Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2012 - PwC
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2012 - PwC
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2012 - PwC
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ExHIBIT 3-6<br />
Best Sectors for Acquisitions <strong>in</strong> <strong>2012</strong>, by City<br />
Source: <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> Estate <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2012</strong> survey.<br />
sector recommended by 30 or more 15–29 14 or fewer respondents<br />
“It is a refuge market <strong>in</strong> these times,” said one <strong>in</strong>terviewee.<br />
The office sector was overwhelm<strong>in</strong>gly favoured and ranked as<br />
one of the top three <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>in</strong> the survey, beh<strong>in</strong>d London and<br />
Paris, a function of positive performance <strong>in</strong> both the leas<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
transaction market <strong>in</strong> 2011. Take-up <strong>in</strong> the Bavarian capital was<br />
the highest of the five German office markets dur<strong>in</strong>g the first<br />
n<strong>in</strong>e months of the year, and vacancy rates decreased from 8.5<br />
percent to 8.3 percent over the course of 2011.<br />
Residential assets are the third most attractive <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>,<br />
after Berl<strong>in</strong> and London, another sign of <strong>in</strong>vestors’ desire for<br />
safe, stable cash flow with<strong>in</strong> portfolios. Munich’s retail property<br />
was the second most attractive <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, follow<strong>in</strong>g from<br />
a major <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> a large-scale mall from a major U.S.<br />
pension fund last year.<br />
But observers have warned of bubble-like pric<strong>in</strong>g as a<br />
result of strong <strong>in</strong>terest for German assets <strong>in</strong> <strong>2012</strong>. “Large<br />
equity <strong>in</strong>stitutional <strong>in</strong>vestors are now <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly <strong>in</strong>terested<br />
<strong>in</strong> direct <strong>in</strong>vestment. The run on quality and refuge cities has<br />
made German cities almost bubble-like. We sold an asset at<br />
a yield that has exceeded all of our optimistic expectations<br />
and at a very large marg<strong>in</strong>. At these prices, we would sell our<br />
entire portfolio <strong>in</strong> Germany.”<br />
Chapter 3: Markets and Sectors to Watch<br />
O f fi ce Retail Industrial Apartment Hotel<br />
Best Sector for<br />
Acquisition <strong>in</strong> the City<br />
Amsterdam 17 19 8 14 10 Retail<br />
Athens 5 12 3 9 17 Hotel<br />
Barcelona 28 33 9 13 12 Retail<br />
Berl<strong>in</strong> 43 42 7 58 12 Apartment<br />
Brussels 14 16 4 6 2 Retail<br />
Budapest 13 16 9 1 2 Retail<br />
Copenhagen 14 18 3 13 3 Retail<br />
Dubl<strong>in</strong> 14 4 2 7 3 Offi ce<br />
Ed<strong>in</strong>burgh 15 7 2 3 5 Offi ce<br />
Frankfurt 47 30 13 32 3 Offi ce<br />
Hamburg 43 35 18 43 6 Offi ce, Apartment<br />
Hels<strong>in</strong>ki 17 17 5 5 1 Offi ce, Retail<br />
Istanbul 26 34 8 20 20 Retail<br />
Lisbon 13 10 4 7 8 Offi ce<br />
London 74 36 14 51 24 Offi ce<br />
Lyon 20 13 13 5 3 Offi ce<br />
Madrid 37 31 6 15 14 Offi ce<br />
Milan 25 37 6 10 6 Retail<br />
Moscow 16 21 7 8 5 Retail<br />
Munich 62 49 10 44 16 Offi ce<br />
Paris 81 52 11 25 18 Offi ce<br />
Prague 28 22 5 1 4 Offi ce<br />
Rome 14 29 1 9 6 Retail<br />
Stockholm 24 26 7 15 3 Retail<br />
Vienna 14 13 4 17 3 Apartment<br />
Warsaw 42 37 9 8 6 Offi ce<br />
Zurich 12 10 1 6 0 Offi ce<br />
ExHIBIT 3-7<br />
Munich<br />
Source: <strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> Estate <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2012</strong> survey.<br />
Prospects Rat<strong>in</strong>g Rank<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Exist<strong>in</strong>g Property Performance Good 3.77 2<br />
New Property Acquisitions Good 3.60 3<br />
Development Prospects Fair 3.36 5<br />
Investment Prospects<br />
excellent<br />
good<br />
fair<br />
poor<br />
abysmal<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
2011<br />
<strong>2012</strong><br />
<strong>Emerg<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Real</strong> Estate ® <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />
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