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17th International Symposium on Ice<br />
Saint Petersburg, Russia, 21 - 25 June 2004<br />
International Association of Hydraulic Engineering and Research<br />
THE COMPUTER MODEL OF FORMATION OF AN ICE<br />
JAM AT THE LENA RIVER<br />
Belikov V.V. 1 , Zaitsev A.A. 2<br />
ABSTRACT<br />
The computer hydraulic model of formation of an ice jam levels on the rivers is<br />
considered in the reporting. The model is based on construction of a digital model of a<br />
relief with application of GIS-technologies and numerical solution of the equations of<br />
the Saint-Venant in a one-dimensional and two-dimensional schematization. The<br />
accounts of a disastrous jam of 2001 in region of city Lensk in Ykut region are<br />
conducted. The good concurrence to full-scale dates was obtained. A main outcome that<br />
by primary factors, defining an ice jam levels, are length of a jam and water discharge.<br />
Height of an ice dam in the basis of a jam is not the main reason of rise of a level of<br />
water. It allows to evaluate recurrence of a jam levels.<br />
The jams of ice originating during rough ice moving on the large rivers, call of<br />
splashing down of territory and result in disastrous consequences. Per the last years are<br />
marked is anomalous high jam flood on the Vuychegda and the Lena rivers. The<br />
disastrous floods from jams of ice put enormous damage to economy. The huge losses<br />
were suffered by economy and population of Yakutia republic after a series of highpower<br />
vernal floods in region of cities Lensk, Olekminsk and Yakutsk. As have shown<br />
conducted researches existing of techniques of the prognosis of a jam floods are<br />
incomplete, owing to many factors of the phenomenon.<br />
The problem was delivered to supply a guard of the occupied items from of a jam floods<br />
and other unfavorable effects caused by the rivers. For construction of levies and<br />
acceptance of other measures on prevention or minimization of consequences of floods<br />
it is required to have an operating information about probable levels and flooded areas<br />
of territory. The executed researches put by the purpose to supply account of levels of a<br />
jam flood and area of its distribution for a high water of 2001 to use the developed<br />
technique for the operating forecast for consequent years.<br />
The research of the problem consists of development of the numerical method of the<br />
prognosis of floods caused by ice jams. It was selected the fragment of the Lena river in<br />
1 Scientific Research Institute of Energy Structures, Moscow<br />
2 Moscow State <strong>University</strong> of Environmental Engineering<br />
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