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Value Beyond Cost Savings - Green Building Finance Consortium

Value Beyond Cost Savings - Green Building Finance Consortium

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Appendix GSustainable Property <strong>Cost</strong>-Benefit ChecklistPotential Property <strong>Cost</strong>s Description of <strong>Cost</strong> Applicability Analysis 120F. Increased Cash Flow RiskThe most significant cash flow risk is to underperform proformaprojections, rather than underperform compared to aproperty with no or limited sustainability attributesThe best way to assess potential sustainability relatedunderperformance risk is to carefully consider theinfluence of incremental sustainability investment on keyassumptions in the financial analysis or valuation. If theincremental contributions appear overstated, or are notclearly articulated, the risk of underperforming the proformaprojections will increase.1. Risk of rapid functionalobsolescenceNew technologies in sectors of the industry with substantialongoing research and development investment, like thesustainable property industry, are subject to heightenedlevels of functional obsolescence, which has a directimpact on value, but can also impact space user demandand cash flows.Major expenditures on new products, systems, orstrategies should be evaluated for this risk and mitigatedthrough supplier contracts, phasing of implementation,further research, and other means.For example, if an owner paid one million dollars for a newHVAC system, and two years later you could buy an HVACsystem that was 15% more efficient for 10% less money,the value of the original investment has gone down due tofunctional obsolescence due to the introduction of leapfrogtechnology.13.2. Process Underperformance One of the biggest risks to cash flow is poorly executedsustainable property processes such as those identifiedbelow:• Poor integrated design process• Legal/contractual riskso Design firm professional liabilityo <strong>Green</strong> leaseso Warrantieso ESCO contractso Misrepresentation and fraud: marketingan leasingo Regulatory complianceo Securities fraud• Insuranceo EnvironmentalTo assess the influence of process performance on cashflow risk, the valuer/underwriter must assess each of thekey processes, particularly those that have led historicallyto underperformance like:• Integrated design process• Contracts• Service provider capacity• Energy modeling• Commissioning• Sustainable certification• Measurement and verification• Occupant and building management training289

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