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MENA Asset Management Survey 2012 - National Bank of Abu Dhabi

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Global Trends<br />

Risks to the outlook include politics getting in the way <strong>of</strong> necessary measures in the<br />

US and Eurozone. Geopolitical risk remains present as ever and a conflict that involves<br />

Iran would likely lead to a sharp rise in energy prices. On the other hand, a deeper<br />

slowdown emanating from Eurozone would s<strong>of</strong>ten energy prices and act as an automatic<br />

stabilizer to global activity. Other worries include historically high debt levels and lower<br />

than expected growth. Finally, extended period <strong>of</strong> low interest rates may be creating new<br />

bubbles in a number <strong>of</strong> geographies and asset classes which may burst when rates rise.<br />

Global Fund Trends<br />

Investor demand for bond funds against background <strong>of</strong> low interest rates<br />

Global mutual fund assets stood at US$ 24.8 trillion (-4.5% y-o-y) at the end <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>2012</strong>Q2 in 73,490 funds according to data compiled by Investment Company institute<br />

(ICI) from 46 countries. The decline in mutual fund assets largely emanated from the<br />

decline in global equity prices from a year earlier and due to Euro weakness and the<br />

exchange rate effect weighing on European fund assets in US$ terms.<br />

Global Fund <strong>Asset</strong>s<br />

(trillions <strong>of</strong> U.S. dollars, end <strong>of</strong> period)<br />

26.1<br />

24.8<br />

24.6<br />

24.7<br />

23.0<br />

21.6 22.4<br />

23.7<br />

21.4<br />

18.9 18.8<br />

16.8<br />

25.9 25.6<br />

23.8<br />

24.8<br />

23.1<br />

Dec-07 Sep-08 Jun-09 Mar-10 Dec-10 Sep-11 Jun-12<br />

Source: Investment Company Institute, Washington, DC, <strong>2012</strong><br />

24

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