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Production and use of fuel ethanol in Brazil - BAFF

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62<br />

C2.4.<br />

How are employment levels expected to evolve<br />

<strong>in</strong> the face <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g mechanization <strong>and</strong><br />

automation?<br />

The Centro de Tecnologia Canavieira, or Sugar-Cane Technology Center, among<br />

others, has assessed the impact <strong>of</strong> sugar-cane harvest<strong>in</strong>g without burn<strong>in</strong>g on labor.<br />

For a hypothetical future situation with a mechanization level <strong>of</strong> 100 percent <strong>in</strong> the<br />

State <strong>of</strong> São Paulo <strong>and</strong> 50 percent <strong>in</strong> the rest <strong>of</strong> the country, there would be 165,000<br />

jobs less than <strong>in</strong> the fully manual harvest<strong>in</strong>g system based on the total number <strong>of</strong><br />

jobs <strong>in</strong> 2000. That process is <strong>in</strong> progress, <strong>and</strong> rapidly <strong>in</strong> São Paulo. Us<strong>in</strong>g the straw<br />

as an energy source could create more jobs <strong>in</strong> the agricultural area if balers are <strong>use</strong>d<br />

(which is not def<strong>in</strong>ed as technology at the moment). Indirect jobs were not <strong>in</strong>cluded<br />

<strong>in</strong> the computation.<br />

A large portion <strong>of</strong> the fall <strong>in</strong> direct agricultural jobs <strong>in</strong> the 1990’s was due to the<br />

implementation <strong>of</strong> mechanical harvest<strong>in</strong>g. Plant<strong>in</strong>g is be<strong>in</strong>g mechanized as well,<br />

although the effect <strong>of</strong> it on jobs is much less significant. That employment leveldecreas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

effect was widely expected as early as 15 years ago, when the limitation<br />

on sugar-cane burn<strong>in</strong>g began to be discussed, along with the result<strong>in</strong>g reduction <strong>of</strong><br />

manual sugar-cane harvest<strong>in</strong>g. The great, ongo<strong>in</strong>g expansion <strong>of</strong> the crop area is now<br />

start<strong>in</strong>g to extend outside the regions covered by exist<strong>in</strong>g plants; that expansion,<br />

most <strong>of</strong> which already us<strong>in</strong>g mechanical technology, is us<strong>in</strong>g local labor <strong>and</strong> keeps<br />

the absolute number <strong>of</strong> jobs <strong>in</strong> the bus<strong>in</strong>ess exp<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g as well.<br />

As <strong>in</strong> the case <strong>of</strong> soybean, there have been improvements <strong>in</strong> jobs (more qualified<br />

workers, such as mach<strong>in</strong>e operators <strong>in</strong> stead <strong>of</strong> sugar-cane reapers) <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong><br />

the bus<strong>in</strong>ess.<br />

C. Sugar-cane <strong>and</strong> <strong>ethanol</strong> production: social impacts

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