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Diffusion Processes with Hidden States from ... - FU Berlin, FB MI

Diffusion Processes with Hidden States from ... - FU Berlin, FB MI

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3 Theoryalready presented in section 3.7, will enable us to estimate the parameter set, forming the basis ofthe considered HMM-SDE model.In this case we can stick to [16] and [17].In order to start, we can assume a <strong>Hidden</strong> Markov Model in the way that the system is arrangedin an initial state, and probabilistically jumps to other states (Markov jump process) which arehidden <strong>with</strong>in the scope of any observation, while it is characterized by a diffusion process <strong>with</strong>inthese hidden states (metastable states). Thereby for every such state we have a system of SDEs ofover-damped Langevin type, in the following manner:<strong>with</strong>:• X: Random variable,• q(t): Markov jump process <strong>with</strong> states 1...M,Ẋ(t) = −∂ x U (q(t)) (x(t)) + σ (q(t)) Ẇ(t). (3.68)• W(t): Standard Brownian motion or Wiener process,• Σ = (σ (1) ,...,σ (M) ) contains noise intensities.• U = (U (1) ,...,U (M) ) contains interaction potentials.In the context of this work (in the framework of the rhodopsin-transducin-system) we can expectour system to have at least three hidden states:1. <strong>Diffusion</strong> of the transducin proteins in the solution.2. <strong>Diffusion</strong> of the transducin proteins on the membrane.3. <strong>Diffusion</strong> of the transducin proteins on the membrane, bound to rhodopsin proteins.Further assumptions, we should make are:1. Assumption:The Potentials U (q) are of harmonic form:while F (q)P2. Assumption:U (q) = 1 2 F(q) (x − µ(q)PP)2 +U (q)0 , (3.69)is the potential slope, U (q)0the initial value and µ (q)P the mean of the potential.Let us apply that the jump process is fixed to one state, q(t) = q.3.10.1 Propagation of the Probability DensityNow consider a statistical probability density function ρ(x,t) of an ensemble of solutions for theequation (3.68), and for different realizations of the stochastic process W(t). As we have seen38

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