COI-Report-Somalia

66 — EASO Country of Origin Information report — South and Central Somalia — Country overview
inflow of investment, and the gradual restoration of a sense of normalcy. Most of this progress is due to the efforts
of AMISOM (…). But it is also due in part to the growing capabilities of Somali security forces, trained and supported
by various foreign partners.’ ( 517 )
According to a government official, ‘ninety per cent of al‐Shabaab’s [intended] plots have failed’ ( 518 ). Security
forces undertake successful operations to ensure the security of civilians, for example when AMISOM and Interim
Jubba Administration (IJA) forces rescued 30 people abducted by Al‐Shabaab from Kismayo ( 519 ). The security forces
regularly carry out large‐scale security operations in bigger towns ( 520 ) , for example on 29 April 2014 in Yaqshid and
Heliwaa districts of Mogadishu, when some 200 suspected Al‐Shabaab sympathisers were arrested ( 521 ).
The FGS’s influence outside Mogadishu is limited and depends to a large extent on AMISOM and international
support ( 522 ). As stated by Matt Bryden: ‘Security in Mogadishu and other major Somali towns is dependent on the
presence of AMISOM forces and is likely to remain so for the foreseeable future.’ ( 523 ) However, it has to be emphasised
‘that Al‐Shabaab is not able to regain the control of cities that are under control of (…) AMISOM/SNAF.’ ( 524 )
( 517 ) Bryden, M., Somalia Redux Assessing the New Somali Federal Government, Center for Strategic & International Studies, August 2013 (http://csis.org/files/
publication/130819_Bryden_SomaliaRedux_WEB.pdf) accessed 15 May 2014, p. 4.
( 518 ) Sabahionline, Concerns rise over preparedness of Somali security forces, 15 August 2013 (http://sabahionline.com/en_GB/articles/hoa/articles/
features/2013/08/15/feature-01) accessed 6 June 2014.
( 519 ) Sabahionline, AMISOM, IJA forces rescue 30 people kidnapped by al‐Shabaab in Kismayo, 2 June 2014 (http://sabahionline.com/en_GB/articles/hoa/articles/
newsbriefs/2014/06/02/newsbrief-06) accessed 6 June 2014.
( 520 ) Security Analysis Department, Weekly Security Reports.
( 521 ) Sabahionline, Somali, AMISOM forces carry out security sweep in Mogadishu, 2 May 2014 (http://sabahionline.com/en_GB/articles/hoa/articles/
newsbriefs/2014/05/02/newsbrief-03) accessed 6 June 2014.
( 522 ) LPI, Alternatives for Conflict Transformation in Somalia. A snapshot and analysis of key political actors’ views and strategies, 2014 (http://www.life‐peace.org/
wp‐content/uploads/The‐ACTS‐Report.pdf) accessed 27 May 2014, p. 31; Tiwald, A., ‘The Security Situation in Somalia’, Somalia: Security, Minorities and
Migration, Austria: Federal Ministry of the Interior, 2013 (http://www.refworld.org/docid/53564b8a4.html) accessed 15 May 2014, p. 15.
( 523 ) Bryden, M., Somalia Redux Assessing the New Somali Federal Government, Center for Strategic & International Studies, August 2013 (http://csis.org/files/
publication/130819_Bryden_SomaliaRedux_WEB.pdf) accessed 15 May 2014, p. 15; see also: Lifos, Säkerhetssituationen i södra och centrala Somalia,
Rapport från utredningsresa till Nairobi, Kenya i oktober 2013. 20 January 2014 (http://lifos.migrationsverket.se/dokumentdocumentAttachmentId=40524)
accessed 22 June 2014, p. 6, 11; another source states: ‘If AMISOM leaves, the government will collapse.’ Sources want to remain anonymous, November 2013.
( 524 ) Tiwald, A., ‘The Security Situation in Somalia’, Somalia: Security, Minorities and Migration, Austria: Federal Ministry of the Interior, 2013 (http://www.refworld.
org/docid/53564b8a4.html) accessed 15 May 2014, p. 17-18.