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Economic Development Strategy and Action Plan - Perth County

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Figure 4 – <strong>Perth</strong> <strong>County</strong>, St. Marys <strong>and</strong> Stratford Employment Base Location Quotient, 2001 to2006LQ ClassificationSouthwestern Ontario(2001 <strong>and</strong> 2006) OntarioVery High Agriculture AgricultureHighAverageManufacturingArts, entertainment <strong>and</strong> recreationWholesale tradeConstructionAccommodation <strong>and</strong> food servicesWholesale tradeManufacturingArts, entertainment <strong>and</strong> recreationConstructionSource: Statistics Canada: REDDI, 2001 <strong>and</strong> 2006.Many of these industries listed also experienced employment growth during the five year (2001-2006)time period. This finding suggests local competitive advantage for being located in the region. Theseemployment LQ results were very similar to the labour force LQ results, reconfirming the strongrelationship between jobs in the region being filled by the local labour force.There is employment concentration in the Arts, Entertainment <strong>and</strong> Recreation industry. This is alsodriven by the Stratford Shakespeare Festival. The performing arts companies had very high locationquotients (compared to Ontario an LQ of 12.92 <strong>and</strong> southwestern Ontario an LQ of 12.99) in 2006.The next section will build on this location quotient analysis using a shift-share analysis.3.2 Shift-Share AnalysisA shift-share analysis (SSA) compares local growth or decline of an industry with provincial (<strong>and</strong> regional)growth or decline in that industry, as well as provincial (regional) growth overall. The method separatesthe growth occurring locally in an industry that could be explained by the influence of provincial (regional)growth for all industries combined, the influence of growth in the industry at the provincial (regional) level<strong>and</strong> the influence of local factors. SSA compares actual growth or decline to the growth that would haveoccurred if the local industry had followed provincial (regional) growth trends <strong>and</strong> if the local industry hadfollowed growth trends in the provincial (regional) industry. 1Three values are produced through SSA: Southwestern Ontario/Provincial Effect, Industrial Effect <strong>and</strong>Differential Shift Effect.• Southwestern Ontario/Provincial Effect – the number of local jobs lost or gained due to theinfluence of southwestern Ontario/provincial growth overall• Industrial Effect – the number of local jobs lost or gained due to the influence of growth in thesector at the province/nation.• Differential Shift Effect – the number of local jobs lost or gained due to local factors.1Spreadsheet Tools for Local <strong>Economic</strong> Analysis, Ontario Ministry of Municipal Affairs & Housing – Rural <strong>Development</strong> Division,March 2004.<strong>Perth</strong>, St. Marys <strong>and</strong> Stratford <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Action</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> 14 | P age

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