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Analysing spatial point patterns in R - CSIRO

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15.4 Fitted models 103<br />

effectfun(fit, "slope")<br />

lambda<br />

0.005 0.010 0.015 0.020<br />

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30<br />

slope<br />

15.4.2 Model selection<br />

Analysis of deviance for nested Poisson <strong>po<strong>in</strong>t</strong> process models is implemented <strong>in</strong> spatstat as<br />

anova.ppm. The first model should be a sub-model of the second.<br />

> fit fitnull anova(fitnull, fit, test = "Chi")<br />

Analysis of Deviance Table<br />

Model 1: .mpl.Y ~ 1<br />

Model 2: .mpl.Y ~ slope<br />

Resid. Df Resid. Dev Df Deviance P(>|Chi|)<br />

1 20507 18728<br />

2 20506 18346 1 382.25 < 2.2e-16 ***<br />

---<br />

Signif. codes: 0 *** 0.001 ** 0.01 * 0.05 . 0.1 1<br />

This effectively performs the likelihood ratio test of the null hypothesis of a homogeneous<br />

Poisson process (CSR) aga<strong>in</strong>st the alternative of an <strong>in</strong>homogeneous Poisson process with <strong>in</strong>tensity<br />

that is a logl<strong>in</strong>ear function of the slope covariate (6). The p-value is extremely small,<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g rejection of CSR <strong>in</strong> favour of the alternative. (Please ignore the columns Resid.Df<br />

and Resid.Dev which are artefacts of the discretisation. Only the deviance difference and the<br />

difference <strong>in</strong> degrees of freedom are valid.)<br />

Note that standard Analysis of Deviance requires the null hypothesis to be a sub-model of the<br />

alternative. Unfortunately the model (8), <strong>in</strong> which <strong>in</strong>tensity is proportional to slope, does not<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude the homogeneous Poisson process as a special case, so we cannot use analysis of deviance<br />

to test the null hypothesis of homogeneous Poisson aga<strong>in</strong>st the alternative of an <strong>in</strong>homogeneous<br />

Poisson with <strong>in</strong>tensity (8).<br />

One possibility here is to use the Akaike Information Criterion AIC for model selection.<br />

> fitprop fitnull AIC(fitprop)<br />

Copyright<strong>CSIRO</strong> 2010

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