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Annual Report 2008.pdf - SAMSI

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Presentations:<br />

Change of Spatiotemporal Scale in Dynamic – 5 November 2007<br />

Reanalysis of Ozone Health Effects based on Rollback functions – April 2008<br />

Research Area – Plans:<br />

1. Spatiotemporal modeling for environmental data including NMMAPS data and<br />

Bayesian Inference on risk related issues such as ozone.<br />

Working Group IV Sensor Design<br />

Research Area – Plans:<br />

1. Statistical design for ecological sensor network deployment<br />

Working Group V Sensor Network Datasets<br />

Special Tasks: Webmaster<br />

Presentations:<br />

Statistical Soil Moisture Dynamic Modeling – 31 January 2008<br />

Research Area – Plans:<br />

1. Spatiotemporal modeling for ecological sensor network data<br />

Progress <strong>Report</strong><br />

Working Group I Multivariate Extremes - Methodology<br />

Research Areas<br />

Modeling of Atlantic Hurricanes<br />

Collaborator & Mentor: Richard Smith<br />

We introduce various statistical models for Atlantic hurricane occurrences. The relationships<br />

between hurricane occurrences and climate factors such as northern Atlantic sea surface<br />

temperature, global surface temperature and various Atlantic oscillations are explored by using<br />

the climate data during 1900-2002.<br />

Publications, Submissions, Work in Preparation<br />

1. Statistical Analysis of Atlantic Tropical Storms<br />

Working Group II Environmental Risk Applications<br />

Research Areas<br />

Reanalysis of Ozone Health Effects<br />

Collaborators & Mentors: Bahjat Qaqish and Richard Smith<br />

We present a risk assessment analysis of the potential effect that various regulatory standards for ozone may have on<br />

the incidence of respiratory-related mortality. The analysis uses roll-back functions as models for the potential<br />

effect of regulatory standards. The statistical methods are based on hierarchical Bayesian models. The objective is to<br />

obtain estimates of the effects of various regulatory standards, estimates of their variability, and the effects of<br />

various modeling assumptions on those estimates.<br />

Publications, Submissions, Work in Preparation<br />

2. Y. Kim, B. Qaqish and R. Ignaccolo – An Analysis of the potential impact of various<br />

regulatory standards for ozone on the incidence of respiratory-related mortality<br />

Presentations outside <strong>SAMSI</strong><br />

• How Changing the Ozone Standard Affect Respiratory Mortality<br />

o Interface 2008 – Durham, May 2008<br />

• An Analysis of the potential impact of various regulatory standards for ozone on the<br />

incidence of respiratory-related mortality<br />

o Joint Statistical Meetings – Denver, August 2008<br />

Working Group III Sensor Network Design<br />

Research Areas

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