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The_Guardian_-_2016-12-29

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getting it from Michael Gove | Jonathan Portes<br />

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<strong>The</strong> consensus about the Brexit vote is that it expressed resentment about how politicians had driven<br />

forward social changes without the consent of the affected communities. So social forces were<br />

certainly important. But in an extraordinary year where the right gained the upper hand and effective<br />

opposition disintegrated, what’s striking is how many fatal twists and turns were set in motion by<br />

misjudgments based on the character flaws of the leaders. Without the hubris, arrogance, laziness,<br />

disloyalty, connivance and opportunism of so many of the key players, we would probably not be in<br />

this current state of Brexit-induced political mess.<br />

How far back should we go with this idea that misjudgments based on character flaws led directly to<br />

this mess? A long way. Tony Blair’s hubris about the Middle East discredited his centre-left politics.<br />

<strong>The</strong> fratricidal competitiveness of Ed Milliband helped to deprive Labour of victory and a platform<br />

to rebuild the centre-left. Also key in the 2015 election was Nick Clegg’s duplicity around student<br />

fees. His class chemistry with David Cameron and his evident liking for his position caused him to<br />

massively disappoint his voters – a move that in effect wiped out the Liberal Democrats.<br />

<strong>2016</strong>: How do you report a year that changed the world? – video<br />

This left Cameron unchallenged except by his own right wing. And of all the personality flaws in this<br />

saga, his proved the most glaring. His laziness and lack of attention to detail, characterised by the<br />

press as “Dave’s chillaxing”, made him supremely confident about the referendum. He thought he<br />

could face down the right relying on electoral “reasonableness”. This relaxed attitude was fatal. <strong>The</strong><br />

stakes were too high, and the details about the referendum’s status really mattered, as the ensuing<br />

muddle revealed. Cameron’s failure to see danger coming allowed a motivated right wing to define<br />

the agenda.<br />

<strong>The</strong> weeks following the vote was a period many commentators described as a Greek tragedy, which<br />

is all about character initiating a fatal sequence of events. Michael Gove and Boris Johnson appeared<br />

motivated more by manoeuvring for leadership than deep conviction, as well as being deluded about<br />

their own strategic cleverness. But Johnson was rather too good at connecting with the popular mood,<br />

at turning the perfect phrase, at echoing and, to some extent, manipulating the popular press, and got<br />

the result he almost certainly didn’t want. His stricken face on Brexit morning suggested he had really<br />

sought to be the “unifying” leader in a close remain vote. Gove’s downfall came from opportunism,<br />

disloyalty, and an overestimation of his ability to outmanoeuvre Johnson.<br />

Trump’s latest tweet about nuclear weapons is<br />

both daft and dangerous | Simon Jenkins<br />

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