Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2012 - PwC
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2012 - PwC
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2012 - PwC
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match their liabilities. Although borrowers viewed this outcome<br />
as undesirable, the view was not universal. “The longer-term<br />
nature of <strong>in</strong>surance lend<strong>in</strong>g is more ak<strong>in</strong> to what the market<br />
wants and needs than the type of borrow<strong>in</strong>g people were<br />
do<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> 2002 to 2007.” Both borrowers and lenders also cited<br />
<strong>in</strong>stances of <strong>in</strong>surers lend<strong>in</strong>g on more flexible terms.<br />
Interviewees saw sovereign wealth funds, <strong>in</strong>surers, and<br />
fund managers with segregated accounts as be<strong>in</strong>g able to<br />
participate at all levels of the capital structure—from senior<br />
debt to equity—allow<strong>in</strong>g them to forage <strong>in</strong> the market very efficiently<br />
for deals, decid<strong>in</strong>g where <strong>in</strong> the capital stack to <strong>in</strong>vest<br />
for the most attractive risk-adjusted return.<br />
For really solid borrowers, such as some of the larger<br />
REITS, direct access to the capital markets to issue long-term<br />
bonds has cont<strong>in</strong>ued through the year, reduc<strong>in</strong>g the need for<br />
traditional senior lenders. Both borrowers and lenders saw this<br />
opportunity as someth<strong>in</strong>g that would cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> the future. As<br />
one banker observed: “We have seen U.S. private placement,<br />
convertible bonds, even CMBS this year. We have seen oldfashioned<br />
debentures bonds, so [there is] a greater number of<br />
products. You need to be a big beast to access it, but that is a<br />
trend. There will be a larger range of providers—hedge funds,<br />
pension funds; we will see lots of different providers com<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>to the sector.”<br />
Availability of Equity<br />
The view of respondents regard<strong>in</strong>g the availability of equity<br />
is much more positive; the proportion believ<strong>in</strong>g that equity<br />
will be more available exceeds the proportion believ<strong>in</strong>g that<br />
equity will be less available. The most promis<strong>in</strong>g aspect is<br />
the response from <strong>in</strong>stitutional <strong>in</strong>vestors: 65 percent believe<br />
that equity will be moderately more available, with a further<br />
10 percent believ<strong>in</strong>g that equity would be substantially more<br />
available. Germany and France both rated highly on the issue<br />
of equity availability. The view was widespread that the pressure<br />
on <strong>in</strong>vestors to <strong>in</strong>vest is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, and real estate reta<strong>in</strong>s<br />
its attraction as an asset class. The need to deploy capital<br />
was a view also shared by some of the <strong>in</strong>stitutions. As an <strong>in</strong>terviewee<br />
from one of the pension funds observed, “The money<br />
ExHIBIT 2-8<br />
Availability of Equity Capital for Ref<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
or New Investment <strong>in</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
8.6%<br />
Substantially<br />
Greater<br />
33.6%<br />
Moderately<br />
Greater<br />
25.6%<br />
Rema<strong>in</strong><br />
the Same<br />
Source: <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> Estate <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2012</strong> survey.<br />
21.6%<br />
Moderately<br />
Less<br />
22 <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> Estate ® <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
10.6%<br />
Substantially<br />
Less<br />
ExHIBIT 2-9<br />
Views on the Availability of Equity Capital<br />
for Ref<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g or New Investment <strong>in</strong> <strong>2012</strong>,<br />
by Bus<strong>in</strong>ess Type<br />
+10+ +65+ +15+ +10+ +0<br />
Institutional/Equity Investor<br />
10%<br />
Substantially<br />
Greater<br />
65%<br />
Moderately<br />
Greater<br />
15%<br />
Rema<strong>in</strong><br />
the Same<br />
+8+ +39+ +24+ +18+ +11<br />
<strong>Real</strong> Estate Service Firm<br />
8%<br />
Substantially<br />
Greater<br />
39%<br />
Moderately<br />
Greater<br />
24%<br />
Rema<strong>in</strong><br />
the Same<br />
+5+ +33+ +32+ +21+ +10<br />
Fund/Investment Manager<br />
5%<br />
Substantially<br />
Greater<br />
33%<br />
Moderately<br />
Greater<br />
32%<br />
Rema<strong>in</strong><br />
the Same<br />
+6+ +33+ +24+ +24+ +12<br />
Bank, Lender, or Securitized Lender<br />
6%<br />
Substantially<br />
Greater<br />
33%<br />
Moderately<br />
Greater<br />
24%<br />
Rema<strong>in</strong><br />
the Same<br />
+0+ +30+ +33+ +26+ +11<br />
Publicly Listed Property Company or REIT<br />
0%<br />
Substantially<br />
Greater<br />
30%<br />
Moderately<br />
Greater<br />
33%<br />
Rema<strong>in</strong><br />
the Same<br />
+15+ +23+ +17+ +31+ +14<br />
Private Property Company or Developer<br />
15%<br />
Substantially<br />
Greater<br />
23%<br />
Moderately<br />
Greater<br />
17%<br />
Rema<strong>in</strong><br />
the Same<br />
Source: <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> Estate <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2012</strong> survey.<br />
10%<br />
Moderately<br />
Less<br />
18%<br />
Moderately<br />
Less<br />
21%<br />
Moderately<br />
Less<br />
24%<br />
Moderately<br />
Less<br />
26%<br />
Moderately<br />
Less<br />
31%<br />
Moderately<br />
Less<br />
0%<br />
Substantially<br />
Less<br />
11%<br />
Substantially<br />
Less<br />
10%<br />
Substantially<br />
Less<br />
12%<br />
Substantially<br />
Less<br />
11%<br />
Substantially<br />
Less<br />
14%<br />
Substantially<br />
Less