Instability in Indian Agriculture - NCAP

Ramesh Chand and S S Raju
phases (a) two decades from 1968 to 1988, representing initial phase of
improved technology, and (b) two decades after 1988, representing the
period of wider technology dissemination, and compares it with the pre
green revolution period. This would help in settling the issue whether
adoption of improved technology of green revolution in the long run
raised or reduced variability in production, and whether short term and
long term effect of improved technology on production instability are
different.
The instability is estimated for aggregate of crop sector as well as for the
sub sectors and important commodities at national and state level. The
paper is organized into five sections including Introduction. The second
section provides a brief review of various studies on instability in Indian
agriculture and discuss the need to update the analysis on instability.
Data and Methodology used in earlier studies and the present study
are presented in section III. The fourth section presents our estimate of
instability at national and state level. This section also includes analysis
of instability at disaggregate level by using district level data for the state
of Andhra Pradesh. Conclusions and policy implications are presented
in the section V.
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