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Diffusion Processes with Hidden States from ... - FU Berlin, FB MI

Diffusion Processes with Hidden States from ... - FU Berlin, FB MI

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3 Theory( )F 1 0 0=0 0( )µ 1 0.3=0.3( )σ 1 0.05=0.05( ) 0 0F 2 =0 0( ) 0.4µ 2 =0.4( ) 0.035σ 2 =0.035( )F 3 0 0=0 0( )µ 3 0.5=σ 3 =0.5( 0.030.03),(3.92)while it is of course q ∈ {1,2,3}, according to the respective three hidden states. Here one cansee, that the potential slopes for all three states are zero, leading to the case of free diffusion, wepresented in subsection 3.10.4.For a graphical representation of a diffusion trajectory on a 2D-plane <strong>with</strong>out potential (free diffusion)see figure 3.13.Figure 3.13: 2D free diffusion trajectory <strong>with</strong> 1000 time steps. X, Y denote the two spatial coordinates.Afterwards, the 2D trajectory was taken as observation data, the hidden sequence as initial Viterbipath of the EM algorithm and the EM algorithm (Baum Welch) was started <strong>with</strong> a maximumnumber of iterations of 100000 and the precision of 1 · 10 −6 which is a stopping criterion for the50

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