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Handbook on Contemporary Austrian Economics

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122 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Handbook</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>temporary <strong>Austrian</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omics<br />

effects of n<strong>on</strong>-super-neutral m<strong>on</strong>ey has yet to occur. Given that m<strong>on</strong>ey is<br />

n<strong>on</strong>-neutral in <strong>Austrian</strong> explanati<strong>on</strong>s of the business cycle, it seems likely<br />

that integrating the effect of n<strong>on</strong>-super-neutral m<strong>on</strong>ey will not be difficult.<br />

It may offer new insights into how changes in the growth rate of the m<strong>on</strong>ey<br />

supply affect the evoluti<strong>on</strong> of ec<strong>on</strong>omies over decades.<br />

The improved psychological foundati<strong>on</strong>s of ec<strong>on</strong>omic theory offer<br />

an opportunity to reassess <strong>Austrian</strong> m<strong>on</strong>etary theory. Given the limited<br />

capabilities of ec<strong>on</strong>omic agents to understand all the interdependencies of<br />

a modern ec<strong>on</strong>omy and the emergence of interest in Hayek's writings <strong>on</strong><br />

psychology, a new look at the <strong>Austrian</strong> macroec<strong>on</strong>omics may be in order.<br />

Hayek's introducti<strong>on</strong> of neutral m<strong>on</strong>ey into macroec<strong>on</strong>omic analysis<br />

greatly improved understanding of business cycles. The larger project of<br />

developing the implicati<strong>on</strong>s of n<strong>on</strong>-neutral m<strong>on</strong>ey in the short and l<strong>on</strong>g<br />

run offers many avenues for further inquiry. Various schools of thought<br />

have offered explanati<strong>on</strong>s for the n<strong>on</strong>-neutrality of m<strong>on</strong>ey. The <strong>Austrian</strong><br />

school will, in all likelihood, c<strong>on</strong>tinue to make c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s to the development<br />

of empirically supported macroec<strong>on</strong>omic theory and insights into<br />

the evoluti<strong>on</strong> of the macroec<strong>on</strong>omy.<br />

Notes<br />

I. Thornt<strong>on</strong> (2007) offers compelling evidence that Cantill<strong>on</strong>'s significant essay influenced<br />

Hume. Hayek suspected this to be true. Humphrey (1984) documents a number of<br />

reas<strong>on</strong>s offered by the Classical ec<strong>on</strong>Qmists why m<strong>on</strong>ey had n<strong>on</strong>-neutral effects.<br />

2. Tract <strong>on</strong> M<strong>on</strong>etary Reform (1923), Chapter 3.<br />

3. Freeman and Kydland (2000) offer empirical support for the claims that changes in<br />

output lead to changes in the m<strong>on</strong>ey supply.<br />

4. Of course, there are excepti<strong>on</strong>s. See Cochran (2001).<br />

References<br />

Cant ili<strong>on</strong>, Richard. [1755) 1931. Essai sur la Nature du Commerce en General. New York:<br />

August M. Kelley.<br />

Cochran, john. 2001. "Capital-based Macroec<strong>on</strong>omics: Recent Developments and<br />

Extensi<strong>on</strong>s of <strong>Austrian</strong> Business Cycle Theory," Quarterly Journal of <strong>Austrian</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omics<br />

4(3): 17- 25.<br />

Freeman, Scott and Finn Kydland. 2000. "M<strong>on</strong>etary Aggregates and Output," American<br />

Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Review 90(5): 1125-35.<br />

Friedman, Milt<strong>on</strong>. 1963. Inflati<strong>on</strong>: Causes and C<strong>on</strong>sequences. New York: Asia Publishing<br />

House.<br />

Friedman, Milt<strong>on</strong> and Anna Schwartz. 1963. A M<strong>on</strong>etary History of the United States.<br />

1967- 1960. Princet<strong>on</strong>: Princet<strong>on</strong> University Press.<br />

Garris<strong>on</strong>, Roger. 2000. Time and M<strong>on</strong>ey: The Macroec<strong>on</strong>omics of Capital Structure. New<br />

York: Routledge.<br />

Haberler, Gottfried. 1980. "Critical Notes <strong>on</strong> Rati<strong>on</strong>al Expectati<strong>on</strong>s," Journal of M<strong>on</strong>ey.<br />

Credit and Banking 12(Nov.): 833-6.<br />

Hayek, F.A. 1935. Prices and Producti<strong>on</strong>. New York: August M. Kelley.<br />

Hayek, F.A. 1952. The Sensory Order. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.<br />

Horwitz, Steven. 2000. Microfoundati<strong>on</strong>s and Macroec<strong>on</strong>omics: An <strong>Austrian</strong> Perspective.<br />

New York: Routledge.

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