Impetus - Universität zu Köln

30IMPETUS Development of scenariosHowever, there is no allocation of industry in the High Atlas. The initial conditions are simplytoo bad in this region.In the Ouarzazate Basin economic development concentrates on the extension of processing ofagricultural goods.The same development strategy applies to the Oases. Thus, the industrial processing gains moderategrowth dynamics. But structural deficits in economic development and the overall strongconcentration on agriculture remain and are not really solved.Tourism increases in all regions, mainly due to the extension of the infrastructure (streets andcommunication) and the support of regional tourism enterprises.In the High Atlas trekking tourism gains more importance leading to marginal improvements inincome possibilities for the local population. Additionally, a steered mass tourism around certainsightseeing objectives evolves. This concerns, for example, the Dades valleys. In the OuarzazateBasin the package tourism dominates. This form of tourism grows strongly and develops into animportant income source for the local population. The region benefits from the funding of regionaltourism agencies as well as from the targeted support for decentred tourism spots (Skoura,Keela).Desert expeditions and tourism gain importance in the Oases and diversify income sources forthe local population (Kasbah). Especially the two most southern Oases are expanded and turnedinto centres of attraction for tourists.Developments within agricultureNumber and average size of the farmed areas increases slightly. Also the productivity of intensiveagriculture rises, whereas the importance of subsistence farming is on the decline. Agrostructuralfunding supports the development of agricultural innovations, like for example thecultivation of salt-resistant crops or marketable cash-crops. Techniques for the improvement ofwater use efficiency are introduced. Regional development plans are set up for this purpose andimplemented in accordance with the provisions of the Strategy 2020.Cash crops are produced more and more for the regional markets in all three regions (intensificationand agricultural innovations). Differences relate to the development of the agricultural areas:In the High Atlas the number increases slightly whereas it stays constant in both other regions.The development in the Ouarzazate Basin and in den Oases is further characterised by a continuousmodernisation of production techniques, like salt-resistant plants, fertiliser or pesticides.Livestock is further reduced but nomadism as a main way of living and working is being kept byparts of the population. The development of the climate framework conditions has a strong influenceon the composition of the livestock.Livestock farming in the High Atlas is characterised by a smaller number of cattle per capita buta higher productivity and thus better income possibilities. Increases in productivity are mainlyreached through better access of breeders to cattle markets and through extending veterinarymedical services. The system of rotating pastures is strengthened which allows a more sustainablepasture management. In this system certain pastures are excluded from grazing for a certaintime.