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48 REFUGIUM FUTURE OF AN EVER EVOLVING PROBLEM 2050 - 3050 As a global society we have already been shown to be far out of our depth with dealing with the current refugee crisis. The current population of refugees though pales in comparison to what is predicted for the future of this dilemma. 60 million globally displaced people are expected to swell to as many as 250 million by 2050 based on the exponential rate at which these numbers have progressed over the past few years, compounded by the ever present problems provided by global warming, contributing to the production of environmental refugees. Taking a hypothetical look at the future, based on data that supports the plausibility of such events, a hypothetical summary of some of the major crisis which could come into play is provided. 2050 NUCLEAR TERRORISM WASHINGTON Radical Islam and its resentment of the West continue to produce new Jihadists. In addition, underground groups ranging from those angry at the first world’s neglect, to anarcho-primitivists, have sprung up. By 2050, at least one terrorist nuclear attack on a major world city has been conducted by one of these groups. Large amounts of nuclear material had been missing from Russia since the 1990s and some inevitably fell into the wrong hands. Being orders of magnitude greater than 9/11, the effects of this attack leave a deep psychological scar on many people alive today. 2050 -2060 FISHING CRISIS GLOBAL By far the greatest impact from global warming has been in the seas and oceans, where changes in heat content, oxygen levels and other biogeochemical properties have devastated marine ecosystems. Globally, the average body size of fish has declined by up to 24 per cent compared with 2000. About half of this shrinkage has come from changes in distribution and abundance, the remainder from changes in physiology. The tropics have been the worst affected regions. The plentifulness of global fish stock are a thing of the past with many species already extinct and many others now protected. The 17% of the global population that relied on fish as their primary source of sustanance have been greatly effected. 2056 HURRICANE KATE MEDITERRANEAN In Europe, food riots have continued to spread. Temperatures that were previously found only in North Africa and the Middle East have become the norm in central and southern parts of the continent. Britain now has a Mediterranean climate and is engaged in a food-sharing process with its neighbour Ireland. Rising sea levels, erosion and storm surges are wreaking havoc on the coastline. The first hurricane to hit the mediterranean region as a result of this climate change devastates coastal villages creating nearly 1 million European refugees. 2060 -2100 WATER WARS NORTH AFRICA Rapid population growth and industrial expansion is having a major impact on food, water and energy supplies. During the early 2000s, there were six billion people on Earth. By 2030, there are an additional two billion, most of them from poor countries. Humanity’s footprint is such that it now requires the equivalent of two whole Earths to sustain itself in the long term. Farmland, fresh water and natural resources are becoming scarcer by the day. However, this exponential progress was dwarfed by the sheer volume of water required by an ever-expanding global economy, which now included the burgeoning middle classes of China and India. The world was adding an extra 80 million people each year – equivalent to the entire population of Germany. By 2017, Yemen was in a state of emergency, with its capital almost entirely depleted of groundwater. Significant regional instability began to affect the Middle East, North Africa and South Asia, as water resources became weapons of war.
0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 900000 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 8000000 11000000 14000000 17000000 20000000 30000000 40000000 Nuclear Terrorism (Washington) Fishing Crisis Hurricane Kate (Mediterranean) Rising Sea Level (Global) War on Water (North Africa) Tibetan Uprising Fukoshima Tsunami Persectution of Whites (South Africa) Holland Deluge 49 STATISTICAL NIGHTMARE DELUGE: Rising sea levels as a result of the polar ice caps melting due to global warming is an ever present threat. A large portion of the world coastal cities would be lost to such a cataclysmic event, displacing unforeseen amounts of people. Environmental refugees will be by and large one of the greatest disasters of the future humankind.
Page 1: RE FU GI life in motion UM GIUSEPPE
Page 5: ACKNOWLEDGMENTS To professor Spadon
Page 9 and 10: ABSTRACT The refugee crisis is an o
Page 11 and 12: 03 LIFE IN LIMBO 90 REFUGEE CAMPS 9
Page 13 and 14: CRISIS 01 STATISTICAL NIGHTMARE A l
Page 15 and 16: efugee /rɛfjʊˈdʒi/ meaning: a p
Page 17 and 18: PRESENT
Page 19 and 20: 60 MIL ION People displaced worldwi
Page 21 and 22: Myanmar Vietnam Packistan Butan Sri
Page 23 and 24: A STATISTICAL NIGHTMARE within the
Page 25 and 26: In contrast Germany has publicly we
Page 27 and 28: 27 STATISTICAL NIGHTMARE
Page 29 and 30: - Country of Asylum 29 STATISTICAL
Page 31 and 32: 1981 1980 AFGHANISTAN ALGERIA ANGOL
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Page 35 and 36: Walking a thin line ‘I don’t th
Page 37 and 38: PAST/ PRESENT/ FUTURE Statistically
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Page 45 and 46: FUTURE
Page 47: gs es Water DIversion Project 2057
Page 51 and 52: VOLCANO STORMS TSUNAMI DROUGHT 51 S
Page 53 and 54: 53 REFUGIUM 02 DANGEROUS JOURNEY Th
Page 55 and 56: WHY IS THE JOURNEY IN THE CENTER OF
Page 57 and 58: there are no shelters, clean water
Page 59 and 60: The info-graphic on the left displa
Page 61 and 62: Daily, hundreds of people are tryin
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Page 65 and 66: 1200 1000 800 600 2016 400 200 2015
Page 67 and 68: Outside settled areas, southern Ari
Page 69 and 70: Unlike the natural barriers which a
Page 71 and 72: Romania, and the United Kingdom—r
Page 73 and 74: fences are ever-more popular with p
Page 75 and 76: The Moroccan Wall of Western Sahara
Page 77 and 78: 77 DANGEROUS JOURNEY 2007 2013 2014
Page 79 and 80: Both EU members and Schengen Area m
Page 81 and 82: he will receive the rights granted
Page 83 and 84: Germany returned refugees to Austri
Page 85 and 86: KIDNAPPING, THREATS, HUMAN TRAFFICK
Page 87 and 88: CHILDREN ON THE MOVE With no family
Page 89 and 90: 89 REFUGIUM 03 LIFE IN LIMBO An ins
Page 91 and 92: ecommends one shower per 50 persons
Page 93 and 94: 0. LIST OF LIMBOS 1. KAKUMA (KENYA)
Page 95 and 96: “Sahrawi camps are unique refugee
Page 97 and 98: RECREATION AND LEISURE Recreation a
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Nauru is a tiny, 34-square kilomete
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scribed the camps as “inherently
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displacement.” Neither likely to
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105 REFUGIUM 04 LIFE IN MOTION Esca
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107 LIFE IN MOTION
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III The endpoint is a hybrid and co
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111 LIFE IN MOTION
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sion, depravity, poverty. This beco
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Refugium as a social space The hist
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117 LIFE IN MOTION
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01 02 03 04 Although allowed to ent
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FROM POINTS TO A LINE Despite the g
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123 LIFE IN MOTION
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Globalization has torn the walls wh
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The Silk Road pulsated with life, e
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129 LIFE IN MOTION 11 09 16 Unesco
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NICARAGUA BERING STRAIT SAKHALIN TU
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Flows - Mapping the migration pheno
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Potentiality of Catastrophe Tailore
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137 LIFE IN MOTION
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ARCHITECTURE The Architecture itsel
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STRUCTURE Once the possibility of f
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CATWALK The catwalk is by definitio
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ESCALATOR Reaching down from the Ca
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COLLECTIVE ACTIVITIES The central
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Points Identifying the potentialiti
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CHRONOPROGRAM 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
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HEALTH CARE WOMEN AND CHILD CARE SP
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PM 11/28/2016 9:39:43 PM No. Descri
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Circulation in motion 159 LIFE IN M
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161 LIFE IN MOTION
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163 LIFE IN MOTION
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165 REFUGIUM
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Refugium - A paradigm shift 167 LIF
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169 LIFE IN MOTION A TESTING GROUND
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171 LIFE IN MOTION
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173 LIFE IN MOTION AGDAM NAROULIA
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EXHIBITION/EDUCATION VISTA FOREST V
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177 LIFE IN MOTION
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VERTICAL FOREST WALKWAYS HYDROPONIC
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181 LIFE IN MOTION
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PHOTO-VOLTAIC COVERING MEMORY BOXES
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Fleeing from Agdam, May 1993 Photo
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Salmo trutta aralensis Carassius ca
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189 LIFE IN MOTION
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191 LIFE IN MOTION
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193 DANGEROUS JOURNEY
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REFUGIUM
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allels/2014/03/27/294915903/crossin
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LIST OF USED IMAGES: pages 12, 13:
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