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Annual Report 2008.pdf - SAMSI

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Research Areas<br />

Bayesian Analysis of Spatio-survival Models – Analysis of SEER Data (from NCI)<br />

Collaborator & Mentor: Dipak Dey<br />

We analyzed the SEER database on the multiple-cancer data using the populations of Iowa and<br />

California using a cure rate model. This new model is introduced to capture the possibilities of<br />

complete cure in some of the specific cancer types. A spatial analysis is also done using MCAR<br />

models to ascertain the presence of a geographical factor for the prevalence of cancer and also<br />

the chances of a complete cure.<br />

Other Research<br />

Research Started or Continued at <strong>SAMSI</strong><br />

1. Multivariate monotone data – with Donald Richards.<br />

2. Bayesian isotonic regression – with Dipak K. Dey – submitted to Candian J. Statist.<br />

3. Spatio-survival analysis for cancer data – with Dipak K. Dey<br />

4. Power prior and propriety for generalized linear model using isotonic regression – with<br />

Samiran Ghosh.<br />

Papers from Ph.D. Research:<br />

1. To appear in Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference : Estimation of smooth link<br />

function in Monotone response models – Joint work with Moulinath Banerjee.<br />

2. To appear in Statistics and Probability Letters : Penalized Least Square Regression in<br />

Isotonic Regression.<br />

3. Invited revision from Scandinavian Journal of Statistics : Penalized Likelihood ratio in<br />

the density estimation problem.<br />

Presentations of Other Research:<br />

1. Bayesian exponential family isotonic regression – Colorado State, October 2007.<br />

2. Bayesian analysis of Spatio-survival models - University of Connecticut, April 2008.<br />

3. Estimation of a decreasing density using Likelihood ratio – New England Statistics<br />

Symposium, Boston, April 2008<br />

Continuing Collaborations from <strong>SAMSI</strong> Random Matrices Program:<br />

1. Spline density estimation – with Mary C. Meyer<br />

2. Analysis of test cricket matches using multivariate structures.<br />

Jesus Rios (Risk Analysis, Extreme Events, Decision Theory)<br />

Activity <strong>Report</strong><br />

Courses: Risk Analysis<br />

Workshops Attended:<br />

Risk Analysis Opening Workshop<br />

RISK: Perception, Policy and Practice<br />

EXTREMES: Events, Models and Mathematical Theory<br />

Risk Revisited: Progress and Challenges (planned)<br />

Postdoc-Grad Student Seminar Presentations:<br />

4. Analyzing Adversarial Threats – 17 October 2007<br />

5. Game Theoretic Concepts for Adversarial Risk Analysis – 25 March 2008<br />

Undergraduate Two-day Workshop – 9-10 November 2007:<br />

1. Discovering Influence Diagrams with GeNIe: Decision Analysis for Risk Management

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