challenges facing express delivery services in canada's urban centres

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Institute of Housing & Mobility Challenges facing the EDS industry in Canada's urban centres planning departments in the Greater Toronto Area to study traffic flows. The motivation to aggregate data at the TAZ level was the desire to observe the spatial trends for the concentration of package delivery which becomes obvious with data aggregation. Also, the planning department would find it convenient to relate to the analysis since we are using their zonal system. Once the data were geo-coded, the research team consulted industry experts and Statistics Canada to determine the expansion factor for the data used in the analysis. The expansion factor, derived from consultations with the industry, allowed the research team to expand the numbers to reflect the activity of the entire industry, rather than just that of those firms whose data were used in the analysis. Results from Spatial Analysis Figure 24 presents the study area. The shaded blue part constitutes the original study area, which is bounded by Jarvis Street, the Rosedale Ravine, and Yonge Street on the east; Dupont Street and McPherson Avenue to the north; Bathurst Street on the west; Lake Ontario to the south. The brown colour boundaries identify traffic analysis zones that are either fully contained within the study area or are intersected by the study area and hence extend slightly beyond the study area. FIGURE 24: STUDY AREA SHOWING THE TRAFFIC ANALYSIS ZONES (TAZS) IN DOWNTOWN TORONTO Page 44
Institute of Housing & Mobility Challenges facing the EDS industry in Canada's urban centres Figure 25 presents the spatial distribution of employment in this study area. To have an appreciation of the extent of activity generated by couriers and same day messengers, it is important to have an estimate of the number of persons employed within the study area. The 2006 traffic survey in Toronto revealed more than 400,000 person trips made to the study area. The two TAZs coloured in red attracted more than 26,000 employees each on a given day in 2006. To the east of this hyper concentration of employment is the yellow coded zone that attracted more than 20,000 daily employees. The figure suggests high concentration of employment in the area bounded by Yonge Street to the east, York Street to the west, Queen Street to the north, and Front Street to the south. FIGURE 25: SPATIAL CONCENTRATION OF EMPLOYMENT IN THE STUDY AREA Map layers CCLA TAZs Dest hbwatt24h 7099 and below (34) 7100 to 12999 (20) 13000 to 19999 (1) 20000 to 25999 (1) 26000 and above (2) 0 .5 1 1.5 Kilometers A more vivid picture emerges when one plots the employment distribution as employment densities, which revealed that the most concentrated employment zone boasted employment density of 300,000 persons per square kilometre. This is the same zone whose boundaries constitutes Yonge, Bay, King, and Front Streets and is coloured red in Figure 26. With such heavy concentration of service-based employment, the demand for courier and same day messenger services is expected to be high in this particular part of Toronto. Page 45
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