The Effect of Medical Advances on Insurance ... - Actuary.com
The Effect of Medical Advances on Insurance ... - Actuary.com
The Effect of Medical Advances on Insurance ... - Actuary.com
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Will <str<strong>on</strong>g>Effect</str<strong>on</strong>g>ive Human to Human<br />
Transmissi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> H5N1 Occur?<br />
Three scenarios possible:<br />
1. H5N1 remains in birds, other animals<br />
- fades in importance<br />
2. Jumps directly from birds to humans<br />
– Postulated to have occurred in 1918<br />
3. Combines with other influenza virus and then to<br />
humans<br />
– occurred in 1957 (Asian) and 1968 (H<strong>on</strong>g K<strong>on</strong>g)<br />
– Usually less virulent (partial immunity, etc.)