 2008.pdf - SAMSI

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We consider modeling multiple risk events using the semiparametric additive isotonic regression<br />

model. In this model each additive nonparametric component, which is assumed to be monotone,<br />

is used to measure each risk event. We show that the least-square estimator of the finitedimensional<br />

regression coefficient is root-n consistent and asymptotically normal. Moreover, the<br />

isotonic estimator of each additive functional component is proved to have the oracle property,<br />

which means the additive component can be estimated with the highest asymptotic accuracy as if<br />

the other components were known. A fast algorithm is developed by iterating between a cyclic<br />

pool adjacent violators procedure and solving a standard ordinary least squares problem.<br />

Other Research<br />

Other Research started or continued at <strong>SAMSI</strong>:<br />

1, Start a research paper about semiparametric model selection problem with Prof. Helen<br />

Zhang at NCSU<br />

and Yufeng Liu at UNC-Chapel Hill<br />

2, Start a research paper about Hierarchical Functional Data Modeling with Nicoleta Serban.<br />

Cari Kaufman (Development, Assessment and Utilization of Complex Computer Models,<br />

High Dimensional Inference and Random Matrices)<br />

Activity <strong>Report</strong><br />

Course: Random Matrices<br />

Workshops Attended:<br />

1. Computer Models Kickoff Workshop, Sept. 10-14, 2006<br />

2. Random Matrices Kickoff Workshop, Sept. 17-20, 2006<br />

3. Joint Engineering and Methodology Subprograms Workshop, Oct. 26-17, 2006<br />

4. Joint NCAR and <strong>SAMSI</strong> workshop: Geophysical Models at NCAR: A Scoping and<br />

Synthesis Workshop, Nov. 13-14, 2006<br />

5. <strong>SAMSI</strong>/MUCM Mid-Program Workshop, April 2-3, 2007 (invited speaker)<br />

6. Terrestrial Mid-Program Workshop, April 4, 2007<br />

7. Application of Random Matrices: Theory and Methods, May 7-9, 2007 (invited speaker)<br />

8. Computer Models Transition Workshop, May 14-16, 2007 (invited speaker)<br />

9. Application of Statistics to Numerical Models: New Methods and Case Studies, May 21-<br />

24, 2007 (invited speaker)<br />

Undergraduate Workshop(s):<br />

1. <strong>SAMSI</strong> Two-Day Undergraduate Workshop, March 2-3, 2007 (invited speaker)<br />

2. <strong>SAMSI</strong>/CRSC Undergraduate Workshop, May 21-25, 2007 (invited speaker)<br />

Working Group I Climate and Weather (Computer Models program)<br />

Research Area - Plans: functional ANOVA modeling of regional climate model experiments<br />

Working Group II Methodology (Computer Models program)<br />

Presentations:<br />

1. Efficient Emulators of Computer Experiments Using Covariance Tapering,<br />

<strong>SAMSI</strong>/MUCM Mid-Program Workshop, April 2-3, 2007<br />

Research Area - Plans: building efficient emulators of computer experiments for cases in which<br />

the sample size overwhelms traditional methods using Gaussian processes<br />

Working Group III Terrestrial Models (Computer Models program)

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